iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Connor Allen

JJ Zachariason @lateroundqb.bsky.social · 20/08/2025

The last guest for this season of Becoming a Best Ball Bro is the great @connorallennfl.bsky.social! We chat about his favorite stacks, handling player hype, and so much more. Finale coming your way next week. Listen: open.spotify.com/episode/3eVk... Watch: www.youtube.com/watch?v=wj-I...

open.spotify.com

Becoming a Best Ball Bro: Leaning Into the Hype?

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast · Episode

193

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

For more information like this, follow me @connorallennfl.bsky.social and get a betting subscription to find all of my official plays. Get 10% off with code WIN10: 4for4.com/plans

4for4.com

4for4 Plans & Pricing

010

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

Books have started to adjust props toward the median but if you are up to date on camp reports, coachspeak, role projections, etc there are tons of lines to pick off. I have already released 7 season-long props, some of which are still available! (All of them are unders)

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

6. Why do season-long unders do so well? There are so many extra outs for an under to hit instead of an over. An under can hit due to: • Injury • Poor performance • Benching • Roster changes impacting workload • Poor QB play tanking the offense • Bad OL play +many others

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

5. So, should you ever bet overs? It's tough. The ONLY category (out of 29 tracked) to show a multi-year profit on overs is QB Rushing Yards at 58%. This trend was supercharged by the most recent season and on a super small sample. • 2021: 50% • 2022: 63% • 2023: 40% • 2024: 80%

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

4. The 3rd highest hit rate over the last 4 years is Receiving Touchdown UNDERS at 62% • 2021: 58% • 2022: 64% • 2023: 64% • 2024: 60%

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

3. The 2nd highest hit rate over the last 4 years is RB Rushing Touchdown UNDERS at 63% • 2021: 72% • 2022: 62% • 2023: 59% • 2024: 61%

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

2. The single most profitable long-term bet has been Passing Yard UNDERS, hitting at a wild 69% over four seasons! 2021: 78% 2022: 71% 2023: 64% 2024: 67%

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

1. Blindly betting the under on season-long player props has hit over 60% for four consecutive years! Under hit rate by year: • 2021: 63% • 2022: 60% • 2023: 60.5% • 2024: 60.3%

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

Sportsbooks have already posted HUNDREDS of NFL season-long player props for 2025! I analyzed 1,053 props from the last 4 seasons and found 6 trends you need to know before betting the season-long prop market:

120

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Justin Fields signs with the Jets on a two-year, $40M deal with $30M guaranteed. Fantasy angle: Fields has supported WR1's in the past and has flashed fantasy upside as a runner. Betting angle: Can't wait to bet the under on the Jets win total asap. Should open at 5.5 or less

050

Reposted by Connor Allen

JP Acosta @acosta32jp.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

This could be really fun. Mitchell brings them some juice that Pacheco couldn't really access off that injury

3433

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Chiefs are signing RB Elijah Mitchell on a deal up to $3.5M per Jordan Schultz. Potentially big opportunity for Mitchell with both Hunt and Pacheco averaging under 4 yards per carry last season

0407

Reposted by Connor Allen

Danny Heifetz @dannyheifetz.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

if you're looking for an X alternative for Free Agency news, here's a good way to instantly get a list, or your timeline, up on NFL content

664952

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

The Bears have now replaced the entire interior of their OL: OG Joe Thuney OG Jonah Jackson C Drew Dalman Big changes happening in Chicago

0212

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Chris Godwin back to the Bucs! Currently going as the WR35 and 64th overall in early Underdog drafts...

250

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

On the other hand, Montgomery out-carried Gibbs 17-11 last time around against the Packers and recently was involved with leaking some plays/protections on Tik Tok. That may have no impact but I think there is a non-zero chance.

000

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

Reasoning: "With no DJ Reader in the lineup, this Lions Rush defense is going from an elite unit to one of the most injured of the week. "He’s posted 18, 26, and 19 carries over his last three games and currently ranks 3rd in yards with 987 and 4th in attempts with 221."

100

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

Thursday Night Football Play on @bnfantasy.bsky.social ! Play: Josh Jacobs to have 2+ more rushing yards than Jahmyr Gibbs! 💸NEW OFFER: Your first entry is sweat-free up to $500 with code: SF500 Tail: buff.ly/412Pb6A

110

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 28/11/2024

🦃 3 Thanksgiving player prop bets! 🦃 The first prop bet is on Jahmyr Gibbs with @rynoonan.bsky.social and is FREE! I also broke down 3 of the factors for why I believe i'm having a better season betting on player props compared to the previous ones. t.co/HTdmimnv3D

t.co

https://www.4for4.com/2024/w13/week-13-thanksgiving-nfl-player-prop-bets-best-player-props-bet-connor-allen

021

Reposted by Connor Allen

John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

4for4's rest-of-season Thanksgiving/Black Friday Sale is live. You can get a rest-of-season Pro sub for just $4.44, which includes my projections and League Sync. The Betting sub for $17 is also 🤌. (Be sure to read the auto-bill language for next season so you are aware.) 👇 www.4for4.com/plans

2106

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

Every play tracked here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets... We have an insane deal right now for Thanksgiving/Black Friday. Get everything at 4for4 and all of my plays for just $16.99 for the rest of the season! Subscribe: 4for4.com/plans

000

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

Recap 2/2 ✅ Mike Evans o53.5 rec yards ✅ D'Andre Swift U59.5 rush yards ✅ Kendrick Bourne OVER 23.5 receiving yards ✅ Ameer Abdullah under 34.5 rush yards ❌Xavier Legette under 33.5 rec yards ❌Kareem Hunt O17.5 carries

100

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

My best season of NFL player props continues @4for4football.bsky.social! Week 12: 7-3, +2.92 units YTD: 83-49 (62.83%), +28.44 units RECAP (1/2) ✅Jerome Ford U20.5 rush yards ✅ Jameis Winston O208.5 pass yards ❌ Keenan Allen U42.5 rec yards ✅ Demarcus Robinson U27.5 receiving yards

172

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Najee 1.5x (MVP): Great leverage vs the house lineup of Russ MVP. The Steelers love to ride Najee once the weather takes a turn. Tillman/Jeudy: BN rewards long touchdowns with their scoring. Also the wind is expected to be fine so deep balls are still very much in play.

010

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Trying my hand at the 3.3x contest tonight on @bnfantasy.bsky.social! 🔥 Since the weather looks a bit wet (but not that windy), this seems like a great combo to take down the 3.3x. Tail: 4for4.co/48P6WYJ ⏬ Reasoning ⏬

141

Reposted by Connor Allen

Ryan Noonan @rynoonan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Move The Line - Week 12 betting preview @4for4football.bsky.social @samhoppen.bsky.social stops by to talk Week 12 w me and @connorallennfl.bsky.social www.youtube.com/live/wdJD-jn...

youtube.com

YouTube

Share your videos with friends, family, and the world

033

Reposted by Connor Allen

John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Early Week 12 projections ($) are up. Be warned, with six teams on bye there are some uncomfortable rankings this week: www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot... Use code JOHN25 to get an additional 25% off our already deep-discounted rest-of-season subscriptions.

4for4.com

Fantasy Football QB Half PPR Rankings Week 12 | 4for4

Get the most accurate Fantasy Football QB Half PPR Rankings Week 12 with the ability to create a custom league to sync rosters for enhanced personalized precision.

092

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Need to add "Director of BlueSky" to the bio

020

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Week 11 Plays ✅Noah Brown U41.5 rec yards ✅James Cook U59.5 rushing yards ✅JK Dobbins U14.5 carries ✅Jameson O41.5 & Alts ❌Cooper Rush U183.5 passing yards (lol) ✅Taysom Hill O18.5 receiving yards ✅Spears U 28.5 rushing yards ✅Lamar U46.5 rushing yards ❌Jaylen Warren U24.5 rushing yards

000

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Official NFL player props @4for4football.bsky.social continue to crush this season 🚀 YTD: 76-46 (62.3%) for +25.52 units Week 11: 7-2 for +5.89 units Get all of my props for the rest of the year with the betting subscription for just $59! Subscribe: 4for4.com/plans

4for4.com

4for4 Plans & Pricing

201

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

What's crazy is this would be a $150K sweat if Herbert had 3 more yards last night

100

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

$12K+ hit if Nico Collins goes for 100+ receiving yards tonight! ✅ Jameson 70+ ✅ Herbert 275+ ✅ Bowers 80+ ✅ Taysom 40+ 👀 Nico 100+ Should be a good sweat

2111

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024

Jahan Dotson has run a route on 75% of dropbacks for the Eagles this season and projects for 65% ish tonight. His prop is O/U 6.5 receiving yards 🤣 Legitimately Impressive

1101

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024

Does BlueSky continue to grow or fizzle out after a month or so?

310

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024

We are also giving away FREE subs to EVERYONE who plays $10+ this week on BN Fantasy. - One month of DLF - One month of Betsperts Golf - 4for4 through Feb 28th Play and get your sub: 4for4.co/48P6WYJ

020

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 14/11/2024

🔥 Thursday Night Football Play 🔥 Devonta Smith to have 12+ more receiving yards than Noah Brown! Tail: 4for4.co/48P6WYJ

252

Connor Allen @connorallennfl.bsky.social · 13/11/2024

Week 11 Betting Preview 📺 Live with @rynoonan.bsky.social & John Lagezza to break down the best games and bets for Week 11 at 3:30 PM EST today! Watch: www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjI7...

youtube.com

The Ultimate Week 11 Betting Guide: Best Bets, Odds & Predictions!

YouTube video by 4for4 Bets

032