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hunanceltic.bsky.social

@hunanceltic.bsky.social
78 followers 146 following 229 posts
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Solomon @solomonrmissouri.com · 24/09/2026
lol lol lol lol lol lol lol
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
I'm sure someone else has figured this out first but LeBron has an opt out after 2026-27, is wearing red white and blue, and is playing for a team in a swing state. LeBron is running for president 2028
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
This is a fascinating article by @stephenfollows.com about how AI and prediction markets can take down a beloved public resource open.substack.com/pub/stephenf...
open.substack.com
What just happened to TheNumbers.com should worry us all
If you work in or around the film industry, there is a decent chance you have used the work of The Numbers this month, whether you realise it or not.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
In 3 outcomes baseball, nobody knows what to do with a grounder anymore
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Spain is so good at controlling the ball; they've got hands for feet!
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
JPAnalyst @jaydpauley.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
#Argentina have scored 11 goals in the #WorldCup knockout round: ⚽️ 55% of the goals have come after the 90th minute ⚽️ 82% came after the 78th minute ⚽️ the avg was the 82nd minute ⚽️ the median goal was the 92nd minute Minutes: 10th, 29th, 79th, 83rd, 85th, 92nd, 92nd, 92nd, 111th, 112th, 121st
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
ResJudicata22 @resjudicata22.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Cartoonist: Drew Sheneman
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
Charlie Warzel @cwarzel.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
my hot take is that this is the actual america 250. just a ton of different people coming together, showing people what makes America weird and fun. people being welcoming. and yeah there’s some bullshit too, which is also very true to America! but the good and community far outweighs it rn.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Company: We should use AI to be more efficient! AI:
User: Execute
AI: Understood.
User: Execute Task 1
AI: Understood.
User: Did you complete Task 1?
AI: No -- I responded "Understood" without actually doing the work. Let me execute it now.
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
Razzball @razzball.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
my kind of Jubilee, the Japanese national team vs. 100 kids
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Depluralize a movie The Vector
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
My first round of NCAA predictions on Substack had a positive ROI! Check out my pick for the CFP Championship game! open.substack.com/pub/lauerpow...
open.substack.com
Baro 2025 CFP Championship Prediction
Some won, some lost, but the process looked good on all of the blog's first bets
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Bears ML hit yesterday! Chargers can be boosted into Baro Bet range and SF has gone deep into that territory this week. Check out all my predictions here: lauerpower.substack.com/p/lauers-sta...
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
Baro Backs Boosted Bears Bet! With the FanDuel 30% boost on 3 leg same game parlays, I was able to craft this in order to get positive EV on betting on the Bears today according to my Baro model. lauerpower.substack.com/p/lauers-sta...
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Rough finish for the Rebels, heckuva game for both teams! While both bets lost (Ole Miss +3.5 and +180), the process was good. Baro gave Ole Miss a 45% chance and to bet at 40%; we got it at 36%. The bet wasn’t expected to win, but over time these edges add up. Let’s go Hoosiers! bit.ly/49o6t0s
lauerpower.substack.com
2025 CFP Semi-Final Baro Report
CFP Picks and NCAA Football Power Rankings!
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Last chance bets for tonight: Ole Miss +2.5 or higher (currently +3.5) Ole Miss +150 or higher (may require boosting) @therebelwalk.bsky.social lauerpower.substack.com/p/2025-cfp-s...
lauerpower.substack.com
2025 CFP Semi-Final Baro Report
CFP Picks and NCAA Football Power Rankings!
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
ALERT: FD has a 30% boost for tonight. My Baro Model Target for the Ole Miss ML was +150. The market was a PASS at +138, but the boost moves it to +180. We now have clear Positive EV on the Rebels to win outright. My robust statistical breakdown here: lauerpower.substack.com/p/2025-cfp-s... #CFP
lauerpower.substack.com
2025 CFP Semi-Final Baro Report
CFP Picks and NCAA Football Power Rankings!
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Should the Eagles be favored over SF? Are the Broncos even an above average team? I applied my robust statistical model to the NFL and found some value picks for Wild Card weekend. Check out the first edition of Lauer's Statistical Power: open.substack.com/pub/lauerpow...
open.substack.com
Lauer’s Statistical Power: The Baro 2025 Wild Card Report
No time for intros, just get to the picks!
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
@minakimes.bsky.social you probably have watched enough film to confirm this: did Aaron Rodgers dye his beard this week? I feel like he was going grayer than what I'm seeing
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
@cjzero.bsky.social I heard about back-to-back fake punts by the Colts, you got that please?
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
@rodger.bsky.social I understand that you are probably watching the Knicks but also hope you are watching this silly bowl game
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
@nfl4th.com What were the percentages on that weird 4th-and-8 Arizona went for at the end instead of taking the FG?
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
My favorite NFL Cartoonist! Please check out his stuff and subscribe to his Patreon if you like it
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
Let me tell you a beautiful story about this couch. 🧵 IG msviciousdesign
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
@benjaminsolak.bsky.social no skeets since Thursday, R U OK?
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
@miketanier.bsky.social Cincy vs Minny is a showdown of TWO Veteran Backup QBs Making Their First Starts TM! What's do we do???
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
@alexckaufman.bsky.social Hello! I read your reports on Geothermal energy (via @walthickey.bsky.social) and they seem exciting! I have not kept up on fracking technology but remember from (probably a decade ago) that it was causing earthquakes. Has that been resolved? Is that a risk with geothermal?
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
@zachweinersmith.bsky.social I'm getting this error in the comments, which is unfortunate, because I think SMBC has the best comments on the web
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
I have historically believed 2 things: 1) the president doesn't control the economy and 2) the stock market isn't the economy. Trump is really going to test my beliefs
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
@cjzero.bsky.social do you have a clip of that mentalist who guessed Kenny's ATM PIN (and read Ernie and Clark's minds) at the Purdue halftime on CBS? I can't find it anywhere and it blew my mind
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
@howardbeck.bsky.social here's a list of subtle changes to the NBA to support expansion: * Expand the NBA to 40 teams * Cut it in half * Introduce relegation * Every team plays home/away for a total of 38 games * Top 16 make the playoffs * Bottom 4 relegated * 2 seasons per year Spring/Fall Easy!
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
@nflbluesky.bsky.social should pay me for this idea: There are 17 games in a season, give every team one neutral site game so that every team plays 8 home and away and 1 neutral. They don't have to be overseas! Buffalo-Detroit could be in Toronto. Rams-Chiefs in St. Louis.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
@rbsdm.com should Pitt's have gone for 2 to cut the lead to 4? Can 4th down bot check that too? It might not have mattered but they'll need a two later anyways to go up 3 (or if the Bengals kick a FG)
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Reposted by @hunanceltic.bsky.social
AltYellostoneNatPar @altyellonatpark.org · 04/01/2025
The censorship algorithm on Twitter reduced our audience by roughly 95%, and seriously, who does that to a wildlife biology & advocacy group ? So we moved 😇 over here to BlueSky If you could, please help us regain our following Follow Retweet and Repeat ;-) Together we can change the world.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
I'm not great at live tweeting, but on my group thread I noted during the TD that put Texas up 15 that they should go for 2 to go up 3 scores. That might have helped them win in regulation! I'm sure there are some college football people who I should follow who said the same thing.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Picks for today (all ML) ARZ over SEA -104 Both of my models have ARZ as a considerable favorite is this one NE over MIA +300 DAL over WAS +420 NYG over TB +220 Both models like these lines relative to predictions. Give a 70% chance of any of these hitting and netting positive across all 3 bets.
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hunanceltic.bsky.social @hunanceltic.bsky.social · 17/07/2024
@kpelton.bsky.social Given that players are guaranteed 51% of the revenue and the aprons are discouraging high spenders (reducing their relative payroll sizes and luxury taxes), is the CBA actually worse financially for small market teams? I assumed they were the ones driving the changes
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