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Christian Schoder

@csecon.bsky.social

26 followers 55 following 30 posts

Senior Economist at World Bank. OMEGA DSGE model developer. Climate/Macro. Private views only.

Posts Replies Media

Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

A new Carbon Brief analysis finds that at least 20,000km2 of Brazilian Amazon forest has remained standing since 2022 under Lula's presidency, an area roughly the size of New Jersey. www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-lu...

Analysis: Lula presidency saved at least 20,000km2 of Brazilian Amazon since 2022 — chart from Carbon Brief

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Climate change poses significant fiscal risks. Climate vulnerability puts sovereigns on the hook: countries with bigger climate exposure pay ~0.5–1.5pp more on government bonds and see downgrades unless markets are deep and politics stable. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

Not looking good. According to new NBER paper, climate costs are huge: a 1°C rise in global temperature cuts world GDP by >20% in the long run — far above prior estimates. The implied social cost of carbon of around $1200. www.nber.org/papers/w32450 #ClimateRisk #GDP #Macro

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

This RCT just published by the NBER! Owning energy stocks changes minds: exposure to both green & brown energy assets boosts public support for climate mitigation & adaptation — even among climate skeptics. www.nber.org/papers/w34828 #ClimatePolitics #Finance #Macro

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

Extreme weather isn’t just local pain — it cuts ~0.3% of OECD GDP annually via spillovers beyond disaster zones. Macro losses are bigger and more widespread than standard metrics show. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #ClimateRisk #Macro #GDP

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

Co-author Leopold Zessner-Spitzenberg and Martin Wolf with a new CEPR working paper: When private debt is high, aggressive rate hikes to fight inflation risk debt crises -- central banks may need a “backstop” approach, slowing hikes to stabilize both prices and credit. cepr.org/publications...

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

Interesting new NBER paper: Climate shocks are distributional shocks. Evidence from Cape Town’s near-“Day Zero” drought shows adaptation capacity differs sharply by income -- amplifying inequality. Climate policy is macro policy. www.nber.org/papers/w33468 #ClimateRisk #Macroeconomics

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Agentic AI is moving fast. This weekend I set up OpenClaw -- "The AI that actually does things" developed by fellow Austrian 🦄 Peter Steinberger -- on an old phone. Talking to your personal AI assistant on Telegram while watching it execute tasks for you is IMPRESSIVE.

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Post-COVID US inflation wasn’t just “overheating.” This DSGE breakdown shows the 2021–22 spike was driven mainly by price mark-ups — firms pushing margins higher. Demand and policy mattered. But mark-ups did the damage. Paper: www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpw... #Inflation #Macro

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

CBAMs aren’t just “green tariffs”—they can make carbon pricing more cost-effective. NBER reserach uses plant-level data + a global trade model for steel/aluminum: a CBAM can lower the marginal cost of abatement by reducing leakage. PDF: allanhsiao.com/files/CCHW_c...

Abatement rises with the carbon tax; adding a CBAM (solid vs dashed) reduces marginal abatement costs—i.e., more efficient emissions reductions for a given tax level.

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Great to see new research quantifying the social returns to infrastructure investment in EMDEs. The next step is to unpack these aggregate effects by sector — once we know who benefits and by how much, we can directly map those estimates into the OMEGA model. www.nber.org/202602/diges...

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Right-wing propaganda on social media is extremely effective in creating an alternate reality

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Christian Schoder @csecon.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Social media isn't fully recognized as the key driver behind the rise of right-wing extremism across Western democracies.

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