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Ian Fleming

@ianmfleming.bsky.social
130 followers 54 following 238 posts

FIFA-Licensed Agent | Sporting Director | Juris Doctor Generally-managed a pro soccer team once upon a time

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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 7h
I'm thinking that I'll probably move these onto the website during the offseason so that they update daily. Everyone deserves to have the ability to anxiously check their favorite team's playoff chances whenever they choose to.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Standings place and playoff probabilities Gotham ~90% to win the shield Washington not mathematically in yet, but there are 0 simulations in 100,000 that have them finishing worse than 7th 6 of the 8 playoff spots are nearly locked up, but the last 2 are still a battle
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Potential points outcomes for each team is, of course, thinning
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Weekly update again With 3 NWSL matchweeks left to play, 46 points is looking more and more like the line to gain
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
This move to Gotham is going to be a fun one for the ol' woso.live machine
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Standings finish probabilities across the league, as well as the percentage of simulations in which each team makes the playoffs
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
And here we have the most common points finishes for each team across the simulations, with brighter whites signifying more common outcomes
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
With 4 NWSL matchweeks left to play, the playoff line has shifted a bit right and 46 points is the most likely number now
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Reposted by Ian Fleming
Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Yes, every team outside of the top 10 has less than 1% chance of making the playoffs. And do you know what I would love to see any of them do? Loan (or trade) some of their better players to playoff contenders for 2027 intra-league transfer funds before the October 8 roster freeze.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I may not be a GM anymore, but the wheels are still turning and this is your one free tip from me for helping your team's future (with minimal risk) when the draft has been abolished and allocation money is phased out. The chaos of it all would be delightful too.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Yes, every team outside of the top 10 has less than 1% chance of making the playoffs. And do you know what I would love to see any of them do? Loan (or trade) some of their better players to playoff contenders for 2027 intra-league transfer funds before the October 8 roster freeze.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
And standings finish probabilities for each team, based on those same simulations, with the added new column to calculate full playoff probability
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Most common points finishes for each team across 100,000 simulations
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
With 5 matchweeks left to play, let's make those NWSL playoffs updates weekly ~55% that the playoff line is 45 or 46 points:
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Make that all *20* leagues! Today sees the addition of Japan's WE League (very excited about this) and Sweden's Elitettan to woso.live AND in the goalkeepers section, shots/xG/xGOT from the UEFA Women's Champions League and FIFA U20 World Cup have been added to players' historical shot records
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Testing
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
All 18 leagues on woso.live have at least 1+ full season of data on the backend to support the models you see on the frontend Jump straight to RAPM and WAR tools here: woso.live/rapm-tools And have a look at goalkeepers here: woso.live/goalkeepers
woso.live
WoSo.Live
A site for women’s soccer data and visualizations
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
And welcome to Denmark's A-Liga, Norway's Toppserien, and Brazil's Brasileirão Feminino
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Onnittelut to Finland's Kansallinen Liiga becoming the 15th league on woso.live
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Suspicious of my own model at the moment
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Sweden's Damallsvenskan, Portugal's Campeonato Nacional, Scotland's SWPL, and England's WSL2 are now all supported and on the site
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This specific prediction seemed a bit extreme at first but the actual xG ended 2.65-0.32 in favor of PSG with a hair under a 91% probability of victory
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Assuming GitHub plays nice, I'm moving pre-match previews over to the @woso.live bot from now on
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Whatever emotion is bleeding through in any given song, it does not matter, I would go to war for her
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
There are many times since I've moved to France that I've thought to myself that I'm probably the only person in the entire country listening to a particular song at any given time. Today it was "Possum Kingdom" by Toadies.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
First things first, while I don't think I have ever or would ever consider her to be my favorite artist, I'm fairly certain Fiona Apple is my answer to "if you could only listen to one artist for the rest of your life..."
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
I really only ever talk about sports publicly, so I'm starting a random music thoughts thread here that I'll probably forget about.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
8 teams are ~75% or better to make the playoffs, two teams in the mushy middle, 6 teams with ~2.5% or less
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Some stratification among probable point finishes for each team
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Cut line for the playoffs is starting to converge around 45-46 points
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Haven't done one of these in a month, so let's do one of these again
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Pre-match Previews for September 6, 2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Colors and contours were off, needed to make the baseline league-specific. All better now.
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Ian Fleming @ianmfleming.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Pre-match Previews for September 5, 2026
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