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FPL Rogue

@fplrogue.bsky.social
1.7K followers 1.6K following 620 posts

⚽️ Minor FPL addiction ⚽️ Major football addiction 🎯Best 3 OR Finishes 3,198 13,620 17,562 🌍 OR 26/27 (175k) #RogueAgainstTheMachine fplrogue.blogspot.com/?m=1

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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Bournemouth fans, how does the absence of Scott impact Tavernier? + or -
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
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Oops Moment
ALT: Oops Moment
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
👌I’m beginning to think that is the smarter move.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The best thing about 🦋 is that Rachel Moiselle is not on it😊 Well she is but her account is inactive. Blocked her over on X just to keep my TL clean however she manages to rile so many people that she still appears on it😩
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
If I do it will probably be to a 3rd dead spot FWD & play a 5-3-2 or 4-4-2 I’m even contemplating a 5-4–1 after Fulham’s fixtures IF Pedro’s injury is longer term.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Also still in my WC draft however I’m debating if it’s going to be a wasted 2 transfers after the WC. One to replace him & one to get him back later. Instead of just one to get him back when fully fit.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
True that he scored 22 goals last season however is it a case of 2nd season syndrome like Michu or Pukki? I am beginning to think about offloading JP until he proves to be fully fit otherwise it’s just 7.7 well 7.6 sitting on my bench.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
What’s everyone doing with JP? Will he be back in GW7/8 or longer? And if it is a bad knee injury will he hold back in his first few games? Keep? Or Sell?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
If you haven’t seen this video, take a look. Best explanation of the situation by a country mile.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Out of interest are you sticking with triple Arsenal defence?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The current WC debate around an Arsenal triple up is; Calafiori-Konsa-Saka Vs Raya-Calafiori-Saka Yet people seem to forget that it is really; GKP-Calafiori-Konsa-Saka Vs Raya-Calafiori-DEF-Saka-💰
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
All good & no worries. All questions are welcomed.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
All teams increase in value over time (some do decrease). I built in a conservative weekly increase & this team value is below that. You can use sites like FplGameweek & it will show you the team value for All, Top 1M, Top 500k etc. Remember also, this team value includes their current price.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Ole would still be at the wheel. If you know you know.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🌀 Optimal VALUE Squad 📣 GW5 Update 5️⃣ GWs in. The Squad is already telling us a few stories 👀 The biggest one? The early-season punts are being flushed out. The squad formation has shifted from 4-5-1 to 5-3-2. Tzolakis looks like an anomaly and 5 GWs is still a tiny sample.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Very good point
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
If I were making decisions in the FAI then I’d forfeit the 6 points & pay the fine. #StopTheGame
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Right move, envy you tbh. Too many fires to put out (despite a decent start) so had to pull the trigger😬
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
A WC 🍟 for 3 weeks 🤩 Will be like preseason tinkering 😎
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Twin Peaks Creepy Smile
ALT: Twin Peaks Creepy Smile
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Arsenal CS wipeout Wait White is not in the squad
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Homelander Based
ALT: Homelander Based
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
⚽ GW4 Optimal Value Squad: a week of firsts 🆕 Hull drop out of the XI for the first time 🆕 Raya & Haaland debut 🆕 First-ever 4-4-2 Ever-present: Pedro & Tzolakis 3/4 apps: Calafiori & Emersonn 10 clubs represented 348 pts | £99.6m #FPL
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Check out the Paddy Power take on yesterday’s VAR (across the road though). Very funny 🤣
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Oh no. 😲 I feel your pain. 😬
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Wait for it…… With my first FH draft I had Groß but could only get him to 1st on the bench. Thought nah, if he returns I don’t want to be looking at the points on my bench. So I spread the funds. At least I’m not looking at 17pts on my bench😎✌️
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
❤️ it Every cloud & all that👏
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Yikes So we all fell for the FOMO trap I assume you have Groß in your normal team.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Thanks, I feel better now😂 My FH is actually ahead (all out for 72) of my normal team but it only takes a return from Hall and/or Wissa to beat it.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The FOMO of not having 3 x Che (only had Pedro) & no Liv got to me. I should’ve known better. Lesson learned.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The FH 🍟 should have a health warning‼️ ⚠️ DO NOT LOOK AT YOUR NORMAL TEAM’S RESULT Especially when Pascal Groß goes Supernova
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Supernova Blast: Star Explosion
ALT: Supernova Blast: Star Explosion
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I’m contemplating if a FH4 is a 🛡️ move and if so is it worth playing the 🍟 On the other hand without Che & Liv in my team it’s a red arrow for sure.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
In the same boat currently in terms of tactics for GW4. Still undecided though.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🐅 The Hull effect: what happens when you strip it out GW1-3 looked great but that early form screamed outlier. So I forced the solver to exclude their GKP & DEFs. The result❓A shift, 3-5-2 over 4-5-1, and 4 changes: 🔴 OUT: Tzolakis, Ajayi, Mendy, Havertz 🟢 IN: Raya, Tarkowski, De Cuyper, Wissa
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
🌀 Optimal VALUE Squad 📣 GW3 Update 5️⃣ New Entries 4️⃣ Ever-present since GW1 Some notable names missing however they are knocking on the door.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Top 3 in the table after the month of August. Some familiar names, well done 👏 👏👏 🥇 @argusbfc.bsky.social 🥈 @devinlittle.bsky.social 🥉 @ktf1956.bsky.social Let the battle for September commence
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Braveheart: Scottish Warriors Battle Cry
ALT: Braveheart: Scottish Warriors Battle Cry
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Thanks for the feedback 👍
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Fair point & I’ll take it onboard. My dilemma is what is the criteria for picking the captain? Most picked captain each GW. Or highest probability of scoring. Or other. Open to ideas.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
So... useful? Want this updated every GW? For GW3 WC the sample size is too small but it might help with some decisions. What would you change — more info, less, different stats? Feedback welcome. 👇 I’ll keep building it week by week. ⚽📈
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
GW2 & things have already moved. 👀 After just one more GW, the optimal squad has gone from 148 → 221 pts. The formation remains 4-5-1, but there are 6 changes to the starting XI. OUT: De Cuyper, Mendy, Kayode, Hinshelwood, Stach & Gakpo IN: Calafiori, Tarkowski, Fernandes, Cherki, Saka & Wissa
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
One key distinction: this optimises points per player, not captaincy. We're not saying "here's who you should've captained every week." We're asking: "given what we know now, what's the optimal 15-man squad?" No hindsight captaincy wizardry. 🪄
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
"Looks like the official Team of the Week..." But under the hood it's Excel Solver optimizing across the whole season, not a single-GW snapshot. 📸 AND for the full squad NOT just the starting XI.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
GW1 is a tiny sample. As GWs stack up, the data gets more meaningful and the optimal 15 should settle into something very different from this. That's the objective. 👀
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
One extra layer: the budget isn't fixed at £100m all season. It tracks the average FPL manager's total team value (squad + bank) week by week — rising through autumn, peaking around GW17-18, then drifting back down. Spending power moves with the real FPL population. 📈
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
What are we doing here?⤴️ Take current FPL prices + last season's points → find the optimal 15-man squad. After each GW, it updates using points banked so far. 11 starters, 4 bench, £100m budget, no captains.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
This is GW38 from last season — the illustrative starting graphic for this series. No Haaland. No Bruno. Not a typo. ✍️ After GW2’s performance, going without those two FPL stalwarts takes some courage. Optimal 15-man squad: 5-3-2, 1,994 pts from the starting XI.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Introducing the FPL Year-to-Date Optimal Squad 👀 So what exactly are we trying to do? Using Excel Solver to find the optimal 15-man squad on a weekly basis. 🧮 A 🧵
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Welcome back, my old friend! 💯
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Thanks to the Big Bro for pushing this my way 👌 open.spotify.com/track/2ECYtC...
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Mistadobalina
Del The Funky Homosapien · I Wish My Brother George Was Here · Song · 1991
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes, and Haaland scoring in August.
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Haaland Eyes
ALT: Haaland Eyes
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Shout out to KTF1956 II ( @ktf1956.bsky.social ) as leader in GW1.👏👏 A familiar name from last season’s top of the table duel.🥳 Plan to acknowledge league leader 💪at the end of each month. Thanks to everyone who joined the league. Feel free to interact irrespective of your league position ✌️
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Harrison Ford as Red Hulk Clapping
ALT: Harrison Ford as Red Hulk Clapping
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