BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 30mMO-02 has to be worse for him then, given that it's a little to the left of the state as a whole! 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 1hI saw that and thought, if they’re worried about Tennessee, then hoooh boy… 110 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 19hBelieve me, in my 20s it wouldn’t have been a problem, but that stuff makes me feel like trash in the morning now if I have more than 2 in a night. 030 3
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 19hTen drinks every day for the top 10%? I would fucking die if I had ten in ONE day. 140 4
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 20hYikes, the GOP might be lucky they didn't go for that 9-0 map. 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 21hstatic.klipy.comEverything is Proceeding Exactly as ForeseenALT: Everything is Proceeding Exactly as Foreseen 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 23hOn the flip side, the Rs have to be frustrated that they're perpetually stuck in the mid 40s in a state Trump won by 20 points. 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 16/10/2026"However, when asked who they think will win, regardless of their own preferences, most believe Ramaswamy will beat Acton (55% to 43%) and Husted and Brown are tied at 48%-48%" What is the use of this information? It seems to me like this is some kind of homage to betting markets, which... 🫠 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 16/10/2026Dallas County, just west of Des Moines, is also one to watch. Two close GOP victories there in the last few presidential elections, so I’d say if the Dem is in high single digits there, they’d start feeling good about things. 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 16/10/2026They drew a map with no competitive districts. UT-01 is a guaranteed pickup for Dems, so neither side has invested anything into it. Seeing plenty of lawn signs in Sugarhouse, though, including one for Kathleen Anderson 🤢 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026That would be a VERY good night, and it's possible. 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Thats like 2025 New Jersey-level bad. Hopefully this is what happens with the Flanagan situation in MN. 1190 19
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Wow, from last month to now, Rs actually go DOWN in the LV percentage? 😬 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026I’ve been thinking about NE-01 a lot. Osborn did win it, and at Trump+12, it’s in the same league as several others the Dems are seriously contesting. 070 7
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Nah, Fox News polling is pretty accurate (even though their news isn’t). 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Pretty close to his average approval of 37.5 on Silver Bulletin (as of 7:51 pm MDT). 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Seems like they're trying to create a fall-back line, knowing the House is gone. 0100 10
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026Gee, wonder why he never bragged about removing confederate monuments before 🤔 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 15/10/2026It’s strange Gwinnett would be trailing. Feels like those left-zooming suburbs are usually hotbeds of motivated voters. 120 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026I voted yes for Jill Pohlman because she voted in favor of the new map. I don't know anything about the others. 130 3
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026North Carolina is a pretty inelastic state on the federal level. While I thoroughly believe Cooper is winning, it wouldn't be out of the question for him to win by mid-single digits, even in a wave. 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026Weren’t you just talking about this yesterday, how the brain rot just permeates all their ranks now ? 120 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026Internal or not, you'd rather be up than down. 😀 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026Mute: The accounts that post the same thing every day and clog up my feed (e.g., "The president of the United States is a liar.") Block: "Democrats and Republicans are the same" OR "Democrats used to be the party of racism." Great observation! Mail it to the 1960s when it mattered. 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026Uh oh, did Rakich scream and throw his morning coffee through the window? 1280 28
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 14/10/2026Cook: The Democrats' Red October is here. (actual headline from 2022) 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 13/10/2026A red GA would be a consequential eyesore on what's shaping up to be a pretty blue gubernatorial map. This is the right move. 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 13/10/2026I didn't even know we were trying for TN05. There's only so much a poor economy will do when you're in the white South and a sizable portion of your district thinks black people should still be slaves. 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 13/10/2026The fact that this wasn't one poll, but a POLLING AVERAGE... just, wow. 110 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 13/10/2026But muh narrative! The blue wave wasn't supposed to hit AZ! 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Making a big pot of tomato soup for the next few days. So glad fall’s finally here. I shouldn’t be able to wear Tevas in October. 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Even that's questionable. Democrats have several states they can gerrymander to even the playing field. 030 3
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 12/10/2026No, but it almost certainly would have brought Bob Casey over the line. 120 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Hey Reuters, your editor needs to brush up on their basic civics: Senate seats are statewide and can't be gerrymandered. 1350 35
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Assuming they're being honest about the change in margins since August, that's certainly what we want to see. 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Not only is it more than enough, it's almost to the point where lots of those gerrymanders will start to fail or backfire. 1151 15
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 11/10/2026For 2028, Dems have several potential states ready to gerrymander themselves. 060 6
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Among election followers outside MSM, the Cook Political Report is usually considered a lagging indicator whose analyses don't include anything we aren't already aware of. I believe anyone is entitled to ask for money to read their content, but paying for Cook is like paying for ice in Antarctica. 150 5
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Okay then, race to the bottom it is. What are we supposed to do? Sit on our asses and complain about losing to cheaters?static.klipy.comKarate Kid: Sweep The Leg Iconic SceneALT: Karate Kid: Sweep The Leg Iconic Scene 000 0
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 10/10/2026We're getting our ballots mailed out this Tuesday in Utah, so I anticipate that within a week, I'll have filled mine out and put it in the drop box at the library up the street (NOT gonna send it in the mail, never do). 020 2
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 10/10/2026I mean, I'll give them that they clearly pushed their undecideds. 010 1
BlueWaveSurfer @dr-zap.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Wow, there was already a good chance Weiser would win Colorado springs, but this seals it. 020 2