Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Today, a friend assured me that paleontologically plausible time travel is a viable science fiction market niche. "I hope you're right. I really do." 🚀 ✍️ 🦕 🦖 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 02/10/2026You know, quite seriously, if you want to send me a message or an e-mail once a week or so, that might be a useful spur. I can reply with what I did or didn't do, hopefully the former. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Let me get the dinosaurs knocked out first. 😀 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 02/10/2026"... and that's how we finally cleaned up Sunnydale." 130
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Maybe it's trivial compared to everything else that's been going on. Except nothing is trivial, to quote one of the great philosophers of my generation. This sure isn't, anyhow. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I expected to have the Silmarillisaurus done a year ago, and a novel manuscript ready to go no later than six months after that. 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Yeah, it's been about a year and a half since my most recent story (Crossroads, BSQ 30) came out. I've been trying to avoid thinking too hard about that, but I'm really not okay with it. 🚀 🦖 🦕 ✍️ 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 28/09/2026We've understood the physics of bumblebee flight for decades, and the idea that "science doesn't know how they fly" comes from a single flawed paper in the 1930s. So I am completely unsurprised that someone with a Tesla profile pic thinks "but bumblebees!" is a flex. 🧪 0246
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Good crunchy analysis here. The short version is that all but the earliest ceratopsians could and likely did use their heads and horns as weapons for mate competition, and in some cases predator defense. Don't make the horned walking tank angry. You wouldn't like it when it's angry. 🧪 🦖peerj.com 070
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Inventing fake conspiracies that would require *thousands* of people to keep their mouths shut for decades isn't just stupid, although it's certainly that. It's also taking some sick personal satisfaction in the deaths of thousands of victims. Let the dead rest. 001
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Yes, there was a conspiracy: Osama bin Laden conspired with 19 hijackers and a few other people to fly airliners into buildings. That's it. That's the whole thing. 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Conspiracy theorists of all types are irritating as hell, but 9/11 conspiracy theorists are fucking ghouls. 🧵 132
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 24/08/2026Best they don't worry their empty little heads about it. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Obviously they don't do that now, which says to me that the people selling them don't care. Unfortunately, a lot of the people making buying decisions don't either. The problem isn't the technology, it's the people. As usual. 130
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026New rules could be added as users report inaccuracies and hallucinations. 130
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Any #citations must be checked by going to the site where the alleged paper is supposed to exist, and making sure that at least a document with that title is present at that #URL. Any #locations must be checked against the numerous publicly available maps. That kind of thing. 120
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026So it seems to me that LLMs *could* be programmed from the start with #verification rules. 120
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026A #map may be very simple or it may be embellished in various ways, but named locations are absolute, measured these days down to centimeter-scale precision. 120
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026What I don't understand is why things like #geography are so hard for it. Of course there is a good bit of art in #map-making. But there is also a source of (so to speak) ground truth. 130
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026I'm not convinced #computers will *never* produce good #art, by whatever standard of "good" you prefer, but I am reasonably sure throwing more processing power at current algorithms isn't the way to get there. 150
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Programs are binary in purpose as well as substance: the result is either correct or it isn't. Ambiguity is poison, which I guess is why LLMs and related programs fail so miserably on any task requiring subjective judgement. #Art of any kind—verbal, visual, musical—is as ambiguous as it gets. 160
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Since any programming project should start with a detailed spec anyhow (which I sometimes forget, and always regret it) this is genuinely useful. 140
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026Give it a clear description of what the code you want it to write is supposed to do, and the tests needed for acceptance of the final product, and it will generate something that does the job, much faster than any human programmer. 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026My boss describes it #LLM based AI as being like an eager-to-please first-year computer science student, and that's pretty accurate. Anything tricky is best done by human brains and hands, but #Codex, #Claude Code, et al. handle big boring tasks very well. 341
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 23/08/2026I use #AI in my #bioinformatics work, and I have a somewhat better opinion of it than most people I know, because it's quite good at certain tasks. #Maps ... aren't among them. (via @mhboroson.bsky.social) 🧪 🖥️ 🧬 🧵 4175
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Amateurs. In the Air Force, we resorted to cannibalism when the coffeemaker broke. 030
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 16/08/2026You're not doing much to justify the "rational" in your username, kiddo. 000
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 16/08/2026... TBF, only one definite idiot so far. Which is a refreshing change from Facebook. 000
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 16/08/2026Yes, of course. That's where the name came from. 020
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 16/08/2026A few months after I coined it (again, I may not have been the only one) some BC started trying to use it against sane people who wanted themselves and others to survive. I was there first. Original and best. Accept no substitutes. 000
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 16/08/2026Recently I had cause to use the phrase "Branch Covidians". To be clear, BCs are the antimaskers / antivaxers who took the side of a virus over their fellow human beings. I'm not sure if I was the first person to start using the phrase or not, but that was always what it meant. 🧪 ⚕️ #medsky 3204
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026"Wisdom has been chasing you your whole life, but you never stopped to let it catch you." 000
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026Soon enough today my concerns will be purely those of the waking world. Another pot of coffee is brewing. I like to think ___ would approve. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026I have to admit I hadn't thought about ___ in quite a while, and I want him to live for a while more. 100
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026Pondering the dream after my first cup of coffee (so far only; I should fix that soon) I decided such dreams are our brains' attempt to keep those times alive. The closest we can get to immortality is living in other people's memories. 100
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026Which can be very nice, except for the part where you wake up and realize you're back where those things are gone forever. People, places, situations, all carved in sand. 100
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026I've had other dreams like that about people long absent from my life, whether or not they're now absent from everyone's life including their own. Dreamland is filled with all kinds of dramatic and bizarre happenings, but it's also simply where things that used to be normal still are. 100
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026In the dream he was healthy and whole, and we ran into each other in some kind of waiting room. "Hey, ___! It's been a while. How you been, man?" Then we chatted until one of us was called in for whatever kind of appointment we were waiting for. 100
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026This morning I woke up from a #dream about a long-dead friend. 🧵 110
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 15/08/2026My previous Mastodon instance, qoto(dot)org, died a messy death. Now I'm @medigoth@mstdn.science for those who may be interested. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 13/08/2026I think he takes glee in having that kind of power. 010
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Well, this is horrifying. If anything worthy of the name "United States of America" exists after the next few years, we'll need some changes to ensure continued survival. Ensuring the independence of Congressionally mandated agencies and chartered organizations will be an unsexy but vital step. 🧪 ⚖️courthousenews.comUnder pressure from Trump, National Academy of Sciences pulls climate chapter from judicial manualThe nonprofit organization said it would conduct an independent review on the climate section of its scientific handbook made for federal judges, after criticism it unfairly targets fossil fuel compan... 37333
Daniel Dvorkin @danielmedic.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Small victories are the only kind we have these days, so I'll take them where I can get them. 020