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Eitvydas Bajarūnas

@ebajarunas.bsky.social
260 followers 125 following 12 posts

LT Ambassador/@CEPA Visiting Fellow. Fmr 🇱🇹 Amb to 🇬🇧 🇴🇲 🇵🇹 🇷🇺🇺🇿🇸🇪, Dep Amb to NATO, MFA Political Director, etc. Alumni @KingsCollegeLon @defacuk

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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
eurotopics press review @eurotopicsen.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The Russian regime seeks to erase its dark past, said diplomat @ebajarunas.bsky.social in an interview with Lithuanian outlet LRT. The crackdown on #Memorial is a clear attempt to manipulate history for current political purposes, he added ▶️ eurotopics.net/en/356299
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 17/12/2025
“Lukashenko is totally dependent on Russia.” @ebajarunas.bsky.social www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025…
telegraph.co.uk
Access Restricted
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 10/12/2025
Belarus has targeted Lithuania with another barrage of balloons to disrupt its airspace. @ebajarunas.bsky.social explains that to counter the Kremlin's shadow warfare and hybrid tactics, "deterrence must be proactive and tailored to specific vulnerabilities."
cepa.org
The Hybrid Threat Imperative: Deterring Russia Before it is Too Late
Western resilience alone will not stop Russia's hybrid threats; allies should pair deterrence-by-denial with deterrence-by-punishment.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 05/12/2025
Russia’s shadow warfare tries to exploit democratic openness, fracture alliances, and erode public trust in institutions. @ebajarunas.bsky.social explores how the West can formulate a coordinated deterrence strategy.
cepa.org
The Hybrid Threat Imperative: Deterring Russia Before it is Too Late
Western resilience alone will not stop Russia's hybrid threats; allies should pair deterrence-by-denial with deterrence-by-punishment.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 05/12/2025
Read the full report by @ebajarunas.bsky.social to learn more about what makes an effective deterrence-by-denial and deterrence-by-punishment strategy.
cepa.org
The Hybrid Threat Imperative: Deterring Russia Before it is Too Late
Western resilience alone will not stop Russia's hybrid threats; allies should pair deterrence-by-denial with deterrence-by-punishment.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 16/11/2025
"[Smuggler balloons are] part of Russia's — and involving Belarus's — hybrid warfare campaign against both countries, Central Europe, and the rest of Europe." @ebajarunas.bsky.social theworld.org/segments/2025/10/30/li…
theworld.org
Lithuania taking action to prevent smuggler balloons from Belarus - The World from PRX
Weather balloons carrying boxes of smuggled cigarettes have been disrupting flights in Lithuania. The situation has escalated dramatically over the past week, and the government in Vilnius has announced plans to close Lithuania's border with Belarus. Th...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 10/09/2025
"Drone incursions have sparked growing concern across the Baltic States as Moscow and Minsk prepare for military exercises." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
cepa.org
Flight Risk: Baltics Scramble to Counter Hybrid Drone Threat
Drone incursions have sparked growing concern across the Baltic States as Moscow and Minsk prepare for military exercises.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Edward S. Solomon @edsolomon.net · 01/03/2025
Willing nations should send troops to fight with Ukraine against Russia, with or without NATO. @ebajarunas.bsky.social @cepa.org @anderseide.bsky.social @andrewramsaygray.bsky.social @germanambusa.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social @acwlapsley.bsky.social edsolomon.substack.com/p/a-proposal...
edsolomon.substack.com
A proposal to end Russia's war against Ukraine
NATO should invoke Article 12 of the North Atlantic Treaty to amend the Treaty. Allow new members with a majority vote. Invite Ukraine to join.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 16/03/2025
"The Baltic states have had the US as a steadfast ally since the end of Cold War but may now have to build regional defenses as Washington turns away." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
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The Baltics Adapt to Trump
The Baltic states have had the US as a steadfast ally since the end of Cold War but may now have to build regional defenses.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 16/03/2025
“If Beijing supports a ceasefire agreement, it may pressure Russia to comply.” @ebajarunas.bsky.social
cepa.org
Ukraine Ceasefire Deal — What Does it Mean?
CEPA Fellows explain the US-Ukraine agreement on a ceasefire. The Trump administration says, “the ball is in Moscow’s court.”
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 18/03/2025
“A key factor may be China, Russia's main trading ally, which if it supports the US ceasefire proposal, may put pressure on Putin to comply.” @ebajarunas.bsky.social
newsweek.com
Putin ramping up troops on border for new attack: Zelensky
Russia is planning to strike in Ukraine's Sumy region, the Ukrainian president wrote on Saturday in an X post.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 05/04/2025
The so-called [Nordic-Baltic 8] group also must play an active role in shaping the EU defense agenda, ensuring European tools complement, rather than replace, NATO efforts.” @ebajarunas.bsky.social
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Europe’s Vital Nordic-Baltic Shield
There is much to do if Europe wants to deter war, and much of that will depend on the countries in the continent’s northeast.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 15/05/2025
"Russia’s shadow fleet plays a crucial role for oil export earnings because of its central role in sanctions avoidance." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
cepa.org
Choking Russia’s Shadow Fleet in the Baltic
Efforts to shut down the shadow fleet have taken on greater urgency after attacks on NATO members’ critical infrastructure.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
The Jamestown Foundation @thejamestownfdn.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
"Russia’s Hybrid Warfare Tactics Target the Baltics" by @ebajarunas.bsky.social Published in Jamestown Perspectives: jamestown.org/program/russ... #JamestownFoundation #JamestownPerspectives
jamestown.org
Russia’s Hybrid Warfare Tactics Target the Baltics
We are publishing this piece because Ambassador Eitvydas Bajarūnas has a wide range of governmental experiences that give him unique insight into modern political warfare. Among his many overseas post...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 31/05/2025
"Russia is prepared for a prolonged war and is currently not thinking about peace." @ebajarunas.bsky.social‬
kyivindependent.com
‘There we go again’ — For war-weary Europe, Trump-Putin call yet another signal to ‘wake up’
After a two-hour call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, Russia reiterated its refusal for a full ceasefire in the war in Ukraine while the U.S. once again…
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 19/01/2025
"A more assertive policy is crucial to addressing the shadow fleet, particularly in the Baltic Sea, as the region cannot afford to delay." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
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Choking Russia’s Shadow Fleet in the Baltic
Efforts to shut down the shadow fleet have taken on greater urgency after attacks on NATO members’ critical infrastructure.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 15/01/2025
Choking Russia’s Shadow Fleet in the Baltic | "Efforts to shut down the shadow fleet have taken on greater urgency after attacks on NATO members’ critical infrastructure. Here’s what’s needed." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
cepa.org
Choking Russia’s Shadow Fleet in the Baltic
Efforts to shut down the shadow fleet have taken on greater urgency after attacks on NATO members’ critical infrastructure.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 14/01/2025
Today, CEPA is excited to launch a landmark, expert-driven initiative to combat Russian hybrid attacks against the transatlantic alliance.
cepa.org
Countering Russia’s Shadow War
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 05/01/2025
To repel Russian attacks, the West must take action that is “sufficiently devastating to make Russian eyes water and deter future misbehavior.” @ebajarunas.bsky.social
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Lithuanian newly appointed Prime Minister Gintaras Paluckas is paying his first visit to Ukraine today and says he feels “privilege and honour”. The Prime Minister is accompanied by almost the entire cabinet. www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
lrt.lt
Lithuanian PM says he feels ‘privilege and honour’ during first Kyiv visit
Lithuanian Prime Minister Gintautas Paluckas is paying his first visit to Ukraine on Friday and says he feels “privilege...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 16/12/2024
“We need deterrence by punishment,” @ebajarunas.bsky.social discusses the Western response to Russian hybrid warfare. “We are at war, and the first thing we need is to recognize we are at war.”
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 14/12/2024
"The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a model for tackling hybrid threats." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
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Baltic Power Shows Way on Hybrid Threats
The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a new model for tackling hybrid threats.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 13/12/2024
"The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a model for tackling hybrid threats." @ebajarunas.bsky.social
buff.ly
Baltic Power Shows Way on Hybrid Threats
The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a new model for tackling hybrid threats.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Lithuania MFA | #StandWithUkraine @lithuaniamfa.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Today, Kęstutis Budrys assumes office as the Foreign Minister of #Lithuania. "We will actively work with allies and partners to achieve stability and democracy in Europe and its neighbourhood. Lithuania's voice in the world will remain loud and clear," states FM Budrys.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 09/12/2024
Someone Else’s Fault — Kremlin Propagandists Explain Syrian Collapse | "As Syria’s fleeing dictator arrived in Moscow, the state’s mouthpieces battled to shield Putin from any blame." @juliadavisnews.bsky.social
cepa.org
Someone Else’s Fault — Kremlin Propagandists Explain Syrian Collapse
As Syria’s fleeing dictator, Bashar al-Assad, arrived in Moscow, the state’s mouthpieces battled to shield Putin from any blame.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 09/12/2024
Baltic Power Shows Way on Hybrid Threats | "The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a model for tackling hybrid threats." Eitvydas Bajarūnas
cepa.org
Baltic Power Shows Way on Hybrid Threats
The Baltic states, with a long history of Russian interference, offer a new model for tackling hybrid threats.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Democracy must and can defend itself, especially against external influences: Romanian court cancels presidential election amid Russian influence fears. #hybdirthreats www.politico.eu/article/roma...
politico.eu
Romanian court cancels presidential election amid Russian influence fears
Constitutional court throws Romanian politics into turmoil, 2 days before runoff vote was due to take place.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 05/12/2024
“At the last NATO summit in July 2024, allied leaders reaffirmed that if hybrid operations against member states escalate to the level of an armed attack, it could potentially prompt the invocation of Article 5.” Eitvydas Bajarūnas
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NATO to revise strategy on how to tackle hybrid warfare – DW – 12/05/2024
The military alliance is looking for more ways to protect members' assets from sabotage by actors such as Russia and China. There is even discussion on whether hybrid warfare could trigger Article 5…
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Vatnik Soup @vatniksoup.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
FBI, together with international partners, disrupted Kremlin's AI bot farm spreading anti-Ukraine sentiments. Reminder to everyone: there is no need to debate with the crypto/"US patriot" accounts on X, unless you're interested in arguing with AI. Fortunately, they're not yet here.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
#DeutscheWelle on decision of #NATO foreign ministers to look for more ways to protect members' assets from sabotage by 🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳 and on whether hybrid warfare could trigger Article 5 of the NATO treaty. Sharing my thoughts on the subject. @cepa.bsky.social amp.dw.com/en/nato-to-r...
amp.dw.com
NATO to revise strategy on how to tackle hybrid warfare – DW – 12/05/2024
The military alliance is looking for more ways to protect members' assets from sabotage by actors like Russia and China. There is even discussion on whether hybrid warfare could trigger Article 5 of t...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
TechCrunch @techcrunch.com · 05/12/2024
EU puts TikTok on watch over election security
tcrn.ch
EU puts TikTok on watch over election security
The European Commission has responded to widespread concerns swirling around the impact of TikTok on elections in Romania by announcing it’s stepping up monitoring of the platform’s compliance with the bloc’s online governance framework, the Digital…
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 01/12/2024
"Moscow’s hybrid war on the West needs a robust and smart response, which means coordinated action from the European Union." Eitvydas Bajarūnas
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How to Counter Russia’s Hybrid Threats? First, Make Them a Priority
Moscow’s hybrid war on the West needs a robust and smart response, which means coordinated action from the European Union.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 04/12/2024
“The only place growth is still noticeable is in sectors linked to the military. Everywhere else in the economy growth is absent, or, at best, anaemic,” Alexander Kolyandr on Russia’s economic growth.
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Russia’s rouble plunges to lowest rate since early weeks of Ukraine war
Rouble hit 110 against the dollar after US introduced sanctions against Gazprombank, Russia’s third largest bank
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Great idea, as the consequence of recent Russia’s hybrid attacks and sabotage activities: the NATO has begun planning for its own fleet of unmanned boats meant to help protect critical undersea infrastructure across the Baltic and Mediterranean seas. www.defensenews.com/breaking-new...
defensenews.com
NATO draws up plans for its own fleet of naval surveillance drones
Officials envision fielding a network of drone-based sensors for keeping tabs on vital undersea cables and pipelines in the Baltic and Mediterranean seas.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
The Russian #rouble has recently experienced significant depreciation, reaching its lowest levels since March 2022. Key factors: recent U.S. sanctions on Gazprombank, high domestic interest rates and escalating geopolitical tensions. Fingers crossed rouble continue its course!
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 25/11/2024
Stakes Rise in Baltic ‘Sabotage’ Standoff | "The West once again faces a choice after the latest apparent attack on its critical infrastructure. Any response will come at a high price." Elisabeth Braw
cepa.org
Stakes Rise in Baltic ‘Sabotage’ Standoff
The West once again faces a choice after the latest apparent attack on its critical infrastructure in the Baltics.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 25/11/2024
How to Counter Russia’s Hybrid Threats? First, Make Them a Priority | "Moscow’s hybrid war on the West needs a robust and smart response, which means coordinated action from the European Union." Eitvydas Bajarūnas
cepa.org
How to Counter Russia’s Hybrid Threats? First, Make Them a Priority
Moscow’s hybrid war on the West needs a robust and smart response, which means coordinated action from the European Union.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 25/11/2024
"The new European Defense Commissioner’s priority should be boosting private finance for European defense companies." Alexandre Buhler #DigitalAlliance
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European Defense: Close the Finance Gap
The new European Defense Commissioner’s priority should be boosting private finance for European defense companies.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
My latest article as a Visiting Fellow at the @cepa.bsky.social explores how the #EU should prioritize countering #hybridthreats: "How to Counter Russia’s Hybrid Threats? First, Make Them a Priority." cepa.org/article/how-...
cepa.org
How to Counter Russia’s Hybrid Threats? First, Make Them a Priority
Moscow’s hybrid war on the West needs a robust and smart response, which means coordinated action from the European Union.
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Brian Whitmore @powervertical.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Is the Kremlin really seeking to break up the United States? On the new Power Vertical Podcast, I speak with Russian opposition journalist Mikhail Zygar and retired CIA veteran John Sipher (@johnsipher.bsky.social) about Putin’s plot against America www.powervertical.org/2024/11/22/p...
powervertical.org
PUTIN’S PLOT AGAINST AMERICA
For decades, Russian commentators and segments of the Russian political elite have been confidently predicting that the United States would eventually suffer the exact same fate as the Soviet Union…
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
SAINT JAVELIN @saintjavelin.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Remember when russians said sanctions wouldn't hurt? Now their bread costs 103 rubles, their mortgages are at 28%, and their ruble is worth less than Monopoly money. Turns out war isn't just costly for Ukraine.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
European governments and the United States have accused Russia of intensifying "hybrid attacks" following reports that Baltic Sea fiber-optic communications cables were damaged by suspected sabotage. #hybridthreats www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
lrt.lt
Europeans probe Baltic cable damage as suspicions turn toward Russia
European governments and the United States have accused Russia of intensifying "hybrid attacks" following reports that B...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Edward Lucas @edwardlucas.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
this is excellent -- how to get sub-threshold defence/deterrence in the Baltics (and avoid WW3) www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Reassessing NATO’s deterrence and defence posture in the Baltics: rebalancing strategic priorities to counter Russian hybrid aggression
Russia's full-scale (re)invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022 has energised longstanding security concerns of the Baltic states. To ensure their security, NATO implemented an enhanced Forward P...
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 20/11/2024
“Ukraine is slowly being forced back in the eastern battlefields – it needs a new approach and its frontline soldiers agree.” Dyveke Undertun Aarhus and Michael C. DiCianna #1000days
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Dig for Victory — Ukraine Must Fortify in the East
Ukraine is slowly being forced back into the eastern battlefields — it needs a new approach to victory and its frontline soldiers agree.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Great meeting of @helsinkicomm.bsky.social - hearing “1000 Days of 🇷🇺’s War on 🇺🇦” chaired by Rep.Joe Wilson, online message by @zelenskyy-ua.bsky.social, witnesses – Andrii Sybiha, 🇺🇦FM, Hanna Hopko, fmr Chair of 🇺🇦Rada FACommittee, Mariia Kucherenko & @andrewmichta.bsky.social Strong support from US.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Any need to have more evidence of the dangers of #hybridthreats & #sabotage activities: "… Telia says that the communications cable between Lithuania and Sweden was also damaged.” t.co/E5npY7SFZ8
t.co
https://www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-english/19/2416006/undersea-cable-between-lithuania-and-sweden-damaged-telia
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Reposted by Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Center for European Policy Analysis @cepa.org · 15/11/2024
Making Russia Pay for Hybrid Attacks | "There is a range of actions the West can take to counter Russia‘s malign activities. With the problem worsening, they need to be swiftly considered and implemented." Eitvydas Bajarūnas
cepa.org
Making Russia Pay for Hybrid Attacks
There is a range of actions the West can take to counter Russia‘s malign activities. With the problem worsening, they need to be swift.
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Eitvydas Bajarūnas @ebajarunas.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
My new article as @cepa.bsky.social Visiting Fellow on #Russia’s #hybridthreats deterrence-by-punishments - “Making Russia Pay for Hybrid Attacks” cepa.org/article/maki...
cepa.org
Making Russia Pay for Hybrid Attacks
There is a range of actions the West can take to counter Russia‘s malign activities. With the problem worsening, they need to be swift.
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