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Dustin Gouker

@dustingouker.bsky.social
254 followers 174 following 163 posts

Sports betting and gambling industry consultant/analyst. Pennsylvanian turned Oregonian. Love and hate all Philly sports. GWU alum. Find my words at: closingline.substack.com Consulting work: closinglineconsulting.com

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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Drew Harwell @drewharwell.com · 04/03/2026
. @amandalfischer.bsky.social: “How is an 86-year-old theocratic leader supposed to lose his power other than through death?” @dustingouker.bsky.social: “They could have easily made the title ‘by way other than death,’ but that’s obviously not as exciting to trade" Gift link: wapo.st/4slNDyG
wapo.st
Bettors wagered $54 million on Khamenei’s death. Now they’re not getting paid.
Kalshi, a prediction market site, has sparked outrage after freezing $54 million in bets on the death of Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, citing a rule against profiting from death.
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
The Onion @theonion.com · 02/03/2026
Trump Wins $60 On Kalshi Betting He’ll Bomb Iran theonion.com/trump-wins-60-on-kalsh…
Trump Wins $60 On Kalshi Betting He’ll Bomb Iran
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Sean Keeley @seankeeley.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
"One of the points of prediction markets is supposed to be getting us to “the truth” and probabilities of real-world events. This whole episode was basically the polar opposite of that at Kalshi." - @dustingouker.bsky.social
bit.ly
The Chaos of Khamenei Prediction Markets
As the world became aware that the US and Israel had conducted strikes against Iran, many were discovering for the first time that traders were wagering on outcomes related to those strikes.
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Fooch @davidfucillo.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Somehow it is absolutely fitting that Kalshi announced a partnership a month ago with Mark Sanchez's podcast. Wonder if they'll set a market for if that partnership will get canceled 😏 (h/t @dustingouker.bsky.social)
Screenshot of tweet by Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announcing a partnership with Fox Sports and Mark Sanchez's podcast called Rearview.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Either JD Vance has become the new Nick Castellanos or Nick is hitting an absolute tank tonight.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Bovada’s run is over after just two days! Congrats to BetOnline.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
I was on Twitter for a bit to get some engagement for my new newsletter, and 1. It still doesn’t work for getting people to read content and 2. It’s still terrible there. I will try not to relapse.
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 09/04/2025
the one silver lining to all of this is seeing this parade of dipshits get their just desserts
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Seems like a legit press release
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
I think this might be the greatest hype video of all time
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Who needs a retirement account when I can live trade women’s basketball at Kalshi and Robinhood
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Awful Announcing @awfulannouncing.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
The ESPN and Penn relationship has not performed as expected. How much of that was poor execution versus unrealistic expectations? awfulannouncing.com/gambling/esp...
awfulannouncing.com
Five reasons why ESPN Bet never had a chance
Was ESPN Bet doomed from the start? The worldwide leader in sports has failed to gain any traction for its sports betting platform.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
It’s a great a time to go through the whole Wolfenstein catalog on PlayStation Plus
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Some media outlets are passing the test and some are failing
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
I started a new newsletter about prediction markets like Kalshi. Now that they've gotten into sports betting, it seemed like time to do more. It's weekly for now, so I won't be spamming your inbox. nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/kalshi-sup...
nexteventhorizon.substack.com
How Much Money Is Being Traded On The Super Bowl at Kalshi?
Sports trading in general is off to a bit of a slow start at the prediction market platform.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Let’s see how the sports bettors are doing on Kalshi
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
Why are you even playing Daniels if you are gonna run the ball😂
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
🦅🦅🦅
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Have mostly been offline but I see we are doing Nazi salutes on Inauguration Day/MLK Day, really looking forward to the next four years
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Hurts with more total yards than Mahomes and Allen for the record.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Never a doubt
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Eagles are now at -7 on DraftKings, and it’s at -120.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Lions are so unserious
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
How do you not go for two?
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Gonna have to wait for Bills or Ravens for ball don’t lie
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Game feels entirely broken. Mahomes dances around inviting nonsense, Texans don’t even do anything wrong and get 15 yards. Can’t have this next season.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
The Packers fan who filmed the asshole Eagles fan also getting put in a body bag is the good stuff. www.barstoolsports.com/blog/3536101...
barstoolsports.com
Upon Further Review, It Would Appear The Packers Fan Who Recorded Incident In Philly Is Also A Gigantic Loser
Before we get going here let me just start off by saying this is the last blog I'm writing about this subject. I don't care if anymore updates come out of it. I am so ungodly sick of this story and ca...
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Was on Twitter for a hot second, and the third entry under the "news" tab for news about DefSec nominee Pete Hegseth came from Libs of Tik Tok, if you're wondering how things are going over there.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
If my team were doing what the Vikings are doing with the clock down 18 in a playoff game, that would be the end of my fandom.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Playoff teams vs. Vikings and Packers QBs
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
Rewatched some highlights and all 22 of the Eagles game, and If I were the CB that gave up the Goedert TD I don’t think I could ever show up in a locker room again. That was the equivalent of getting stuffed in a locker.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Look GB recovered it, but Nixon lowers his helmet at the last second, so miss me with the targeting nonsense
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Dotson TD? In this economy?
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
And a very good “Go Birds” to you as well.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
There's been a lot of virtual ink spilled on FanDuel revising US revenue guidance because of a bad Q4. What if I told you it might be worse for every other US sportsbook? Insights in today's newsletter (paywalled) below, along with a free news roundup. closingline.substack.com/p/the-cashou...
closingline.substack.com
The Cashout: Bad Q4 Not Just A FanDuel Problem For US Sports Betting
Early December numbers are not looking great for US sportsbooks. Plus a roundup of gambling industry news.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Got to boo a Commanders fan when dropping off my daughter at school, I am locking in early.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
An addendum, I am not entirely against markets for real-world events/disasters, but there needs to be more to it than "someone at Polymarket woke up and decided to put up a market on the California fires."
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Maybe the lesson behind the demise of Venu is the friends we made along the way
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Eric Fisher @aericfisher.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Venu Sports is toast, gone before it ever hit the market. frontofficesports.com/venu-espn-fo...
frontofficesports.com
Disney, Fox, WBD Drop Venu Sports Joint Venture
Venu Sports, the embattled sports-streaming service whose big ambitions never made it to a public debut, is no more.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Wrote something about the idea that we don't really need to be able to bet on the California fires. And here's a mockup of the DraftKings-Delta partnership closingline.substack.com/p/the-takeaw...
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
The Vikings are such an unserious team falling for that
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
see schrader @seeschrader.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Here are two consecutive recommended articles that some algorithm served up to me. Very helpful and not at all conflicting.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Gambling content sharps: Everyone wants to be sharp! Actual bettors:
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Action Network reported a “projected line” for Texas-Ohio State before the quarterfinals were over of Texas -2, and I am not sure I’ve ever seen something more embarrassing in sports betting history.
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Ball don’t lie
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
Great time for a terrible joke
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Jared Holt @jaredlholt.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Merry Christmas to investors who have sank billions of dollars into AI products. This is truly world-changing stuff.
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Awful Announcing @awfulannouncing.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
The full Fresno State Bulldongs experience
"Fresno State Bulldongs" graphic on ESPN"Fresno State Bulldongs" graphic on ESPN"Fresno State Bulldongs" graphic on ESPN"Fresno State Bulldongs" graphic on ESPN
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Dustin Gouker @dustingouker.bsky.social · 24/12/2024
It’s honestly insane there isn’t stuff on
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Reposted by Dustin Gouker
Chris Jackson @chriscjackson.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
A surefire way to get rich is to always fade Clay Travis.
Clay Travis getting all three football games today hilariously wrong
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