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Change Research

@changeresearch.com
1.7K followers 4.9K following 137 posts

An innovative public opinion research company founded in the wake of historic polling misses around the 2016 election. Traditional polling is broken. We’re here to meet people where they are.

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Reposted by Change Research
Truman National Security Project @trumanproject.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
From the #midterms to America’s role abroad, @changeresearch.com gave Truman members a tailored briefing on what voters are thinking—and the chance to question the pollsters behind the findings. Here’s one national security takeaway from the briefing. #OnlyAtTruman
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 15/09/2026
Super psyched for this event hosted by @mattbooker.bsky.social—an alum of The Downballot who's now a pollster at @changeresearch.com. Tomorrow's discussion is on Black voters in the Midwest. RSVP here—it's free!
changeresearch.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Plus or Minus: Tracking the Midterms with Change Research. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
Every month, Change Research reaches into our Compass Poll data to walk you through what voters are saying and feeling. In this live briefing, our team breaks down the freshest findings from the Chang...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 14/09/2026
This Wednesday. 3 PM ET / 12 PM PT. New Compass Poll data on Black voters in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down what's shaping these 2026 battlegrounds. Register: hubs.la/Q04wrygL0
hubs.la
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: Plus or Minus: Tracking the Midterms with Change Research. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
Every month, Change Research reaches into our Compass Poll data to walk you through what voters are saying and feeling. In this live briefing, our team breaks down the freshest findings from the Chang...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 12/09/2026
New research: Embold Research partnered with Heatmap News to survey 5,000+ voters on clean energy messaging. 55% believe solar and wind are only cost competitive due to subsidies. Full report:
hubs.la
Voters See Lower Costs as the Most Compelling Case for Clean Energy -- but Do Not Yet Believe the Savings Are Real, New Heatmap Research Finds
/PRNewswire/ -- Heatmap News today published Communicating about Climate and Clean Energy in an Age of Affordability, a new research report examining how...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 11/09/2026
25 years after 9/11, as we remember those lost, our Compass Poll finds a generational shift: 63% of voters 18-34 say the US should not get too involved internationally, vs 28% of voters 65+. Full findings: changeresearch.com/r...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 10/09/2026
Women set a record for governor candidacies in 2026, but the ambition gap hasn't closed: 36% of men vs 20% of women have thought about running for office, per our new survey. Full data: changeresearch.com/r...
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Reposted by Change Research
Change Research @changeresearch.com · 03/09/2026
Save the date: Sept 16, 3pm ET. Plus or Minus returns with a special edition on the Black vote in OH, WI, and MI. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down our new Compass Poll ahead of 2026. Register: changeresearch.zoom....
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 08/09/2026
57% of Americans say the Iran war is not worth fighting, per our new survey of 2,045 voters (Aug 8-13). 92% of Dems and 76% of independents agree; 65% of Republicans disagree. Full data: changeresearch.com/r...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 03/09/2026
Save the date: Sept 16, 3pm ET. Plus or Minus returns with a special edition on the Black vote in OH, WI, and MI. Matt Booker and Sumati Thomas break down our new Compass Poll ahead of 2026. Register: changeresearch.zoom....
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 27/08/2026
83% of voters support a max age limit for Congress. 87% want a formal process to remove officials who become cognitively unable to serve. Neither exists today. New national data on an issue voters have strong, consistent views on: 🔗 changeresearch.com/r...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 25/08/2026
Half a percent off the final result. That's how close our polling came in LA's City Council District 11 race. We polled for 9 Democratic primary candidates. Here's what the data showed about enthusiasm, age, and where voters stand heading into November.
changeresearch.com
Change Research Moves the Needle in the 2026 Primaries - Change Research
Change Research's polling accuracy held up across the 2026 primary cycle, including a call in Los Angeles's City Council District 11 that landed within half a percent of the final result. Change Research's Dynamic Online Sampling approach delivered reliable numbers for campaigns up and down the ballot, and the data revealed clear voter enthusiasm and generational divides heading into November.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 24/08/2026
We asked 2,006 voters about 3 different digital restrictions for minors. Support ranged from 75% down to 25%, and dropped even further once applied to adults. Voters draw sharper lines here than you'd expect. 🔗
changeresearch.com
Voters Back Some Digital Blue Laws for Minors but Not Others - Change Research
Voters overwhelmingly want to restrict minors' access to explicit adult content online, but they're a lot less sold on locking their teenagers out of Instagram at 11pm. New Change Research polling of 2,006 registered voters breaks down where Americans actually draw the line on minors' digital safety, and it's not where you'd guess.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 21/08/2026
We asked NC voters an open-ended question: what message would you send to Trump? Republican answers split into two distinct camps: 79% "Definite," 20% "Movable." Trump's approval in the state sits at 40%, 11 points below his 2024 vote share. 🔗
changeresearch.com
North Carolina Republicans’ Growing Frustration with President Trump - Change Research
Change Research is the award-winning research partner for campaigns, political coalitions, caucuses, and advocacy organizations — known for accuracy, innovation, and insights that drive winning strategy.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 21/08/2026
New look, same data you trust. We've relaunched changeresearch.com with easier access to our latest research, services, and Data Portal. Go check it out. 🔗
changeresearch.com
Change Research
Change Research is the award-winning research partner for campaigns, political coalitions, caucuses, and advocacy organizations — known for accuracy, innovation, and insights that drive winning strategy.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 20/08/2026
Big win for Fred Clark, who took the Democratic nomination in a competitive three-way primary for Wisconsin's 7th CD. On to November! Congrats, Fred and team. 🔗 changeresearc...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 06/08/2026
Congratulations to Alabas Farhat on winning the Democratic primary for Michigan's 3rd House District. Change Research is proud to support candidates like Alabas with fast, accurate polling. Learn more at www.changeresearch.com
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 06/08/2026
Congratulations to Abdul El-Sayed on his win in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary. 🔗 Learn more about how Change Research supports winning campaigns: www.changeresearch.com
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Stephen Clermont @sjclermont.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
A new essay about the changes in our politics highlighted in the recent Pew typology report. open.substack.com/pub/stephenc...
open.substack.com
How Our Politics Have Shifted
And what, if anything, we can do about it.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 26/06/2026
Congratulations to Salt Lake County District Attorney Sim Gill on winning the Democratic primary last night! 🎉 He's served as DA since 2010 and heads to the November general. Proud to have supported his campaign. changeresearch.com
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 18/06/2026
Change Research and Embold Research will be closed on June 19 in observance of Juneteenth. We recognize the significance of this day and the history it honors. See you next week.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 15/06/2026
Embold Research: Opposition to local data center construction jumped from 52% to 70% in six months. Energy costs are driving it. When voters learn a data center would generate on-site solar or wind power, the share expecting major bill increases drops from 59% to 23%. emboldresearch.com/o...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 13/06/2026
Consumer confidence is at 48.2. Lower than any recorded point in 50 years. 51% of the electorate isn't locked in. Among Movable voters: 71% say we're already in a recession. 45% are undecided on the House ballot. Full briefing recap: changeresearch.com/2026-05-plus...
changeresearch.com
2026 05 Plus or Minus Economy Webinar Recap - Change Research
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 11/06/2026
Congrats to Ryan Hampton on advancing from the NV AD-09 primary. 🗳️ State and district races define 2026. Change Research polls districts with as few as 300 respondents. Fast results. Movable voters identified, not just partisan splits. changeresearc...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 22/05/2026
Our offices at Change Research and Embold Research are closed Monday, May 25 for Memorial Day. To all who have served, and to the families who carry the weight of that service: thank you.
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Reposted by Change Research
Stephen Clermont @sjclermont.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Some free campaign advice: stephenclermont.substack.com/p/campaigns-...
stephenclermont.substack.com
Campaigns are Not Hard
Say who you are and attack your opponent
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 19/05/2026
TOMORROW! Apr 20th at 3 PM ET: Plus or Minus is live. Stephen Clermont on voter economic sentiment from the Compass Poll. Register if you haven't: changeresearch.zoom....
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 18/05/2026
We asked voters what's driving the reported trend of young women moving toward traditional roles. Top answers: 38%: childcare costs make work not worth it 28%: burnout 26%: personal preference 19%: don't think it's happening Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...
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MS NOW Reports @msnowreports.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
The Wall Street Journal reports White House officials are considering plans to issue 250 pardons to mark America's semiquincentennial, according to several people familiar with the matter. Former DOJ pardon attorney Eliizabeth Oyer joins Erielle Reshef to react. www.ms.now/ana-cabrera-...
ms.now
Trump has used pardon power in 'unprecedented, corrupt ways': Ex-pardon atty.
The Wall Street Journal reports White House officials are considering plans to issue 250 pardons to mark America's semiquincentennial, according to several people familiar with the matter. Former DOJ ...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 13/05/2026
70% of voters expect AI to significantly change their lives in the next 5 years. Of those: 43% expect negative change. 25% expect positive. A majority still choose stricter regulation over U.S. competitive advantage when asked to pick. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 09/05/2026
38% of voters say affordable childcare is what the mothers and caregivers in their lives need most. More than any other option. 6% of women say those caregivers have what they need. 13% of men say the same. April 2026 Compass Poll. n=2,702. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/v...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 07/05/2026
Congratulations to Shelby County Commissioner Mickell Lowery on winning the Democratic primary for Shelby County Mayor last night! 🎉 He faces Republican John DeBerry Jr. in August. Change Research is proud to have supported his campaign. www.changeresearch.com
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 06/05/2026
51% of voters strongly disapprove of Trump's job performance. 28% strongly approve. That intensity gap is one of the more notable figures from our April 2026 Compass Poll. Full 15-month tracking on Trump, Vance, and Rubio: changeresearch.com/w...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 05/05/2026
New from Change Research: Plus or Minus, a monthly live Compass Poll briefing. Kicking off May 20 at 3 PM ET with Head of Polling Stephen Clermont on voter economic sentiment. Register: changeresearch.zoom....
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 04/05/2026
Tonight is the Met Gala. Most Americans aren't watching. Half of those who are say it's out of touch. And naming Jeff Bezos as sponsor tripled concern about billionaire funding of cultural institutions (14% to 42%).
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 04/05/2026
Tonight is the Met Gala. We polled voters on it. 71% know what it is but don’t follow it. 21% have never heard of it. 8% follow it at least somewhat closely. Fashion’s biggest night doesn’t land the same way for everyone.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 02/05/2026
We tested the Trump third-term hypothetical in our April 2026 Compass Poll. Obama 48% to Trump 39% He gains ground relative to Harris with nearly every major voter group we tested. Full analysis: changeresearch.com/y...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 23/04/2026
Supporters of U.S. action in Iran cite Iran's nuclear threat as the top reason. Their top fear? A prolonged conflict. Most draw a hard line at ground troops. 54% of MAGA supporters also fear domestic retaliation. 📊 changeresearch.com 📺 youtu.be/7mtMHmhQUnQ
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 23/04/2026
Opponents of U.S. action in Iran lead with one argument: Congress didn't authorize it. Many call the decision unconstitutional. Young women express opposition most frequently in the dataset. 📊 Full analysis: changeresearch.com Watch the webinar: youtu.be/7mtMHmhQUnQ
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 22/04/2026
Virginia passed its redistricting referendum 51.5-48.5. Our Head of Polling Stephen Clermont breaks down what it means, why the polls nailed it, and what the new Democratic floor in the state actually is. Good read.
open.substack.com
Notes from Last Night
Democrats win again in Virginia. It's as if this happens all the time.
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Reposted by Change Research
Stephen Clermont @sjclermont.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
My post on the Virginia election last night and another spectacular defeat for Trump, MAGA, James Blair, and cynical Republican consultants. open.substack.com/pub/stephenc...
open.substack.com
Notes from Last Night
Democrats win again in Virginia. It's as if this happens all the time.
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 16/04/2026
Only 3% of voters expecting a tax refund plan to spend it on something fun. The rest: 🏦Savings: 29% 💸Pay down debt: 24% 💳Catch up on bills: 21% Full analysis at changeresearch.com/v...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 16/04/2026
The White House tipped a DoorDash driver $100 to promote “no tax on tips.” Our Feb 2026 poll of 1,741 voters: ✅ 35% know it has limits ❌ 36% think it’s unlimited 🤷 11% only partially correct 📰 18% not following it Full data: changeresearch.com/voters-voice...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 14/04/2026
Change Research asked 1,741 registered voters how they feel about filing taxes this year. The top responses: Annoyed: 32% Frustrated: 25% Stressed: 23% Hopeful: 13% Full analysis at changeresearch.com/v...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 11/04/2026
Three months of voter priorities from our Compass Poll. Gov't corruption: 34% → 34% → 37% (Feb-Apr) Inflation: steady #2 Immigration: #3 Healthcare: top 4 every month Election integrity: top 5 Full data + crosstabs in the Change Research Data Portal: changeresearch.typef...
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Allison Gill @muellershewrote.com · 02/04/2026
Can anyone explain what’s going on here?
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 03/04/2026
"Wars Abroad, Worries at Home: Briefing on Voter Views on Foreign Policy" Wednesday, April 9 | 9 AM PT / 12 PM ET | Free Webinar Melanie Phillips, Head of Analyst Team, and Stephen Clermont, Head of Polling, are leading the conversation. Register at changeresearch.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
"Wars Abroad, Worries at Home: Briefing on Voter Views on Foreign Policy"
Wednesday, April 9 | 9 AM PT / 12 PM ET | Free
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 23/03/2026
Ben Sullivan is back at Change Research for 2026. His take: "I'm excited to return for the incredibly consequential 2026 election cycle." So are we! changeresearch.com
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 13/03/2026
🏆Honored to share that the Change Research Portal won Best Use of Technology in Research at the 2026 Reed Awards. Grateful for this recognition from Campaigns & Elections. changeresearc...
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 11/03/2026
3 in 4 Americans think the government is hiding something about Epstein. ◾ 77% of Americans say the Epstein investigation should continue. That includes 64% of Republicans. ◾ 75% believe he was murdered to protect powerful people. (nearly identical rates across Dems & GOP)
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Change Research @changeresearch.com · 06/03/2026
New data from Embold Research's partnership with Unite NY: 🔸 82% of New York voters support term limits for statewide officials. 81% for legislators. 74% want citizens to place issues directly on the ballot. Learn more at www.uniteny.org/pres...
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