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Ches Thurber

@ches-thurber.bsky.social
56 followers 173 following 7 posts

Associate Professor of Political Science at NIU. Researches and teaches about international relations, conflict, security, and foreign policy.

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Ches Thurber @ches-thurber.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Ahmadullah Archiwal and I have a new paper out exploring the role of ethnicity in two nonviolent movements in Pakistan. We offer one of the deepest looks inside the organizational structure and strategic decision-making of the Pakistan Tahafuz Movement. doi.org/10.1177/0192...
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Ches Thurber @ches-thurber.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
“Already we’ve had polls come out this morning that have showed really low levels of support for this military operation, unlike anything I’ve seen previously for a U.S. President’s use of military force.” My analysis of the US-Iran war on WIFR: www.wifr.com/2026/03/03/i...
wifr.com
Illinois Congressman, political expert respond to U.S. military action targeting Iran
“This country and the world is a better place by taking out the Ayatollah and dismantling the nuclear capabilities and the weaponry within Iran.”
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Ches Thurber @ches-thurber.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
New article out today with Tanner Bivens. Using new data on ethnicity in violent and nonviolent campaigns, we confirm that ethnic minorities face longer odds of success. BUT, we find that even for minorities, nonviolent tactics have historically been more effective: academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-...
academic.oup.com
Resistance is not futile: rethinking ethnicity, tactics, and outcomes in civil conflicts
Abstract. Recent studies have questioned whether nonviolent tactics can be effective for ethnic minorities. However, they often overlook multiethnic coalit
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Mara Revkin @mararevkin.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
ICYMI: Excellent and timely analysis of patterns of nonviolent civil organizing in Syria by @rbkhoury.bsky.social & @aasiegel.bsky.social for @goodauth.bsky.social summarizing their important new article in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... @apsamena.bsky.social
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Ches Thurber @ches-thurber.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Last class with this incredible group of grad methods students. Can’t wait to see the amazing research they produce!
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Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
some thoughts on why armed groups keep fighting, the possibilities for change they perceive, and the surprises that can result: paulstaniland.com/2024/12/05/a...
paulstaniland.com
Armed groups, ceasefires, and surprises
Hamas’ October 7 attack, the recent Syrian offensive, and the 2021 resurgence of the Myanmar civil war are all contexts in which armed groups launch major attacks after periods of seeming qui…
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Kai Thaler @kaimthaler.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12...
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Paul Poast @profpaulpoast.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
While we are still in a world AT war, rather than a World War, the connections between the various wars are becoming ever more clear. Case in point, Israel's current conflicts and the War in Ukraine are directly related to the offensive in Aleppo.
theatlantic.com
Not a World War But a World at War
The past two years have seen the most conflicts of any time since the end of the Second World War.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 03/12/2024
that's right
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Victor Asal @victorasal.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Why you should talk to people you disagree with about politics @us.theconversation.com theconversation.com/why-you-shou...
theconversation.com
Why you should talk to people you disagree with about politics
Conversations don’t immediately change people’s minds, but they can eventually. And in the meantime, they help forge real connections across a diverse and complex society.
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Abu Aardvark @abuaardvark.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
If you’re looking to catch up on scholarly work on Syria, I’ve posted a number of reading lists over the years. Here’s one, featuring Ora Szekely’s Syria Divided and Dipali Mukhopadhyay & Kimberly Howe’s Good Rebel Governance plus another ten for background. abuaardvark.substack.com/p/wrestling-...
abuaardvark.substack.com
Wrestling With Syria's War
Two new books examine the complexities and divisions which bedeviled Syria's rebels
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
How Biden or Harris could have run against inflation
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
For those interested in social movement research, a good starter pack go.bsky.app/U8AjoRy
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Ches Thurber @ches-thurber.bsky.social · 11/09/2024
A big thanks to Consuelo Amat and Claire Trilling for their thoughtful and engaging review of my book Between Mao and Gandhi in @Journal_CompPol ! buff.ly/3MFhUWv
buff.ly
Who Gains from Nonviolent Action?...g the Logics of Civil Resistance: Ingenta Connect Fast Track Article
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Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 24/10/2023
Blog post thinking about whether an old article provides a useful framework (or doesn't) for thinking about some aspects of the Israel-Hamas conflict: paulstaniland.com/2023/10/24/u...
paulstaniland.com
Urban insurgency revisited
The Israel-Hamas conflict, and its possible turn toward direct urban warfare, reminded me of an old article I published in 2010 (link to ungated PDF) in Comparative Political Studies on urban insurgen...
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Austin Carson @carsonaust.bsky.social · 12/10/2023
Two stories today about US intelligence conclusions that Iran was surprised by Hamas attack, citing anonymous USG officials www.nytimes.com/2023/10/11/u...
nytimes.com
Early Intelligence Shows Hamas Attack Surprised Iranian Leaders, U.S. Says
The information has fueled doubts in the United States that Iran, a longtime supporter of the Palestinian militant group, played a direct role in planning the assault in Israel.
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