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cherrycapital.bsky.social

@cherrycapital.bsky.social
465 followers 616 following 814 posts

Tuebor.

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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Seems a fair trade. Let’s make it so.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
The cover art alone is worth a click. Rocket was always the coolest character too, so this makes sense.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Thanks. This explanation makes sense. I will be able to sleep tonight now with this question now resolved. :-)
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Also, 0.5% error is seriously pretty impressive for dead reckoning through water, but that would still mean missing your target 150 km away by 750 meters Would that be good enough to effectively mine a port area?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
I'm a bit curious why all of the arrows on their diagram point *towards* Sweden. Obviously, Sweden was planning the mother of all false flag operations. /s
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
There's really a simple solution here: we PNG all Russian diplomats back to Russia.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
This part is even better: "The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialogue with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz". Basically saying OK to tolling.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
What a beautiful place
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
he looks strangely similar to Brezhnev, but bald
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Especially since literally 40 years of studies by US military academies all concluded this was a likely risk. The US may have been able to reopen the straight militarily, too, but only with the moral conviction and will to do so. Without that, it was braindead to start the fight.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
Those would be large books :-) Why do you hate trees so much?!
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
"We're still trying to get them to talk to each other". I think.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
for or against though?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
We’re a little more like Turkmenistan under the Great Turkmenbashi with every passing day.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Isn’t this above normal, both in geographic breadth but also total count?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
In this context, me too.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Just such a decent human being.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Whatever is amiss happened within last 12 hours.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
GPS degraded / jammed vessels?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
Not surprising. It seemed most likely Iran would just run out the clock while Trump is headed to China.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
Citizens United specifically and murky political financing in general looks like the root cause of most of our nation’s ills. Single most important thing to fix, to be able to fix many other critical things.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Thanks. Saw that in the search results but wasn't sure that was it, but that makes sense. Yet another future supply chain disruption out of all this.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Anybody can explain to me, what's "MEG supplies" mean? From the article: "Rystad Energy expects at least six-to-eight weeks before credible access to MEG supplies can be achieved after an agreement is reached"
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
I thought the gaps in the insurance market had mostly been filled, and it was more a question at this point of the fact drones and missiles are flying occasionally, mines are still floating around, and there are dueling blockades. Is DP World more risk tolerant, insuring voyages others wouldn't?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Just leaving is also very costly. Truly no good choices left right now. Continuing the blockade is also a bad choice, just a slower moving bad choice, so people hope some fundamental fact changes while waiting.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
* “in the”, not “the the”. I apparently typed a stutter.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
I wonder if Russia (or China) is supplying gear, including SAMs. Would be in either’s interest to see US tied up the the Persian gulf for a while. Pretty curios if something nefarious happened to the KC-135 today…
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
There are no good options now. Trump may still pick the long-term worst one if it seems like it’d give a political boost now.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Wonder if this photo - supposedly snapped today - made for convenient cross-tarmac diplomacy.
https://x.com/shen_shiwei/status/2051646908322459849

photo of US airforce jet parked next to Iranian commercial jet at Beijing airport
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Rock vs hard place. It’s hard to just leave now, too. To answer directly: no idea. Not sure he can.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Probably especially hesitant before China trip. Which, honestly, they should cancel to avoid enabling Iran in the interim and a distracted summit.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Can’t do that, either. Broke it, gotta fix it.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Strait still closed. Ships attacked tonight. Missiles fired at UAE today. Non-zero chance something bad happened to a Stratotanker over the Gulf today. Petroleum reserves drawing down farer than expected. And yet oil futures are 3% down. The market is stupid.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
As dumb as this whole war has been so far, glad to hear this went well for USN.
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Reposted by @cherrycapital.bsky.social
Captain Mark Kelly @captmarkkelly.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Our maritime decline is a threat to our security. While China builds 1,000+ ships a year, the U.S. built only 5 in 2024. I’m teaming up with Rep. John Garamendi on the SHIPS for America Act to revitalize our shipyards, create jobs, and build ships in America again.
foxnews.com
REP GARAMENDI, SEN KELLY: We must work together to make America a shipbuilding power
Bipartisan lawmakers introduce the SHIPS for America Act to counter China's shipbuilding dominance and rebuild U.S. maritime national security.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Oh! I thought it was career counseling! Your explanation makes WAY more sense.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
With that timing, clearly a signal / warning to commercial shippers.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
When you strip away the packaging, it sounds like, again, nothing has actually changed: US says ships can leave. Iran says they can't. Vice versa for Iranian ships. No actual mine clearing operations or escorts. Shipping companies still aren't gonna take the gamble probably right?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
This sounds like dialog from The Puppet Regime :) Old video, but could be current (just with a different Khamenei): www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJP1...
youtube.com
Trump and Khamenei hold last ditch Iran nuclear talks | PUPPET REGIME
YouTube video by GZERO Media
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
29 knot winds... Low-level wind shear advisors... but still, that's nothing too out of the ordinary there. Unlikely sinister explanations: ILS interference or GPS spoofing?!
METAR and PIREP text from aviationweather.gov

METAR: KTEB (Teterboro Arpt, NJ, US)1 hrs 0 min ago
moreMETAR KTEB 032051Z 31019G28KT 10SM FEW090 15/M06 A2982 RMK AO2 PK WND 32029/2015 SLP098 T01501056 56014
PIREP H25B29 min ago
Time:2026-05-03T21:22:00.000Z
Wake turb category:medium
Aircraft type:BAe BAe-125-700
Flight level type:DURD
Turb type:LLWS
PIREP:TEB UA /OV TEB/TM 2122/FLDURD/TP H25B/RM LLWS +/-10 KT
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Did they publish something somewhere claiming responsibility?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Average i closer to $5/gal average in Northern Michigan, which is still significantly elevated and suddenly close to Californian prices... but still not $6.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
(Not to excuse the consequences of this war -- just saying, accuracy matters, and I don't think $6 is the average or even close yet. There MIGHT be a station somewhere at an airport charging that much, but definitely not average.)
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
I don't think it's quite that high. Diesel, maybe. There's also a storm-damage outage at a refinery in Indiana which has added maybe $0.50 / gallon to the price.
screen grab from gasbuddy.com showing gas prices in Michigan, $3.99/gallon at locations in South East Michigan and Sault Ste Marie Michigan.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
Minor nitpick on the excellent video: I think it’s pronounced “un-de-natured” :-)
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Is that VIIRS imagery?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Interesting. Guess Sweden finally doing something about sketchy shadow vessels in Swedish waters is having a ripple effect. Would be nice if Norway and Denmark helped crystalize things to make sure the fear stays real.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
"en utländsk stat" - men dem nämner inte vilken? Något som pekar på ett specifikt land eller riktning?
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Nice.
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cherrycapital.bsky.social @cherrycapital.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Russia is the biggest wildcard for me in understanding this. They benefit most from the war dragging on / SoH being closed, but I'm not sure how much they can afford to support Iran right now given the state of their budget.
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