October 6th 2026 was a big day

Both countries export commodities, both have experienced boom and bust, and both have attempted radical economic reform. The difference between them is not primarily technical. It is institutional.

International Guild of Knot Tyers

Today I want to share my experience automating a record-keeping workflow using AI. What makes this application interesting is that financial record-keeping ought to be exact and stateful, yet the LLM…

Dive into the realities of AI-assisted coding, the origins of modern fine-tuning, and the cognitive science behind machine learning with fast.ai founder Jeremy Howard. In this episode, we unpack why A...

Executive summary

Today I came across the Project APE, for automated policy evaluation (APE). The project uses Claude Code plus public observational datasets to generate end-to-end economics-style policy impact…

Microsoft’s earnings report on January 28th beat market expectations yet the stock fell more than 15% soon after. Wall Street was spooked by two revelations in the earnings. First, 45% of Azure’s…

Better business outcomes through causal AI insights

Mantic launch post

Traditional sample size calculations for randomized clinical trials depend on somewhat arbitrarily chosen factors, such as type I and II errors. Type I error, the probability of rejecting the null hy...

AI turns products from deterministic functions into probabilistic systems. That requires expanding old playbooks (SLOs, funnels, siloed finance), and reasoning in terms of trajectories, Minimum…

But what if I really want a faster horse? | exotext

Exploring AI’s impact on science—one experiment at a time

[BASIC 10Liner 2025] [Invitation]

Any statement regarding the potential benefits and/or hazards of AI tends to be automatically very divisive and controversial as the world tries to figure out what the technology means to them, and…