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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

There was a co-authored DC Circuit opinion last week in the ballroom case! Maybe it's a new trend.

media.cadc.uscourts.gov

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Of course, elsewhere in the opinion the judge showed that in-person voter fraud is vanishingly rare, and "greater risk of fraud" than ~0 does not imply "prone to fraud."

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

The sentence before the one you quoted does say, "[a]t trial, there was universal agreement that a much greater risk of fraud occurs in absentee balloting, where some campaign workers are known to harvest mail-in ballots through several different methods, including raiding mailboxes."

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Now that NYT is including the Detroit suburbs in their benchmark analysis, neither candidate is ahead. But that still doesn't include Detroit itself or midsize cities, so I'm not sure how useful this benchmark analysis is at the moment...

Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

One of the research scientists at OpenAI who announced the ten solutions this week said they had tried the Astra model on all the Millennium Prize problems without success, so far.

Xcancel pot from Noam Brown (@polynoamial) saying:

And yes we did try other major problems without success. Sadly no Millennium Prize problems (yet).

But also, we didn't spend a lot on each problem. It's possible to push test-time compute much further.

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

You should write a guest post at daily nous. How to Ask a Question at a Conference: A Harm Reduction Approach.

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Surely, it's too strong to say the AAUP shouldn't do anything that could be characterized as political. But one could consistently support those suits (which challenged broad attacks on academic research and academic freedom) while not supporting the AAUP weighing in on this primary.

Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Somewhat ironic that this Fifth Circuit rule would significantly increase the probability of success for the Capitol Police Officers who sued Trump and others for the injuries they sustained on January 6.

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

It is a side effect of one judge's interpretation of our copyright laws. The judge relied on a series of prior cases where the originals were not destroyed but converting the original to another format to make storage/searchability easier was still deemed transformative (pp. 15-16 of linked file).

docs.justia.com

ORDER ON 122 FAIR USE for Bartz et al v. Anthropic PBC :: Justia Dockets & Filings

Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

Fun fact: Sometimes a lawyer's job is to tell the client things they don't want to hear, to question a client's representations if they appear inconsistent with other evidence, and to refuse to make arguments or take positions that they know to be frivolous.

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Reposted by Christian Mott

So as far as we know right now, the USMNT was the third best team in the World Cup.

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The Trojans' Odyssey is called the Aeneid. Christopher Nolan movie version when?

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The opinion is all about the Court's loose "in common use" language and concludes that firearms in common use for lawfully purposes today cannot be banned. So, the federal assault weapons ban was constitutional when enacted but now that it has lapsed would no longer be constitutional.

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Was not expecting a majority opinion written by Judge Freeman and joined by Judge Montgomery-Reeves striking down these regulations.

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Always a good sign when your lease contract includes a natural history of mold: "Molds are naturally occurring microscopic organisms which reproduce by spores and have existed practically from the beginning of time...."

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(This analysis assumes that PA should have 2 D senators. Given that it's currently 1-1, it would switch to 2-2, and the law would cause no net gain for either party.)

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I think this law would end up helping Republicans more than Democrats. In NY, IL, PA, and AZ, the state minus the city would likely elect 2 Rs, netting Rs 8 more senate seats. Ds would likely gain two senate seats for Los Angeles (remainder of CA wouldn't flip), Houston, and San Antonio.

Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

If this proposition were correct, surely the cultures we would be most concerned about would be those that shaped the people who attempted to overthrow our constitutional democracy on January 6, 2021.

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The government providing us information infringes on our God-given right to harm ourselves without knowing it.

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Sports media: Did Tuchel throw the match because Bellingham said he "he doesn't know what it's like to play in" the World Cup?

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They don't have the personnel on the field to get this goal.

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(Wrote this before Fernandez scored. I count that goal as consistent with the spirit of this prediction.)

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The classic England experience would be Argentina scoring in stoppage time; England being unable to create any offense in extra time because they've taken off so many offensive players; and then Harry Kane putting the decisive penalty kick over the bar.

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I am not a ball-knower and can't say anything about the current team. But I do remember wishing that Gareth Bale was on the England team in 2018...

So as far as we know right now, the USMNT was the third best team in the World Cup.

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Easy to count to five on that, right? Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh will vote to invalidate. (Kavanaugh based on his DC Circuit opinion; the others based on their past 2A votes.) And Barrett hasn't shown much tendency to vote differently than those four in 2A cases.

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Unfortunately, some justices stopped reading at the previous paragraph, with its "in common use" language.

Yes, but there is a deadline for declaring and voters can rank only one write-in.

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There may also be some indirect effects of things like Medicaid work requirements and the BBB provisions that caused, e.g., NY to kick 450k low-income people off the state's Essential Plan, in the form of hospitals raising rates charged to insurance companies to cover for costs of the uninsured.

Well, it remains possible this wouldn't be happening if there hadn't also been several major disruptions to the ACA marketplaces. E.g., letting enhanced subsidies lapse, removing the tax liability cap, and banning subsidies for certain lawful immigrants.

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Where can we donate to an industrial-scale vetting operation?

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I am aware. Just speculating as to possible reasons behind an otherwise puzzling decision.

Maybe this was the price of getting Platner to agree to stand aside.

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

The ICC isn't the only body that can prosecute war crimes. US federal criminal law also prohibits them.

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A student who knows the material and doesn't cheat acts in accordance with duty. A student who does not know the material and doesn't cheat acts from duty.

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Christian Mott @cjmott.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

You've got me there. Decisively out-pedantried.

If Caesar was involved, it was the Roman Republic (Yes, I am arguing with a joke. This is bluesky after all.)

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Shouldn't have wished for exactly this on that monkey's paw

*man tapping head meme* Can't miss big chances if you don't have any

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Should they be allowed to score the same goal against us twice? Seems unsporting.

I was shocked they didn't sub him out after the second hydration break.

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Does seem potentially bad for morale to look so afraid of their opponent. I would have expected the team to issue the typical "we feel confident playing whatever team USMNT puts on the field," while complaining/having UEFA complain behind he scenes.

Particularly since Belgium beat USMNT with Balogun 5-2 in March.

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Nirav D. Shah - Wikipedia

I didn't mean Mills! I assume she's not interested. I meant the candidate who was second in the Democratic primary for governor: Nirav Shah.

en.wikipedia.org

If they want some popular legitimacy, they could consider nominating the candidate who came in second in the gubernatorial primary (and received the most first-choice votes).

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