Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 8hProbably, but Pappas losing while Dems win MN, NI, and ME is plausible. I'm not predicting that! I'm just saying we've gotten burned on these kinds of predictions before and should not overly rely on polling to narrow the map of states and districts that need work 100
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 8hMy main thing is that there is too much certainty in both directions. I’m not saying NH is the most ??? state on the map. I’m saying not everything is either 50/50 or 100/0 100
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 8hMaybe I’m wrong! But given NH’s history over the last decade and the trend of polls overestimating our side for some number of cycles, i think it would be foolish to take it for granted. 200
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 9hI think we’ll win. It’ll be close. NH has elected a Republican governor and legislature every two years since 2016 110
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 9h(Yes pols, not polls. Polls are flawed but responsibly collected data is what it is) 000
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 9hI’m from New Hampshire and i believe both that Pappas is likely to win and that national pols often take New Hampshire for granted for the same reason they used to take MI, WI, and PA for granted: consistent presidential wins that ignore narrow margins and recent down-ballot history 230
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 9hWith apologies to the assignment editors who keep trying to make Certain Names happen 030
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 9hEvery Republican presidential primary includes MSM-friendly candidates who are just in it for a Fox News contract. The 2028 Democratic primary has a few doing the same thing. We are not going to nominate someone who tells liberals/lefties to shut up, sit down, and stop trying to solve big problems. 150
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 11hMaricopa County has: (1) a Republican in charge of its elections (2) a majority of the population in a top battleground state 092
Reposted by Doug LindnerRadley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 11hJust a reminder: Tillis persuaded the woman Hegseth allegedly raped to come forward with her story, and told her that if she did, it would sink the nomination. She did. At great risk to herself. Tillis then cast the deciding vote for Hegseth. Because he’s a goddamned coward.ms.nowOutgoing Sen. Tillis regrets pivotal vote for Hegseth: ‘He’s an actor. He’s not a manager’Outgoing Sen. Thom Tillis spoke to MS NOW about regretting his vote to confirm Pete Hegseth and his strained relationship with Trump. 21881342569
Reposted by Doug LindnerDoug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 18hSCOTUS will hear Suncor v. Boulder at 10am today. It's the biggest climate case since 2022, when MAGA Justices invented a fake constitutional "doctrine" to hamstring EPA's authority to fight climate pollution under the Clean Air Act.lcv.orgSuncor v. Boulder: the Supreme Court climate lawsuit against Big Polluters, and what it means for youPolluter-caused climate change costs all of us money. This case will decide whether the American people can sue Big Polluters to make them pay their share. 1178
Reposted by Doug LindnerDoug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 18hNYT reported six months ago that SCOTUS internal deliberations on blocking Obama’s signature climate plan involved no discussion of any specific law or precedent. This morning, the MAGA-majority Supreme Court will consider blocking every climate accountability lawsuit in state courts nationwide. 27252
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 18hSCOTUS will hear Suncor v. Boulder at 10am today. It's the biggest climate case since 2022, when MAGA Justices invented a fake constitutional "doctrine" to hamstring EPA's authority to fight climate pollution under the Clean Air Act.lcv.orgSuncor v. Boulder: the Supreme Court climate lawsuit against Big Polluters, and what it means for youPolluter-caused climate change costs all of us money. This case will decide whether the American people can sue Big Polluters to make them pay their share. 1178
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 18hNYT reported six months ago that SCOTUS internal deliberations on blocking Obama’s signature climate plan involved no discussion of any specific law or precedent. This morning, the MAGA-majority Supreme Court will consider blocking every climate accountability lawsuit in state courts nationwide. 27252
Reposted by Doug LindnerDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 05/10/2026A 10K contribution and a $900 million return. The scale of the graft in Homeland Security is a) off the charts and b) possible because no-one believes they will face any accountability 512301831
Reposted by Doug LindnerBill @bill-of-lefts.bsky.social · 05/10/2026The loss of living memory of the Second World War is absolutely catastrophic 552718378
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Jewish lives matter. Palestinian lives matter. Acknowledge both or stop pretending to hold the moral high ground. 170
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026And again: Netanyahu is terrible, AIPAC is terrible, Palestinian lives matter. You can and should say that without being antisemitic. 160
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026It's a bit like certain high profile posters who can't distinguish between AIPAC and J Street. If that distinction doesn't mean anything to you, red flag! 120
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Is your problem with zionists or (((zionists)))? Again, Netanyahu and his wars are extremely bad, that's not what this is about 220
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026I'm increasingly skeptical of people using "Zionism" as a negative label. Say what you will about Netanyahu, and I think he belongs at the Hague, but be clear about whether your position is (1) the occupation of Palestine needs to end or (2) something terrible should happen to Jews in Tel Aviv 151
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Just last year Senate Republicans were so afraid of Trump they confirmed Kash Patel, Pete Hegseth, RFK Jr., and Tulsi Gabbard. 022
Reposted by Doug LindnerMark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Again, <only Republicans> ever get to talk like this. If a single municipal level Democrat ever did, it would be a national outrage &spark a wave of “civility” discourse, & op-eds about how Dems must Respect Real Folkz & talk across difference. Democracy is incompatible with this double standard. 582233580
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026“I’m James Talarico and I approve this message” 290
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Kind of makes sense honestly. I trust Claude or ChatGPT far less than Wikipedia, but far more than Newsmax. But as we’ve seen with Grok, these things can easily be manipulated by their corporate owners, which we can’t trust and need to regulate urgently  051
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026And yes it’s exacerbated in america by deeply antiquated institutional design (presidential system, first past the post, single-member districts, indefensible situation with voting rights, gerrymandering, and money-in-politics driven by a bad faith SCOTUS…) 041
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Sure, some of that is on leaders and institutions of the center-left, but the real collapse is of the center-right. 161
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026The global far-right populism crisis is not a failure of liberalism. It’s a a failure of centrism. 261
Reposted by Doug LindnerKevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 03/10/2026It is 2006, and Karl Rove is mocking people for calling Republicans "Nazis" It is 2026, and Karl Rove is encouraging people to call Republicans "Nazis" 1272397591
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026For all their dismissal of the legal academy, they’ve created a regime dependent on essentially academic arguments about historical and linguistic oddities that have no objective answers, rare relevance, and too little honesty to be worthy of even a symposium, let alone the high courtto 1151
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026//we have a game of endless Calvinball, in which new doctrines are invented whole cloth—the "major questions doctrine," the "qualified immunity doctrine," the "unitary executive doctrine"—in order to enable whatever the Republican cause du jour happens to be.// 0195
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026The Saudis gave him $2 billion to start this private equity firm in 2021, after he got to know them in the first Trump admin. 171
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Weird how a lifetime appointment to the most powerful court in the world leads one to accumulate hubris over the years 020
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026If he retires before the end of the current senators’ terms in January 100
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Let’s see what happens in the lame duck if the senate flips. Alito is the most partisan justice, which is a super high barpolitico.comJustice Alito confirms he is considering retirementThe conservative Supreme Court justice said in a CBS News interview that he’ll revisit the issue next year. 54313
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Republicans haven’t lost any statewide election in Texas since 1990 97414
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026(yes i'm aware it's not the same sherman but they were brothers, it's fine) 010
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Opioids and social media also up there but not #1 000
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The #1 threat to high-trust society in America in 2026 is fascism 170
Reposted by Doug LindnerDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Every one of these guys is thinking the same thing: how much money can I extract from giving Defense contracts to the tech industry? Even the govt officials are calculating when to make the jump over to the vendors they are nominally going to be buying from. 1138191
Reposted by Doug LindnerMatthew Gertz @mattgertz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026They're holding up a major escalation in Iran and a crackdown on abortion until after the midterms to limit political damage. To the extent that the last two years have been a right-wing smash-and-grab operation, the next two will be worse. 20262522882
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Trial balloon following the East Wing and the Kennedy Center 030
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026“If elected, I promise not to make the CIA send a big list of employees via unclassified email, which is a real thing that happened in 2025.” 0382
Doug Lindner @douglindner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Also huge: let the office workers work from home, at least some of the time. Everyone in DC knows a bunch of feds who hate their return-to-office mandates. That’s some DOGE nonsense, and promising to fix it could help protect democracy. 2539