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Daniel Bompadre

@danielbompadre.bsky.social
266 followers 238 following 836 posts

Mana crypt infinite combo playing jerk. Occasional All PHLY Flyers contributor.

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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The Flyers in 26-27 summed up in two images.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Look at them go.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Florence and the Machine + Mannequin Pussy at the Forum.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
On paper the Flyers look outmatched. They're a stingier defense team by xG, but the offense is very much lacking compared to the Canes. However, they were able to mostly neutralize PIT (who are strong but not as strong as CAR). Going to need that forechecking from games 1-2 in spades.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
where were you when Crosby was kill
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Michkov really woke up the last 15% of the season. He and Martone have been critical to this teams success.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Unstoppable force vs immovable object
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
The numbers don’t lie.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Flyers RAPM card with 4 games left in the season. I think this team has finally figured out their offensive game in the last 20% of the year, and I think if they can add a piece over the summer, this team can be really dangerous all of next year. Vibes are sky high.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
The Flyers somehow lost this game.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
🤷‍♂️
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Flyers Points and xG leaders since the Olympic break.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Since I wrote this post on Jan 7th: bsky.app/profile/dani... Slight drop off in terms of GAR. His RAPM is...wild. He's generating a ton on the PP still in terms of quality chances. 5v5? Not so much. Defense still strong. Still a quality player. Still around that top 4D level.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
He's been pretty good by xG by RAPM still, but this is pretty disappointing to see. He can still turn it around and end strong.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Drysdale's underlying numbers have taken a massive hit since his incredible start to the season. He was good until around December-ish and the wheels started to come off.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
Moss art with the wife. Me on the left. I really like her use of purple and the lavender. Very pretty.
Miss art
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
I luckily have never had to sit across Kinnan and I'm very happy to not have that experience. Our group was pretty fair, lots of decks in the 5-8 range.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
fuck it move Barkey to C and we ball
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
#Flyers with a belt to ass performance against a scrub team who is on pace for...120+ points.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
His zone entries are down you with similar amount of chances, as are a lot of Michkov's microstats. It could be his conditioning still but I'm skeptical. Ultimately if it doesn't matter because of F1-3 assignments in the zone, why not play him on the side he's been playing at forever?
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I wonder if it's injury related, or if there's something they're having him do that's different. He came into the year so hot I was hoping he would use that momentum and build off of it. Can still very much turn it around! At one point his EH GAR was around the 80%ile, now...
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I do not think this game was Sam's fault, but he also did not help. Bummer man. His rough season continues.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
So it goes
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Flyers after the recent skid not looking as hot, obviously. Same story as most of the season: offense not generating enough pressure, outright bad special teams, without Vladar goaltending is diminished, and things start to tumble. Finishing has remained decent, and xGA looking good!
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
And even if you struggle at at 23 and 24, some guys do bounce back and have a good year. Ersson straight up just has not yet, and with the group that he's currently mimicking its becoming more and more unlikely that he ever does.
A line graph depicting various goaltenders in their age 23 and 24 season, with players highlighted purple if they were a negative value in their age 23 and 24 seasons. Sam Ersson has also been highlighted, showing that he is amongst the bottom of that group.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I don't think it's an age factor. A lot of goalies had decent loads in their age 23 and 24 seasons and still performed well by 25. In fact, 53% of them were above 0 in GSAx.
A line graph depicting various goaltenders in their age 23 and 24 season, with 53% of players highlighted blue who are above 0 GSAx/GP. Sam Ersson has also been highlighted, showing that he is amongst the bottom of that group.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Checking back in on this. Ersson has more in common with Mrazek, Subban, and Lindback so far than the hopeful cases of guys like Kuemper and Blackwood. Not a good group to be compared to.
A line graph depicting various goaltenders who struggled in their age 23 and 24 season. Sam Ersson has been highlighted, showing that he is amongst the bottom of that group.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Prophetic, but probably not in the way Fletcher expected.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
If you're curious which one preferred what player, here's what I got.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
I've been practicing learning pandas/numpy/matplotlib in prep to potentially go back to school for data science. Just been doing random projects and I thought I'd compare GAR vs. Net Rating (also did GameScore and GAR vs xGAR). I'm not 100% I did this right but I was surprised how close they were.
A scatterplot comparing GAR vs Net Rating, with colored dots for defense and offense. R^2 of 0.693.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
5v5 xG results from last night's Flyers vs Maple Leafs game. While he didn't blow the door down with his xG, I thought Barkey had another strong game.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
They're really close. You could argue they're about the same value, just at different things.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Cam York is having a hell of a season.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
And HockeyViz for good measure.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
He grades out better than that on other models because Jfresh uses a 3 year aggregate. Here's all 3 centers from EH.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
I don’t know if it was you or someone else, but I saw this table that basically said that mid danger shots are particularly messed up right now.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
I guess the holidays were really rough on people, huh
A series of audio books on Libby, with Adult Children of Emotionally Immature Parents circled.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Jason Robertson, on my Team America? Nah dog. Why would I want this giant, defensively sound winger who scores a ton on my team.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Compare to Bedard's "bad" year last year and his "good" year this year. Even last year he was still mostly providing offense and getting into the zone with ease. Michkov isn't doing that. Thats a tad concerning to me, but a lot of year left still.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
There's a bfewunch of mico-stat areas that do worry me. His offense is noticeably less active this year. Last year he looked closer to "guy on path to being one of the NHLs best scorers." Him now stinking at zone entries is an area I think is tied to both his scoring/on-ice fitness woes.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 29/12/2025
I know Michkov will be subject to endless debates as he's just not scoring all that much, but I have to give him his flowers when it comes to doing what he's asked. His underlying defensive stats are night and day better than what they were last year. Third in xG±, behind Drysdale and Couturier.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
I made a prediction a few weeks ago that the Flyers were either heading for a regression or their underlying analytics would start to match their record and would improve. I thought the former was more likely, but the good news is that the latter is happening.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
Final, Flyers vs Vancouver. Flyers just kind of ran away with this one.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
Flyers somehow lose this one in a shootout. Ersson with a really rough game. -1.52 GSAx. Barkey was great.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I get why they did it (because he doesn't fit in a pretty good dman lineup) but it always makes me laugh how well Zamula grades out via every model compared to how he's thought of outside of it. To be clear, I'm skeptical about *how* well he grades out and he shouldn't be more than a 7 here.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Idk. I see their underlying metrics (like below), particularly their xG share and its cause for skepticism. With metrics like these + a slightly higher PDO, it just makes me think regression is likely, especially in the second half of the year as the games get tighter.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Here's the synopsis about their offense. It's all about picking their spot and firing.
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Daniel Bompadre @danielbompadre.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
4-1 #Flyers win. Basically even in xG right at the end until the ENG. Not great that MTL was able to claw their way back after the Flyers went on cruise control at the end. Great to see Risto back. Zegras feels like he's going to get $9m on his next contract at this rate.
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