Reposted by estate4column5
To know who will control the House, forget the national polls and zoom in on the five districts of PA-10, AZ-6, PA-7, NY-17, and WI-3. Nate Silver and co. see those five as having a 12% chance that seat #218 in terms of vote margins will turn out to be one of those five come November:
**Nate... 1/
braddelong.substack.com
Nate Silver & Co.’s Take on the House of Representatives: CHART OF THE DAY
Democrats need to win the House popular vote by roughly 2.5 points before the seat math breaks even...