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Eugenio Paglino

@eugeniopaglino.bsky.social
1.8K followers 2.1K following 92 posts

Data Scientist and Postdoc at @pophel.bsky.social. PhD in Demography and Sociology at UPenn, Statistics MA at Wharton. My research focuses on mortality determinants and trends. Bayesian statistics, forecasting, statistical modeling.

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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
🚨New study led by @josehcms.bsky.social in the Journal of Urban Health. We document how an urban longevity penalty ⏬ turned into an urban advantage ⏫ between 2006 and 2023 in Brazil. link.springer.com/article/10.1... @marilianep.bsky.social #demography #brazil #cities #longevity
link.springer.com
The Emergence of an Urban Mortality Advantage in Brazil: An Assessment of Age and Causes-of-Death Contributions to the Urban–Rural Mortality Gap - Journal of Urban Health
Brazil has historically seen higher mortality among urban residents compared to rural counterparts, despite better self-reported health among urban residents and better access to healthcare services. ...
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
In a new study out in Science Advances, we estimated that 19% more COVID-19 deaths than those officially reported occurred in the United States between March 2020 and December 2021. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... #demography #epidemiology #COVID-19
science.org
Applying machine learning to identify unrecognized COVID-19 deaths recorded as other causes of death in the United States
A machine learning approach suggests that COVID-19 deaths were undercounted unevenly across sociodemographic groups in 2020–2021.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
🚨New paper out in Demographic Research🚨 and my first foray into demographic methods. It develops a new method to quantify how specific subpopulations drive demographic gaps. www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol... @demresjournal.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social #demography #methods
demographic-research.org
Demographic Research - The groupwise decomposition: Estimating group-specific contributions to differences between demographic measures (Volume 54 - Article 14 | Pages 441–470)
Volume 54 - Article 14 | Pages 441–470
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
I'm extremely grateful to the Finnish Cultural Foundation @skr.fi for awarding me a grant to study how immigration is contributing to health and mortality trends in Finland and other Nordic countries! #skr2026 #kulttuurirahastontuella @pophel.bsky.social
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Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health @pophel.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
📢Doctoral Defence: Ulla Suulamo - "Long-term trends in mortality differences - Register-based studies in Finland, 1970–2020" 16 October 2025 at 12:00 Address: Porthania, PIII, Yliopistonkatu 3, Helsinki
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
🚨🚨 We are hiring 2 postdocs at PopHel – MaxHel. If you are interested in health inequalities and social determinants of health this is a great opportunity! Amazing working environment ✨, unique data infrastructure, and a truly interdisciplinary and international center 🌍. Deadline October 31st.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
Had a great experience ⭐ at #SLLS2025! I hope we gave a good overview of what is possible with the amazing Finnish 🇫🇮 register data! @pophel.bsky.social @sllshome.bsky.social
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Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
JAMA @jama.com · 06/08/2025
An estimated 440 excess deaths were attributed to the January 2025 wildfires in Los Angeles County, underscoring indirect health effects and the need for improved mortality tracking. ja.ma/4oFM3af #MedSky
Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles
Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
New study 🚨 out in @jama.com! We find that California wildfires🔥in January may have contributed 440 excess deaths in Los Angeles County. This estimate significantly exceeds the 30 direct fatalities linked to these events jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... @pophel.bsky.social @helsinki.fi
jamanetwork.com
Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
This study aims to estimate the number of excess deaths attributable to the Los Angeles wildfires using an interrupted time series design.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
As promised, here a summary of our newest paper on metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality in the US 1/8🧵 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @astokespop.bsky.social @pennpsc.bsky.social @pophel.bsky.social @ruralhealth.bsky.social @jruralhealth.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999‐2019
Purpose To examine disparities in nonmetropolitan and metropolitan mortality by state and sex from 1999 to 2019. Methods We calculate age-standardized mortality rates for nonmetropolitan and metro...
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Very important work by Jacob Bor and colleagues. Poor data quality of demographic and socioeconomic information on death certificates remains a big obstacle to the production of timely mortality statistics disaggregated by more than age, sex, and selected race and Hispanic origin groups.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
New (core demography) paper on US metropolitan and nonmetropolitan mortality out in the Journal of Rural Health. Stay tuned for a thread 🧵summarising the key findings! #Demography
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
How many deaths are attributable to the slowdown📉in mortality improvements in the US? In a new study with @astokespop.bsky.social and @wrigleyfield.bsky.social we estimate 525,505 excess deaths in 2023 alone jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... @jamahealthforum.bsky.social #demography #epidemiology 🧵1/7
jamanetwork.com
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
🚨 Another article on health and migration out in Social Science and Medicine! With Pekka Martikainen and Irma Elo, we look at the mortality of internal migrants in Finland www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Internal migration, health selection, and the salmon bias: A register-based study of Finland
Studies on international migrants have repeatedly found a mortality advantage of migrant over native-born populations. Data artifacts, differential pr…
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
🚨 New article out in Social Science & Medicine! Irma Elo and I take a deeper look at trends in life expectancy for foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
US-Born and Foreign-born Life Expectancy by Race and Hispanic Origin before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
Interdisciplinary health scholarship has long documented the lower mortality of the foreign-born compared to the US-born populations. In this study, w…
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Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
Jenn Dowd @drjenndowd.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
The Great Birdington Declaration
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
So many great things going on at @pophel.bsky.social!
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Amazing podcast! Thank you for the suggestion. Nice to see the intricacies of demographic data becoming the source of so much attention.
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Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
Moritz Oberndorfer @moberndorfer.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
We opened two new postdoc positions! Deadline 14th March. If you want to work with amazing Finnish register data on social inequalities in population health, this is the place to be. Get in touch with us if you have questions. jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...
jobs.helsinki.fi
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Social Inequalities in Health
Two Postdoctoral Researchers on Social Inequalities in Health
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
The first report from our collaboration with the Society of Actuaries (SOA) is now out! @astokespop.bsky.social We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality. www.soa.org/resources/re...
soa.org
Cause-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic
This report presents initial findings from a project investigating the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 in the post-acute phase of the pandemic.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
All the sessions I proposed for #PAA2025 have been approved! 🎉 Lots of data-focused research with sessions on 1) Spatial Data and Methods, 2) Assessing the Quality of Demographic Data, and 3) Enhancing Existing Data with Statistical and Demographic Methods. Thanks for all the amazing submissions!
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
The deadline for #PAA2025 🤩 is in 11 days! If your work uses innovative spatial data collection techniques or applies spatial data analysis, small-area estimation, or GIS to answer questions in population health consider submitting it to my session 405: Spatial Data Collection and Methods!
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 17/09/2024
Bluesky now has over 10 million users, and I was #1,315,797!
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 11/09/2024
Fantastic work as usual! Socio-behavioral factors should be brought back to the center of mortality research. AFAIK there was no session on this topic at the 2024 PAA Annual Meeting and very few scattered papers/posters.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 10/09/2024
I had forgotten just how good is Fabrizio De Andé. Volume 8 is an absolute masterpiece, each song is unique, could listen to it in a loop for hours www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
youtube.com
Volume 8 - YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 01/09/2024
My dissertation "The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks" is now publicly available! repository.upenn.edu/entities/pub...
repository.upenn.edu
The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks
This dissertation makes three scientific contributions to the understanding of how human populations react to environmental and epidemiological shocks. The first chapter investigates the impact of tro...
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 02/05/2024
I shared my latest article on Reddit. Interesting reactions, mostly on Florida: home insurance market disappearing, if you are old enough sea-level rise will not affect you, environmental amenities (warm weather) compensate for the risk of hurricanes. www.reddit.com/r/science/co...
reddit.com
Reddit - Dive into anything
This community is a place to share and discuss new scientific research. Read about the latest advances in astronomy, biology, medicine, physics, social science, and more. Find and submit new publications and popular science coverage of current research.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 26/04/2024
🚨🚨🚨 New paper out in Pop and Environment! I estimate excess migration associated with hurricanes in the US Findings: 1) post hurricane migration is rare 2) damage is the strongest predictor 3) outmigrants move to counties exposed to future natural disasters link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Estimating excess migration associated with tropical storms in the USA 1990–2010 - Population and Environment
Tropical storms are among the most devastating natural disasters in the USA. Climate change is projected to make them even more destructive, and the number of people and properties at risk has steadil...
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Reposted by Eugenio Paglino
Maria Glymour @mariaglymour.bsky.social · 09/02/2024
Amazing work from colleagues (1st author E Paglino, sr author A Stokes) counting the unrecognized COVID deaths www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/.... I'm pasting the maps here b/c everyone loves maps, but the evidence that most convinced me was the timing of excess deaths vs COVID deaths (next skeet).
Map of counties in the united states color coded by rate of excess natural cause to covid-19 deaths (top panel, ranging from <=1 to >2) or probability that the ratio of excess natural cause deaths to COVID-19 deaths is greater than 1 (bottom panel).
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 02/02/2024
🚨New article out in PNAS! We find 162,886 more excess deaths from natural causes than COVID-19 deaths in the first 30 mo of the pandemic and provide evidence that many of them are unrecognised COVID-19 deaths @astokespop.bsky.social www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.… (1/1)
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 23/01/2024
New article by me and Irma Elo out on Demographic Research! We show that In 2020 mortality rose more for foreign-born US residents of all racial and Hispanic-origin groups than their US-born counterparts. www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 19/11/2023
Very insightful article on the @nytimes.com by Guido Alfani! His course on Inequality in Historical Perspective at Bocconi is one of the best I've ever taken. www.nytimes.com/2023/11/19/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | These Days, the Very Rich Are Very Selfish. It Could Get Ugly.
In a break from the past, the Western world’s wealthiest people no longer try to support the societies they live in.
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Eugenio Paglino @eugeniopaglino.bsky.social · 26/10/2023
Slides and material from my Workshop on Small Area Estimation for UPenn Sociology and Demography Quantitative Methodology Working Group. Excited to see a lot of interest! github.com/eugeniopagli...
github.com
GitHub - eugeniopaglino/qmwg_sme: Small Area Estimation Workshop for UPenn Sociology and Demography ...
Small Area Estimation Workshop for UPenn Sociology and Demography Quantitative Methodology Working Group - GitHub - eugeniopaglino/qmwg_sme: Small Area Estimation Workshop for UPenn Sociology and D...
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