iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The queen of the Netherlands has a pretty recognizable posh Argentine accent when speaking Spanish, with some drift due to living abroad for years. Makes sense given her background. What’s more remarkable is that she apparently sounds posh when speaking dutch too. Genuinely wouldn’t have guessed

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

When the first member of ABBA dies you just know everyone will be like “thank you for the music Agnetha”

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Basically no one actually believes in “multiple intelligences”, and think it’s cope. Sorry guys, but it’s a real thing! Being good at one mental task does not necessarily translate into being good at a different one! Same way being good at one sport doesn’t mean you’re as good at all of them

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Taylor Swift should go on Shark Tank

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

What is a consistent estimator, if not a shadow on the wall?

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

…huh? I mean, not totally bizarre, Uruguay is a leftist wet dream in many ways yet a big chunk of its investment model is attracting FDI via Free Zones, maybe they’re angling for that, but still, bizarre.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Under some definitions the only countries with “old money” are Italy and Japan, maybe Spain. This is stupid though, and not analytically useful. I’m curious thought about when the cutoff should be. I think 3-4 generations makes sense, though it probably varies by region

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Essay itself is kind of whatever, annoying writing style too, but this specific idea/insight is really good. Some ideas really do have gravitational structure. Wonder what else is like this outside these people

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Dualist who thinks souls live in R^n and is trying to build the cartesian neural network

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Underrated national difference is what centralization does to social dynamics. In a country like the US, economic and educational opportunities are pretty spread out, so you get people raised in Dallas, Texas moving to Boston to go to Harvard moving to Chicago for their new job moving to Seattle.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

This happens across the Americas. They’re all europhiles. In my experience the big difference is that American elites tend to be anglophiles (and increasingly, boer-files) while in the rest of the Americas they’re much more francophilic.

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Reposted by SleepingAristocrat

Senator Dr. John Brown stan account, Esq., PhD, MD, JD, LCSW @johnbrownstan.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

*with extreme reluctance* David Shor is right

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

So, they’ve definitely used the models to make breakthroughs in Machine Learning and improve various algorithms right? It’s definitely not just scaling compute.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Sole reason I want a physical bookshelf is to have a “liberal theory” shelf where I put econ textbooks, liberal political theory, and the Harry Potter books

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Advantage of running extreme (whether real of percieved) candidates is that US polarization makes it so that when you eventually luck into a win it retroactively validates your movement or cause. It happened with Trump!

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

I *wish* economists had physics envy. Instead they have mathematics envy.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

I think the frequentists influenced lexicographic preference for consistency is fine for causal inference type work, but I do think that once you start caring about efficiency and doing FGLS and stuff like that you might as well just go full Bayesian and specify a prior

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 16/08/2026

My most artistic philistine opinion is that Before Sunrise and Before Midnight are the single most romantic pieces of art ever, not just films.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

6 months expense buffer in cash or short term government bonds, then VTI/VT and forget is good financial advice for 99,9%, but I do think there’s 2 areas of “portfolio construction” which are unexplored in both theory and information for the average joe: 1) human capital 2) housing

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

We should make shares that give extra votes illegal and tax the rich, but you guys are kidding yourselves if you actually think worker coops are a workable/efficient firm structure for all but a few industries. Effort is hard to observe, so you need monitors with the ability to punish to prevent

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Denis Bergkamp’s goal against Newcastle gets even more ridiculous when you consider it was with his weak foot. Like, it’s genuinely unique, haven’t even seen it in casual play against randoms irl, not just on tv. Best goal ever.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Christipher Nolan directing an OJ Simpson biopic: “Oh nooo, why did I do it?”

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

If there’s a single place I didn’t expect to see a picture of my old high school it’s on this site lol

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

Jean-Jacques Laffont is really underrated as an economist, probably because he died before he could get the Nobel prize

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Kind of strange how consistent Mexico is as a round of 16 team. Basically never any better or worse than that. Strange, you’d expect some more variance.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

It’s probably wasn’t possible for practical reasons, but man is the Iron Throne in the books cool. Probably the coolest throne in fiction, just feels monstrous

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Reposted by SleepingAristocrat

Bill McKay @mckay4senate.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

Elon Musk's time in Washington from January to May 2025 will likely be the single largest mass casualty event in the brutal and bloody history of the twenty-first century, and I don't know how to make sense of it.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

So is “The WEIRDest people in the World: How the West became psychologically distinct” by Joseph Heinrich a good book? Curious if it’s worth picking up.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

You know how Saudi Arabia funded Wahhabism? We need to do the same thing for liberal/progressive interpretations of various religious movements. The masses want their woo, may as well give it to them with a prog flavor

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

A pretty unique source of hitlerism in the Americas is the presence of a rancher elite. Whether it’s cowboys in the US and Mexico, Gauchos in Uruguay/Argentina/Brazil, Huasos in Chile, llaneros in Colombia, they all dress identical with minute differences, and are the reincarnation of hitler.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

I would be *very* surprised if this is new but if the real interest rate (r) can be approximated as the nominal interest rate (i) - expected inflation(pi^e) + some risk premium (x) then countries with a history of default basically always get a monetary shock when ~any other shock happens

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

Utilitarianism is probably wrong (separateness of persons seems true) but there’s something to be said about it being easy to apply math tools to your moral theory. Like, if we believe math is unreasonably effective for inquiry, then being able to shut up and calculate is a big advantage!

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

An actual demon. Seizing his companies is not enough. Immiseration is not enough. Life in prison only barely. In a better world he would be dead

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

They’re wrong about how to run the economy, but socialists were and are directionally correct about the character of the wealthy. I will say though that I remain skeptical that there’s any value added by traditional class analysis, I doubt working class millionaires and billionaires aren’t

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

Obito is the Darth Vader to Madara’s palpatine.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

The practice of statistics has a lot of implied platonism. Wdym that there’s some “true parameter” that my estimator converges to when n “goes to infinity”

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

I think the non skynet bull case for AI depends on A) how much you think future scientific advances are held back by inadequate theory vs pure empirical work and B) how much AI will be able to keep advancing in that department (it’s already produced original high level research math)

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 06/06/2026

We really need political scientists and sociologists to microfound popularism. Like, what’s needed is a theory of A) the speed of social and political persuasion and B) how much influence certain actors (politicians, activists, etc) actually have on opinions. Crucially though, it has to be issue

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Big difference between the US and the RotW is that education isn’t anywhere near as much of a class signifier. Every once in a while a tweet goes viral on latam twitter about having grandparents who went to college means you’re upper class. Thought it was a third world thing, but I’ve seen it in

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Centre right fiscal hawks being smug about US - Europe growth divergences are so annoying! Motherfuckers you’re the main reason for the divergence, you caused this! I remember “Expansionary Austerity”, I remember Brexit. “Europoors” my ass.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

We underfund research in general, but medical research in particular is drastically underfunded.

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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

If you post someone’s (identifiable) dating app shit publicly they better have like sent you an unsolicited asshole pic or proclaimed their love of mein kampf or some shit. Almost always the people doing that come across as the worse party there.

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

I don’t think it’s an inequality or class related phenomenon. The prevalence of cheap labor is about productivity. In more technical terms, Balassa-Samuelson (or Baumol’s cost disease)

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

“You can’t reason someone out of a position that they didn’t arrive at through reason” is a common phrase which I think is kinda wrong. I’d rephrase: you can’t reason with someone who’s acting in bad faith

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

The level of scrutiny 2000’s atheism got by the left was frankly pretty ridiculous. Like, the worst offenders were people like Dawkins who turned reactionary, but frankly pretty small potatoes compared to the stuff that goes unchallenged in leftist circles

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

Are rugbiers rich white racists who hate the poor and are also homocoded just an Argentine/Uruguay thing or does that also happen elsewhere?

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

AI might mean the end of art as we know it, but consider: at least we might eventually get Doors of Stone

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

The occasional reminders of how bonkers wealthy the US is always surprise me. Like, wdym my old zipcode from when I lived there has a 250k *median* household income. And it’s not even in the top 50 in the country!!! Crazy

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SleepingAristocrat @feudaldozing.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

If the american vibecession really is about nominal price levels you can just do the American Plan Real

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