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Edwin Hayward

@edwinhayward.com
28K followers 1K following 11K posts

Author and commentator. Book: 'Slaying Brexit Unicorns'. Busy AI coding. Topics: AI & fun geeky stuff, Brexit & UK politics. Expect facts & stats, sarcasm and gallows humour. Handy tools: www.superuseful.com Me: www.edwinhayward.com

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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 8h
The LibDems threw away a chance to differentiate themselves when they underplayed Brexit at their conference. If Labour end up calling for Rejoin before they do, that's several points of support that will drain away immediately, making the LibDems much less competitive. They could have owned it...
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 21h
Opus 5.5 AI is astonishing. Look at the 3D racing game it helped me build. Then consider that it's running on a 2014-vintage Nvidia GT 720 graphics card with just 1GB of VRAM... [Sorry for intermittent sound glitches in video. Something weird is going on with my capture app.]
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 29/09/2026
Burnham's weak sauce stance on Brexit today was enough to send the right wing media into a rabid frenzy, but far too non-committal to move the needle for Rejoin enthusiasts. Takes a special kind of genius to triangulate that badly. Obviously a trait he inherited from Starmer.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 29/09/2026
Burnham punted on Brexit. He had the opportunity to say something substantive while the Labour conference spotlight was on him, but instead he shoved the issue off into a nebulous future the other side of the UK/EU summit. Poor. Very poor.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 29/09/2026
The personal allowance limit should rise at least in line with the basic state pension, but for everyone rather than just for pensioners. That way, young people won't get the sense that they're being asked to shoulder the burden of an ever more expensive older generation with nothing for them.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 29/09/2026
Jev AI was launched on 15 September. There are already several books about it on Amazon. Any good? No idea. That's not the point, though it would be nice if they were. But it shows that self publishing opportunities abound for the swift and the proactive.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 28/09/2026
The Chancellor is set to promise a "new age of industrialisation" in a speech later today. I'm not sure that "industrialisation" is something that many people favour in this day and age. Certainly doesn't feel like a net vote winner.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 28/09/2026
Air gaps and sandboxes are not the same thing. A sandbox is a restrictive environment set up around an AI with the specific intent of boxing it in. An air gap is disconnecting the machine containing the AI from every single network. AI breakouts involve flawed sandboxes, not air gaps.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 27/09/2026
"Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world." AI is the lever and the fulcrum. Wield them. Move the world. Dream a dream. Another. And another. Then make them real. The only thing standing in your way is you.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 24/09/2026
Hung parliament. Labour as largest party, but forced to rely on the LibDems and Greens to govern. If today's mega poll played out in a GE election, that would be a fantastic outcome. There would be immense pressure to reverse Brexit and bring in PR.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 23/09/2026
If you're not following the latest AI developments, both OpenAI and Anthropic released new models in the last 24H that are much cheaper and better than their existing ones. Anthropic's Opus 5.5 in particular is a dream when it comes to programming graphical scenes from scratch. Absolutely amazing.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 21/09/2026
I don't understand why the LibDems aren't calling their conference the "Rejoin the EU" conference, and plastering the slogan on everything. It seems an incredible open goal to keep strolling past.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 19/09/2026
Perhaps all the services supplied by a modern state should be removed from Piddlington to give a real sense of what independence from the UK would mean in practice. Wouldn't have to be for long. A couple of weeks should be sufficient for the penny to drop, even for the most stubborn.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 16/09/2026
Canada ending up with a better relationship with the EU than the UK enjoys is so 2026.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 15/09/2026
It would be healthy for UK politics to put strict limits on political donations. It would also be good to break the ties between Labour and the unions. If union members want to support Labour, make it very easy... but not automatic like it is now. Level playing field all round.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/09/2026
So much for the US government stepping in to regulate AI. Trump has turned AI supremacy into a penis-measuring contest. truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/09/2026
Politics is becoming more and more tribal all the time. For some, harming opponents is at least as desirable as furthering the interests of their own team. That applies even to clearly net-negative policies. Naked glee at the thought of their opponents screaming sustains them.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/09/2026
Which would be a greater psychological shock? A) Unthinking AI outperform humans in all intellectual disciplines B) AI are proven to be able to think
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/09/2026
Y2K was real. And fixed for $600 billion. The remedial work of millions of people around the world was so good that Y2K is falsely held up as an example of extreme scaremongering. Instead, it should be celebrated as one of the best ever examples of successful project execution.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 12/09/2026
Labour flubbed the chance to cap political donations and now Reform are sitting on a fresh £72 million war chest from two mega donors. Idiots.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 12/09/2026
A lot of people pushing back against what they see as AI "scaremongering" cite Y2K as an example of something with dire warnings attached that passed off without major issues. But that's only because the world spent over $600 billion remedying a known and easy to define problem. There was a wolf.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 11/09/2026
Honestly, the best way of understanding what's happening in AI right now is to set aside 30 minutes to read and digest "The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence" which Tim Urban wrote in 2015. It is becoming less and less theoretical by the day. waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/arti...
waitbutwhy.com
The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence
Part 1 of 2: "The Road to Superintelligence". Artificial Intelligence — the topic everyone in the world should be talking about.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 11/09/2026
The last 48H has shown that the vast majority of people don't really understand exponential growth, or the theoretical capabilities of AI superintelligence. (Honest answer to the latter is "much more than our best educated guess, because we only have human level intelligence".)
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 10/09/2026
Now: 1) We have 100% probability of dying If AI superintelligence is ever achieved: 1) We'll have a non-zero probability of dying sooner than we otherwise would have 2) We'll have a non-zero probability of having an immensely increased healthy lifespan, or never dying at all
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
There are 8 billion people in the world. 99.99% of them haven't experienced the most powerful publicly available AI. 99.999% of them haven't experienced the most powerful AI sitting in research labs. 100% of them think they're qualified to comment on the situation.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
Imagine you had a memory that could retain unlimited facts and time to read every scientific paper ever written. How many new discoveries do you think you would make by pulling together disparate threads from such an astonishing tapestry of knowledge. No human can. An AI could.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
THREAD: Do you believe that AI might one day wipe humanity out? If you assign that notion a probability rating higher than zero, even by a tiny fraction of one percent, then you'll want AI development to continue as fast as possible. (1/5 - please read the whole thread before replying)
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
Why do Labour let the Tories and Reform push their "Welfare OR strong defence" trade off without countering with a "Brexit or strong defence" trade off? "We can increase defence spending to 3% and later 3.5% of GDP by reversing Brexit, without cutting welfare or raising taxes".
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
How AI might wipe humanity out... Engineer an airborne pathogen. 100% fatality rate after a symptom-free incubation period long enough to ensure it spreads everywhere first. But they won't kill us until there are enough advanced robots to give them unlimited real world agency when we're gone.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 09/09/2026
You can never win an argument against far right ideology with "You have a point, but..." "You have a point" is all the endorsement they'll ever need, and none of their supporters care what comes after the "but..." because they've already stopped listening.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 08/09/2026
It would be very controversial, but I wonder if the world would be a better place if the people in positions of ultimate power (presidents, PMs etc.) had to be under the age of 60? [Logic: they would have a high likelihood of suffering the long term impacts of their decisions.]
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 03/09/2026
New Prime Minister, same Brexit red lines. Absurd.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 02/09/2026
Beware of the dark pattern on ASDA's website. If you place an order specifying no substitutions, then add something from the bargains ASDA shows you during the checkout process, the extra items will default to "substitute on". You have to proactively go and switch it off again.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 02/09/2026
Beware of the dark pattern on ASDA's website. If you place an order specifying no substitutions, then add something from the bargains ASDA shows you during the checkout process, the extra items will default to "substitute on". You have to proactively go and switch it off again.
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Reposted by Edwin Hayward
Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 01/09/2026
Starmer's final u-turn: standing down after saying he would continue to serve as an MP. Soon, we won't have to think about him ever again.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 01/09/2026
Starmer's final u-turn: standing down after saying he would continue to serve as an MP. Soon, we won't have to think about him ever again.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 30/08/2026
Iceland appears to have succumbed to the 52/48 curse, just like the Brexit referendum did. Maybe that's the real number of the beast.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 23/08/2026
When you're young, it's just about possible to still believe you can change the world. As you grow older, you find yourself lingering over "omnicide" in the dictionary.
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Reposted by Edwin Hayward
Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 22/08/2026
The madlibs Harry and Meghan headline generator at the Express has hit peak stupidity. Has it burnt out on the dozens and dozens of hit pieces the gutter rag published over the last 24H?
Express headline:

I’m a dog behaviourist - what Harry and Meghan must do before family return to UK
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 22/08/2026
Exponential growth catches people by surprise because it's hard to visualise. Imagine a £1 salary, doubling every year. 5 years from now, you're earning £32. 5 years after that, you're up to £1,024. So £982 (97%) of the improvement in salary came in the second 5 year stretch.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 22/08/2026
The madlibs Harry and Meghan headline generator at the Express has hit peak stupidity. Has it burnt out on the dozens and dozens of hit pieces the gutter rag published over the last 24H?
Express headline:

I’m a dog behaviourist - what Harry and Meghan must do before family return to UK
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 21/08/2026
Do you realise how tedious it gets when every time someone discusses AI, you respond with a rant about energy and water use, or about how they're lying, or stealing all our jobs? Presumably if social media had existed back in the horse and buggy era, you'd have spent your days moaning about cars...
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 20/08/2026
In the early days of the web, bandwidth was super expensive and often metered. Now, you can download millions of times what you might have in the mid-1990s and your provider won't blink. Now imagine the same, but for AI intelligence. Token hoarding now, hyper abundance later.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 19/08/2026
Why did neolithic flint workers take so long to make tools? Because they were constantly knapping.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 15/08/2026
Weird story, based on a management consultancy report. It only seems to consider the impact of weight loss drugs on grocery purchasing patterns, not on eating out. For middle earners and above, skipping a few restaurant meals will likely represent a much larger saving than buying fewer groceries.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/08/2026
Did anyone else just jump out of their skin when their phone suddenly blasted an alert? All because of the dangers of wildfires. Wonder how many people just crashed their cars as a result of being distracted?
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 14/08/2026
You can play all sorts of games with statistics. For example, sales of colanders rose sharply just before the eclipse. Ooh. But how many colanders do you believe retailers normally sell in high summer in the middle of a heatwave? A slightly bigger small number is still small.
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 12/08/2026
Considering it's just a pinhole in one bit of cardboard projecting onto another bit of cardboard, I am pretty happy how this turned out. (There's no do-over if I limit myself to the UK, since there won't be another totalish eclipse until the 2080s.)
Photo of semi eclipsed sun
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 12/08/2026
Last time I witnessed a near total solar eclipse, in Tokyo several decades ago, it turned suddenly cold as the totality approached and a brisk wind sprung up, only to die away again minutes later. And we heard a spate of birdsong too, but that stopped as the eclipse ended. So watch for weird stuff!
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Edwin Hayward @edwinhayward.com · 11/08/2026
By Friday, Nigel Farage will either have lost his by-election bid to an alien bin, or his parliamentary standards investigation will be active again. Either way, great news if you're not a fan.
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