Business Investment Holds Up as Consumers and Housing Feel the Pressure by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth fell to 2.49% SAAR on September 25, down 0.19 percentage points from yesterday’s estimate. That is equivalent to roughly 0.62% growth qu...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth edged up to 2.67% SAAR, an increase of just 0.01 percentage point from yesterday’s estimate of 2.66%. That translates into approximately...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for 2026 Q3 edged up to 2.66% SAAR on September 23, an increase of just 0.01 percentage point from yesterday’s estimate. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the model is currentl...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for the third quarter of 2026 held at 2.66% annualized on September 22, unchanged from yesterday’s estimate. That works out to roughly 0.66% quarter-over-quarter growth. There...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for the third quarter of 2026 edged up to 2.66% annualized growth, from 2.65% in the September 18 update. That works out to roughly 0.66% quarter-over-quarter growth. This was...

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The Consumer Keeps Q3 Growth Alive, but the Supply Side Is Sending a Different Signal by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth rose to 2.64% SAAR on September 17, up 0.22 percentage points from yesterday’s estimate of 2.42%. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the m...

GDP Dynamics Weekly Video Update September 16th 2026 by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth slipped to 2.42% SAAR on September 16, down 0.04 percentage point from yesterday's estimate. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the model ...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth held at 2.46% SAAR on September 15, unchanged from the previous update. That translates to roughly 0.62% quarter-over-quarter growth. Th...

The GDP Dynamics estimate for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth edged slightly lower on September 14, falling 0.01 percentage point to 2.46% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). That is equiv...

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The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth held essentially unchanged at 2.47% SAAR on September 11, equivalent to roughly 0.62% quarter-over-quarter growth. That lack of movement...

GDP Dynamics Weekly Update September 10th 2026 by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for the third quarter of 2026 rose slightly on September 10, increasing from 2.42% to 2.47% annualized. That works out to roughly 0.62% growth quarter over quarter. It is a sm...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth held essentially unchanged on September 9, remaining at **2.42% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate**, equivalent to roughly **0.60% qu...

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth edged higher on September 8, rising 0.03 percentage point to 2.42% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. On a quarter-over-quarter basis...

The GDP Dynamics estimate for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth edged down to 2.39% SAAR on September 4, a decline of 0.03 percentage point from yesterday's estimate. On a quarter-over-quarter basis,...

The GDP Dynamics estimate for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth fell sharply on September 3, dropping 0.59 percentage points from 3.01% to 2.42% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. That is equivale...

The typical American is experiencing an economy that isn't performing well for them. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 51.7 in August, compared with 89.8 ten years ago. In 2024 CNBC reported s...

My estimate for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth slipped another 0.05 percentage point today, falling from 3.06% to 3.01% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. That works out to roughly 0.75% growth...

My Q3 2026 GDP nowcast fell another 0.10 percentage point today, dropping from 3.16% to 3.06% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. That works out to roughly 0.76% quarter-over-quarter growth. The Sep...

My GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth remains at 3.16% SAAR, equivalent to roughly 0.79% quarter-over-quarter growth. The estimate was effectively unchanged from Friday’s upda...