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FPL Rogue

@fplrogue.bsky.social
1.7K followers 1.6K following 623 posts

⚽️ Minor FPL addiction ⚽️ Major football addiction 🎯Best 3 OR Finishes 3,198 13,620 17,562 🌍 OR 26/27 (743k) #RogueAgainstTheMachine fplrogue.blogspot.com/?m=1

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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
What’s everyone doing with JP? Will he be back in GW7/8 or longer? And if it is a bad knee injury will he hold back in his first few games? Keep? Or Sell?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🌀 Optimal VALUE Squad 📣 GW5 Update 5️⃣ GWs in. The Squad is already telling us a few stories 👀 The biggest one? The early-season punts are being flushed out. The squad formation has shifted from 4-5-1 to 5-3-2. Tzolakis looks like an anomaly and 5 GWs is still a tiny sample.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
⚽ GW4 Optimal Value Squad: a week of firsts 🆕 Hull drop out of the XI for the first time 🆕 Raya & Haaland debut 🆕 First-ever 4-4-2 Ever-present: Pedro & Tzolakis 3/4 apps: Calafiori & Emersonn 10 clubs represented 348 pts | £99.6m #FPL
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
🌀 Optimal VALUE Squad 📣 GW3 Update 5️⃣ New Entries 4️⃣ Ever-present since GW1 Some notable names missing however they are knocking on the door.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
GW2 & things have already moved. 👀 After just one more GW, the optimal squad has gone from 148 → 221 pts. The formation remains 4-5-1, but there are 6 changes to the starting XI. OUT: De Cuyper, Mendy, Kayode, Hinshelwood, Stach & Gakpo IN: Calafiori, Tarkowski, Fernandes, Cherki, Saka & Wissa
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
"Looks like the official Team of the Week..." But under the hood it's Excel Solver optimizing across the whole season, not a single-GW snapshot. 📸 AND for the full squad NOT just the starting XI.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
GW1 is a tiny sample. As GWs stack up, the data gets more meaningful and the optimal 15 should settle into something very different from this. That's the objective. 👀
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
One extra layer: the budget isn't fixed at £100m all season. It tracks the average FPL manager's total team value (squad + bank) week by week — rising through autumn, peaking around GW17-18, then drifting back down. Spending power moves with the real FPL population. 📈
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
This is GW38 from last season — the illustrative starting graphic for this series. No Haaland. No Bruno. Not a typo. ✍️ After GW2’s performance, going without those two FPL stalwarts takes some courage. Optimal 15-man squad: 5-3-2, 1,994 pts from the starting XI.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
The only aspect gnawing me for GW2 is how poor Villa were last week & how good Arsenal were. Looking at Villa’s average position ⤵️ Vs BHA then Calafiori & Tzolis could exploit it. Therefore is Bruno or Haaland the right ©️ pick?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
RobT still hasn’t returned to this platform for the new season. He posted a useful Captaincy Matrix across the road. Reading the data, it shows when you could take a different route to the herd without too much risk.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
RobT’s @robtfpl.com early look at projected ⚽️’s & CS’s for #GW1
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Might go down the rankings early doors going against the grain on Arsenal. Rule no. 1 hasn’t moved in six seasons regardless, play your own game. #RogueAgainstTheMachine
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The XI: Verbruggen; Gvardiol, Maguire, Rúben; Groß, Fernandes (VC), Mbeumo, Szoboszlai; Haaland (C), João Pedro, Calvert-Lewin. Bench: Steele, Mykolenko, Sangaré, O’Shea.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Front three’s the popular one too, Haaland, João Pedro, Calvert-Lewin, same as half the community. No differential there and I’m not pretending otherwise. The actual leftfield picks are Groß and Szoboszlai doing the unglamorous work in midfield.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Man Utd get triple representation, Maguire, Fernandes (VC), Mbeumo and City get three Gvardiol, Rúben and Haaland (C), Community Shield dependent on the City picks) off a fixture run that’s hard to argue with. Some picks aren’t worth being contrarian about.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Arsenal’s defence is this year’s eclipse glasses, the thing everyone’s reaching for. I’ve got none of it in GW1. Fixtures pull me in around GW4-7, not before. Let the queue thin out first. *Source: Premier FPL Tools
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Same instinct with the eclipse. Half the country queued for glasses, mine came out of a spiral notebook and a bit of patience with the focal length. Different route, same sky.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Felt like the right instinct going into GW1. Everyone reaches for the safe answer, In Bruges, obviously brilliant, everyone’s seen it. I’m more interested in the ones nobody picks.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
GW1 XI 🧵 “I Went Down” Met Brendan Gleeson a few months back. Told him my favourite 🎬 of his was I Went Down ,1997, barely seen outside Ireland, still the best road movie the country’s ever made. He didn’t argue with that one.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
You need to adjust the focal length
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Forget DEFCON’s, Ceilings, CS’s, potential ⚽️&🅰️ for the 4.0m Def. I just need the safe bet against an early price drop. Who would you recommend & why?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
This graphic from Premier FPL Tools for defenders gives me strength in my initial plan🤩
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Thanks for your input.👍 On reflection my midfield could become very exposed. Went back to a few earlier picks. VDV is a placeholder for now.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Another useful graphic from @robtfpl.com across the road
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Looking for some constructive feedback, I’m thick skinned so don’t be afraid. Was on (at various stages) Szoboszlai Foden Pedro Cunha Maguire Mitchell Double BHA GKs Gvardiol Double ARS DEFs But am converging on this based on early fixtures, early rotation for WC players & DefCon potential.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
@robtfpl.com posted these graphics over at the noisy neighbour. Very useful for planning, in case people haven’t seen them. Left = projected ⚽️’s Right = projected CS’s
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Did a small bit of tinkering so have a few decisions to make. Lots of time for reflection. 🧤4.5m GK or Lammens 5.0m 👹4.5m Shaw or Maguire 5.0m 🛡️Mosquera or Gvardiol 💎7.0m Foden or Anderson 6.5m ⚠️Punt on Brobby initially
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
💚❤️
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
“Double United Def” will become the new “Double Arsenal Def” in FPL 26/27
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Would love to see the ICC given powers to intercept, detain & prosecute. Otherwise their statements are only veiled warnings & meaningless. Top of my list ⤵️
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
FPL app Click “Season” instead of “Fantasy” Toggle “Stats” Then you will see “compare” on the upper right hand side. Add players to compare
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Fair point however in my day you played CB or CB😉 Versus Forest that looks more a RCB than a LCB to me⤵️
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
What is Tuchel seeing that I’m not?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Pep is jumping ship
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
More nostalgic than chasing ML leaders next week but think I have to start Casemiro 😍 🚌 teaming cos I’ve no players in this game.
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
Let’s agree to retire this season’s 3rd kit based on results. 🐝 Lost 3-1 @ Brentford 🌲 Drew 2-2 @ Notts Forest (albeit black shorts) 🐈‍⬛ Drew 0-0 @ Sunderland #MUFC
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
12 from 15 🔐 on my WC Last decisions 🔸ARS mid/def 🔸Last 2 Def’s BHA/CYP or other? Still need to check 35-37 lineups via FPL.Team Rationale is WC35, TC36, BB37 with both CYP players moving to EVE & MUN in 37 (Hope my ML leaders don’t see this😬)
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
I have Semenyo for most of the season. Large 💰 delta between PP & CP. His form of late is not great. Would you swap him for Cherki on a WC?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
Would you bring in a CHE defender for these two games in GW35 & GW37?⤵️ If yes. 1. Who? 2. And over a LEE (GW35 only) or BHA (GW36 only) defender? Yes or No?
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Switched to a 3-5-2 🔸Gut says Bruno 🔸Moved off Guehi for higher ceiling potential with 2 x LEE defenders as opposed to sticking Darlow between the posts. 🔹1 max 2 positions to mull over in the next 24 hours. Fairly set on this. A weekend in Connemara with good friends is forcing my hand tonight
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
My early FH33 draft Decisions remaining:❓❓❓ 🔸Will Kroupi start both games? 🔸If not then switch to 3-5-2 🔸If 3-5-2 then do I start Bruno 🔸Or swap Bruno for Okafor 🔸If Okafor then remove Bijol 🔹Tavernier or Scott also on table
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Anyone tripling up on MUN for Monday night’s game? Very very tempted myself🤔
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Currently with 10 starters (projected) for GW34 then I do not see a real advantage with WC32/BB33/FH34 Tempted with FH33/WC35/BB36
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Walking the 🐕, I very rarely green pass this house. On most occasions the French Bulldog comes to the window & stares at us as we pass. It reminds me of a “Far Side” cartoon situation. Just need to frame the right caption 😃
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
If you know the Cove, you know the Cove
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Not sure I want to WC in 32 with this squad 🤷🏻‍♂️ Apart from; 🔴 Mbeumo (poor form) 🍒 Rayan (promise didn’t materialise) 🍒 Petrovic (maybe for Raya) 🐈‍⬛ Mukiele (maybe ?) The rest I want to keep! WC 🍟 for 4 seems wrong
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FPL Rogue @fplrogue.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Don’t believe I’ve ever seen a 🔴 rating for a player in FootMob. Then 3️⃣ come along in one match😬
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