iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Thanks for posting, I have have been enjoying reading your autobiography!

Reposted by Guilherme Lambais

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 27/08/2026

What's up with the economics profession? Recently I've been hearing a lot about senior profs dusting off their CVs and trying to get gigs with the AI labs, as well as more arms-length collaborations. Working with an AI lab is seen as very cool. 🧵 www.ft.com/content/8471...

ft.com

https://www.ft.com/content/84718e2b-13c9-4469-a1d6-52556c7f637f?syn-25a6b1a6=1

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Reposted by Guilherme Lambais

Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

I don't know why The Economist has suddenly turned on Daron but I will say I recently enjoyed looking over this working paper from him which does not seem entirely unrelated. www.nber.org/papers/w35336

Automation and Repression
Daron Acemoglu, A. Arda Gitmez & Mehdi Shadmehr
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Working Paper 35336
DOI 10.3386/w35336
Issue Date June 2026
We consider a model of automation embedded in a political environment where workers can undertake a revolt (modeled as a global game), and greater inequality between capital and labor increases the likelihood of a revolt. Decentralized automation decisions raise the share of capital in national income and increase the likelihood of a successful revolt. A capitalist state (representing capital-owners) prefers to regulate the level of automation to lessen the threat of a successful revolt. The capitalist state can also redistribute to workers via the tax system or repress political action, thus creating greater room for further automation. We characterize the trade-off between the regulation of automation, redistribution and repression.
Our main result is a complementarity between automation and repression. Unless the threat of revolt is quite weak or the capital stock is very low, the capitalist state prefers repression. A higher capital stock in turn encourages more automation and thus more repression. In our full dynamic model with capital accumulation, in the long run the economy tends to repression (again unless the threat of revolt is very weak). We also prove that the same conclusions apply when firms can additionally invest in new labor-intensive tasks. Finally, we show that, starting in a democracy, capital accumulation and thus greater automation encourages the capitalists to support a coup against democracy and set up a repressive system.

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

The same for math, yesterday I got a model idea from ChatGPT and reading everything seemed fine until I got to the second equation on paper!

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 18/10/2025

Interesting! I will try to connect

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Reposted by Guilherme Lambais

Guido Alfani @guidoalfani.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

Next Monday (Oct 6) the two-days conference "Inequality & History" will begin, hosted by @dondenacentre.bsky.social at Bocconi University (Milan). Join us to explore & debate inequality across history, from Classical Antiquity until today! Remote attendance possible; QR code in the program below👇

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 25/05/2025

Deadline tomorrow for the “New Economic History of Brazil” conference in September. Come join us in the historical district of Belém in Lisboa! Details: nofuturepast.wordpress.com/2025/01/17/c...

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Reposted by Guilherme Lambais

Henrik Sigstad @hsigstad.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

Os tribunais são essenciais para eleições livres, mas candidatos podem usar ações judiciais para difamar oponentes ou desacreditar a eleição. Em novo artigo com @glambais.bsky.social & Moya Chin, apresentamos um estudo sistemático sobre ações eleitorais nas eleições municipais do Brasil.

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Reposted by Guilherme Lambais

Henrik Sigstad @hsigstad.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

Courts ensure fair elections, but electoral lawsuits can also be used to attack opponents or discredit the process. For instance, none of the 400+ lawsuits filed before the 2020 U.S. election succeeded in court, and the most recent election saw a similar number of cases.

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Yes! I made the same exact comment to my wife yesterday while watching

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

I see there is the leastcostpath package that is more updated, but I think I tried and still preferred gdistance

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Things have got much better in recent years with sf and terra (and retirement of rgdal rgeos and maptools). gdistance for least costs paths etc still use sp and raster instead of sf and terra though which is not ideal. Some stuff in tmieno2.github.io/R-as-GIS-for...

tmieno2.github.io

Welcome | R as GIS for Economists

This is a book for Economists who regularly use spatial datasets for their econometric work.

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Guilherme Lambais @glambais.bsky.social · 28/10/2024

Next Monday we kick off the new Lisbon Economic History and Development Seminars. If you are in Lisbon come join us! 2024-2025 schedule 👇 To get regular updates, subscribe to our mailing list: gbrlambais.github.io/lehds

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