elevenify @elevenify.com · 05/01/2026Rúben Amorim has been sacked by Manchester United. Manchester United are no better than when he arrived. Here are excerpts from my September article below, where I suggested Amorim should be dismissed. 091
elevenify @elevenify.com · 04/01/2026Model Updated Post-GW20 📊 Here is a pack of data: 🖥️ Simulated Table (4 Jan) 📅 GW21 Match Predictions 🥅 GW21 Goal Involvement ⚽️ GW21 - 26 Predicted Goals 070
elevenify @elevenify.com · 04/01/2026Leeds - Man United Post-Match Report 📊 Outcome not too far away from expectations. This is roughly what it looks like when a mid-table side faces a strong promoted side. These are the kind of fixtures you need to see Man United win 3-0 if you want to believe they're improving. 090
elevenify @elevenify.com · 01/01/2026Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (1 Jan 2026) A big weekend of results for Arsenal. The likelihood of becoming champions has increased to 71%. 🏆 The points gain for Arsenal will be greater from me than from other sources because I rate Aston Villa and Sunderland lower than the consensus. 0100
elevenify @elevenify.com · 01/01/2026Volatile performances, but no doubt in my mind that Maresca was a success at Chelsea. The youngest squad in the league transformed into the 4th-best team in an increasingly competitive landscape. I don’t see this change making them better. 091
elevenify @elevenify.com · 28/12/2025Simulated Premier League Table 📊 (28 Dec 2025) 📈 An incredibly unlikely run from Aston Villa sees them fighting Liverpool for 3rd place 🏆 Man City keeping Arsenal honest ⬇️ West Ham going down 080
elevenify @elevenify.com · 26/12/2025A lot could be pinned on United being bad but a very confusing performance from you! you were so good at exploiting space and generating threat but had such bad decision-making and execution in finishing those sequences 120
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025I hope to get better at articulating this, but not even football escapes the fact of life that any increase in decision quality improves the outcomes associated with such decisions I always come back to this Rene Maric quote: 7/ 060
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025Kayode's carry causes: (1) a resulting disruption to the opposition; (2) that gives Brentford the ability to better control the sequence of play; (3) allowing them to make higher quality decisions; (4) that increase goal probability. 6/ 150
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025But for me, it is more interesting because I just can't shake the idea that there is something slightly beyond our current data e.g. measuring just the pure increase in threat location, the resulting xG values, etc. How do we capture the value of what Kayode does here? 5/ 120
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025It is a brilliant way to use the horizontal - to find the diagonal - to get a vertical result (more on that here spielverlagerung.com/2025/06/12/t.... This results in the unique carrying map above and data profile make-up below - I don't think there are many similar full-backs 4/ 120
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025This encourages Kayode to continue the run and ends up in a very similar situation - again he goes unchallenged and the carry results in a successful end product via pass to the winger 3/ 120
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025This carry vs Liverpool is a good example. Kayode receives near the touchline in a surrounded position The horizontal run allows him to go unchallenged as the opposition is more concerned with retaining shape but allowing Kayode central space and diagonal opportunity 2/ 120
elevenify @elevenify.com · 24/12/2025Michael Kayode has a very interesting carrying repertoire. In particular, he can suddenly decide to go on an adventure across the field (see the long red lines below). This sends me into my frequent spiral about what matters and what is measurable in football 1/ 1134
elevenify @elevenify.com · 22/12/2025Premier League Simulated Table 🎄 (22 Dec) ⬆️ Aston Villa somehow creep into 4th place 🤏 Just 8 points separate 6th and 13th ⬇️ West Ham looking likely to go down #JusticeForPotter 060
elevenify @elevenify.com · 22/12/2025Without Bruno, United’s projected goals would only fall slightly. A single absentee always has less impact on the team than people imagine. Cunha profiles well at ~0.7 goal involvement. 080
Reposted by elevenifySimon @analyticf.pl · 19/12/2025Comparison of team strength models (@analytic.football @elevenify.com @solioanalytics.com) going into GW17. Goals scored/prevented/difference vs league average 2152
elevenify @elevenify.com · 15/12/2025This is the strongest Man United have been since Amorim arrived. However, it’s only about on par with the level of the side he originally inherited. In the context of how competitive the league has become, this might be considered progress. 0110
elevenify @elevenify.com · 15/12/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (15 Dec 2025) Arsenal's 10-point projected lead from last month is now down to just 4 points 📉 European places continue to be a battle of mediocrity 🤷♂️ Sunderland keep getting away with it ⬆️ 090
elevenify @elevenify.com · 08/12/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (8 Dec 2025) Arsenal fans can start feeling a little nervous 🏆 Another huge week for Leeds ⬆️ 070
elevenify @elevenify.com · 04/12/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (4 Dec 2025) 📉 Liverpool not finishing top 3 is becoming feasible ⬆️ Really important week for Leeds 🇪🇺 Europe places are so competitive Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 060
elevenify @elevenify.com · 04/12/2025im not sure what this means but if you are OR 10,000 or 30,000 and I above you I promise to delete my account so you can keep your record 130
elevenify @elevenify.com · 11/11/2025Here’s the weekly change in overall rating so far this season 📈 Each panel uses an independent scale, so you can see how sentiment is trending for each team 1241
elevenify @elevenify.com · 09/11/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (9 Nov 2025) Man City making sure Arsenal don't get comfortable. Most interesting relegation fight in years. Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 050
elevenify @elevenify.com · 05/11/2025Performance vs Expectations 📊 (5 Nov Update) As a reminder, this model view shows who’s really improving or declining by factoring in what most expected stats ignore: fixture difficulty, game state, red cards, pens, finishing, and more. 091
elevenify @elevenify.com · 04/11/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (3 Nov 2025) A simple week overall, with results mostly in line with expectations. Except one: West Ham’s surprise win keeps the relegation battle exciting. Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 252
elevenify @elevenify.com · 26/10/2025Premier League Simulated Table 📊 (26th Oct) Almost impossible for Arsenal to mess it up now 🏆 Wolves are the new favourites for 20th. ⬇️ Source: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 031
elevenify @elevenify.com · 26/10/2025Wolves have flirted with relegation for too long. Since 23/24, they’ve shown no improvement, just stagnating at relegation standard. Benefiting from good bounces and weak promoted sides. At some point, that luck runs out. 050
elevenify @elevenify.com · 20/10/2025This is your weekly reminder that Arsenal are going to win the Premier League 🏆 160
elevenify @elevenify.com · 10/10/2025Most of the “expected” data content you see is still misleading, even in GW7. It ignores context like fixture difficulty, game state, red cards, penalties, finishing, etc. This model view adds that context back in, giving you a clearer picture of change in performance levels. 1122
elevenify @elevenify.com · 09/10/2025Well this is basically your model since you taught my everything I know ❤️ Arsenal 0.09 overall rating better so far, mostly in defence (hard to believe there is room for this but true) Liverpool 0.07 overall rating worse so far, actually mostly in attack despite defence narratives! 030
elevenify @elevenify.com · 28/09/2025A huge win for Arsenal. They gained 3.1 points on Liverpool in the title race (based on pre-gameweek expectations). Sometimes 3 points will feel like they’re worth more! Big swing. 0111
elevenify @elevenify.com · 21/09/2025Where does everyone stand after GW5? 📊 Model and website updated 🔄 Liverpool extend their lead 🏆 Leeds looking increasingly safe from relegation 🔒 Top half finish would be a success for Aston Villa at this point 📉 1142
elevenify @elevenify.com · 17/09/2025THE AMORIM DECISION. In this weeks post, I explore the question of what should Man United do with Ruben Amorim. www.elevenify.com/p/2526-05-th...elevenify.comThe Amorim Decision.What should Man United do with Ruben Amorim? 1122
elevenify @elevenify.com · 16/09/2025What should Man United do with Ruben Amorim? Newsletter decision analysis in your inbox tomorrow 📩 160
elevenify @elevenify.com · 27/08/2025GW 3 - 8 Team Projections 📊 Some team goals and clean sheets for the BlueSky crowd. Remember these are always available in live updating tables on this page here: www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 0211
elevenify @elevenify.com · 19/08/2025The Premier League is back. 🏆 Time for a boring nerd to remind you: don’t overreact to week-one noise. Latest short newsletter on why we overreact to the early season noise - and how not to. Link below 💜 www.elevenify.com/p/2526-04-ho...elevenify.com25/26 #04: How to React to the Early SeasonWhy it’s difficult - and what to do. 1114
elevenify @elevenify.com · 18/08/2025The Overall Team Rating History chart, going back to 23/24 is live and working on the site. You can hover to isolate a team. I will add the charts showing the granular changes in Attack/Defence this season after we get a bit more data, so they are more visually interesting. 030
elevenify @elevenify.com · 18/08/2025Sorted by projected points which are rounded from decimals - only a 0.1 difference! 010
elevenify @elevenify.com · 18/08/2025Website updated ✅ GW2+ data now live 🖥️ In other news that definitely won’t cause any controversy: Arsenal now top the league projections. *logs off* 3140
elevenify @elevenify.com · 16/08/2025Here are some match preview snapshots for the 3pm kickoffs 📊 📸 050
elevenify @elevenify.com · 16/08/2025Spent this morning making the data page on my site (hopefully) work much nicer with mobile If you’re a frequent user of my site on your phone, I’d be super grateful if you sent me any thoughts! 💜 140
elevenify @elevenify.com · 12/08/202525/26 #02: Table 💻 25/26 Newsletter #02 is out - a look at my model’s predicted table alongside Spreadex market data. This is probably the most informed guess you can have right now about how the season might unfold. www.elevenify.com/p/premier-le... 0141
elevenify @elevenify.com · 10/08/2025Šeško vs Højlund 📊 An add-on to yesterday's newsletter, here is a look at United with Šeško vs Højlund. Getting a lot more goals with Šeško. 072
