These people are so fucking weird and cultish.
I know it's all kayfabe and grandiose storytelling, but everyone taking nutrition and health advice from a raspy stick of jerky is a certifiable gullible fool.
Daniel Haran
@danielharan.bsky.social
506 followers 548 following 3.4K posts
Chocolate maker. Past work included software, open data, AI, politics.
![We next evaluated the ability of o1-preview to select the next diagnostic test in the NEJM CPCs.
Two physicians scored the suggested test plan produced by o1-preview (agreement on 113/132
cases [86%], κ=0.28), with respect to the actual management of the patient described in the
CPC. The proportion of agreements was high, but the kappa was low due to severe class
imbalance. In 87.5% of cases, o1-preview selected the correct test to order, in another 11% of
cases the chosen testing plan was judged by the two physicians to be helpful, and in 1.5% of
cases it would have been unhelpful (Figure 3). Examples are shown in Table 2.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:vmjtqfl6zv7ka536pdnpwojn/bafkreicejumukkxnnf55dciea5adpb4775xvkxgktgp3ph3id6lubbghbe)
![Screenshot of Facebook post by meteorologist Chris Zelman WALB, "GFS (American) weather model (in red) is turning less accurate likely due to loss of meteorologists and data at NWS & NOAA. We are watching how DOGE cuts affect weather forecasting in real time."
The graph includes a title of "5-day NHEMI [20°-80° N] 500hPa Z Anomaly Correlation", and a last verification date of 12Z04MAY2025 by @RyanMaue"
The performance for 3 models is shown on the graph, with summary statistics given at top:
ECMWF: Last 90 days: 0.941 | 30 days: 0.930 | 7 days: 0.905
GFS: Last 90 days: 0.902 | 30 days: 0.884 | 7 days: 0.850
AIFS: Last 90 days: 0.945 | 30 days: 0.939 | 7 days: 0.919
The GFS accuracy is shown in red and clearly below the two others, with one small dip below 0.8 in mid-March and a clearer sustained divergence since mid-April, leading to two more days below 0.8 since May.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:vmjtqfl6zv7ka536pdnpwojn/bafkreiddjzpifeyhsiu5nwk7yem5gbbmafsfgj4di7vbfxxnrqog3g7yrm)
