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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

Isaiah Likely was one of the most used players in motion last season. • 5th highest rate of snaps in pre-snap motion • 19th highest rate of snaps in motion at the snap

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

Number of games per season with 0 TDs and 5 TDs (2000–2025) Congrats to the Jets on 10 straight seasons with at least 2 games without a TD. Sorry to the Saints for ending a 19-year streak of scoring 5+ TDs in at least one game per season.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

With the Giants win over the Cowboys, they will now pick between #3-#6 depending on the outcomes of the Cardinals, Jets, and Commanders games. • All 3 of ARI, NYJ, WAS win: #3 pick • 2 of those win: #4 pick • 1 of those win: #5 pick • All 3 lose: #6 pick

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

NYJ 1st Round Draft Pick Scenarios

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 29/12/2025

QB EPA/Play Rankings 1) Brock Purdy: +0.33 2) Drake Maye: +0.31 3) Jordan Love: +0.28 40) Shedeur Sanders: -0.18

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/12/2025

How often do defenses disguise who’s rushing the QB and who’s dropping into coverage?

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/12/2025

Number of Runs Between Play-Action Giants: • Weeks 1-10 (Daboll): 2.6 runs (13th) • Weeks 11-16 (Kafka): 3.8 runs (30th) Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/12/2025

Week 17 Tank Rooting Guide How to read: find your team's column and root for each logo to win Example: a Browns win would be 0.5 picks better for the Giants’ tank than a Browns loss.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/12/2025

Week 17 Draft Implications How a win or loss impacts each team’s average draft pick

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Updated Draft Pick Probabilities before MNF

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

Looking specifically at the MIN-NYG game for the Giants tank… NYG loss: • NYG get #1 pick: 29.0% • NYG get top 5 pick: 92.3% • avg NYG pick: 2.9 NYG win: • NYG get #1 pick: 5.8% • NYG get top 5 pick: 58.2% • avg NYG pick: 5.0

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

Week 16 Tank Rooting Guide Based on 40,000 rest-of-season simulations per Week 16 game, fixing each possible outcome.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

Protected Strength of Schedules Based

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 10/12/2025

Week 15 Tank Rooting Guide Find your tanking team's column and root for each logo to win

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Draft Pick Probabilities Raiders take the top spot!

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

Week 14 Tank Rooting Guide "Find your tanking team's column and root for each logo to win"

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 14/11/2025

Strength of Schedule Comparison Games against Top 10 teams* • Patriots: 2 (Bills x2) • Texans: 8 Games against Bottom 10 teams* • Patriots: 10 • Texans: 4 *based on 10k season simulations

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 14/11/2025

Rushing Success Rates (weeks 1-10) The Rams run Outside Zone on just 20% of their rushes (21st most) but are successful on 65%, the highest success rate for any team by 18%(!) (2nd: DEN — 47%). Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/10/2025

How often do defenses rush or drop unexpected players? (weeks 1-7) If I were a defensive coordinator I would simply be in the top right

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 24/10/2025

Rate and EPA/Play for QBs out of the pocket • Joe Flacco does not like being outside the pocket • Dart & Maye with some elite QBs 👀 Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

Average # of Pass Rushers (by pre-snap alignment) The Chiefs average 4.97 pass rushers per play and send a DB every ~6 plays, both the highest rates in the league.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

Rushing Success Rates (Weeks 1–7) League average success rates: • Man/Duo — 41.2% • Outside Zone — 37.6% • Inside Zone — 38.9% • Power — 38.4% • Counter — 43.1% • QB Sneak — 72.1% Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Time to Throw DEEP and SHORT (weeks 1-7 pre-MNF) Every QB has a higher average Time to Throw on attempts 20+ air yards than <10 air yards. Caleb Williams TTT • 20+ air yards: 4.60s • <10 air yards: 2.72s

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

Giants Big 4 Snap Combinations (weeks 1-5) • All 4 together: 25% of snaps • At least 3 of 4: 69% • At least 2 of 4: 93% Burns, Thibodeaux, Carter - All 3 on field: 46% pressure rate - 2 of 3 on field: 32%

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

The Eagles have reached the RedZone on just 24.5% of drives (26th), but have scored a TD on all but one of those trips (92.3%, 1st) The Giants have reached the RedZone on 37.3% of drives (8th), but have scored a TD on only 31.6% of those trips (32nd)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

Play-Action % & Motion at Snap % (weeks 1-5) Some good offenses in the top right Data charted by @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

Defensive Line Stunts NYG usage (pressure % with stunts): • Week 1: 3% (0%) • Week 2: 7% (25%) • Week 3: 10% (50%) • Week 4: 23% (70%!) • Week 5: 16% (0%)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

Offensive Rushing Success Rates (broken down by run concept) Klayton Adams must be pretty good huh Run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Receiving Yards by Target Location Puka Nacua leads the NFL in receiving yards down the seams (435), and only 3 WRs have more total receiving yards.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Despite his rate of <10 air yard attempts dropping each week, Jalen Hurts has still targeted receivers under 10 air yards at the 2nd highest rate in the NFL this season (72%). The Giants defense has allowed the 4th fewest yards/attempt on passes under 10 air yards.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Giants & Eagles weekly run concepts charted by @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Which CBs get picked on the most? (weeks 1-5) Based on target rate and catch rate over expected as the nearest defender

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Pressure % and Time to Pressure (DT Alignment only - NGS)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Pressure % and Time to Pressure (EDGE Alignment only - NGS) Abdul Carter continues to shine with the fastest time to pressure, per NextGenStats

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

Air Yard Differential (completed - attempted air yards) Jaxson Dart has averaged 8.0 air yards per attempt but only 3.1 air yards per completion, for the worst difference in the league at -4.9 air yards.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2025

QB EPA/Play Rankings (weeks 1-5 pre-MNF) 1) Sam Darnold: +0.37 2) Daniel Jones: +0.36 3) Jordan Love: +0.35

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

Snap Weighted Team Ages • Youngest: Packers (25.5 years old) • Oldest: Commanders (28.4 years old)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

Skill Player Motion Frequencies y-axis: Motion at the snap x-axis: Pre-snap motion

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

It’s never too early 2026 Draft Pick Probabilities

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

Target Percentage by Position (weeks 1-4)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

EPA/Dropback when IN and OUT of the Pocket Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

How often do QBs stay in the pocket and how well do they perform when they do?

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

Pressure Rate with and without Stunts Data: @ftnfantasy.com

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

Which teams use the most DL stunts and do they pressure QBs more or less when they do? Seahawks • 21.3% usage (7th) • +26.4% pressure difference (1st)

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

My favorite graphic is back and the top names are starting to fall into place. Abdul Carter 👀

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

EPA/Play with & without pressure • Fields and Penix are the only QBs better under pressure • Jordan Love: best EPA/play clean, 6th worst pressured • Daniel Jones… good under pressure??

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

Yards per Route Run from Out Wide and Slot Before his injury, Tyreek Hill was 2nd in the NFL in YPRR when lined out wide.

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

QB EPA/Play Rankings (weeks 1-4 | min 40 plays) 1) Josh Allen: +0.35 2) Jordan Love: +0.35 3) Daniel Jones: +0.31

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Doug Analytics @doug-analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

Pressure % and Time to Pressure from EDGE Alignment

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