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Geoff Lorenz

@geofflorenz.bsky.social
1.1K followers 460 following 117 posts

Training and researching artists of the possible at UNL. Scholar of Congress, interest groups, parties, and how to get us out of this mess. Every majority is a coalition.

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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
Zander Furnas @alexanderfurnas.com · 17/05/2026
yes of course we expect authors to check every citation what the fuck are you talking about
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Man nearly every song in that episode is an absolute banger.
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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
Alona O. Dolinsky @alonadolinsky.com · 15/05/2026
🎉🚨New Publication 🚨🎉 Beyond thrilled this is finally out! First large-scale, cross-national database of parties' social group appeals — who they speak to, the stance they take towards the groups, and whether a policy is mentioned. 55 years, 8 European countries, fully public and available here:
dataverse.harvard.edu
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
(also, they're all at least Meeting Expectations in their Legislative Effectiveness Score, but could bring in the Center for Effective Lawmaking for office hours if they wanted!)
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
I spend a lot of time thinking who the most effective members of Congress are, but @balint.house.gov , @rephuffman.bsky.social , @casten.house.gov are possibly among the raddest members of Congress!
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Super interesting!
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Someone had to give it to you straight, my man.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
I think our long-form takes are generally better, for sure. I think the incentives and constraints in short-form settings work against our strengths. But reasonable people can disagree.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Obvs academics should have free speech, but saying what you think as an expression of your thoughts on topic A is not the same as saying the most effective thing you could say.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
The problem with academics being too online is that it sacrifices what we're good at--offering detailed, critical analysis--on the altar of offering usually just replacement-level takes on platforms that are designed to piss people off.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Sure. I think most ppl think of academics' public responsibility is to call out bad stuff as bad. I think it's to (a) push the knowledge frontier and help (b) identify and (c) solve problems. Calling out bad stuff may be b, depending on the values of our public audience.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
I get that it's wild how much money football coaches make; during my time there, UNL specifically has paid out the nose to FIRE a football coach before his contract was up. But FWIW, I don't think most people would ever hear or think about Nebraska if not for our football team.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
e.g., in-house policy analysis/translation and training for academics interested in policy effectiveness.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Those all sound great! I have some ideas that are aligned specifically w the kind of state I live in, but they essentially amount to making our expertise more readily available to help people solve the problems they're trying to solve that, if solved, would actually improve peoples' lives.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
To the extent that's true, then our approach, including potentially our public presentation, should bear it in mind.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
The problem isn't just the attacks, it's that they're working better now than they used to: bsky.app/profile/geof...
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
I agree I don't think we'll win many on the right over, but IMO we can make their attacks less successful by shoring up broader public support so that it is more politically costly for them to go after us. See chocolate ice cream theory: bsky.app/profile/geof...
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Or rather, it helped in the sense that it prevented the allegedly otherwise inevitable Nazi phase.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Maybe it did not help that as a teenager I was at Dachau in the midst of a total eclipse, but no I did not have a Nazi phase.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Oof
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
The question is: does going on Rogan reach voters you need to reach? If yes, it's worth considering, and then you just need to calculate the opportunity costs.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
bsky.app/profile/atru... Some folks are using this as an example of why, say, Ds in general or Kamala Harris specifically obviously should not go on Rogan. In doing so, they fail the ice cream test. The point of going on Rogan isn't to persuade Rogan, it's to reach his audience.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
bsky.app/profile/jona... @jonathanmladd.com saying a similar (and better!) thing, much more succinctly :).
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
So when considering the Yale Report or other proposals on how to defend higher ed, what I will be asking is not whether adopting the recs would make conservatives suddenly like chocolate ice cream (that Thank You for Smoking scene is dope), but whether it'd persuade the public to.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Let's say that all universities adopted the Yale recs. If that worked, I'd expect that it'd lead to fewer conservative attacks not because conservatives suddenly like higher ed, but because the general public does. The attacks would be less profitable. It'd probably take a while to work though.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
My mental model is that conservatives will attack and try to defund higher ed at some baseline level (which may be zero but varies across states and between state- and national conservatives and among conservatives over time) generally, and will do so even more when they believe it will work.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The problem universities face now is not that conservatives are attacking them---they've been doing that decades. The problem is that it's working. Conservative activists sense a target-rich environment in the supposed excesses of (wealthy, elite, coastal) higher ed, and follow their incentives.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The movie Thank You for Smoking gets a LOT of things wrong about lobbying. Like, very very wrong. Frustratingly wrong. But this scene (while still being very wrong about lobbying) is deeply instructive: youtu.be/xuaHRN7UhRo?...
youtu.be
Thank You for Smoking (3/5) Movie CLIP - Ice Cream Politics (2005) HD
YouTube video by Movieclips
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The Yale Report on Trust in Higher Education (president.yale.edu/sites/defaul...) does not deal directly with conservative attacks on higher ed, but that does not necessarily mean it has missed the ball. A thread:
president.yale.edu
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
An measures at X
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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
Danny Hidalgo @dhidalgo.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
We're hiring a Research Support Associate at MIT Political Science. Work with me, In Song Kim, Rich Nielsen, and Naoki Egami on methods and political economy. Great opportunity for those considering a PhD in the social sciences. One-year position with possible extension.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
FWIW the argument is not unreasonable its just the joint probability necessary for that scenario to play out is pretty low.
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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
Josh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Term limits are bad. There’s very little waste and inefficiency in government.* Members of Congress are seriously underpaid. * this one may not apply to Trump-headed governments
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Easily a top 5 foghorn
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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
Carlos Algara @algaraca.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Many thanks to @mattgrossmann.bsky.social for having me on the @niskanencenter.bsky.social #ScienceofPolitics podcast to talk '26 midterms for the U.S. Senate & House! TLDR; battleground looks expanded for Senate Democrats compared to year ago thanks to candidate recruitment efforts. Take a listen!
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Reposted by Geoff Lorenz
The Atlantic @theatlantic.com · 17/02/2026
Many Americans may believe that Democrats support science and Republicans don’t—but research suggests that although the Trump administration’s hostility toward science is real, it isn’t matched by the rest of the GOP's, Alexander Furnas and Dashun Wang write.
bit.ly
The Republicans Made Peace With Science
The Trump administration’s hostility to science is real, but it isn’t matched by the rest of the GOP’s.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Democracy Dies in Snark-ness?
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Oh man now you gotta make a recommendation
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
What do you make of the combination of that first abstract and the last one?
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I mean, my read of the piece you're linking there was not really to dismiss political science out of hand, but rather to caution practitioners/candidates/policymakers that the empirical regularities political science observes are not self-executing. YMMV though fair enough.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I don't have a good sense of any of the current debate, but FWIW MattY remains the only Discourse-r who has explicitly referenced "lobbying as legislative subsidy" so I'm not sure I agree with that last characterization.... at least, not entirely.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Yeah - I guess the hope (or just, my hope) is that the result of all this is that it grows demand of some alternative districting/electoral system?
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
(and the reverse is also true I'm sure)
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
I know who needs to read this: political science does not require natural laws that apply unconditionally to be a science. It needs human beings to not be completely random or idiosyncratic in their behavior. I do agree that political science is hard in a way the physical sciences are not, though.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Thank you for the kind words! It will be a while (I'm not teaching the course until Fall 2026) but I'll try to remember to post the reading list when it's done.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
It's really true. I remember observing in his first term that Trump's worst interviews were often with friendly reporters.
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Thank you! These are both super helpful!
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Yeah very much the same. This will be really helpful. Thank you for these recs!
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
That sounds perfect! Thank you! Tbh I don't know if/how DMing works on BlueSky but you can find my email here: polisci.unl.edu/person/geoff...
polisci.unl.edu
Geoff Lorenz | Department of Political Science | Nebraska
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Geoff Lorenz @geofflorenz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Very helpful! I'll reach out to him separately as well. Thanks!
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