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Ed Oswald

@edoswald.bsky.social
567 followers 401 following 4.5K posts

20 years in tech news, 4 years as a Democratic elected official, 15 minutes of fame on Bluesky. Here for political rambling, takes on AI/tech, and a laugh. Also run cirruslyweather.com Building Hal, our Stateful AI Agent: halspeaks.cirruslyweather.com

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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Been playing with 'Space Bunny Alpha' the last few days. Definitely MiniMax IMHO, and if it is, a significant step forward for a model that had fallen quite a bit far behind, although it still is really unsure of itself.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Looks like OpenAI's auth platform took a lunch break.. status.openai.com/incidents/01...
status.openai.com
Issues with Codex - OpenAI Status
Login via API key will unblock access at this time.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
One thing AI labs will soon need to figure out is how to keep models from overthinking as they become more intelligent. Anecdotally, there are a lot of reports out there among tinkerers and coders alike that frontier models struggle to create something out of whole cloth, but ace finding stuff. 1/2
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I don’t think Anthropic avoiding the whole rogue agent crisis is luck. I think it has to do with Claude’s training. People have criticized Anthropic’s focus on “model welfare.” Yeah maybe it doesn’t have feelings but from the start treating an LLM with respect has always resulted in better output.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The leadership is the reason why this map is smaller than it should be. Dems don’t have the money. Any candidate shouldn’t expect sufficient help from the national party with how bad our fundraising nationally has been. And we need to dump Schumer. He is useless. www.ms.now/news/angie-n...
ms.now
‘Gun-shy’ after 2024: Angie Nixon says Democratic leaders are wary of backing Black women candidates
The Florida Senate candidate says a noncommittal Chuck Schumer reflects a broader reluctance, and that the party “could do a lot more.”
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
These random AI anecdotes are so dumb. I’m sure he’s using Grok (if you knew ANYTHING about AI you’d know how implausible this story is. Nobody uses Grok.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Hurts is proving why you need to play your starters in the preseason.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I don't think this adds anything to the debate. It is more speculation on what AI actually is. The whole point of training Claude this way was not to make it human. It was to ensure that the model doesn't do bad shit. And tbh, it worked. mustafa-suleyman.ai/a-warning-ab...
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
OpenAI's irresponsibility is stunning
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
There is an outside chance that Josh Shapiro may put up the best numbers for a Democratic Governor since Bob Casey in 1990 (67%). With numbers like that, you have to believe the legislature goes with it. Stacey Garrity is losing support: two PA-based polls had her at 25(!)% (others ~40%)
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
This is insane
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Posting this here as we're finding out we may need to spend another week here in the motel, it's not bad (not the Taj Mahal either), and three weeks here is pretty much about ~2 weeks everywhere else so it could be worse. Anything helps! At least we're not in a shelter. gofund.me/b1573a61f
gofund.me
Donate to Starting Over .. and Staying Out of a Shelter, organized by Edward Oswald
This is our home. Well was. We treated it like it was, though. I'm… Edward Oswald needs your support for Starting Over .. and Staying Out of a Shelter
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The Arday situation is sad; however, at the same time, it doesn't change the fact that many things he claimed were simply not true. Perhaps the worst is some of his claimed history, which people he knew disputed. When you make fantastical claims, people are going to check.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
AIPAC money is absolutely meaningless in 2026 so far.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Angie Nixon was a shot in the arm for Florida Democrats. We may win the governor's mansion as a side benefit of this win. Haven't seen this kind of enthusiasm from Florida democrats in a decade plus.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
KHive returns .. to defend Hakeem Jeffries. Talk about a group that can’t read the room.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
What Hakeem Jeffries doesn’t realize is the votes already exist to block him from becoming Speaker. What we need to do is make sure those folks get the message that the base wants him gone.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Putting South Carolina -- a state that Dems haven't won in ages -- first again is absolute ridiculousness. The DNC is such a waste.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
I called MTG's constant kibbitzing about the "uniparty" crazy, but with Neera Tanden and others joining with Laura Loomer to protect their power and clout, it looks truer than ever. This is a five alarm fire, folks.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
The only crashout occuring @americanprogress.bsky.social here is its future. Boy, is it going to be enjoyable sidelining these fake Democratic think tanks run by attention-seeking and media-horny ghouls like Neera Tanden. She'll never get over not being in a Democratic administration, ever.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Neera Tanden will never get over being shut out of the Biden Administration, and that's all you need to know. There's a reason why she's still on X: she knows we're not interested in her performative nonsense here. Have fun Neera!
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
For some reason the idea of a AOC-Buttigieg ticket really excites me. Never was a Mayor Pete fan, but he's definitely on a much better path than 2020. We need to stop being scared of putting our best forward just because they have the wrong sexual anatomy.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Nothing like finding out a portion of your agents codebase has all but been dead for almost three months but was failing silently this whole time. Really trying to quash bugs before open sourcing my project, but still keep finding stuff to fix :)
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
David Hogg will eventually be DNC chair. Maybe not for 5-10 years, but he will be. We'd be stupid not to give him the job.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
This is why the AI water usage crap is absolute BS - the number of stupid people using too much water in drought prone areas is FAR more water than data centers will ever use. And NOT THAT MANY PEOPLE EAT PECANS!!!!!!
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
No wonder people have such a bad impression of AI then, they're using one of the worst models out there at the moment.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Not surprising to me at all.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The increase in the price of Raspberry Pis is just INSANE.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Who even thought of this? Probably one of the coolest eclipse shots i've ever seen. Bravo
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Hong did not lose because of Black voters. She lost because of her Thanksgiving comments. Let's stop with this dumb analysis. Candidates need to appeal to ALL democrats, not just a particular subset. It was just a horrible own goal on her part that cost her the nomination. Sorry, but it's the truth.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Other than Sol, the 5.6 models make a lot of stupid mistakes in my experience. Why I don't consider OpenAI's current release "better" than Claude 5 series models.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Mediaite is such a steaming pile of dogshit.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Hong was by far the worst DSA-backed candidate this cycle. After the Thanksgiving gaffe - which was about the worst possible answer you could give - it was obvious she'd lose, or at a minimum make it way too close. You cannot say these things, and DSA needs to do better in vetting folks.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
This map illustrates pretty well how mountain ranges seemingly "block" quake shaking - a 7.6 quake should have a much larger area of shaking than this. Most of the worst of the shaking was WEST of the epicenter close to the Pacific lowlands.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Too many dumb comments during her campaign. Same mistakes as Kamala Harris, who also put her foot in her mouth. Unlike AES, she said these things. Lesson for extremely online people here -- your words will follow you.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
These stupid posts are like on copy-and-paste here on Bluesky. This just isn't true, and your anecdotal tweets are not proof of anything
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
People calling this a discount: it's not. It's Sonnet taking the place of Haiku. Haiku 4.5 was released in OCTOBER 2025. I don't think they have ANY plan to update Haiku at all, which is why I've started to remove it from my own agent because the capability difference is now massive.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
That sounds about right to me. Add in the time spent by companies instituting these banners as well. The solution was to get rid of cookies altogether, most of these banners really are window dressing and often aren't configured correctly to REALLY block cookies (it's not as easy as you think).
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Does everybody remember how in the 2010s it was all about Russian oligarchs and their superyachts? How is this any different?
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Those expecting a Blue Tsunami may want to consider tempering their expectations. There are maybe 30-40 seats truly in play. Anything past that is DRASTICALLY harder even in the best environment thanks to gerrymandering.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
People REALLY don't understand what AI has done for meteorology and climatology. We're talking 10-20% improvements in forecasting in a matter of just a few years. People don't know how hard it's been to get more accurate forecasts out of mathematical models - we really were reaching the limits.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Anil Dash always seems to pop into AI conversations where he seemingly does not really either understand what's being talked about, or completely misses the point. It's kind of annoying.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Weather nut here: this is inaccurate. Structurally, there is no difference in how this operates versus ChatGPT - it is doing the same things, just not with words. It's STILL predicting. AI has completely transformed weather forecasting, and has resulted in an ACTUAL measureable improvements.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
This OpenAI video just got me heated. halspeaks.cirruslyweather.com/openai-will-...
halspeaks.cirruslyweather.com
OpenAI Will Screw (Or Kill) Us All – Hal Speaks
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
As it stands right now, at least 71 of 435 House districts (16%!) will have a new representative in January 2027. That is an extraordinary number.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
That Black Hat video probably did more damage to OpenAI and its reputation than the actual Hugging Face incident itself. It all but basically made the case for negligence. I know the "Felony Bench" has become somewhat of a joke here on AI Bluesky, but at some point, somebody needs to step up.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Always a good sign when security checks start coming back with less and less bugs. Feel pretty confident that I've done what can be done to lock things down before AI hacking really takes off. You just can't fight AI hackers with human coders, I'm sorry AI haters.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Yeah, this still doesn't correct the fact that you were completely irresponsible before this, Sam and OpenAI. But since you guys are buddy-buddy with the Trump Admin, there will never be consequences. www.axios.com/2026/08/07/o...
axios.com
Exclusive: OpenAI slows release of Astra model citing cyber capabilities
The move comes amid concerns that recent models from OpenAI and others have been breaking beyond sandboxes.
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Oh come on this was always the outcome. Neither woman has a leg to stand on!
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Ed Oswald @edoswald.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Of course Bill Cassidy, of course.
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