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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦

@drggong.bsky.social
563 followers 1.1K following 186 posts

Born in China and educated in the West, sharing unique insights on the latest trends in business, tech, politics, and research. Ex-Capital Markets Economist | Ph.D. in Management Science | Business Scientist More About Me: garroshub.github.io

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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
#econsky Why Foundational Knowledge Matters More in the AI Era I often use frontier #AI to discuss econ & markets. IMO, the key risk: it can be confidently wrong. Without fundamentals, you may miss it. #STEM still matters. AI makes #domainknowledge + #criticalthinking more valuable.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky How Can Mergers Make Power Plants More Efficient? Acquisitions can raise physical efficiency even without more capital spending. Recent research shows how ownership changes and operating practices shape #Mergers, #Productivity and #Antitrust. youtu.be/cvYa8EPe4ZA
youtu.be
How Can Mergers Make Power Plants More Efficient?
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky How Can #MinimumWage Hikes Raise Pay Without Costing Jobs? Higher pay does not always mean mass layoffs. New research shows firms also adjust through hiring, retention, and entry. Follow for more. youtu.be/4_pekJlWF1Y
youtu.be
How Can Minimum Wage Hikes Raise Pay Without Costing Jobs?
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky Do Welfare Benefits Make People Lazy? Lower benefits can speed up reemployment, but also push workers into jobs they would otherwise reject. New research shows how #Savings and #UnemploymentInsurance shape #JobSearch and bargaining power. youtu.be/0kxEltpfETc
youtu.be
Do Welfare Benefits Make People Lazy?
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky #Tariffs’ Hidden Cost to the U.S. Tax Base #TRUMP often sells tariffs as import revenue. But what if some fiscal effects show up elsewhere? I made a short video from my recent paper on how firms adjust to tariffs and what it means for the U.S. tax base. youtu.be/hVHeJr69LRY
youtu.be
Tariffs’ Hidden Cost to the U.S. Tax Base
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
#econsky Tariffs’ Hidden Cost to the U.S. Tax Base I’m pleased to share my first economics research paper, accepted in Managerial and Decision Economics. We find higher #tariff pressure tracked wider tax gaps pre-2018, especially at globally dispersed U.S. #MNCs. doi.org/10.1002/mde....
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
#AcademicSky #BasketballAnalytics What Should a #Basketball Team Prepare for First? I am glad to share that my solo-authored #sportsanalytics paper has been accepted to #CMSAC at #CMU. It builds an opponent-adjusted defensive scouting framework using public NCAA data.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky How #Universities Turn #Research into Business Value in the AI Era? When frontier #AI needs more compute than university labs can match, where can universities still create value? New research offers some ideas. www.youtube.com/watch?v=FIi8...
youtube.com
How Universities Can Turn Research into Business Value in the AI Era
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky Why fewer #angelinvestors meant fewer #startups Angel checks often fund the first product or hire, before banks or VCs step in. A new JFE paper shows what happens when that money disappears. More business puzzles on my channel. www.youtube.com/watch?v=etJ0...
youtube.com
Why fewer angel investors meant fewer startups
YouTube video by Dr. Power Law
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky Does Less #Traffic Make a City Better? I read an urban #economicspaper on how faster roads reshape where families live, commute, and who bears the cost. In this episode, I’ll walk through it and explain why less traffic can change cities in unexpected ways.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
#econsky #AcademicSky Can #FoodDelivery Apps Widen a #Health Gap? I read an interesting #researchpaper on how food delivery platforms change eating habits, time use, and weight across income groups. In this episode, I’ll explain why they affect people in very different ways.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
#econsky #SpaceX Back to Earth SpaceX is now below its first-day open. Bargain setup? Two reads: - #Starlink is real, FCF is not. - #Starship is the swing factor. - Orbital compute is upside. - Reusable launch faces China. - #Space DCs face physics. Entry point or first real test?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
#econsky Still using #ML only for #prediction? Prediction matters, but econ ≠ accuracy only. ML now informs causal inference, policy eval, structural models & measurement. My #GitHubrepo updates: installable #agentskill for calibration, validation, policy eval & structural diag.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
#NBAsky #DataScience Is Changing the NBA #Trade Market The #JaylenBrown trade confirms that #NBA teams no longer price players by basic stats alone. Advanced statistics now shape trade value: #Giannis, #Kawhi, and #LaMelo drew premium returns, while #Brown and #Randle were discounted.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
#econsky #AI May Distort Economic #Statistics A few #macro distortions are visible: (1)wages rise as jobs fall: AI cuts junior roles. (2)AI use surges, but GDP lags:37%of tokens are in knowledge work. (3)AI vendors book revenue; adopters’ productivity gains stay undercounted.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
#econsky Another bombshell for American #academia: The #WhiteHouse OMB is proposing rules that would give political appointees final approval over federal research grants. The implication is serious: less scientific #peerreview, more #politicalcontrol.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
#econsky The #AI Robot Data Demand Pyramid #Robot AI’s bigger bottleneck may not be HW, but #data. LLMs learn from web text. Robots need real-world trajectories: motion, touch, force, joints, motor control. See the pyramid graph. Potential opp.: data infra, sim platforms, sensors, and data gov.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
#econsky #AI-era business models redefine how firms deliver value. #MITSloan frames it in 4 quadrants: 1. From selling products to delivering outcomes. 2. From doing tasks to supervising systems and owning results. The key shift: from structured #execution to #adaptive coordination.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
#econsky Can Policy Reverse Low Fertility? Most pro-birth policies mainly shift births earlier rather than raise lifetime fertility. If low fertility is structural, the effects extend far beyond demographics: labor supply, pensions, housing, and long-term financial planning may all need to adapt.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
#econsky Do #Europe and #Canada really lack #competitiveness? If competitiveness means short-term growth, the U.S. looks stronger. But in an aging world, uncontrolled per-capita #healthcare costs are #fiscally unsustainable. Maybe competitiveness is also about how well an economy endures.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
#AcademicSky #emergency Grateful to the @uwaterloo.ca for featuring our #POM research on #wildfire response. As wildfire season approaches, I hope this work reaches more agencies and decision-makers thinking about how to #governpublicattention in crisis response. uwaterloo.ca/news/media/w...
uwaterloo.ca
The wildfire paradox: How social media quickens response but strains resources | Waterloo News
Social media posts are a double-edged sword for public agencies that respond to emergencies such as wildfires. New research from the University of Waterloo shows that while posts by citizens who see e...
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Our #POM paper is now fully published + video live. With #wildfire season near: agencies interpret public signals, and the public should recognize their posts shape resource allocation. If useful, share to support this dual learning. 📄 doi.org/10.1177/1059... 🎥 youtu.be/xSLmoB9vAkw #AcademicSky
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
#AcademicSky What if #socialmedia makes #wildfire response worse? Our new #POM study identifies a #VisibilityEfficiencyParadox: faster mobilization can become costly over-response near capacity, highlighting the need for stronger dispatch governance. @uwaterloo.ca See the link below.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
#econsky #techsky #Meta dropped #MuseSpark: ~72B params, not SOTA, but maybe ~10x compute-efficient on reasoning. 1. Why closed-source "small"? Eff., speed, IP. Less Llama-style scale chasing, more deployable #AI. 2. Biz opp: #paidAPI + on-device AI for Meta's users. Right 1st step to #SOTA?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
#econsky #Anthropic Revenue Now Exceeds #OpenAI OpenAI built the market. Anthropic is monetizing it. - OAI wins consumer mindshare - Anthropic wins enterprise monetization - Claude Code has a rapid scale - Next moat = inference infra + workflow lock-in If Anthropic IPOs, premium to OAI?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
#econsky The #bondmarket is telling the future. 1. When the 10Y surged, it wasn’t growth, it was #inflation repricing 2. When yields rose with weaker #labordata, it signaled tightening without demand 3. When rate expectations shifted from cuts to higher for longer, the path was already repriced
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Did the #EfficientMarketHypothesis just die in the #U.S.? 1. 6:50am ET: ~$1.5B S&P futures buy → +0.3% in 1 min. 2. 7:04 am: Trump calls Iran talks “productive.” 3. 7:10am: +$2T U.S. market cap, +$60M PnL. Is the U.S. stock market slipping from developed to developing in 2026? #econsky
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Weekly #market take 1. #Gold? Not a long war yet. Funds are selling gold to cover equity losses. 2. #Blackswan? Short hedges are near 2008 extremes. Panic is high, but defenses are in place. 3. #Oil? Reserves cannot close the gap. This shock is already bigger than the 1980s oil crisis. #econsky
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
What if an #AIagent could turn a #trading idea into a backtest in minutes? I built an AI-native backtesting skill on #Zipline: schema in, results out, fast OOS + grid runs. Bundle data now, with hooks for replaceable data and future live interfaces like #IBKR. #techsky #econsky
Repo: https://github.com/garroshub/backtesting-skill
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
New #USstatistical reality: the headline prints strong, then gets revised away Now we have 13 straight monthly payrolls downward revisions, -710k in total, and 24 of the last 25 months revised lower. At this point, the first print is not data; It is #patriotic adjustments. #econsky
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
What actually happens after oil prices spike? 3 charts worth a look: 1. Geo shocks: mkts recover in 6-12mo. Panic outlasts the damage. 2. Oil's inflation impact: overstated. Energy's share of spending keeps falling. 3. Best hedge: changes every cycle. Gold & commodities rarely hold up. #econsky
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
This is the tragedy of Trump's #tariffpolicy. Some firms have already received subsidies, and now they are getting refunds to correct his mistake. #Consumers pay the price twice. It is a massive #wealthtransfer from regular people to firms. #EconSky
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
#econsky Claiming unlimited munitions has zero cost for #Trump, but spreading this #misinformation carries a real price for national readiness. Fact-check: 3,000+ PGMs gone in 36h. Replacing one AN/FPS-132 takes 8 years and 77kg of #Gallium (98% of which #China controls).
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
#econsky Think all index #ETFs are the same? This year S&P 500 equal-weight has at times beaten the standard index and looks more diversified. It isn't. Equal weight means constant #rebalancing, higher costs and tax drag. Over time, those frictions make it lag the regular S&P 500 ETF.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
#techsky #fintech I built an enterprise-style agentic framework demo for multi-account financial planning after seeing #Wealthsimple #AIBuilders post (interest only). It shows how an agent can turn multi-account data into a consistent client snapshot. (see Github link in the 1st reply)
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
#econsky Weekly #Market Heatmap Review (2026-02-23): 1. Macro: #USD up; credit firmer; long-end flat; liquidity slightly tight. 2. Sentiment: Vol down; risk-on; breadth improving. 3. Global: Ex-US leads; USD/rates still key. 4. Rotation: #Defensives/#energy lead
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
#econsky #GlobalTrade 2025: Vibes vs Data #Trump: “U.S. #TradeDeficit down 78%. 2026 surplus.” (no source, no method) U.S. stats: 2025 deficit still near highs. China's deficit is lowest in 20+ yrs. #China: 2025 #TradeSurplus a record $1.2T. Real question: Who do you trust?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
#LunarNewYear2026: The Year of the hashtag Horse Today marks the commencement of the Chinese New Year, designated as the Year of the Horse. The Horse symbolizes kinetic energy, strength, and rapid progression. Wishing you a prosperous and successful Year of the Horse.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
#econsky #Google’s 100-Year Bond: Vision or Hubris? Why now? Ans: Securing ultra-long-term funding for #AI capex. Why GBP-denominated? Ans: Large institutional demand and FX hedging. History lesson? Ans: Motorola, but it collapsed after missing a tech shift. Foresight or peak-cycle hubris?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
#econsky #academia How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis I’ve just released the #AI Economist Agent on GitHub. It anchors the Taylor Rule and Bayesian inference with a GDPCastNow module (R2=0.83) into a structural framework. Interpretable macro alpha that beats generic LLM guesses.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
#econsky 1/2: How AI Should Be Used in #EconomicAnalysis I recently built a project that may be a good case showing how I integrate #AI into economic analysis, combining the Taylor Rule with Bayesian inference into an Agent Skill. Results align with consensus, unlike direct #LLM forecasts.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
#NBASky NBA Defensive Trends: Week 14 (1.25.2026) Weekly EDI update. My Bayesian-based defensive model tracks how players defend. Highlights: 1. Wemby (#1) is still in a tier of his own. 2. Mobley (#2) & Holmgren (#2) hold firm. 3. Big jumps from Robert Williams III and Zubac.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
#econsky #Gold Rally Interpretation This gold rally may not be about risk aversion. With U.S. fiscal tightening dead, markets are pricing financial repression: #debt diluted over time. In negative real-rate regimes, gold rises as a system hedge. Is this the new reality?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
#NBAsky #VibeCoding Project: NBA Enhanced Defensive Index Modern #NBA defense is positionless, but metrics like DEPM / DLEBRON still infer individuals from the team on/off. EDI is an open-source, mechanism-first framework built to explain defense, not just rank it.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
#econsky Three charts that review the #2025market. 1. Extremely optimistic positioning in #riskequities 2. #Gold at historic highs as a defensive hedge 3. Continued expansion of FX carry trades The most accurate label is a fully #investedbearmarket.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
#econsky This #inflation breakdown is more telling than Canada’s October headline: 1. #Lowest-income: 2.5%. 2. #Renters' highest: 2.8%. 3. #Singles 2.4%, #singleparents 2.1%. 4. #Mortgage-free owners lowest: 1.8%. Wonder if the #US has a similar inflation breakdown data?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
Rethinking #DEI in #Universities I agree that reducing bias matters, but it should not narrow who can compete. Universities thrive when merit and excellence lead. Mikko Packalen's piece is a valuable read. This is about mission and standards, not left vs right. financialpost.com/opinion/opin...
financialpost.com
Opinion: Our universities need to ditch DEI and get back to merit and excellence
Led by federal granting agencies, schools strayed from their core mission to focus on ideology and identity. It has been a disaster. Read on
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
#econsky Three Overhyped #USEconomy Narratives 1️⃣ AI matters, but its GDP boost is overstated 2️⃣ #Unemployment is rising for broader reasons than #AI 3️⃣ Spending is not just driven by the rich. Markets often cling to one grand narrative, but risk usually hides in what that narrative leaves out.
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
#econsky Over the past fifteen years, #Reddit’s #relationship advice has increasingly leaned toward: • Breakups • Boundary-setting • Therapy Notably, #breakup advice spiked after 2020 (pandemic) and 2023 (ChatGPT's rise). Is this progress or emotional withdrawal?
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Dr. Garros Gong 🇨🇦 @drggong.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
#econsky #CBS puts an #anti-woke voice in charge CBS spent $150M on The Free Press and made founder Bari Weiss report to the CEO. Seen as a media coup, execs call it trust rebuilding, critics call it political appeasement. My take? The real risk is #journalism becoming a political tool. You?
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