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Dan Tom

@dantommma.bsky.social
376 followers 83 following 918 posts

MMA analyst for MMAJunkie/USA TODAY Sports. Independent contractor available for gambling analysis and broadcast work. Lifelong martial artist.

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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Listed my usual offerings of southpaw stats, apex records, as well as picks and *plays for the entire #UFCVegas122 card in my latest Substack (free for all): dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Despite wanting to take a break this week, I, as usual, put in far too much work to not pass it on to the people so I listened to your requests and threw up all the Apex records, rematch records, southpaw stats and more for #UFCVegas121 up on my Substack: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
static.klipy.com
Silvio Dante: Just When I Thought I Was Out
ALT: Silvio Dante: Just When I Thought I Was Out
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Most of my followers are bettors but I guarantee that not even the sharpest of you MF’ers could guess the kind of girls that I, for whatever reason, tend to attract… I gotta write a bike on this shit for psychological studies, I swear…
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
#UFC331 is a pretty well-rounded card when it comes to the betting angles and approaches it offers… I talk about my favorite fight, link multiple podcasts and articles, as well as offer picks and plays for the entire event via my latest Fluid Thoughts: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
dantommma.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC 331
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
#UFCNoche has a deceptive amount of a live underdogs across the board, as I do my best to parse them out in my latest Fluid Thoughts (free and |!nked below) Picks, plays, southpaw stats and analysis for everything from UFC Noche to #CFFC161: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
#UFCParis is full of some of my favorite proven fighters and prospects alike… However, I can’t help but shake the trap-fight feels for a lot of these matchups… I outline a decent handful of fights as I give my usual stats and info in my latest Fluid Thoughts: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
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Luke Thomas @lukethomas.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Combat sports is so odious and broken in 2026 that venues have to issue apologies for hosting Nazi kickboxing events.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Despite my lack of optimism, last week’s round robin alone produced 37 Units… Let’s see what the volatile #UFCShanghai card brings this weekend. Picks, plays, southpaw stats and analysis in my latest Fluid Thoughts: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
dantommma.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Shanghai
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
“Listen. I want to turn you around as fast as you want to get turned around.”
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
“She’s been special to me since she graduated high school” -Dana White on Bella Mir
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Despite my lack of optimism, last week’s round robin alone produced 37 Units… Let’s see what the volatile #UFCShanghai card brings this weekend. Picks, plays, southpaw stats and analysis in my latest Fluid Thoughts: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
dantommma.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Shanghai
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
“Listen. I want to turn you around as fast as you want to get turned around.”
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Death, taxes, and shitty YouTube and/or Twitter comments about me finding their way to me after turning in another hard all-nighter of work… Anyways. This week’s fades for #UFCSacramento are up: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
dantommma.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Sacramento
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
It’s been a busy week of taping fights for multiple events, but my latest Fluid Thoughts is now up (free and |!nked below👇) Picks, plays and analysis for #UFC330 and tonight’s deceptively stacked #CFFC159 card: dantommma.substack.com/p/fluid-thou...
dantommma.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC 330
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
4 film characters you currently relate to
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I saw The Odyssey in 70mm IMAX last night (no picture post like everyone else because for some reason my screenings never have those opps) It was good and I enjoyed it – though not as much as the guy in front of me who clapped every time Agamemnon appeared. Big Agamemnon guy.
static.klipy.com
Proud Ross Geller
ALT: Proud Ross Geller
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Most Sundays, for me, are spent trying to both scrape myself up off a long week of work, as well as scrambling around running errands, cleaning my house and prepping for the next week while watching ppl enjoy relaxing Sundays on the socials… Today, however, I’m 1 of those ppl.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
I don’t know which type of family member is more brutally honest between old deaf aunties and old Chinese grandmas but I got both as I’ve been reminded how fat, childless and unmarried I am… (In case y’all are wondering why I’m always so kind to myself 😅) They ain’t wrong tho
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Airport beers.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
A summation of almost every update I’ve seen on online platforms: “Let’s make it so that thing that everyone likes to do in 0-1 clicks now takes a minimum of 2-3 clicks to achieve”
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
As usual, the offerings at #UFCAbuDhabi are basically chalk-heavy affair from top to bottom… I did my best to find the favorites worth trusting, as well as the darts worth throwing, in my latest Fluid Thoughts. Picks, plays, southpaw stats and more: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Abu Dhabi
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card Dan Tom MMA
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Can’t tell how much is due to me being way too busy or how much is due to me losing my mind from being way too busy, but I’ve literally shown up to half my doctor appointments this year on the wrong day…
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Another week neglecting my health and happiness in pursuit of the capitalistic dollar only to fall flat once again during my weekly public humiliation ceremony that is me trying to make money in the MMA game…
static.klipy.com
Refreshing!
ALT: Refreshing!
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
There’s a ton of MMA across the board this weekend but #UFCOKC & #CFFC157 has my complete attention considering my usual beats… There’s a surprising amount that I like and I share it all for free below, giving out everything from southpaw stats to matchup analysis: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Oklahoma City
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card Dan Tom MMA
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The Naked Gambler @nakedgambling.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Send word to my enemies: do not mistake my weakness for kindness.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Almost a yr later and I still haven’t had time to digest everything involved with turning 40, but I have had hauntingly reinforced realizations that I largely wasted my 30s slaving away under the false guise of Grindset while getting gaslit/putting up with shit I didn’t need to.
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Jack @jackflash.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Pangtor starting rd 2 off with that bodywork! @dantommma.bsky.social bless!
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Death, taxes, and my dog throwing up right in the middle of my indoor workout spot right before I intend to work out…
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
On the ground/out on the streets for #UFC329…
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Today marks 1 year without my best friend… Miss you, Benji boy.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Another holiday spent alone and grinding away on work… And after these last 3 years of it in particular, I’m definitely reframing my relationship with the word “deserve.”
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Happy Fourth of July, kiddos
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Looks like I’m gonna have to wait about 10 post it’s release, but I got tickets to see #TheOdyssey in 70mm IMAX (at least the best version of it that Las Vegas has to offer anyway) I’ve been bad about getting to the theaters this year (crazy busy) but I can’t miss this one.
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Caitlin Ostroff @ceostroff.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Scoop for @wsj.com in response to our Polymarket investigation, w/@klong.bsky.social and @neilmhta.bsky.social www.wsj.com/finance/regu...
wsj.com
Exclusive | Lawmakers Call for Federal Probe of Polymarket Over Deceptive Advertising
Two senators asked regulators to probe Polymarket’s promotion of fake bets following the Journal’s reporting.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Aside from breaking down my usual segments for #UFCBaku, I also gave out some picks and plays for tonight’s #CFFC156 card in my latest edition of Fluid Thoughts👇 I leaned into some things that you’d suspect from me, but I also ended up breaking my one betting rule… open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
ICYMI: I interviewed Matheus Camilo ahead of his #UFCBaku fight with Nazim Sadykhov via Home of Fight: youtu.be/x_xzJuNwNiI?is…
youtu.be
MATHEUS CAMILO Previews Nazim Sadykhov Match-Up at UFC Baku | Talks Moving to USA & Learning English
YouTube video by Home of Fight
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Aside from breaking down my usual segments for #UFCBaku, I also gave out some picks and plays for tonight’s #CFFC156 card in my latest edition of Fluid Thoughts👇 I leaned into some things that you’d suspect from me, but I also ended up breaking my one betting rule… open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
ICYMI: I interviewed Matheus Camilo ahead of his #UFCBaku fight with Nazim Sadykhov via Home of Fight: youtu.be/x_xzJuNwNiI?is…
youtu.be
MATHEUS CAMILO Previews Nazim Sadykhov Match-Up at UFC Baku | Talks Moving to USA & Learning English
YouTube video by Home of Fight
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Aussies… I’ve recently discovered Cold Chisel
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Not a lot of ✍️ in this week’s edition of Fluid Thoughts, but I got you covered with Apex, rematch and southpaw stats for #UFCVegas119, including my usual picks & plays. *Interesting note—this card features the most winless Contender Series alum I’ve tracked yet. open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Vegas 119
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I’ve quietly been doing more interview work lately for Home of Fight’s YouTube channel… Here’s an interview I did with Manel Kape, who headlines #UFCVegas119 opposite Kyoji Horiguchi: youtu.be/JFsw94F-LRI?...
youtu.be
MANEL KAPE Calls for Title Shot With Win Over Kyoji Horiguchi | Says He Beats Van & Pantoja for Belt
YouTube video by Home of Fight
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Another life ago
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
My Fluid Thoughts for #UFCFreedom250 features everything from an in-depth podcast packed with solid analysts, southpaw stats, picks, plays and some fun, gif-filled analysis covering the entire card. Check it out if you’re bored or interested in betting: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Freedom 250
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
ICYMI: I was lucky enough to be invited on a roundtable with some talented analysts to break down #UFCFreedom250 Probably the most in-depth breakdown in the card from a technical perspective: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
UFC Freedom 250 Roundtable Podcast
Miguel Class rounded up analysts, Dan Tom, Ryan Wagner, Feno Valera and Dan Albert to break down UFC Freedom 250.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
My Fluid Thoughts for #UFCFreedom250 features everything from an in-depth podcast packed with solid analysts, southpaw stats, picks, plays and some fun, gif-filled analysis covering the entire card. Check it out if you’re bored or interested in betting: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
Fluid Thoughts for UFC Freedom 250
A look at Dan Tom's picks and plays for the upcoming UFC fight card
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
ICYMI: I was lucky enough to be invited on a roundtable with some talented analysts to break down #UFCFreedom250 Probably the most in-depth breakdown in the card from a technical perspective: open.substack.com/pub/dantommm...
open.substack.com
UFC Freedom 250 Roundtable Podcast
Miguel Class rounded up analysts, Dan Tom, Ryan Wagner, Feno Valera and Dan Albert to break down UFC Freedom 250.
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Dan Tom @dantommma.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Every time I see someone sensationalizing dog attack stories involving pit bulls, I can’t help but wonder if they’re the same type of person who likes to point out crime when it’s done by a person of color (both disgusting btw) Makes me miss my best friend even more. The best 🐶
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High_light 𓁹‿𓁹 @highlightt.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Yeah, actually. You get diminishing returns after ~45 hours worked per week, you can get away with more than that infrequently as long as you schedule in days off.
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