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Garret Hohl

@garrethohl.bsky.social
2K followers 194 following 2.7K posts

Writing for The Five Hohl substack. I used to do other things.

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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 7h
Stanley Cup hangover
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 8h
Reminder I am writing this season but I’m not tracking. Feels weird to watch and not track after all these years haha
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
We're back. Connor Hellebuyck wants out, the #NHLJets have a very different roster, & we’re somehow heading into 2026-27 with a whole bunch of questions. So… who are the Jets now? A look at the analytics, camp lines, & Scott Arniel’s new approach. 🔗: thefivehohl.substack.com/p/the-winnip...
thefivehohl.substack.com
The Winnipeg Jets After Connor Hellebuyck: Who Are They Now?
A look at Winnipeg’s roster, the Hellebuyck situation, the analytics behind the team, and what Scott Arniel’s new approach could mean for 2026-27.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Every-once-in-a-while I am reminded of this and I chuckle a bit. Perfect example of losing forest for the trees:
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
I dug into HockeyViz, Evolving-Hockey, and All Three Zones to break down what the #NHLJets are actually getting, where each player helps, and where they don't heading into 2026-27. 🔗 open.substack.com/pub/thefiveh...
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Imagine telling some particular individuals in 2007-15 era MSM (many are good but I’m speaking specifically), that were going to have 3 years in a row of a top-2 Corsi team with a “stats blogger” AGM (and 1 “stats blogger” GM)…
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Chemmy @f29.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Got interviewed by nhl dot com again. We won the Corsi Wars.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Two different models looking at #NHLJets potential depth:
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
The #NHLJets didn't fall 34 points because of bad luck. The warning signs were there last summer. Why the decline was predictable, what went wrong with the roster, Hellebuyck's role in it all, and why #GoJetsGo needs to rethink how it builds a hockey team. 🔗: open.substack.com/pub/thefiveh...
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Guy on left is paid less and averaged a minute per game than the guy on the right, but it's the guy on the left everyone wants to upgrade.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
The #NHLJets didn't fall 34 points because of bad luck. The warning signs were there last summer. Why the decline was predictable, what went wrong with the roster, Hellebuyck's role in it all, and why #GoJetsGo needs to rethink how it builds a hockey team. 🔗: open.substack.com/pub/thefiveh...
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
It was requested in my dms to add Fleury. Here you go. #NHLJets #GoJetsGo
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bfj-mb.bsky.social @bfj-mb.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
I'm kind of interested in the notion that only teams with really weak or thin goaltending should be interested in Hellebuyck. Is there no merit in getting a better goalie? By analogy, do teams say they don't want a better top C because they already have an okay C? The goalie market is fascinating.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
#NHLJets
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Ferraro-Salomonsson > Stanley-Schenn
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Leaving for family stuff. Long story short the biggest wins for #NHLJets are: * not blocking youth * setting up for trades * underrated middle roster pieces (think Perreault) Not filling out roster. Technically, Skinner helps that.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Article on Friday for The Five Hohl :)
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GameTimeArt @gametimeart.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
They are at least keeping the 8th pick which is good.. Probably not moving on anything else though and we'll go another year where 2C is a need for the Jets. (Though, and @garrethohl.bsky.social would confirm.. it might be time to start thinking of 55 as the actual 2C and worry about a 1C)
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
“Did Claude Noel sink a potentially good team?” 🤔
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Random blast from the past… Ladd-Little-Wheeler: 57% Corsi Kane-Burmi-Wellwood: 58% Corsi GST: 40% Corsi
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
We always knew:
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Congrats to 50% of the Hockey-Graphs podcast while the other half is at home eating Mac n cheese while watching TV.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
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Micah McCurdy @hockeyviz.com · 03/06/2026
This isn't even his peak. He used to be even stronger, but somehow only a few people saw it for what it was. Jets fans who watched him excel year after year would line up in your mentions to tell you how he wasn't that great. It was/is bizarre to me.
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Micah McCurdy @hockeyviz.com · 03/06/2026
If these cup finals show people how good Nik Ehlers is that'll be a win for me.
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Josh (garik16) @garik16.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Ehlers leading a team to a cup is going to give @garrethohl.bsky.social so many mixed feelings
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
open.substack.com/pub/thefiveh...
open.substack.com
An update on me and The Five Hohl
Hello everyone,
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Kinda wild that Carolina is 5-0 in the playoffs right now despite a combined 4 (four!) 5v5 points between Avo, Jarvis, Svech, and Ehlers combined…
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Just saw the Steve Simmons thing. Did he really think you use a separate tower for each monitor???
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WPGChief @wpgchief.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Heinola in the penalty box as the season ends
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Welp... That's all folks. That's 82 games of misery. My life has come back together enough that I'll write up a bit of a post-season on the Jets over at TFH, and also discuss the future of my blog.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Fun stat: only two players in NHL history have averaged the same or less TOI/GP than Ehlers and produced at a higher P/GP rate. Hints: • One is retired • One is currently playing against the Jets (and probably won’t meet the TOI cutoff for much longer) Any guesses?
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
@golferwpg.bsky.social 2-8-1 was a rough end for Bowness there
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
It's been a rough few days. I'm about to have to do something really difficult. Sorry for being cryptic but I'll probably be less so later today.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
My personal addition to the Staples lore: Staples had just got access to some microstats. I pointed out to him that Russel leading in exit attempts isnt a positive thing since it meant he was in the dzone lots. He said if I saw tracking stats I’d know better (I ran HockeyData at that time).
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Oh fun. Highest career scoring (P/GP), low TOI (<16.5min/GP) players in history (only goes back to 1997-1998).
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
The other (and worse) site got an Ehlers post, so I thought you should too.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Making wild statements based on small samples (even though history also backs this up, just not to this extreme haha): Putting DeMelo back with Morrissey = good Taking Salomonsson away from Samberg = bad
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
I got an idea... Step 1: switch 2 and 4 Step 2: switch 24 with you-know-who
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Barron might have just got CTE from some big connections there...
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
I'm just going to point out that's 1 shift this season with 81 and 55 separate and they already score a goal. (please understand this is not serious analysis)
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Maybe don't attempt another zone entry when you've been on the ice for 1:30 of the power play already?
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Some bad chances against and a penalty from Toews, all extending from him giving the puck away just second prior.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Remember when those ozone full shift changes happened all the time for the Jets (2017-18 and 2014-15).
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Not to pile on one player all the time lately, but #24 had 3 dzone turnovers in the first shift (and then his partner #2 had one the next shift).
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
I’m not one to use 5v5 goal differential, but did you know 3 of the #NHLJets bottom 4 goal differential pairings were Fleury-X. Fleury-DeMelo have been much better (as DeMelo is better than Schenn, Bryson, or Pionk) but -1.25 goals per 60 is still very much bad.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
A good way to think about xG: it’s not trying to capture everything. A “perfect” model would boost a shot if the goalie lost their stick, but that’s not the point. xG models the underlying process, not the true probability of that exact moment.
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
#NHLJets RHD rankings in different stats (best to worst) DeMelo (2), Salomonsson (57), Pionk (4), Miller (6), Schenn (5) xG (RAPM): 2, 57, 6, 4, 5 Corsi (RAPM): 57, 2, 4, 6, 5 GAR/60: 2, 57, 4, 5, 6 xGAR/60: 2, 57, 4, 6, 5 sG: 2, 57, 4, 6, 5
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Garret Hohl @garrethohl.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Sorry let me restructure this: So many #NHLJets fans are oddly happy that DeMelo ($4.9M, who was 50% Corsi and 53% xGoals with Morrissey) is demoted for Pionk ($7M, who is 49% Corsi and 51% xGoals).
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