David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 2hYeah, RCP doesn’t measure or control for house effects. The ones I just listed do. 020
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 2hYeah, that’s her meticulous staffer face, not her composed Senator face. 110
Reposted by David J. DeVoreMatt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Lots of AI development has been aimed at software engineering, and a lot of tasks are not particularly like software engineering. 3671
Reposted by David J. DeVoreJen Mercieca @jenmercieca.bsky.social · 23hWe've already got Super Intelligence, they're called Professors. 😘 213618
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 17hHow would things have been different if Luttig, not Alito, had been Bush’s second SCOTUS nominee? 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Rome really lost its way in Series 2, though. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Kubrick's long, panoramic, creeping shots are the best. They twist epic into travesty. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Live by the attention economy, die by the attention economy? Or: the influencers’ audiences are finally getting hurt by Trump & tuning out? 001
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 24/09/2026El-Sayed certainly respects Harris. And if Black voters turn out for El-Sayed, he may be ready to endorse her for 2028. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 24/09/2026That’s a lot of undecideds, tho’ ME does have a lot of independent, 3rd-party voters. Also: poll was conducted before the Collins corruption story came out, no? Jackson should exploit that. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The Collins poll was conducted before the recent corruption story came out, no? Let’s see if Jackson exploits it & it moves voters on the margins. 041
Reposted by David J. DeVoreKelly Kennedy @kellyskennedy.bsky.social · 23/09/2026“The descendants of Hemings are also Jefferson descendants,” White said, adding, “There is no place on the mountaintop or anyplace in America where Black people should be barred.”nytimes.comA Black Jefferson Descendant Is Buried at Monticello for the First TimeThe burial came as the Smithsonian released DNA research it said provides “extraordinary proof” that Thomas Jefferson had children with Sally Hemings. 1229
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Yeah, inside reporting held that there were four hard no votes on Gaetz: Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, & Curtis, & several others who were leaning no. Also, GOP Senators would’ve wanted to make an example of at least one Trump nominee to show their independence. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Hopefully it’s higher-quality than their Iowa poll seems to be. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Of course Ann Selzer's big miss in 2024 comes to mind. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Also, RCV may still put Dunlap in office, as it first put Golden in office. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Waco also? Lubbock? Elsewhere in the Sun Belt, Mesa, AZ comes to mind. 3190
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I agree on the latter paraphrase. Roberts & Barrett especially & Gorsuch & Kavanaugh to a lesser extent do care about logical coherence. Roberts as chief justice & a conservative visionary & Barrett as an academic want their rulings to withstand long multi-sided intellectual scrutiny. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Ah, hadn't noticed that shift on Roberts' part but it may well be happening. What I have noticed is somewhat increasing checking of Trump by Roberts+Barrett between the tariffs, birthright citizenship, & the Post Office, all this year. But that trend is ofc very reversible. 110
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Which explains the authoritarian attacks on non-conservative universities, a setting that’s a positive, non-authoritarian experience for millions. 081
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026This is an outlier, no? The polling averages have Trump between 35 & 38%, AFAIK. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Thinner than, we let Republicans bout not Democrats do what they want? 100
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Thanks for the thread! My one caveat is that this is true in modern industrial & postindustrial societies. I don’t think it was generally true in preindustrial agricultural societies. 000
Reposted by David J. DeVoreJen Mercieca @jenmercieca.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Monuments are temporary. Buildings are temporary. A people will decide who they will honor. And a people will decide who they will not honor. Look up the "spur of fame" about how the American Founders thought they would be remembered and how they chose to act in order to be well-remembered. 213620
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I figured you’d understand. But not every potential reader is as clearly-well-informed & nuanced. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Thanks for replying! If Jeffries & Kushner discussed Middle Eastern legislation, taking the meeting would be appropriate. But Jeffries hasn’t indicated that they did. I’d have no problem if Jeffries had met w, say, Susie Wiles, Dan Scavino, or James Blair. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Yeah, that sounds like a double standard. My objection to meeting w Kushner is that he’s a Trump family member w no WH, government, or even party job right now. Jeffries shouldn’t validate Trump using family for state business. But Mamdani doesn’t have to fête Trump even if he has to deal with him. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Reporters believe their sources, who are often campaign professionals, too readily as to the causes behind election results. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026You could have written more simply, They think of college as theirs. (Institutions like mine w ~80% nonwhite student bodies are a major threat). 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026“I’m not trying to be a politician.” Maybe your district won’t want you to be one anymore, Congresswoman. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026“Some of them are very hostile questions & the president sits there, takes them, answers them all.” Yes, often by calling female reporters “stupid” or “piggy” or telling them to smile more or calling them “fake news.” And given Trump’s 36-38% approval is this a model for presidential communications? 001
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026I Think we also shouldn’t underestimate the Roberts-Barrett Doctrine of “we want SCOTUS have deniability on its partisanship so as the swing votes we won’t blatantly contradict ourselves on exactly the same issue we just ruled the reverse way on for our team.” 1101
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026If the current executive has the power unilaterally to build these monstrosities, the next will have the power to raze them. 1150
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Looks as though the least predictive of the last 3 cases was 2022, when Dems took a Senate seat & 4 statehouses, & nearly held the House. Still seems like a good predictor. 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Notice: he leaves out “Send me to go fight the Confederates.” And: “Send me to go fight the Nazis.” 000
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026As he’s been deciding for the past year? No wonder even MAGA no longer trusts Trump. 020
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 20/09/2026I’ve taught Classics. It’s not conservative-friendly! 001
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 19/09/2026The fact that it’s not Trump campaigning when that’s been his favorite part of presidenting strongly reinforces Trump’s decline. 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 19/09/2026My immediate guess is that machines might take a longer time to create materials extraction systems than weapons production, distribution, & deployment systems. N’est pas? 010
David J. DeVore @devoretext.bsky.social · 19/09/2026The news filter though has been sanewashing Trump as much as it hold him accountable though, no? 000