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hugbee.bsky.social

@hugbee.bsky.social
92 followers 121 following 750 posts

🇵🇸🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍🌈 日英 probably politics and shitposts no pronouns (so feel free to use whatever)

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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I'd never heard it, went in knowing the trick from these posts, & it still had me laugh-crying. That's craft! Also yes that was my feeling as well: if you're going to make a joke out of stuff like this, it should be in good spirit. (Contrasting with when it *should* be ruthless, e.g. RNC REPRISE.)
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Reposted by @hugbee.bsky.social
Local Observer 🇮🇶🇵🇸🍉 @observer46664.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"America is no longer occupying Iraq" etc.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
what are senryu but pre-internet tweets? it's like if "tweets" were called "drils" (and had an even shorter character limit)
screenshot from the english wikipedia article for senyru: 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senry%C5%AB

Form and content
Senryū is named after Edo period haikai poet Karai Senryū (柄井川柳; 1718–1790).[2] A typical example from the collection:

泥棒を
捕えてみれば
我が子なり

dorobō o
toraete mireba
wagako nari

When I catch,
The robber,
my own son

This senryū, which can also be translated "Catching him / I see the robber / is my son," is not so much a personal experience of the author as an example of a type of situation (provided by a short comment called a maeku or fore-verse, which usually prefaces a number of examples) and/or a brief or witty rendition of an incident from history or the arts (plays, songs, tales, poetry, etc.).[5]
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In that sense, it is a little telling that only tech giant lukewarm on AI is also the creator of the last big disrupter (iphone) tech & the only one that has "manufacturing physical goods people want" as a primary business. MS/Meta/Google/Amazon/etc are primarily rent-seeker businesses these days.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Yeah, report in question is more "higher % of US says the economy is bad now vs % in 2008", not "majority thinks it's worse than 2008." (questions also are mostly forward-looking rather than "now" except "were you better off a year ago?," and threat of looming disaster is pretty obvious atm)
Index Questions
The Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) is derived from the following five questions:
x1 = PAGO_R = "We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would
you say that you (and your family living there) are better off or worse off financially
than you were a year ago?"
x2 = PEXP_R = "Now looking ahead--do you think that a year from now you (and your family living
there) will be better off financially, or worse off, or just about the same as now?"
x3 = BUS12_R = "Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole--do you think that
during the next twelve months we'll have good times financially, or bad times, or
what?"
x4 = BUS5_R = "Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely--that in the country as a whole
we'll have continuous good times during the next five years or so, or that we will
have periods of widespread unemployment or depression, or what?"
x5
 = DUR_R = "About the big things people buy for their homes--such as furniture, a refrigerator,
stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a
good or bad time for people to buy major household items?"
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
also reminds me of that "the fire truck industry consolidated and now there are multiyear waits to get a new fire truck" article from not far back
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
i love learning about yet another precarious bottleneck that could toss everything into chaos with some minimal organization by bad actors, that also happens to be made actively worse by aggressive AI expansion
Already, domestic manufacturers can produce about only 20 percent of the transformers purchased in the United States; a half-dozen other countries, including Mexico, South Korea and China, supply the rest. The shortage has become bad enough that hyperscalers have begun paying to cut in line, ensuring that their transformers are built next. Even so, data centers, factories and solar farms have all faced delays coming online for want of transformers.

It’s a bottleneck and a choke point for the whole economy, with no relief in sight. Holt, from Siemens Energy, told me that wait times for large power transformers were still increasing. His hope was to one day return to prepandemic delivery times — of two to three years. Somehow, we’ve made the industrial equivalent of a Fabergé egg the linchpin of our civilization. What would happen if someone started breaking them?

It is difficult to overstate how completely the loss of the grid would disrupt life as we know it. In that first hushed moment after the lights went out, we wouldn’t even know that this outage was different from any other. Maybe we would lose power for a few hours. Maybe the ice cream would melt. The mood, at first, might be almost jubilant, as it was after the 2003 blackout in the Eastern Interconnection. At some point, though, the authorities would have to tell the public: The power won’t be restored for a very long time.
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Reposted by @hugbee.bsky.social
Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 28/09/2026
Brilliant @amyremeikis.bsky.social piece here - absolutely gut-wrenching that Nepal PM's speech got buried under the nonsense of AI doom-hype. thepoint.com.au/opinions/260...
“We have built a world with flawless logistics for war, and broken logistics for food, and this is not Nepal’s private misfortune. Ask Bangladesh, ask Bhutan, ask India, ask the Maldives, ask Pakistan, ask Sri Lanka, ask any other country in our region, and you’ll hear the same account.

“Hit by the climate, we did not warm, and again hit by the wars, we did not start.”

Shah is right. Nepal contributes less than 0.1 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions. It does not have the institutional or global power to force change, even as its people are swamped by the consequences of inaction.

“Our glaciers are retreating, our mountain slopes are becoming unstable, our rivers are becoming less predictable and every major disaster threatens to erase years of development,” he told the UN.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
yeah, i think it ties very neatly into the idea of capitalist pressure to expand & the US having exhausted its "frontiers" (physical or economic) to send second-sons out to colonize plots for themselves. hence e.g. the crazy push for crypto (and its particular appeal to young men), AI mania, etc.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
One nice thing about MNSG is that (if you haven't played any other Goemon games) it gives you a taste of the Goemon Experience w/o having to play a true platformer, which is useful(?) given how lowkey influential the series has been in Japan (& most never got an English release).
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Okay this from the wikipedia article on it extremely checks out, because the only thing I could sort of think to compare it to would be like if there was a Metal Gear Solid game on the N64 but it didn't actually play like Metal Gear Solid
text from the hybrid heaven wikipedia article

Development
Hybrid Heaven took roughly three years to develop, with the battle system being the most time-consuming element.[4] Konami Computer Entertainment Osaka designed Hybrid Heaven as an answer to Konami Computer Entertainment Japan's Metal Gear Solid, an attempt to better their fellow Konami team's top tier title in development.[5] Elements of the game were inspired by the film Blade Runner.[4][5]

The team wanted the battle system to capture real fighting's combination of thought and action.[4]
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Hybrid Heaven in particular was a game I found totally wild to see on the N64 at the time, not even sure how I would describe it in a tweet.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I haven't played any of these in ages so more of a "might be worth looking at a description for," but I have fond memories of: Hybrid Heaven Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon (some platforming, but more adventure) Battletanx
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
and the thing you see where people WITH good media literacy make the mistake of projecting that healthy artist-audience dynamic onto politics--rather than recognizing that in real life we're *all* stuck being actors--where it leads to very unhealthy relationships with parties/politicians.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
That's basically the position of my little queer reading group and (it follows) I definitely agree. Two related phenomena I think are the "this art didn't do what I wanted so I will abuse it's creator for doing it Wrong," stemming from similarly underdeveloped literacy skills & extreme atomization,
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
one's labor is just one's contribution to keeping society's collective lights on. that's all well and good, but if there's nothing more to it than that, we're just subsistence farmers with a better QoL. the point of "progress" is that we can do more than just labor
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
"rich people can force an economy to do irrational things by throwing their wealth around" is hardly a new problem, but the scale we're talking about this time is pretty terrifying! not just if there's a crash, but if there's *not*--what happens if these companies are *literally* "too big to fail"?
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
they're impacting *global* investment by sucking up all the air in bond markets when they make an issuance. if it turns out that investment didn't make nearly the expected ROI, but they can STILL pay off the debt, what does that mean for how much global value generation they're ALREADY extracting?
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
not sure what happens when hyperscalers saturate the global bond markets on a bet & lose; "too big to fail" in 2008 wasn't literal, but what if it is here? can Google crowd out global investment on bad bet, yet still be able to pay it off even if AI investments flop? horrifying implications if so!
screenshot of text from the article in the quoted post, with the 3rd paragraph (from the first quotation mark) highlighted

It also brings new risks. Chipmakers, data centre operators and their power providers are all borrowing from public and private credit markets as well as financing each other, making it hard for the pension funds and insurers who buy their debt to assess their true level of exposure to the sector.

The interconnections between borrowers, in a new sector whose long-term trajectory is still unclear, have sparked concerns that if one falters, others could be dragged down with it.

“Inevitably, this is a one-way bet,” says Scott Schulte, global co-head of investment-grade debt syndicate at Barclays. “As long as everything goes right, it’s good. But the minute there’s a problem anywhere . . . the ecosystem is so intertwined.”more text from the article, with "buying up to 100 years of unsecured debt" highlighted

Alphabet sold £5.5bn worth of sterling bonds in February, part of a $31.5bn package that included a rare 100-year £1bn bond that some say rekindled interest in long-maturity sterling debt. Amazon also raised £4.25bn earlier this month, its first-ever sterling issue.

The unknowns of gobbling up new debt at such a long maturity are huge, some investors warn. “If you just take it at its face value, investors are buying up to 100 years of unsecured debt in a transformational technology,” says Peters of PGIM. “Not to overly simplify it, but 100 years is a long time. I don’t think it’s good risk reward . . . it’s unknowable.”“The credit story in hyperscalers rests on a single consensus assumption, that operating cash flow triples from $600bn to $2tn,” Apollo’s chief economist, Torsten Sløk, wrote this month.

“If this doesn’t happen, then the risk is that the AI trade weakens, with credit spreads widening, capex plans getting cut and ultimately US GDP growth slowing,” Sløk warned.text from the article, with the 2nd sentence highlighted


“New bonds . . . are increasingly a claim on the same AI investment cycle that has been driving equity return,” says Lucas Baynes, a senior investment strategist at Vanguard. In other words, the places investors can hide from the financial consequences of AI are getting fewer and further between.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Yeah that definitely wasn't meant in terms of that bar or anything, it was more directly at "explanations of how a particular (bad) system works", with the "over-correct" being in terms of the problem OP was running into with people assuming explanation=endorsement.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
If they're mad about water, I do feel it'd be better to "yes and," and build off that to *also* get them mad about thirsty ag, rather than going "no, you're wrong" and risk losing them to some right wing grifter. Besides, if the AI data centers are bad for any reason, any water they use IS wasteful.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
oh lol that's what the article mentions specifically! i did the reply w/o reading thing 💀
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
exactly *why* they are anti-datacenter to begin with is typically not so important
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
you see people worried about anti-datacenter stuff turning into woo stuff, which i would say could fall into this as well. yes, maybe that could happen, but it seems much less likely to happen if people from the left are there to help give them some structure & organization to their protests
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
E.g. you see so much refusal to discuss "ought"s from people in power, that even when an "is" discussion is needed it feels wrong to focus on, and puts people in the mindset of "oh so you're a lib?", especially on social media where you can't be putting your whole position on an issue in every post.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
"is" vs "ought" is an important distinction that gets missed unfortunately often, both ways. A big problem with a lot of liberals I know is they get stuck on "is" and have trouble discussing "ought," and to an extent I think some leftists have the opposite problem in part because they over-correct.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I went to go see if the new Musk documentary would be playing in theaters in Japan anywhere, and as a result found this NHK documentary on Musk (and DOGE and Yarvin etc) from 2025 that someone subtitled in English and only has 50 views. www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Xz0...
youtube.com
Elon Musk and America’s Reform NHK Documentary / Investigative Report / Full English Subtitles
YouTube video by Blue Phoenix Uprising
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
wow i had no idea doctor doom was romani in that case uncritical support to DOOM in his quest to destroy the fantastic four or whatever it is he gets up to these days
some text from wikipedia's article on dr doom:

Before leaving for America, young Victor uses his mother's inherited "magic potions and strange scientific secrets" to steal from corrupt aristocrats and give the proceeds to his own people as a Robin Hood figure.[138] Johannes Valentin Korff argues this makes Doom unusual for the period, being a "Gypsy" figure written as the protagonist of his own origin story rather than a supporting character or a hero's obstacle.[139] Korff places the choice inside a broader pattern at Marvel in the mid-1960s of building new superhumans out of persecuted backgrounds, pointing to Scarlet Witch and Quicksilver's same-year origin, in which they flees a village pogrom, and the 1966 debut of Black Panther.[140]

Korff also argues that the story avoids stereotyping vengeance as a trait unique to Victor's Romani heritage. Instead, violence is distributed across the entire cast; Latverians, Romani, Victor, and the baron are all trapped in an escalating cycle of revenge.[141] He connects this to how the story handles Doom's later authority, drawing on literary historian Klaus-Michael Bogdal's concept of the "Gypsy Empire," a stock setting in older fiction where a "Gypsy" ruler's menace comes from operating at society's margins. Korff argues Doom inverts that convention by ruling from the center of a modern state rather than its edges, so that his threat comes from an excess of science and civilization rather than a lack of it.[142]
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
(which is basically just a very non-succinct way to agree with this:) bsky.app/profile/zets...
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
From less global perspective though, e.g. Canadian, I can definitely see a Great Man argument, since the impact he's had on even domestic politics there has been massive and (from what I understand) likely prevented the Cons govt taking control of the government at a potentially critical moment.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
As well, likely some other enterprising GOP candidate would've eventually also figured out how to weaponize immigration in the way Trump did (particularly in the face of Dems immediately retreating from making the positive case), and Trump's hubristic treatment of allies is also in line with trends.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
But if you look at what Rubio's been doing, and how he was seen as a relatively "normal" GOP presidential candidate, it's not too hard to imagine any Republican getting into office in the 10s-20s would have had a similar foreign policy broadly speaking.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
One sort of counterpoint could be that we're on such a cusp of a new global economic order re solar/batteries vs oil, that circumstances for such disruption would no longer have existed by the time a "normal" president would've invaded Iran, and Trump speeding up the timeline is maybe qualitative?
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Easy to imagine any other GOP president also tearing up the JCPOA, too, for example, and it's not like Biden hardly tried to mend it. Similarly with the actions re Israel and Saudi et al relations-normalization that led to Oct 7. (arguably McGurk had a bigger personal impact on setting this all up)
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Maybe he did such a bad job it's qualitatively different, but any POTUS would have to be incompetent to do it in the 1st place. Given how the system's been putting stupider and stupider GOP guys in office for ages, "huge moron gets elected and disastrously invades Iran" may have been inevitable.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Maybe worth recognizing too that invasion of Iran has probably been the single biggest history-pivot Trump's done so far, and that exact act has long been pushed *hard* by much of the system. Bloodthirsty Iran hawks have long been dime a dozen in DC.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
cartoon image of a grim reaper with a speech bubble implying it's saying the OP's "ripped a hole in a chain link fence using scythe today"
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Some sort of omniscient surveillance thing seems like it could be a good angle on this.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
They've learned since Obama: stick to the hope, don't offer the change.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
*death game host voice* "You all might be wondering why you're here. Well, I've gathered you today to have you decide on a new government for your country. You've each one vote, and are all considered equals―the only difference is that I gave the biggest asshole among you a machine gun. Good luck!"
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
(in contrast to the nonlocal ones in DC which turned to imperialism abroad)
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
It's very outside my wheelhouse, but I often wonder how much of this (especially in its connection to raw wealth) is not-so-coincidentally in California because that was the end of the (domestic) frontier for Manifest Destiny, and locally those expansionist energies had nowhere else to go.
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Faine Greenwood @faineg.com · 26/09/2026
This is another great, approachable explainer on “the rationalist wackos who have managed to take over much of the AI industry, and who now have tons of money and political power.” www.iankduncan.com/personal/202...
iankduncan.com
Sex, AI, and the Apocalypse - Ian Duncan
How a community devoted to thinking clearly incubated salvation stories, abusive experiments, race science, and an affection for autocracy, and why that history matters now that its alumni are asking ...
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I went to go see if the new Musk documentary would be playing in theaters in Japan anywhere, and as a result found this NHK documentary on Musk (and DOGE and Yarvin etc) from 2025 that someone subtitled in English and only has 50 views. www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Xz0...
youtube.com
Elon Musk and America’s Reform NHK Documentary / Investigative Report / Full English Subtitles
YouTube video by Blue Phoenix Uprising
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Over and over again these AI guys have proven themselves to have utterly childish worldviews, brains stunted by mindbending amounts of privilege. You'd almost feel sorry for them if they weren't actively destroying the lives of, in a literal sense, everyone. theasterisk.substack.com/p/the-effect...
text from the linked article, with the text "children are the ones running the show" highlighted

Also important:

>(quote block) "They would call us hysterical, or dramatic, and then they would go right back to defending their friends. They get to live in a world where their actions have absolutely no gravity, while we are crushed under the sheer weight of it. They get to sleep peacefully tonight. We get to stay awake, replaying what happened, while carrying a debt they don't even know they owe."

I have been called quite a few things including hysterical and dramatic. I’d like to focus on gravity, though. In Trauma Junkie, the gravity of sexual violence is outweighed by the act of making events and communities ‘funner’ (Brodski’s words, not mine, in this house we respect the English language).

Funner is a word that children use.

My thesis is that in too many places in the TESCREAL diaspora, children are the ones running the show. Over and over again, when the safety and security of others are on the line, their responsibilities seem to be too adult of a puzzle for them.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
yeah that reeks of the same stench as Ezra Klein's whole thing about "We Are Going to Have to Learn to Live Together" or whatever, especially post-kirkening
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
not to say it would've been appropriate for that game, but this does instantly have me thinking about a system where the player character is listening in to the guards radios or whatnot, so they actually hear what causes them to stop looking & can make use of that info to solve certain puzzles
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
A notable thing about both is how when people give answers to "Why didn't people like them in spite of X Good Things?", the answers are rejected as somehow illegitimate or the result of frivolous "vibes" instead of real opinions and conditions (ofc; to do otherwise would be to admit being wrong!).
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
As a US citizen, reading even just this opening paragraph has me going "Oh, this is exactly what they said with Biden after he dropped out and his successor lost." Yes, he was all well and good and leftist, as long as you ignore all the things that made people hate him.
Time and again, this is what you would hear from ‘progressive’ voters during the local election campaign in the spring. From stalwart Labour members, let alone the countless voters that did abandon the party or simply stay at home. Never mind the Government’s straightforwardly left-wing economic agenda: the higher taxes for public service investment; the half a million children to be lifted out of child poverty; the generational advances in workers’ and renters’ rights. Forget about the long-fought for recognition of Palestine, the improved European relations, or the genuinely epochal decoupling from US foreign policy over Iran. No, this was Labour’s progressive nadir. The vibe was off.
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hugbee.bsky.social @hugbee.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
"why don't people trust data centers?"
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