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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 30/09/2026

Likely Russian drone hits a cell tower near Hirbovat in southeastern #Moldova, deforming its metal structures and burning its surfaces. Cell services were not affected, according to the Moldovan police […] [Original post on mas.to]

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 26/09/2026

According to Zona de Securitate, the wife of Lt.Col. Dmitry Opalev, the deputy commander of the Operational Grouping of Russian Troops in the Transnistrian region of #Moldova, was denied entry in the country at the Chisinau International Airport. This April, the Government of Moldova declared […]

mas.to

Original post on mas.to

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 26/09/2026

Moldova's parliament approves 60-day state of emergency for energy, water supply www.reuters.com/world/moldovas-parl…

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

"ACLED, organizație care monitorizează conflictele și violența politică, menționează într-o analiză că unele incursiuni ale dronelor pot fi accidentale, dar că traiectoria unei drone Geran care a traversat spațiul aerian moldovenesc pe 8 septembrie sugerează că (...) protv.md/actualitate/...

protv.md

Dronele rusești, tot mai des în spațiul aerian al Moldovei și NATO. Experții explică ce ar putea urmări Rusia - VIDEO

Dronele rusești care ajung în spațiul aerian al Republicii Moldova și al statelor NATO ridică tot mai multe semne de întrebare cu privire la intenția și amploarea acestor incursiuni. Analiștii și ofic...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 19/09/2026

“The speed of the jet-powered drones and the mesh networks used for their precise remote piloting and video transmission enable this campaign, as Ukraine lacks intercepting capabilities for these new weapons,” Vlas said." […]

mas.to

Original post on mas.to

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 19/09/2026

Vlas, ACLED's Eastern Europe analyst, said that suspected sabotage, often using disposable agents, had previously targeted military transports in Germany, but also Polish civilian trains on main routes leading to Ukraine through kinetic and non-kinetic means, such as radio signals and illegal […]

mas.to

Original post on mas.to

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 19/09/2026

Commented for Newsweek on the renewed sabotage targeting railway infrastructure in Europe, but also the Russian strikes on Ukraine's railways and rail passengers: “Cristian Vlas, from ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project) has told Newsweek that as […] [Original post on mas.to]

News Article
Europe on High Alert As Russia Sows Panic With Hybrid Attacks
Published on 18 Sep 2026, 12:05 PM EDT

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Miska Knapek @miskaknapek.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Probabiliy researchers will have a field day with this : likelihood of a random happening here is miniscule. Hello hybrid warfare

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Katja Bego @katjabego.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Massive rail outages all over the Netherlands, crippling the network. Authorities say that the early signs point to sabotage (with objects left on tracks in several places). This is our new daily reality in Europe. We need a more forceful answer. nos.nl/artikel/2631...

nos.nl

Grote treinstoring, Prorail meldt materialen op het spoor, lijkt sabotage

ProRail zegt dat er op het spoor materialen zijn gewonden die duiden op sabotage.

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 15/09/2026

Dutch police are investigating a suspected act of sabotage after large parts of the country’s rail network came to a standstill this morning, causing delays and cancellations for passengers across central and northern parts of the Netherlands.

politico.eu

Sabotage suspected as parts of Dutch rail network come to a standstill

A Dutch minister called the alleged sabotage “particularly worrying.”

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Canțâr @cristiancantir.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

... and are held despite Chișinău's objections. But they're organized with Moscow's support, which props up the regime in Tiraspol. Incumbent Vadim Krasnoselski is not running again. Although no candidates have announced a run yet, one name is worth watching: Vitalie Neagu ...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Cristian Canțâr @cristiancantir.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

The electoral campaign to elect a new Transnistrian president has begun. The election will take place on Dec. 13, 2026. This is the separatist region's 8th presidential election. Since Transnistria is not recognized by anyone, the elections are illegal, ...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Tentative flight path of the #Russia Geran-4 drone that flew through #Moldova, eastern #Romania, and then crashed north of Balti yesterday, as mapped by ISW: understandingwar.org/research/rus...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Russian jet-powered Geran-3/4 drone targeting #Ukraine speeds through Bender, central #Moldova closing its airspace, enters #Romania airspace near Iasi airport, and then returns to Moldova, crashing into a field north of Balti. www.mapn.ro/cpresa/19394... www.army.md/ro/comunicat...

Pictures showing remains of a drone jet on a piece of land, which also caught fire

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Commented here on the impact of the Nord Stream sabotage case on Berlin-Kyiv relations: “It’s a matter of principle for the German government, but it’s also a matter of the rule of law,” Cristian Vlas, an expert with ACLED told Al Jazeera.

A leader of the Alternative for Germany party, Tino Chrupalla, speaks at a protest in Berlin against the government, a week after the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline explosions and next to a banner that reads, 'Nord Stream: Repair, open, secure' at a time of skyrocketing energy prices [File: Christian Mang/Reuters]

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

Baltic Takes (formerly badbaltictakes) @baltictakes.com · 29/08/2026

“Hybrid schmybrid.” says the Estonian spy chief in this rare interview. We should abandon euphemisms, according to Kaupo Rosin, and call Russia’s sabotage and subversion by its proper name of “state-sponsored terrorism”.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

You know the drone bubble/mania is real when a pro-Russian, largely populist politician in #Moldova, Renato Usatîi, talks about intending to produce drones in an EU member state. t.me/agoramd/39976

t.me

AGORA

Președintele fracțiunii Partidul Nostru, Renato Usatîi, susține că intenționează să producă drone. Mai spune că a discutat cu ingineri „cu renume mondial” despre acest lucru. Eu vreau să organizez pr...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Ukraine’s longer-range strikes inside Russia have increased sharply this year, as #Kyiv takes the war deeper into Russian territory. @apnews.com draws on #ACLED data showing #Ukraine launched three times as many longer-range strikes in July as it did in January.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Attempting to slow down Ukrainian exports, Russian drones hit a second checkpoint (Tabaky) this week on the #Ukraine #Moldova border, after hitting trucks in Reni a day before. Hits hint a switch to destroying border checkpoints to prevent any, not just grain, exports.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Initially hit by F-16 cannon fire and eventually destroyed by Romanian Explosive Ordnance Disposal. Looks like it was drifting for a while, given the guano partially covering its top.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

2 #Romania F-16 jets destroy an explosive-laden naval drone meters away from the new Neptun Alpha drilling platform, 80 miles east of the port of Constanța. The drone was reported drifting at sea at 6:30 local time by a commercial vessel and is reportedly NOT of Ukrainian origin.

Photo showing an uncrewed surface vessel floating at sea

Photo showing in the background an uncrewed surface vessel floating at sea near a drilling platform installation

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Russia refused a ceasefire on strikes in the Black Sea. What now for Ukraine's grain exports? acleddata.com/expert-comme...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

After initially seeking asylum in Orbán's Hungary, the fugitive Polish politician Marcin Romanowski reports to Polish court about him currently living in Tiraspol, Transnistrian region of #Moldova, which Moldovan Police is investigating.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

A New Lethal Front in Ukraine: Its Beloved Gas Stations www.nytimes.com/2026/08/04/w...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

Commented on the sudden change in #Romania tactics of countering #Russian drone incursions and the implications for the security of navigation around the Danube Delta. #Ukraine #Moldova

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

ACLED’s Research Manager for Eastern Europe, Olha Polishchuk, said: "Ukraine’s attack on an Iranian vessel is less about opening a new front against Tehran and more about disrupting supply routes between Iran and Russia." acleddata.com/expert-comme...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

#Ukraine is intensifying its campaign targeting Russian vessels, with more than 100 struck between 6 and 13 July. Most were #shadowfleet oil tankers, but tugboats, cargo ships, and ferries were also hit. More: bit.ly/4em8Ap3

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 16/07/2026

⚡️ Thousands rally in Kyiv, other cities against Defense Minister Fedorov's dismissal, demand reappointment. "Reappoint!" protesters chanted outside the President's Office in central Kyiv on July 16, waving Ukrainian flags and signs criticizing the decision.

kyivindependent.com

Thousands rally in Kyiv, other cities against Defense Minister Fedorov's dismissal, demand reappointment

President Volodymyr Zelensky's dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov has sparked a wave of criticism from lawmakers, soldiers, veterans, and civil society figures, who argue Ukraine is losing one of its most ...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

Following Russian attacks on Ukraine's Odesa region, a stray Geran-type drone exploded upon landing near Copanca in southeastern #Moldova. Moldova's MFA firmly condemned Russia's violation of Moldovan airspace and its aggression against Ukraine. www.zdg.md/stiri/o-dron...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

H I Sutton @covertshores.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

A Danish USV manufacturer, Stormborn, has accidently provided an excellent example of how Denmark, and other European Navies, can better monitor increased Russian Naval activity and hybrid warfare operations at sea. Article-> www.hisutton.com/Stormborn-US...

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 03/07/2026

Moldovan Prime Minister Alexandru Munteanu announced his resignation today, putting an end to the pro-European government he led since last November.

politico.eu

Moldova’s prime minister resigns after series of scandals

President Maia Sandu plans to consult party leaders next week to name a new prime minister.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

Who was behind those drone incursions over Europe? www.economist.com/europe/2026/...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 06/06/2026

Had the pleasure of talking to Arnout about the drone (in)security situation in Romania and EU's eastern flank for de Volkskrant before the Constanța incident. And it seems correct to say nobody was prepared for the naval drone incident either.

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 06/06/2026

Until we get to process all the versions around the naval drone that exploded yesterday in the Black Sea port of Constanța, we can take a look at the clearer picture of the Ukrainian drone overflights in the Baltic region and the Russian drone strike on an apartment building in Galați, Romania.

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

What patterns are emerging in the South China Sea? Join us on 11 June for a live webinar unveiling ACLED’s new South China Sea conflict monitor, designed to track gray-zone tactics, maritime tensions, and key developments across the region. 🔗 Register: events.zoom.us/ev/AqayXcS-2...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Commented last week for BBC Verify: "The strikes mean Russia has been forced to shorten convoys on supply routes as a "quick coping mechanism to reduce potential damage", Cristian Vlas at conflict monitoring group ACLED told BBC Verify.

bbc.com

Ukraine using AI drones to strike vital Russian supply lines

BBC Verify has analysed videos of attacks in occupied Ukraine on Russian trucks carrying ammunition, fuel and food.

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Reposted by Cristian Vlas

ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

More than 120 Ukrainian drones targeted #Moscow during the night of 16-17 May, reportedly penetrating two layers of the capital’s air defenses. Ukraine’s long-range strikes inside #Russia continue reaching deeper. 🗺️ Full #Ukraine Conflict Monitor: acleddata.com/monitor/ukra...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

Early in the morning of 29 May, a Russian Geran-2 drone carrying an explosive charge struck the upper floors of an apartment building in the county seat city of Galați in southeastern Romania, injuring a child and a woman. acleddata.com/expert-comme...

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ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

Undersea cable damage, drone activity, and espionage risks at sea: Russia’s shadow fleet is escalating hybrid warfare tensions with European states in the Baltic and North Sea. Join ACLED’s live discussion tomorrow. 🔗 Register: events.zoom.us/ev/AtHBlR8Ej...

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Cristian Vlas @cristivlas.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

news.sky.com/story/ukrain... "The fact that it missed, Vlas said, is "a reminder of how Russia can use a sabre-rattling tool, such as Oreshnik, only to instill fear among civilians rather than inflict actual damage to Ukraine’s military assets."

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