Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 9hnew update: with Hurricane Isaias moving toward the U.S., 32.6% of Gulf platforms have been evacuated, with 62.9% of oil production shut down and 57.4% of natural gas production shut down. Once the storm passes, production should resume significantly by early next week. 68424
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 10happarently they're using over $1b from surplus... not sure how wise that is 140
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 10h(being in IL if the property taxes were suspended maybe home prices would surge! oh well, wishful thinking.) 1330
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 10hseeing a lot of comments, so responding. if you're in a state that suspended/paused fuel taxes, it does not mean that it stops markets from moving. if property taxes were suspended doesn't mean your home's value stops moving. 31065
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 12hUkraine hits the Omsk refinery overnight, 2,500km from the Russian border. Ukraine hit this refinery previously in July, damaging units and pushing it offline. 2878
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $3.99/gal in #Indiana today. 3472
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $3.99/gal in #Ohio today. 0353
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hnormally, the numbers make sense- this time around- this doesn't jive. but when you're offering 50c/gal discounts on gas on two days close to today's date... 2271
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hINEXPLICABLE: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.79/gal in #Michigan today. 4519
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hoil prices jumping this morning after several explosions were heard in the Saudi capital, including at Riyadh's airport... WTI up $4/bbl Brent up nearly $5/bbl, with gasoline and diesel futures also rising sharply 213320
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 13hin addition, intensity forecasts have moved slightly lower printing a high category one or low category two on landfall. 0211
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 14hHurricane Isaias appears to be maneuvering *away* from having impact on refineries in Louisiana. Rainfall expectations are being reduced and windspeeds look low. The risk to fuel prices being impacted *from this storm* are low at this time. Good news for refiners. 1736
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026TS Isaias models pushing it a little bit easterly- models reducing the rainfall expectations for Louisiana, reducing the potential impacts to some large refineries- for now. Models can change, but last updates are slightly less concerning from price impact perspective. 0364
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026a sudden upward jump in wholesale gas prices yesterday and again in the Great Lakes coupled with rapid decreases in gas prices in Ohio means there could be a price cycle in OH and IN soon. MI still has room to drop. IL and WI are 50/50. 0446
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Aug 2026 vs Aug 2025 was down 0.6% or 1.8 million miles lower, but including seasonally adjusting, VMTs were up 0.4% from Aug 2025. 2281
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026BREAKING: US FWA shows August VMTs (vehicle miles traveled) down 0.6% nationally, down in every region, likely impacted by high fuel prices and economic shifts 310917
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026update- this is more a signal of weakening demand potentially, due in part to high price 0363
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026today, the fuel clock for diesel hit $50 billion- businesses and consumers have since March spent $50 billion more on diesel compared to the same time last year. adding gasoline's $78.46 billion, the tally is $128.6 billion more spent on fuel vs a year ago. 9231103
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026U.S. distillate product supplied slumps to 3.65mbpd, or 153 million gallons per day, down 16% from same period a year ago- though weekly data is noisy 1564
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026US distillate exports surge to 1.764mbpd- over 500 million gallons of distillates exported last week, via EIA report 3243
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026EIA, week ending 10/2 Crude oil: -3.2M Domestic prod: 13.979MMbpd Cushing: +0.4M Gasoline: +0.4M Mogas supplied: 8.769MMbpd Distillates: N/C Refiner utilz: 92.7% Ref inputs: 16.712MMbpd Total exports: 12.838MMbpd #oil #eia #gas 0244
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026now live with more precision- live diesel prices and gasoline averages, with numbers to the thousandth-directly updating from live GasBuddy data every few minutes. also updated state maps on gas/diesel. link in bio. 1577
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026just under 10% of Gulf oil output is estimated to be shutdown ahead of TS Isaias, or around 185,000bpd, according to the Marine Minerals Administration 3669
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026thankfully all you have to do to get dyed diesel is add dye. but yes, this doesn't add supply to the system. 130
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Illinois Gov. Pritzker joins the dyed diesel bandwagon- won't do a whole lot given limited availability of dyed diesel and anyone crossing state boundaries have complications, but worth mentioning. 5443
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026TS Isaias is now strengthening, shifting E. Frcst Cat 2-3 on landfall, impact ~1.5mbpd of refining capacity- primary concerns flooding and winds. Some refiners in the path will likely have to start reducing throughput very soon. Could impact prices- watching- will update. 07918
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026In meteorology, an invest is a designated area of disturbed weather that is monitored for potential tropical development 1170
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Invest 92L- current models project a path that could expose nearly 2 million barrels per day of U.S. refining capacity, including some of the largest refineries in the nation: Marathon @ Garyville, LA and ExxonMobil @ Baton Rouge, LA. any downtime is problematic. 36413
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026"they don't pass along the tax decrease" is a common refrain, but in Ohio, prices have plummeted from $4.11/gal last Friday to $3.77/gal today. Prices in OH are down an average of 47c/gal for gasoline and 44c/gal for diesel. competition forces the tax suspension to get passed on. 8502
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026no name yet- not of strength for a name. an invest is a special tracking designation used by weather agencies like the National Hurricane Center to monitor a disorganized area of disturbed weather 0150
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Suddenly going to need to watch Invest 92L carefully- not good news for refiners near the Mississippi River 712523
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.34/gal in #Iowa today. 25611
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026I just spent time in detail spelling out the details so you don't have to. Please consider sharing/liking to boost these and get information out there! gaspriceguy.substack.com/p/the-dyed-d...gaspriceguy.substack.comThe Dyed Diesel Waiver Has Catches Most Truckers Will Run IntoEarlier tonight, President Trump signed an executive order that temporarily allows tax-exempt dyed (red) diesel to be used on roads and highways. 57826
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026you'll want to see THIS: the dyed (red) diesel order sounds big, but most drivers won't benefit. states still enforce their own rules, it's not truly tax-free, and it doesn't add a single gallon of supply. I broke down why in my latest article (link below) 210322
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/20266/ bottom line: real change on paper, limited and uneven at the pump. a clean federal diesel tax suspension would need Congress, but it would hit every gallon in every state. check your state's rules before filling up with dyed diesel if available. 28012
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/20265/ big fleets will likely sit this out. interstate trucking means a patchwork of state rules and tax headaches, and most major truck stops don't sell dyed diesel. plus this adds zero gallons of supply and could squeeze farmers mid-harvest in some cases. 29013
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/20264/ "tax-free" isn't quite right either. many states charge sales tax on dyed diesel instead of their fuel tax, and the fact sheet reportedly says the federal tax is "deferred," not eliminated. if it comes due later, anyone who switched could owe it. 2665
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/20263/ here's the catch: states have their own dyed diesel laws, and an exec order can't override them. AL, LA, NE, NC, OK and TX have eased rules (LA only for farm/timber), but in most states running red on the road is still illegal. 1666
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/20262/ dyed diesel is basically identical to ULSD/on-road diesel, the dye just marks it as untaxed. farmers already buy it tax-free for off-road use, so they don't see much change. this is really aimed at truckers, local haulers and diesel pickup owners. 1624
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 06/10/2026dyed diesel thread! ok so 1/ Trump just signed an EO letting red dyed diesel run on the road without the 24.4c/gal federal tax, for now. sounds big, but for most diesel users it likely won't change much at the pump. i'll spell out why: 1214246
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026if you're in Michigan do NOT be in a rush to fill your tank. average prices could fall >25c in the week ahead and based on where we are now, should fall below $4/gal in the weeks ahead. 5436
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ExxonMobil's Beaumont, TX refinery, the fourth largest by capacity (612kbpd) reported a process upset with flaring that lasted an hour. Limited downtime thankfully, unlikely to be a major issue but passing along. 2353
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.39/gal in areas of #Minnesota today. 1281
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.19/gal in #Kentucky today. 0232
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.69/gal in #NewMexico today. 1211
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.19/gal in #NorthCarolina today. 0201
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026ALERT: Live data showing that #GasPrices appear to be rising to $4.19/gal in #SouthCarolina today. 0184
Patrick De Haan @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Models all over the map on where this low pressure system might be later this week 1190