iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

If a company with 50B net cash that generates 200B ebitda a year raises 80B with an equity raise, it`s pretty clear to me they think the equity is overvalued. $GOOG

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

@alluvialcapital.bsky.social Tactile Fund Q1 letter: alluvialcapital.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?...

alluvialcapital.us12.list-manage.com

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Price drives narrative (no changes since Tulip Mania started in 1630)

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Smith and Nephew $SNN $SN.L is finally looking very interesting, growing EPS LDD while trading at a decade low valuation and a decade high fcf yield. In addition they bought back 3% late last year and will buy back another 2,5% of the company until September.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Portfolio end of April in order of size, +1,5% ytd: $ITD.MI $SUP.L $VID.MC $DR.TO $DEF.DE $RKW.L $9435.T $STVN $CTEC.L $FTLF $EVS.BR $MTX.DE $OTCM $BELA.AT $ILYDA.AT $BERNERB.ST $NAVF.L $RBREW.CO $MMGRB.ST 19% Cash

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 26/04/2026

What a fight „they are on another planet“ Pogacar vs. Seixas

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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Michael Burry: Bought Ishares Semiconductor ETF Puts.

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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

In 2000 the SOX nearly doubled in the final six weeks from late January to early March.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Self-service petrol stations have a better customer service than X.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

26 hours after I told X various times I was hacked, the hacker started to PM my follower to hack them as well. No human reaction from X - shameful!

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Mr Market Miscalculates 🇪🇺🇺🇦🏴‍☠️ @mrmarketmis.bsky.social · 18/04/2026

With Kash & Pete, Washington DC will soon run out of vodka and bourbon

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 19/04/2026

My X Account was hacked friends…take care!

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

Bruker $BRKR Q1 release: s22.q4cdn.com/617463959/fi... FY EPS guidance lowered a bit, mainly caused by tariff impacts.

s22.q4cdn.com

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

Worldwide (mainly large cap) valuations, no bargains, only US overvalued.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

I know most of you don`t like the company but I bought a trading position in Teamviewer $TMV.DE under 11€. Numbers look great, they continue to grow in the high margin Enterprise Segment and are now trading at a 14% FCF yield, debt free in 2-3 years, buying back lots of stocks..

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Dave Waters @alluvialcapital.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

Seeing a lot of "2x free cash flow, insane margins, will grow 20% for years!" stock pitches where the author does not seem to realize the company is operating in a legal gray area that could end with the stroke of a pen, or is an outright fraud. Be careful.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Q1 letter of @alluvialcapital.bsky.social new Tactile fund: mcusercontent.com/b5aa12c5c889...

mcusercontent.com

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

The Mountain is you is a book that answers many questions I used to ask myself. Personal stuff but also why people here are afraid of stocks while Americans are not. In the US they grow up with it while kids here are raised with stocks as dangerous (backed by media and politics)

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Matthias Schmitt @finanzgeschichten.com · 06/05/2025

@finanzgeschichten.bsky.social Griechischer Joghurt ist extrem lecker. Das merken auch immer mehr Konsumenten außerhalb Griechenlands. Daher exportiert der Joghurt- und Speiseeis-Hersteller Kri-Kri immer mehr.

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Mr Market Miscalculates 🇪🇺🇺🇦🏴‍☠️ @mrmarketmis.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

Millennials are ruining everything… “In April, two of the best-known producers, Lafite Rothschild and Angélus, both released their priciest 2024 red wines at 31% discounts to 2023’s vintage." Lafite’s is priced at €288 per bottle while Angélus’s is €180. Both are the lowest prices since 2014”

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 03/05/2025

„Size is an enemy for the performance of Berkshire. We can’t solve that problem unfortunately.“ Warren would still do micro- and smallcaps if he could.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 02/05/2025

Everyone who told us to sell back then under 5.000 is gone. Since nothing has changed I further upped my cash position in the last days. I‘m always careful but at 5.700 in this environment I‘m extremely cautious, closely following what happens. Take care!

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

My watchlist shows more and more US names for the first time in a while. Mainly well positioned small- and microcaps as well as some life sciences midcaps. Stocks that went down with the market without a lot of dependence on the economy. Weak dollar makes them even cheaper for us Europoors.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

We enter the stage where market continues to go down even if Trump is talking about a tariffs deal with the EU and a Russia/Ukraine deal maybe this week. He has lost all credibility on Wall Street.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

2,5 years ago when €/$ hit 0,96, there was barely any euro bull left and no one understood why I thought 1,15-1,2 is likely fair value. Timing the market is difficult but in the long run nearly anything will eventually hit fair value.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

Calculated in € we are at the 52wks closing lows from a few weeks ago for the s&p500 and nasdaq100. Most sectors still looking pretty expensive though.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

The no. of US large cap technology stocks that hasn‘t lost at least 35% from recent highs is getting pretty small. Meanwhile $SCZ is just 5% below 3y highs. (all calculated in $)

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 15/04/2025

Kri-Kri $KRI.AT a bit under my estimates, margin guidance lower than expected but very nice revenue growth in q1. Hoping for further weakness to add. www.krikri.gr/dyn/em_news/...

krikri.gr

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 15/04/2025

Precia $ALPM.PA 2024 results in line. Outlook sounds promising. Happy to add more on further weakness. Already trading at only ~6,5x ev/ebit but you never know what happens short term in French microcap land… fr.preciamolen.com/wp-content/u...

fr.preciamolen.com

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Looks like recession incoming in the US to me. Still the most expensive market with the worst administration ever. Hard to justify these multiples.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Got 19% Cash again. -2% (in €) ytd now. I think the sentiment is way too bullish. Earnings season especially in the US will be very interesting. I will watch and don’t make transactions in the next weeks - instead do the work on my various newly added watchlist names. Take care!

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

Sold out of $IPS.PA with a smallish gain. Very cheap but lots of US revenue plus typically costs for their clients which they will cut fast if the economy slows.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

As an € investor invested in the s&p 500 you lost ~30% in 2008. With the ongoing dollar devaluation this morning, we are at -20% in the last 2 months.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

No one knows shi* but one thing is certain: the more people capitulate, the closer the bottom gets. Days like yesterday where everyone gets fomo and the rally is killed intraday accelerate this.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

Added $ROVI.MC again at ~46€ - biggest position now…base case ~30% earnings cagr (starting 26) for years to come. Trading <12x 2026e ev/ebit. Biggest CDMO peer Catalent was bought by Novo,will cancel all 3rd party contracts in 26. All their clients need a new partner, Rovi is the biggest one then.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

No matter what you think will happen next and no matter what will happen…the most important advice for this market: no leverage, just don’t do it!

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

The only 2 disasters within the last 16 years that sank the S&P DD in just 2 days: - Covid 😷 - Trump

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Martin @shodan21.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

Hier der "Schwarzer Freitag" #Space von @evfcfaddict.bsky.social und @financeschmidt.bsky.social als #MP3 #Download zum offline hören. 😇 🎧 Laufzeit: 70 Minuten, Größe: 48 MB ecijigj.r.bh.d.sendibt3.com/tr/cl/lhE_mQ... #Podcast #finSky

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Dirk Hagemann @dirkhagemann.substack.com · 04/04/2025

Ich bin seit 28 Jahren an der Börse unterwegs und habe wirklich viel erlebt. Mich kann eigentlich nichts mehr schocken. Aber die Selbstverständlichkeit, mit der dieser orangefarbene Clown das Fundament einer zum Wohle (fast) aller prosperierenden Weltwirtschaft zerstört, finde ich schauderhaft.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

Heute 16:00 machen @financeschmidt.bsky.social und ich drüben einen Emergencyspace auf deutsch. Würde mich freuen euch zum Zuhören und Mitdiskutieren begrüßen zu können.

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

- Share cannibalism at it’s best - Selling weak subs at higher multiples than the stock trades at - Nice services grow especially in Africa - Shareholderfriendly management - Several tailwinds incoming - Huge dividend sweetens waiting time until market gets the memo $VOD

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

Wow $FTLF really rerated quickly after q4 report. Becoming attractive again: - nearly debt free - ev/fcf ~10 - 🐐 microcap CEO - sector weakness might be beneficial for further cheap m&a opportunities

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Andy @evfcfaddict.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

What I added on this April 1: $ALPM.PA Precia, french provider of industrial weighting solutions trading at 6x ev/ebit or 9x ev/fcf. Great CEO, estimates going forward imo too low. Earnings should go up nicely in the next years via M&A and margin expansion. Illiquide!

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Christian W. Röhl @cwroehl.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

Aktien 1. Quartal 2025 (Euro Gross Total Return): 🇺🇸S&P 500: -8,9% 🇪🇺MSCI Europe: +9,5% Europa über 18 Prozentpunkte vor den USA. Eine so große Divergenz hat es seit der Euro-Einführung 1999 auf Quartalsbasis nie gegeben. An der Börse ist alles möglich. Auch das Gegenteil.

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Memyselfandi007 @memyselfandi007.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

Some links to stories that I found interesting have been posted on Substack: valueandopportunity.substack.com/p/some-links... Wordpress: valueandopportunity.com/2025/03/30/s...

valueandopportunity.substack.com

Some links 08/2025

If you have 2 hours to spare and want to know more about AI LLMs than 99,8% of your peers, then this video from Andrej Karpathy is what you should watch

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Hidden Returns @hiddenreturns.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

1/5 Die Platform Group $TPG.DE ist nun bereits zum dritten Mal innerhalb kürzester Zeit bei uns im Podcast. Nach unseren zuletzt kritischen Tönen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hat sich CEO Dr. Dominik Benner bei uns gemeldet und wollte sich im Podcast... www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVay...

youtube.com

#48 - The Platform Group TPG.DE mit Dr. Dominik Benner + Update FitLife Brands FTLF & Sow Good SOWG

YouTube video by HiddenReturns - Der Small Cap Aktien Podcast

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