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Bill Connelly

@espnbillc.bsky.social
35K followers 692 following 4.1K posts

ESPN writer, professional nerd. SP+. Author of three books (Study Hall, 50 Best* and Forward Progress). College football, soccer, tennis. Puma addiction. docs.google.com/document/d/1BKvo23D…

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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 15h
DEJUAN BLAIR
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 16h
Also, it’ll take about one year for that to become “round of 16 or bust.”
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
The worst ones never reveal who they root for. They just need you to know you’re a terrible human being and you’ll get what’s coming to you one day.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
It is a guess based on years of experience, lol.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Yeah, in order my guesses would be hotmail, aol, yahoo.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
$50 says it's hotmail
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My Heisman horse race might become a Secretariat situation. Jeremiah Smith's second straight 200-yard game put him in the lead, though Keelon Russell's doing his best to keep up. Also: Jamal Roberts! Aiden Flora! Braden Atkinson! TREY FEENEY! HEISMAN OF THE WEEK: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
Heisman of Week 5: Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith starts to pull away
With another 200-yard game, Ohio State's star receiver could start pulling away from the field.
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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Updated chart through Week 5 game data, the trend continues: 23.5 total possessions per FBS game in 2026
Chart titled "Possessions Per FBS vs FBS Game"; a line chart illustrating the average number of possessions per game from 2007 to 2026; the average for all games played in a season is featured prominently, and the average for games played through Week 5 is provided as well; 2026 data through Week 5 is highlighted
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Yeah, 1-5 were bad, and then 6-7 took everything to a completely different level.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Genuinely one of the most embarrassing things I've ever read. Ego and insecurity can team up to create some of the most amazing thoughts ever thought.
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The Solid Verbal College Football Podcast @solidverbal.com · 06/10/2026
🏈 WHO CAN YOU TRUST? Talking through trustworthy/untrustworthy CFB things with the great @espnbillc.bsky.social and running through some of the biggest QB questions lingering in Week 6 🔗 buff.ly/4v0rC7H
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My Heisman horse race might become a Secretariat situation. Jeremiah Smith's second straight 200-yard game put him in the lead, though Keelon Russell's doing his best to keep up. Also: Jamal Roberts! Aiden Flora! Braden Atkinson! TREY FEENEY! HEISMAN OF THE WEEK: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
Heisman of Week 5: Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith starts to pull away
With another 200-yard game, Ohio State's star receiver could start pulling away from the field.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Because you jerks won't stop asking, here's the SP+ top 50 without any preseason projections. I'm definitely here for top-2 Utah, top-16 New Mexico, NDSU and JMU (GAMEDAY TO ALBUQUERQUE FOR UNM-NDSU, PLEASE) and top-40 Georgia State (and barely-top-50 Michigan).
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Fun to write, and not only because I figured out how to blame Cristiano Ronaldo for 4 of his teammates not winning.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SP+ TOP 772, WEEK 6 * Georgia -154 Judson * Austin Peay -10.5 Middle Tennessee * Ferris State -6 Ball State * Texas-Rio Grande Valley -87 Rio Grande * Following an 83-0 loss to No. 497 RPI, WE HAVE A NEW NO. 772: Your Hilbert Hawks of Hamburg, N.Y.! docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Clearer: SEC race (Bama!), Heisman, G6 race (LOBOS!), American race (FAU!) Cloudier: 10-win B1G/SEC teams, ACC race (second spot), Norvell's hot seat?? Also: SP+ movement, Kentucky's comeback and an AMAAAAAAAZING FCS weekend WEEK 5 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
Connelly: Week 5 brought clarity, confusion to conference races
While Alabama muddied the SEC waters, the ACC picture got clearer -- or did it?
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I mean, going up 30+ spots in 3-4 games is pretty dang good! Still 84th in points allowed per drive, so I'm guessing that's where the further limitations are...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Clearer: SEC race (Bama!), Heisman, G6 race (LOBOS!), American race (FAU!) Cloudier: 10-win B1G/SEC teams, ACC race (second spot), Norvell's hot seat?? Also: SP+ movement, Kentucky's comeback and an AMAAAAAAAZING FCS weekend WEEK 5 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
Connelly: Week 5 brought clarity, confusion to conference races
While Alabama muddied the SEC waters, the ACC picture got clearer -- or did it?
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
static.klipy.com
Jocelyn Schitt: What's The Worst That Could Happen?
ALT: Jocelyn Schitt: What's The Worst That Could Happen?
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
WEEK 6 SP+ PICKS Hoosiers 31, Huskers 24 Oregon 34, UCLA 24 Texas 27, OU 17 LSU 33, Kentucky 20 Louisville 32, FSU 29 Mizzou 31, A&M 21 Iowa 24, Washington 22 NDSU 31, UNLV 21 Uh, LOTS of big disagreements this week. Odd. All games: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
* Dawgs still No. 1 * Huskers 👀👀👀 * Mizzou, Houston, Arizona and NEW MEXICO 📈📈📈📈 * UVA, Illinois, Washington and USF 📉📉📉📉 UPDATED SP+ RANKINGS: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
2026 college football SP+ rankings for all 138 FBS teams
The updated SP+ rankings, plus strength of schedule and résumé SP+, after this weekend's results.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
They lost a game. 11 of 12 teams there are unbeaten.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Not quite Grand Valley State-Judson (projection: GVSU by 95.4, actual: GVSU 96, lolololololol), but solid. It's nailing Judson games way better than FCS at the moment...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Oh it still seems impossible.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The CFP if Résumé SP+ chose it after 5 weeks... 9 UCLA at 8 Nebraska -- 1 Alabama 12 JMU at 5 Notre Dame -- 4 Miami 11 LSU at 6 Utah -- 3 Georgia 10 Pitt at 7 Indiana -- 2 Texas
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 5: NC St > Louisville 7.6% SDSU > TXST 14.9% Pitt > Va Tech 24.8% Kentucky > SC 28.0% BYU > TCU 29.7% SJSU > Hawaii 32.0% Air Force > Navy 38.6% Weird week! Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com
2026 SP+
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The SP+ projection was Indiana Wesleyan by 86.3. 😎
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CJ Fogler @cjzero.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Cavan Sullivan you magnificent bastard #USMNT
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Bryan Fischer @bryandfischer.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
#CJK5H
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Simple math imo
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
static.klipy.com
D.B. Woodside Says 'Well, I Disagree' on Netflix
ALT: D.B. Woodside Says 'Well, I Disagree' on Netflix
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I feel this was all a big setup to try to bait me into a "Missouri fell six spots after coming up 11 yards short against another ranked team on the road! That's extremely normal!! What are we all yelling about???" rant, and the joke's on you, it didn't work.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
static.klipy.com
Fairy Tail Natsu
ALT: Fairy Tail Natsu
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RedditCFB @redditcfb.com · 03/10/2026
With Idaho's massive upset of #1 Montana State last night, all 3 Idaho schools have won their way onto the FBS #CFBImperialism map (however briefly) for the first time since it began in 2017. 2 games to be played today: Idaho State hosts NAU; Boise State hosts Utah State
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I read how this ended before I actually watched it (went to bed at halftime, naturally), but I still wasn't prepared for an absolutely perfect 80 seconds of college football.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
First time ever that both teams are at 3%
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Can't say I saw the second half live but caught up this morning. Perfection.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
* Kamario vs. Keelon! Hell yes! * Iowa goes for the double * Which top-12 road teams lose? (Because some will lose!) * Enter Sandman and Ryan Field! * BIGGEST! UMASS HOME GAME! EVER (in FBS)! * Chaos superfecta! Playlist! THE WIAC'S BACK! WEEK 5 PREVIEW: www.espn.com/college-foot...
espn.com
Connelly: Alabama, Ohio State among ranked teams on upset alert
Alabama, Ohio State and Florida all face ranked road tests. How can they get home with victories?
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I know the angles are weird, but it seemed QUITE good!
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Lots of winds were blowing, but Penn State was the first domino.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
mmmmmmmmmm ... deli meat...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Great coach. Talked to him about Ivy teams being good enough to compete in the FCS playoffs, and 7 years later his team became the first Ivy to win a playoff game. www.sbnation.com/college-foot...
sbnation.com
Why the Ivy League might finally be ready to compete in the playoffs
The conference is fun, rapidly improving, and full of coaches raring to test themselves nationally. Let’s talk to each head coach.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Very good point. Interactions on social have definitely led me to believe that a) people don't necessarily know about the CCGs thing (or the impact that'd have) and b) some folks are picturing the FCS-style "every champ gets in" thing. Clarification there would almost certainly drop it below 10%...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Yep, lol. Fans definitely won't quickly get sick of merely making the round of 16...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Yeah, the announcement itself led to Big 12 schools getting their knives out, Larry Scott saying "This is my moment!", et cetera, even before Nebraska actually moved. (It's always the Big Ten, lol. Started the 1990s realignment wars, started the conference network wars, started the 2010s wars.)
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
To me, the Archduke moment will always be the Big Ten saying "we're looking into expanding" in December 2009. That definitely set the, uh, butterfly's wings into motion...
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Ha, oh I’ve definitely already gamed that all out in my head…
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
You can definitely make a strong/obvious argument that realignment ruined the pursuit of a just playoff system. Realignment power games were going to ruin ANY system of determining a champ.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The regional thing stopped being true in about 1975. People have wanted their team to be the best in the *nation* since the moment I was first exposed to the sport in like 1983.
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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
At least realignment benefited specific schools despite its unpopularity. This might not even produce a huge windfall considering the $$ they’re sacrificing by ditching CCGs. No one (besides coaches) asked for it, and there’s no reason to do it, but we’re going to, just because!
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