David Beard @dwbeard.bsky.social · 22/09/2026"X always outperform their polling" is exactly what gets said right before X underperforms their polling www.politico.com/news/magazin... 030
David Beard @dwbeard.bsky.social · 04/11/2025This is a pretty enormous if! www.nytimes.com/2025/10/17/w... 020