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Charles Hill

@charleswlhill.bsky.social
850 followers 469 following 774 posts

Emeritus Professor, University of Washington, Foster School. Economist. Text Book Author. Venting into the void.

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Reposted by Charles Hill
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I'm not sure who saw this coming, but so far nearly all the jobs created during the second Trump administration have gone to women.
Line chart titled "So far during Trump's second term, just 8% of all job growth has gone to men" showing change in employment by gender since January 2025. Total nonfarm employment grew by 776,000 jobs through September 2026, with women gaining 711,000 positions (92% of growth) while men added only 65,000 jobs (8% of growth). Women's employment gains accelerated sharply through 2026, reaching 711,000 by September, while men's employment growth remained flat with brief periods of decline, including a drop of 96,000 jobs in February 2026.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
What the fucking fuck.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The Treasury market is trying to tell us something, and it’s not good.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Surprise, surprise, Iran Is using cryptocurrency to bypass US sanctions and sell oil. www.wsj.com/finance/curr...
wsj.com
Exclusive | Senate Investigation Finds Rampant Use of Tether’s Stablecoin by Iranian Regime
Wallets sanctioned over Iran ties overwhelmingly dealt in Tether’s USDT stablecoin, according to Senate Democrats.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Seattle ranks fourth among world's top cities in new report www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news...
seattletimes.com
Seattle ranks fourth among world’s top cities in new report
A new global index ranks Seattle fourth worldwide, powered by remarkable economic productivity, high quality of life and natural appeal, writes FYI Guy.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I would be deeply suspicious of any “educational” institution associated with Marc Andreessen given that he is a card carrying techno fascist. www.wsj.com/us-news/educ...
wsj.com
Exclusive | The Tech Elite Is Funding an Alternative to College
The venture-capital firm is spending $35 million to back the two-year academy, with other Bay Area tech giants on board.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Just now: The sun setting over Pt Roberts and the Canadian Gulf Islands.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Well, I’m shocked. Who among us could possibly have foreseen this? Next you’ll be telling us that Don Jr’s wedding was paid for by a buddy of Putin.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Nice to see Vance stumping for the Democrats.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Bliss.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Right. For example, Anthropic scanned 16 different editions of my text books and used them to train their LLMs, all without permission - which amounts to theft of copyrighted material. When challenged in court they agreed to a settlement, but still did not acknowledge wrongdoing.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The President of the United States is truly an idiot. If one of my students was so utterly clueless about how trade works, I’d give them an F.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
This is not surprising, definitely good for Canada and the EU, and yet one more illustration of how Trump’s America First policy is resulting in American Alone and Isolated. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
washingtonpost.com
Battle with Trump is sending Canada into the arms of the E.U.
The head of the E.U.’s executive branch is proposing “associate membership” for Canada, as Ottawa also pursues new trade deals with China.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Look out Jimothy. www.washington.edu/news/2026/09...
washington.edu
Coyote density is 9 times higher in Seattle than in Washington’s wild lands | UW News
A new UW study shows a nine-fold increase in coyote density in Seattle compared to natural areas of Washington state. Coyotes in urban environments have fewer p
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
It’s just a flesh wound. www.wsj.com/business/ene...
wsj.com
Americans Have Spent $100 Billion More on Fuel During the Iran War
Higher gasoline and diesel prices have led many families to save less and curb spending elsewhere.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
There are not 6 conservatives on the Supreme Court. There are 3 liberals, 4 conservatives, and 2 neofascists.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Theoretically possible, but it would require many years of sustained economic growth in excess of 3% per annum, something that the US had not seen since the 1990s. In other words, its bullshit. stocks.apple.com/AOYYZ5PJNT--...
stocks.apple.com
Bessent Says the U.S. Can Grow Its Way Out of the Debt Crunch. What Would It Take? — The Wall Street Journal
Treasury secretary makes the argument that strong economic expansion is the antidote to climbing out of the deep debt hole
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
With reserve stocks now seriously depleted in most countries, and supply disruptions appearing to get worse, oil prices could spike significantly higher over the next few months. The reckless Trump Administration did this. www.wsj.com/business/ene...
wsj.com
Oil Executives Say the Great Fuel Crisis Is Here
Trump officials say the oil-market disruption is temporary, but Chevron’s Mike Wirth and others warn global supplies are running low, with no respite in sight.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
A better headline woukd be “Trump makes major policy decision on the fly without consulting his advisors, upending decades of progress”. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
washingtonpost.com
Trump endorses Irish reunification, breaking with decades of U.S. policy
Trump’s comments broke with longstanding U.S. neutrality on the question of reuniting the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland — a highly sensitive issue in the U.K.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
$5,000 per adult citizen works out at around $1.23 trillion. The President doesn’t have the authority to do this, that rests with Congress. If Congress followed through, it would probably be financed by debt and/or money creation, which would be inflationary. Really stupid idea. 1/2
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
This would amount to a $1.2 trillion fiscal stimulus, which would almost certainly be very inflationary, particularly at current unemployment rates.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The Treasury is launching a bond buyback program to raise prices and lower yields, and the market responds by doing the opposite. It’s almost as if market participants dont trust the Trump Administration. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/09/b...
nytimes.com
Bond Market Rebuffs Treasury’s $6 Billion Plan to Reduce Borrowing Costs
The 10-year yield rose to its highest level in three years, suggesting investors were underwhelmed by the details of a move to buy back government bonds.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Stealing is what AI does best.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
If you have access to the NYT you should read this brutally clear article by Tom Freidman that summarizes the risks to liberal democracy associated with upcoming elections in both Israel and the United Ststes. We are in trouble. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/08/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Democracy Is on the Ballot in Both America’s and Israel’s Elections
Israel and the United States each hold elections one week apart in the fall. The fate of their democracies lies in the balance.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
As Trump continues to alienate traditional allies and suck up to dictators, those allies are responding by forging deeper economic ties with each other. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
EU and Canada Plan Far-Reaching Alliance to Strengthen Partnership
The European Union and Canada are working toward a new, all-encompassing relationship that will range from trade to security, as the transatlantic partners seek to build a new alliance to offset the g...
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Since it’s Labor Day……
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Reposted by Charles Hill
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Consumer sentiment is at its lowest in 70 years of survey data. That's lower than during wars, financial crises, and a pandemic. The economy isn't the whole story here. Faith in how Washington is running policy is at an all-time low, and it's hard to blame people. youtu.be/h0LB9PEiZ3o
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Reposted by Charles Hill
michaeledward @michaeledward.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Street art in Seattle's Pike Place. Love it! 🤭
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
This bizarre threat amount to Trump saying that if the Fed doesnt do what he wants, he will respond by trying to tank the economy. The man is barking mad. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/b...
nytimes.com
Trump Threatens to Halt Some Trade Unless the Fed Cuts Rates
The president said he could halt trade between the United States and countries with which it has a trade deficit if the central bank doesn’t do his bidding.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
“This is my money that I control,” he said. “I can spend it for what I want to spend it for.” And what may that be? What is he planning for 2028?
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
But I thought the war was meant to be over in six weeks? www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
wsj.com
Hegseth Extends Mideast Deployments Into 2027, Escalating Strain on Troops
The move is part of an open-ended military strategy designed to give President Trump options in the Iran war.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Not a surprise to anyone who understands international trade, but the trade deficit is surging despite (or perhaps because of) Trump’s tariff policies. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/03/b...
nytimes.com
U.S. Trade Gap Ballooned in July
The trade deficit bounced back up last month as spending on data centers to feed the A.I. boom drove up imports.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Profiles in a total absence of courage….exhibit 1, Google Maps…
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Reposted by Charles Hill
Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Part 1 of a 3-part strategy. First, delegitimize real polls (that show Trump and his party struggling). Second, promote fake polls (that show the opposite). Third, deny election results they don’t like using fake polls as the “evidence” of election malfeasance. www.brennancenter.org/our-work/ana...
brennancenter.org
How Polls Can Help or Hurt Democracy
Attacks on legitimate polls and the rise of fake polls make it hard for voters to know what to believe.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
According to BLS data, between 2000 and 2Q 2026 labor’s share of national income declined from 62.8% to 52.9% while the share accounted for by capital rose from 37.2% to 47.1%. This probably helps explain the growing appeal of socialism in the United States.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
China’s currency trades in a range mandated by its government. It would be better for everyone if China abandoned its managed float and instead let market forces determine the exchange value of the yuan. 1/2 www.wsj.com/economy/trad...
wsj.com
Why the World Needs to Force China’s Yuan to Revalue
China is flooding the world with cheap exports. An accord to revalue its currency might be the only solution.
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Reposted by Charles Hill
Gernot Wagner @gwagner.com · 28/08/2026
@bloomberg.com details "Iran war’s energy winners and losers" Winners? China, "leveraging its dominance in green technology manufacturing at a time when soaring oil and gas prices are boosting interest in solar panels, batteries and electric vehicles." www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Chinese Clean-Tech Exports Surge
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Happening right now viewed from Seattle, a luna eclipse.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Petty, stupid, and pathetic. Another example of the Trump clown show. We should all ignore this. apnews.com/article/lake...
apnews.com
Trump signs order renaming Lake Ontario as 'Lake America' in the United States
President Donald Trump says he's renaming Lake Ontario to be known as “Lake America” in the United States as he escalates his trade war with Canada.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
This definitely should make investors think about the dangers of excess investment and the risks associated with pursuing the most optimistic projections. Worth remembering that the fiber optic investment boom was followed by a wave of high profile corporate bankruptcies.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
You have been scammed. The scammer in chief used Trump backed crypto products to put $1.4 billion into his own pocket without investing a dime, while leaving “investors” holding the bag with $4.7 billion in losses. www.citizen.org/article/dona...
citizen.org
‘Thin Air,’ Real Money: Donald Trump’s Crypto Products Have Left Investors at Least $4.7 Billion Underwater - Public Citizen
Introduction  “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly…
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
The heads of state of the three largest military powers in the world are all authoritarian psychopaths. Two of them are boxed in by their own missteps. This strikes me as an extremely dangerous situation.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
I though she was immortal 😢. variety.com/2026/music/n...
variety.com
Dolly Parton, Queen of Country Music, Dies at 80
Dolly Parton, considered by many to be the all-time queen of country music, and star of movies such as '9 to 5,' died Tuesday in Nashville at 80.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Apparently, the trade talks between the US and Canada broke down when the US tried to limit Canada’s national sovereignty by imposing limits on Canada’s ability to sign trade deals with other countries. This is a classic Trump move, and would be unacceptable to any independent nation. 1/2
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The subtext of this excellent bit of reporting by the WSJ is that Trump’s an idiot. www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
wsj.com
The Warnings That Came Before a War Now Reaching the Six-Month Mark
After military and diplomatic efforts, President Trump is pinning his hopes on economic warfare.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Trouble in paradise.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Trump counters Carney’s move by threatening to raise tariffs on additional products to 50%, but not until January 2027, which suggests perhaps that he is getting pressure from American auto companies to stop being so fucking stupid. apple.news/AxkPVLlTrSHa...
apple.news
Trump Threatens 50% Tariff on Automobiles and Parts From Canada — The Wall Street Journal
The move, which would take effect in January, is the latest in the rapidly escalating trade war between the two neighbors
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
So the bad news is that we now in a trade war with our neighbor and 2nd largest trading partner. The good news is that new US tariffs only cover 5% of Canadian imports, so if Canada responds in kind, the damage is small. However…..1/2 www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
washingtonpost.com
Canada sets retaliatory tariffs in response to 50% U.S. levies as trade talks fail
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods will take effect on Sept. 8. He referred to Trump’s 50% tariffs as “a miscalculation.”
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
The US imported $450 billion in goods and services from Canada in 2025 (and exported $426 billion to Canada), mostly tariff free under the USMCA. The new tariffs impact about $20 billion of those imports. Even post tariffs, this remains one of the most important trading relationships in the world.
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Charles Hill @charleswlhill.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Quelle surprise! The US won’t share the unredacted Epstein files with UK law enforcement because that would reveal the extent of Trump’s involvement.
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