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Greg Davis

@greg-davis.bsky.social
119 followers 347 following 190 posts

Watcher of politics in the US and Latin America. Fan of too many podcasts. Enjoyer of tacos and jokes. MA from American University substack.com/@americaandamerica x.com/americaand55509

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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
“On Sunday, October 2, 2016, exactly ten years ago, Colombia asked its citizens if they supported the peace agreement reached with the FARC guerrillas after more than half a century of war. The majority said no." @amaraljordi.bsky.social latinamericadailybriefing.substack.com/p/brazil-ele...
latinamericadailybriefing.substack.com
Brazil election on Sunday
October 2, 2026
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Looks like my interests in US-Latin America policy and AI are finally coming together...🫥
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"Since Thursday night there have been statements, official notes, mutual accusations, and conflicting judicial rulings. The falsehood, which continues to circulate on social media, could affect an election that promises to be extremely close." @naiaragg.bsky.social english.elpais.com/internationa...
english.elpais.com
A fake story about the Virgin of Aparecida, patron saint of Brazil, marks the end of the presidential campaign
Lula, Bolsonaro, the Catholic bishops and the Supreme Court are drawn into a controversy nurtured by the left that could influence an extremely close election
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Really interesting overview of where Latin American criminal groups could expand in Asia and Africa. In Mozambique: "Lusophone Africa offers significant opportunities for Brazilian criminal groups, especially the First Capital Command (PCC)." www.caballeros.blog/p/where-are-...
caballeros.blog
Where Are the Next Big Drug Markets
Opportunities, Obstacles, and the Global Demand for Criminal Expertise
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
"On Thursday in the city of Guayaquil and several other locations, 50 U.S. military personnel joined more than 300 national police officers in raids against a drug network that Ecuadorean officials said has ties to Mexico’s Jalisco New Generation Cartel." www.wsj.com/world/americ...
wsj.com
U.S. Troops Are Now Fighting the Drug War on the Ground in Ecuador
Dozens of American military personnel joined Ecuadorean police in raids this week, marking a new level of direct U.S. involvement.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Fascinating look at how much Latin American countries trust the US and China. US doing well with Caribbean countries (except Haiti) while China doing much better with South America. Panama, Honduras, Brazil, and Paraguay as the swing countries. Mexico scraping bottom for the US
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
"For much of the 20th century, Guatemalans who advocated for self-government, equality before the law, and the welfare of the majority—that is, social democrats—knew that the state might try to kill them. Today, social democrats govern." www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
Guatemala’s Democracy Dilemma
A reformist president weighs the pressure to move fast against the imperative to restore institutions his people can trust.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
"At least 25,447 third country nationals were deported from the US between January 2025 and August 31, 2026" @forbidden-stories.bsky.social forbiddenstories.org/the-deportat...
forbiddenstories.org
The Deportation Project Map
Between 2025 and August 2026, the Trump administration deported over 25,000 people to countries other than their country of origin. Very few of these removals were publicly announced by the US. The De...
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
"I make a joke that to investigate the judge who took $30 million from a corrupt banker, Brazilians will vote for the candidate who took $10 million dollars from corrupt banker" - @traumann.bsky.social americasquarterly.org/article/aq-p...
americasquarterly.org
AQ Podcast | Brazil's Scandal-Plagued Election
Political analyst Thomas Traumann on the mudslinging in the Supreme Court, and other factors in the October election
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
"La incorporación de una aeronave MV-22B Osprey de Estados Unidos a las operaciones militares en Alto Punino [...] introduce una nueva capacidad en la ofensiva que Ecuador mantiene contra los Comandos de la Frontera" www.infobae.com/america/amer... h/t @adamisacson.com
infobae.com
Estados Unidos llevó un Osprey a la Amazonía ecuatoriana para apoyar la ofensiva contra los Comandos de la Frontera
La aeronave estadounidense comenzó a apoyar a las Fuerzas Armadas en Alto Punino, una zona marcada por la minería ilegal y la presencia de una estructura disidente de las antiguas FARC
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
TIL: Teddy Roosevelt popularized the myth that piranhas are man-eaters after he was duped by a tour guide in the Amazon
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Retired Coast Guard senior officers: "Today marks a full year that the Trump administration has used military aircraft and weapons to destroy suspected drug-smuggling boats in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific, killing hundreds of alleged traffickers to date" www.justsecurity.org/155570/ameri...
justsecurity.org
America's War on Drug Smugglers at Sea Is Unlawful—and It Is Failing
U.S. strikes against alleged drug-trafficking vessels mark an unlawful expansion of military force into a law enforcement mission.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
"For starters, while Venezuela has oodles of proven reserves, the country’s poorly managed and aging extraction equipment mean it produces significantly less oil than you might expect" Only "0.8 percent of total global crude oil in 2023” www.nationalreview.com/corner/no-we...
nationalreview.com
No, We’re Not Going to Fill Up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve with Venezuelan Oil | National Review
No, the U.S. will not be ‘topping out’ the Strategic Petroleum Reserve with Venezuelan oil ‘very shortly,’ as President Trump claimed.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
"Desde enero, la producción ha empezado a crecer nuevamente (se encuentra ahora en los 1,25 millones de barriles diarios, según Reuters) y EE.UU. se ha convertido en el destino principal de las exportaciones de crudo venezolano, seguido por India y España" cnnespanol.cnn.com/2026/08/29/v...
cnnespanol.cnn.com
Qué ha cambiado en la industria petrolera venezolana en los casi ocho meses desde la caída de Maduro | CNN
La era de una industria petrolera estatal y cerrada, y de las grandes nacionalizaciones de empresas ligadas a los hidrocarburos, al grito de “¡Exprópiese!” lanzado por el fallecido presidente Hugo Chá...
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
"For all the grandstanding, threats and geopolitical fascination that the canal generates, that may be the bigger lesson of Vásquez’s tenure. Panama’s strategic advantage depends precisely on treating everyone fairly" www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
bloomberg.com
The Panama Canal’s Real Challenge Is Water, Not Geopolitics
Almost two years after Donald Trump first threatened to take over the Panama Canal, the storied watershed is thriving.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
NYT yesterday called current Venezuela situation “something resembling a client state.” Is client state the best term for this kind of a situation? @rebeccafelliott.bsky.social @simonromero.bsky.social @ewong.bsky.social
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"On Sunday, U.S. forces fired on a vessel in the eastern Pacific allegedly trafficking narcotics [...] It was the first confirmed boat strike under Joint Task Force Western Hemisphere, which replaced Joint Task Force-Southern Spear." taskandpurpose.com/news/us-ecua...
taskandpurpose.com
Ecuador official says US Special Forces are operating inside country
American soldiers are conducting operations near the Colombian border, while U.S. warships are being deployed, Ecuadorian officials said.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
"International observers are often so focused on democratic breakdowns that they overlook democratic breakthroughs. But Guatemala’s recent struggle deserves far greater attention" www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a...
project-syndicate.org
Guatemala’s Democratic Renewal
Carlos Alvarado-Quesada praises President Bernardo Arévalo’s administration for choosing constitutionalism over confrontation.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
substack.com
Two maps on the hemispheric war on cartels
Trying to keep track
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Armenia: "It was one of the first Colombian cities to conduct what is known as microzonification, mapping soil response block by block to guide planning. It banned loose soil, which can amplify shaking. And it followed strict, up-to-date building norms" www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
washingtonpost.com
How to beat an earthquake: The Colombian city where no one died
A deadly temblor devastated Armenia in 1999, spurring a reconstruction that allowed the city to build back stronger. When disaster struck this time, it was prepared.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
"Each time a young person here is killed or vanishes, there are immediate questions about whom he or she might have been working for. When drug traffickers allegedly subsidize TikTok dances, a victim’s innocence can be almost impossible to discern" www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
Influencers Are the Sinaloa Cartel’s Newest Targets
The U.S. is trying to destroy Mexican cartels. But so far, a turf war has only deepened.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Tijuana's Missing-Persons Posters from @samquinones.bsky.social "Posters of missing people on walls and light poles near the border in Tijuana has always alarmed me. My video report..." samquinones.substack.com/p/tijuanas-m...
samquinones.substack.com
Tijuana's Missing-Persons Posters
Posters of missing people on walls and light poles near the border in Tijuana has always alarmed me. My video report...
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
"In recent years, officials in cities such as San Francisco and Philadelphia have moved to rein in the excesses of harm-reduction policies. Nevertheless, these policies retain a powerful hold on public-health and political leaders in blue parts of the country" www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
theatlantic.com
The Cities That Said Yes to Drugs
Policies that gave addicts clean needles and places to use drugs were intended to reduce harm. They created a “zombie apocalypse.”
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
From @ccosborn.bsky.social 's latest Latin America Brief: "While some victims were known by relatives to have supplied fuel or other assistance to drug traffickers, others had no known ties to the drug trade. Some appear to have been fishermen" @foreignpolicy.com foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/31/u...
foreignpolicy.com
U.S. Boat Strike Campaign Is Shrouded in Secrecy
The Trump administration has shared few details and little evidence.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
ICYMI: "With the pressure on its government rising, Mexico has begun to make its own demands of the United States. Last week, Sheinbaum said that she would request criminal charges in the cases of Mexican citizens killed by ICE" www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...
theatlantic.com
A Planeload of Informants
The United States is intensifying its hunt for narcos within the Mexican government. Is this all prelude to an attack?
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
"The region’s leaders understand that Latin America — a region that traditionally prides itself on being a zone of peace and the region of the world with the lowest number of inter-state conflicts — does not need to spend more on tanks and fighter jets" responsiblestatecraft.org/narco-terror...
responsiblestatecraft.org
'ISIS of the Western Hemisphere'? Latin America isn't buying it
Elbridge Colby's speech at a regional defense conference revealed major gaps between the US and its neighbors
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
"U.S. leaders should draw on the actual words and wisdom of the Monroe Doctrine, as announced in 1823 and practiced by presidents and lawmakers for roughly a century" @ebrightyon.bsky.social www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-...
lawfaremedia.org
The Monroe Doctrine Was Never a Blank Check for Presidential War
Trump’s “Donroe Doctrine” in Latin America inverts a policy that, properly understood, abided by and reinforced constraints on unilateral presidential force.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
As an only very casual futbol fan, this is the best link I can share on World Cup final day: "Argentina is a very weird exceptional country with a very peculiar economic development path"-- Interesting comparison with Spain! @adamtooze.bsky.social foreignpolicy.com/podcasts/one...
foreignpolicy.com
Spain vs. Argentina
Adam and Cameron discuss the relationship between the two countries ahead of the FIFA Men's World Cup final.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Fair look at current US-LatAm relations under Trump 2: "Yet for now at least, Trump can point to signs that, even if he may not be personally popular in the region, key parts of his agenda are aligned with many Latin American governments and their constituents" www.foreignaffairs.com/americas/tru...
foreignaffairs.com
Trump Is Remaking Latin America
The short-term results and the long-term risks of the “Donroe Doctrine.”
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
"Designed 80 years ago, in the heart of the 20th century, the OAS is still figuring out how to survive a 21st century so resistant to multilateral institutions." www.connectas.org/analisis/en-...
connectas.org
En crisis, la OEA busca entrar al siglo XXI
Con Trump, Estados Unidos toma distancia de la OEA. ¿Qué futuro le espera al principal organismo político de las Américas?
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
"The United States funneled more than $3 billion in aid to Haiti in 2010, after a devastating earthquake left the country in shambles. It sent in 7,000 military troops to help and stopped deportations of Haitians. That’s not what has happened in Venezuela..." www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/b...
nytimes.com
Caribbean Disparity
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
"Tras el doble terremoto que sacudió la región centro-norte de Venezuela el miércoles 24 de junio de 2026, la desinformación ha acompañado la cobertura informativa de la emergencia casi al mismo ritmo que los hechos." @cazadoresdefakenews.info www.cazadores.info/bitacora-ter...
cazadores.info
Estos son los bulos más difundidos en redes sociales tras los terremotos del 24 de junio en Venezuela
Videos e imágenes descontextualizadas y desinformaciones virales que han circulado en redes sociales tras el doblete sísmico
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
“It is true the United States orchestrated a coup in Guatemala in 1954, it is also true the United States probably stopped a coup in Guatemala in 2024, if your analytical framework for contemporary Guatemala-U.S. relations relies more on the former event and..." www.caballeros.blog/p/caballeros...
caballeros.blog
Caballeros at One and My Most Controversial Opinions
It’s been one year since I launched this blog, which, predictably, feels like forever ago and not long ago at all.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Great reporting: "...at a congressional hearing in June, senators from both parties, drawing on confidential briefings, pointed out that the presence of drugs was not among the criteria used for choosing which boats to destroy." www.newyorker.com/news/the-led...
newyorker.com
An Ecuadorian Fishing Boat Disappears Amid Trump’s Strikes in the Pacific
The President claims to be targeting vessels involved in drug trafficking. Were the fishermen who went missing with the Fiorella collateral damage?
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
"Disasters like this can actually provide an opportunity for economic dynamism, state-building and strengthening of civil society if there is an adequate national and international response such as in Mexico in 1985 and Chile in 2010. However, they can..." davidsmilde.substack.com/p/earthquake...
davidsmilde.substack.com
Earthquake Response and Politics in Venezuela
The jury is still out, given how much there is to be done
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
"If U.S. investigators are able to persuade enough Morena politicians to act as informants, it could start a cascade of cooperating witnesses and indictments that would threaten to weaken the party." www.nytimes.com/2026/06/27/w...
nytimes.com
Mexican Officials Have Become Informants for the Trump Administration
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
"Just as the country confronts this humanitarian emergency, financial authorities have acknowledged that Venezuela has accumulated roughly $240 billion in obligations—the largest sovereign debt restructuring ever attempted, according to the Financial Times." moisesnaim.substack.com/p/venezuelas...
moisesnaim.substack.com
Venezuela’s Other Aftershocks: Booming Corruption
The earthquakes in Venezuela are a massive and unprecedented natural tragedy.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
"We have compiled a verified list of fundraising campaigns. Each link leads to the organization’s donation page or a post with more information. Monetary donations are the most effective and immediate way to help." www.caracaschronicles.com/2026/06/26/h...
caracaschronicles.com
Help Venezuela From Abroad: Cash Donations Matter Most Right Now | Caracas Chronicles
Supplies are being collected in the US and globally, but monetary transfers are the fastest way to deliver relief
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
"Among the few certainties we Ecuadorians have been able to count on in recent years is the fact that we have now qualified for five World Cups [...] We are no longer a nation with timeless truths inscribed on banknotes, but rather a portable country dispersed..." goldengoal.world/2026/06/24/e...
goldengoal.world
Ecuador: Common Currency - Golden Goal
Amid 25 years of economic and political instability, Ecuador's national team's consistency—and ties to a scattered global diaspora—provides a rare sense of unity.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
The current wave of right-wing wins in Latin America doesn't seem to be built on as strong of a base as the left-wing Pink Tide was with 2000's commodities boom. That said, denying the right-wing swing seems pretty hard to do, however tenous it may be. Time to give it a name?
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
As ever, hoping for the best in Colombia 🇨🇴 resultados.registraduria.gov.co/v2/resultado...
resultados.registraduria.gov.co
Elecciones Presidenciales de la República 2026
Consulta los resultados oficiales de las Elecciones Presidenciales de la República de Colombia 2026 en tiempo real. Seguimiento de votos mediante gráficos interactivos.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
"This would place Rodriguez and the Chavismo movement in line with other past strongman movements in Latin America, such as Peronism in Argentina [...] the government’s ideological orientation may change over time. What is crucial is preserving power." www.cnn.com/2026/06/14/a...
cnn.com
Her boss is in US prison. How the woman running Venezuela got Trump on her side | CNN
Anti-imperialist rhetoric aimed at the US may have has disappeared since Maduro’s capture, but everything else remains largely the same under Delcy Rodríguez
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
“In a multipolar world, the alternative to a renewed OAS is increased fragmentation. Small states need rules because rules give them agency. Powerful states need rules because rules make their power more legitimate, less costly, and more durable.” www.americasquarterly.org/article/the-...
americasquarterly.org
The OAS’s Existential Challenge
Washington is threatening to walk away from one of the hemisphere's most essential institutions. The region needs to say something about it.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
If anyone needs a deep dive on screwworms, I listened to some of this a couple of weeks ago ago and found it pretty interesting radiolab.org/podcast/retu...
radiolab.org
Return of the Flesh-Eaters
Can a species be so terrible we need to wipe it out?
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
"If boat strikes were slowing the flow of cocaine to the United States, public health researchers say one consequence would be an increase in prices. But street prices for cocaine remain between $60 to $100 per gram in many U.S. cities, about where they were before" www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/w...
nytimes.com
Blowing Up Boats Hasn’t Slowed Cocaine Traffic to U.S., Experts Say
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
"Greg’s post also brought to my attention two key factors on the operation. The first is that Honduran media checked out the domain itself and found that its YouTube channel was previously named 'Elon Musk Noticias' and used for similar purposes..." www.memeticwarfare.io/p/faux-nexia
memeticwarfare.io
Faux-nexia
Welcome to Memetic Warfare.
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
"Cubans, like Venezuelans and residents of badly gerrymandered districts here, deserve the freedom to vote for their own leaders. Cubans and Venezuelans further deserve not to give their natural resources to the United States." weeksnotice.blogspot.com/2026/05/raul...
weeksnotice.blogspot.com
Raul Castro Indictment
The Department of Justice has unsealed an indictment against Raul Castro for shooting down the Brothers to the Rescue plane in 1996. The c...
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
"The analysts interviewed agree on one piece of good news: although these videos stir emotions, they haven’t become the massive disinformation machine many feared — at least not yet." english.elpais.com/internationa... @camimi78.bsky.social
english.elpais.com
AI-generated videos flood Colombia’s presidential campaign with electoral fantasies
The surge of clips created by artificial intelligence is being driven largely by the two campaigns battling for right‑wing voters, with the left hesitating to use this strategy
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
"The analysts interviewed agree on one piece of good news: although these videos stir emotions, they haven’t become the massive disinformation machine many feared — at least not yet." english.elpais.com/internationa... @camimi78.bsky.social
english.elpais.com
AI-generated videos flood Colombia’s presidential campaign with electoral fantasies
The surge of clips created by artificial intelligence is being driven largely by the two campaigns battling for right‑wing voters, with the left hesitating to use this strategy
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Greg Davis @greg-davis.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
"Under Obama, without military threat, the United States was able to negotiate a series of economic concessions. Cuba would have wanted them in a different way [...] But we have evidence that the Cuban government can be brought to the table" - Javier Corrales podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...
podcasts.apple.com
What to Know Before Trump Attacks Cuba
Podcast Episode · The World Unpacked · May 8 · 51m
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