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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit

@catanonim.me
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UK-cit ES-res European, "dangerously continental". Federalist, inc UK → Schengen, €. en fr de ca es. #FBPE. M: @littlegravitas@c.im. lgrav24[a]privateum.net. ✔️ e2e 🚫 crypto! Signal. Kagi search. No non-friend DMs. I mostly follow back - and I block back.

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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 12h
↑↑ And (same author): ~ Friends Reunited? - by Simon Nixon - Wealth of Nations ~ nixons.substack.com/p/europe-reunit…
Either way, Burnham last week sensibly ended the stand-off with Brussels over the
reset and surprised everyone, including it seems his own cabinet, with an
announcement that all options for a new relationship with the EU are on the table,
including "going all the way" and rejoining. Even if this was Burnham winging it, as
some who know him well reckon, he has ended up in exactly the position a pro-
European would have wished if this was the cunningest of plans.
That's because, whether he realises it yet or not, the logic of his position is that he
will take Labour into the next election on a manifesto pledge to take Britain back
into the EU. Although he said that other options are possible, including rejoining
just the customs union or single market, or even maintaining the status quo, none
of these are realistic. The status quo won't do because Britain is bound to suffer as
globalisation unwinds and the EU prioritises its own autonomy, while there is no
chance that Britain could tolerate a half in-half out deal that reduced it to an EU
rule-taker (see The Overwhelming Case for Rejoin).
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 16h
↑↑
The poll also shows that Labour would be more likely to win a majority at the next election on a
commitment to rejoin. Indeed, for all their bravado, neither Reform nor the Conservatives are likely
to welcome the prospect of having to defend a Brexit that even its most ardent defenders accept has
failed to deliver the promised benefits.
What I heard on the doorstep on Farage's home turf was no great love for Brexit, even among those
who had voted for it, but a deep and understandable reluctance to reopen old wounds and repeat
the trauma and divisiveness of the 2016 referendum.
Yet this assumes that the Conservatives and Reform wouldn't reopen old divisions or reignite their
battles with Europe. Nothing could be further from the truth.
Both parties are committed to withdrawing Britain from the European Convention on Human Rights,
a treaty that underpins every element of Britain's post-Brexit relationship with the EU, including the
vexed question of Northern Ireland, where it is woven into the Good Friday Agreement. Indeed,
Articles 771 and 772 of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement make clear that a serious breach of
human rights commitments would be grounds for its suspension or termination.
What is clear is that Britain's relationship with the EU will be on the table at the next general election
regardless of what Burnham does.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 05/10/2026
↑↑ Actually, it's 'Immigration, immigration, immigration' — all the way down.
Though it is refreshing to hear a Labour prime minister state unequivocally that 'Brexit
has done more harm than good', neither Burnham not any other politician has pointed
out how British hostility to immigrants and immigration have been essential to making
that harm possible. Right now, universities across the country are in deep crisis, in part,
because successive UK governments have reduced international students, while the
construction industry and the NHS are suffering labour shortages, as a result of
draconian immigration controls introduced by successive British governments.
Until that changes, very few of Labour's big promises will be realised, and the moral
story that Burnham wants to about solidarity and the common good will be fatally
flawed. Even if Burnham takes the decision to hold another referendum of some kind
on EU membership, immigration will be at the heart of the public debate. Farage has
already made it clear that immigration will be one of his principal attack lines in the
event of any campaign to rejoin the EU, and this time he has even more money than
he had last time to propagate 'invasion' narratives that were already present in 2016.
Once again, this does not mean that any attempt to rejoin should be ruled out. But
unless the debate about immigration changes, then Labour may one day find itself in
the same position as the Cameron government once did - trying to effectively allow
for the free movement of goods and services but not people - something that the EU
will not accept.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 03/10/2026
Voters lead the way over Labour cabinet ministers in a funk: www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/…
Downing Street's strategy appears to be to put the focus on those who made big
promises on Brexit but then failed to deliver, rather than accusing those who voted
to leave the EU of making the wrong decision. But the government's shift in
position has caused some anxiety among Burnham's team.
One cabinet minister told the Guardian: "Brexit clearly hasn't worked and the
promises made haven't been kept so Andy is right to open up the question of
what the future relationship looks like. But he definitely needs to proceed with
caution because we don't want to restoke division".
A second said: "Andy is right to say we need some clarity around our long-term
relationship. Security and trade cooperation are higher up the agenda than they
were 10 years ago. But whether that adds up to a real desire for big change in the
population I don't know. My constituents will be cautious."
A third added: "There are obviously different views across cabinet about it, but the
Made in Europe agenda means we do need to talk to the EU about what
relationship they want with us long term, as what they are currently proposing is
very challenging."
Another cabinet source said: "There's an awareness among a number of cabinet
ministers with leave voting seats that opinions are going to differ and the
arguments about the future will have to be carefully made about the national
interest."Ben Judah, a visiting fellow at Chatham House who was an adviser to David
Lammy as foreign secretary, told the Guardian: "These polls are a massive
validation of Andy Burnham's boldness on Europe. There is close to a national
consensus that Brexit was not a success.
"Against this background these results show that Europe as an issue has a unique
ability to unite the left and grow the Labour vote share among swing voters. The
bolder the stance towards rejoin, the bigger Labour's reward."
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 01/10/2026
↑↑
In this geopolitical storm, Europe offers us not just a safe harbour, but a huge
opportunity for growth. The EU is our biggest trading partner and our most
reliable ally. That's why, at the UK-EU summit in November, I will call on the
government to lay the groundwork for Britain's swift return to both the customs
union and the single market a move that should happen within this parliament.
Rejoining the customs union and the single market would deliver an immediate
boost to economic growth, improving living standards for communities across the
country and helping to grant Londoners some respite from the most acute cost of
living pressures. In the long term, however, we must raise our ambitions higher
still. Our party must immediately start making the case for rejoining the EU, so we
can fight and win a general election with EU membership effectively on the ballot
paper in 2029.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 30/09/2026
"… in the next manifesto". ~ No 10 gathering evidence on public support for UK rejoining EU | Brexit | The Guardian ~ www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/s…
The Guardian has learned that Burnham's comments are part of a wider effort by
No 10 to test consensus over rejoining, with a view to possibly including such a
promise in the next manifesto.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 30/09/2026
Stephen Bush on the Burnham speech: shorter.me/hZsjM
There was, however, a striking omission. He said nothing at all about how the
government is going to navigate its biggest immediate challenge, the Budget in
October and the comprehensive spending review next year. Burnham has
concluded that while the country wants change, he can't deviate from the
promises and manifesto he inherited from Keir Starmer this side of an election.
The logic of his speech is twofold: first, the next election will not take place until
2029. And second, that until then he will remain bound not only by the real fiscal
constraints the country is operating under, but the ones Labour has imposed on
itself. Whether his programme and popularity can survive that remains to be
seen.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 30/09/2026
↑↑
Burnham's comments, in an interview with the BBC at Labour's annual conference, opens the
door to the party including a pledge to rejoin the EU in its next election manifesto.
Among the other options are rejoining the EU customs union and single market, which was
ruled out by his predecessor, Keir Starmer.
In his BBC interview, Burnham - who has previously said he would like the UK to rejoin the
EU in his lifetime - said he wanted to be clear on "where we want Britain to go in the next
decade".
Asked whether he wanted the UK to rejoin the EU, he said he wanted to "look at the
options".
"We could stay as we are. That's definitely an option, if people think this is the right place to
stay," the PM told Radio 4's Today programme.
"We could look at what [former Tory chancellor] George Osborne has said about a customs
union, we could look at what the Liberal Democrats said at their conference about the single
market, or we could go all the way."
Burnham's comments are the clearest any prime minister has been about the UK possibly
rejoining the EU since the 2016 Brexit referendum.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 30/09/2026
3/3 Supporting this analysis, see: ~ Andy Burnham wants to review the UK’s relationship with the EU. What are the options? | Brexit | The Guardian ~ www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/s…
While he didn't specify options, he did not explicitly rule out rejoining. Keir
Starmer's red lines of not rejoining the single market or customs union could now
also be up for discussion within Labour's ranks in the coming weeks.
"I would be stunned if Starmer's red lines are in the next manifesto," said Joël
Reland, senior research fellow at UK in a Changing Europe, a key Brexit thinkthank.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 30/09/2026
2/2 See: averypublicsociologist.blogspot.com…
And rounding the speech off, Burnham riffed off the theme of fixing our
broken politics. He said he would work cross-party on as much of his
programme as possible, but noted how the Westminster system is the root of
much of our problems. Referencing the possibility of a "divisive government"
being elected on under 30% of the vote, he announced a national
commission on electoral reform with an invitation to all parties to contribute.
He also said the next Labour manifesto would have a clear commitment to
changing the system. And from here, he moved on to Brexit. Unlike Keir
Starmer who wouldn't touch the issue with a barge pole, Burnham was
repeatedly scathing about its consequences. He went on to say the upcoming
UK/EU summit will be an occasion for laying out the country's long-term
relationship with the EU, and he will offer some options for structuring it. A
code, as if it needed spelling out, for putting rejoining the EU back on the
table.
020
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
Pro-EU response to the Brexit element of the speech. www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2…
Labour pro-Europeans welcome PM's commitment to new
stance on EU, saying 'everything' should be on table
Lisa O'Carroll
Lisa O'Carroll is a senior Guardian correspondent covering post-Brexit issues.
Andy Burnham's promise to set out a new vision for the UK's post-Brexit
relationship with the EU later this year unleashes the prospects of a dramatic move
away from Keir Starmer's red lines of not rejoining the single market or customs
union.
All day yesterday in Liverpool, rumours were swirling that Burnham had some big
reveal on the EU in his speech.
Although he didn't specify what the new relationship would look like, announcing
he wants a consultation on options the Labour party can embrace, will be music to
the ears of people like Stella Creasy, the head of the Labour Movement for
Europe group. After the speech she posted this on social media.
Andy Burnham has spoken the truth that the British people are living every day:
Brexit has done more harm than good.
We in @labour4europe warmly welcome the news that the Prime Minister will
present to the country the full options for this country's relationship with the EU.
Everything must be on the table. Removing the red lines on Europe is the essential
first step to restoring this country's place on the world stage.
We stand with this Prime Minister in making the changes that truly live up to the
challenges of 2026, not 2016.
Burnham announced he would be looking at all options for the UK's post Brexit
relationship around the next summit with the EU, due to be held at the end of
November. (See 3.10pm.)
Although ministers over the weekend, including EU relations minister Hamish
Falconer, had insisted Burnham was "ambitious" for his plans with the EU, there
were no details of what that looked like. Until today.
Burnham has now raised the prospects that he could blur or even rub out Keir
Starmer's red lines, not joining the single market or customs union, or even go
into the next election promising another referendum to rejoin the EU.
Only yesterday Lord Liddle, a Labour grandee and Tony Blair's former Europe
adviser, was telling a panel on the EU in Liverpool that the UK had "got rather
stuck" in its negotiations with Brussels.
Keir Starmer, he said, could never really make up his mind about where he wanted
the UK to be. He "blew hot and cold" and "the red lines were brought out too
often", Liddle said, referring to Starmer's insistence the UK would not rejoin the
single market or customs union.
If the UK is serious about growth, Liddle said, "the first thing" it has to look at is
"the relationship with the EU".
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
Pension footing is better — and still, we are told, a triple lock. www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2…
IFS explains how new version of triple lock will work, saying it's
'substantial improvement'
The Institute for Fiscal Studies has welcomed Andy Burnham's announcement
about the triple lock. (See 2.48pm) Although it sounds like he is replacing it with a
double lock (pensions rising line with prices or by 2.5% every year, whichever is
higher), in fact it is still a triple lock. That's because, if the amount needed to
ensure pensions have still risen in line with average earnings growth since the
introduction of the new policy is higher than prices or 2.5%, they will go up by that
amount.
The IFS proposed this change to the system. It explains it like this.
The key change is that the new triple lock removes the most expensive and
unjustified part of the triple lock: the fact that it permanently ratchets up state
pension spending over time. Under the reformed system, pensions will still rise every
year and in line with average earnings in the long run, but less quickly than they
otherwise would have, and in a less unpredictable way.
The reform will likely generate small savings to the Exchequer in the next
parliament, but they will not be enough to fund universal social care. Over time the
new triple lock will prevent the state pension being locked into an ever-increasing
level of generosity compared to workers' earnings, thereby generating significant
savings in the long run.
In a briefing, the IFS has illustrated this with a rather incomprehensible chart.
Figure 1. Illustration of how the new triple lock would operate compared to
the old triple lock
40%
Value of the state pension
(relative to year 1)
35%
Average
earnings
Old triple lock
permanently
Old triple lock
30%
growth below
inflation
ratchets up value of state
pension relative to
earnings
25%
20%
15%
New triple lock
10%
Earnings growth
5%
0%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Year
9
10
Note: Assumes inflation of 2% and average (nominal) earnings growth of 4% in all years, apart from years 4-6 when
it is 1%.
How new triple lock will work Photograph: IFS/Institute for Fiscal Studies
Jonathan Cribb, deputy director of the IFS, said:
For years, we at the IFS have been calling for the government to find a better way
to increase the state pension than the triple lock. The old triple lock is not a good
way to achieve any policy goal. Most importantly, it is both very expensive and very
unpredictable. The new, reformed triple lock from 2030-31 is not perfect, but it is a
substantial improvement on the status quo. The prime minister should be
commended for grasping the nettle and helping to put the state pension system on a
more secure and sustainable footing.
Created at 18:27 CET/CEST on 29 09 2026 from
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/sep/29/andy-burnham-labour-conference-liverpool-speech-...
011
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
2/2 ↑↑ Coalition territory [this is written by Peter Kellner]?
Nevertheless, Labour would be the real winners. With 53 extra seats they
would be just 32 seats short of an overall majority. A Labour-Lib Dem
coalition would have 367 seats and a comfortable majority of 84.
010
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
021
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
The latest shitty 90/180 exceptionalist argument. At least the MDB offers context in §2. www.majorcadailybulletin.com/news/l…
The Spanish economy is losing many millions of euros every year
because of the controversial 90 day rule which limits the amount of time
non-European Union citizens can spend in the EU if they are non-
residents, according to real estate agents. It has already led to a slump
in home sales to Britons and has also led to a fall in the number of "long
term" tourists.
The economic impact is one of the main weapons being used by the real
estate sector and tourism chiefs to get the Spanish government to take
action. But it is not up to Spain. It is a European Union wide law but
Spain is certainly paying the price.
020
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 29/09/2026
↑↑
Bar chart comparing pension replacement rates in the UK with other developed countries. The UK's replacement rate is 44.7%, below the OECD average of 52%. Countries with higher replacement rates than the UK include Australia (around 54%), Denmark (around 78%), France (around 55%), Germany (around 43%), Greece (around 67%), Italy (around 77%), Japan (around 57%), Netherlands (around 76%), Portugal (around 73%), and Spain (around 82%). Sweden's rate is around 63%, and the USA's is around 42%.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 28/09/2026
↑↑
At a fringe event, senior Labour backbencher Stella Creasy, chair of the
Labour Movement for Europe, called for the party to put a "clear
commitment" in its next general election manifesto for the government to
"negotiate what rejoining [the European Union] looks like."
"This country left the European Union not knowing what leaving would
mean," she said. "If we want to explore what rejoining the European Union
is, then we need the democratic consent to have the conversation about
what those issues would be."
She added that in order to be able to include the commitment in the
manifesto, the government must drop its red lines now."If we want to
have a serious conversation with our European counterparts about the
challenges we are all facing - the social division, the economic uncertainty,
the national security issues - everything must be on the table, and I mean
everything: the single market, the customs union, the movement of goods,
the people, of services."
030
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 28/09/2026
↑↑
The minister said: "There are problems with EU regulation on digital
technology and artificial intelligence (Al) which need to be relaxed. We
need changes there because the UK is the centre of this technology."
They added: "We also have those trade deals with India and Canada which
we would need to move out of but the gains of having full access to the
EU market would more than make up for that."
Some though believe that Mr Burnham needs to act more speedily than
waiting for the general election. In an interview with The Independent,
Stella Creasy, chair of the Labour Movement for Europe, warned the UK
needed to start looking at how to rejoin in the next six months.
A number of ministers agree with Ms Creasy that the EU's "Made in
Europe" rules could lock the UK out of trade and defence areas.
One cabinet minister said: "There is a real danger we are trapped alone
between two tectonic plates of America First and Made in Europe."
Another cabinet minister said: "There is an appetite for a more radical
approach to Brexit but it will be conditional on what happens with Made
in Europe."
However, most agree with Sir Tony that Sir Keir Starmer's red lines of not
rejoining the customs union, single market or EU as a whole, along with
not engaging in free movement, need to be dropped.
120
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 28/09/2026
~ Andy Burnham edges Labour closer to rejoining EU as he prepares to deliver speech at Liverpool conference | The Independent ~ www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/polit…
One senior minister told The Independent that "the mood has completely
changed on this subject."
They added: "There is a lot of momentum around rejoining again. The
economic data is there and we are feeling more relaxed about talking
about Brexit as being a failure."
Another senior minister said: "If there was no political risk I think we would
rejoin tomorrow, but we have to be mindful of Nigel Farage and
revitalising Reform.
"That said, if we want to grow the economy then we have to rejoin - we all
know that.
"From the discussions taking place, it is not 'if' but 'how' we do it. Do we
put it directly as a pledge in the manifesto or do we use a more indirect
form of words about having a debate? That is the conversation now."
144
LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 28/09/2026
↑↑
Current Maximum Detention Period: 14 days
Key Legislative History:
• Terrorism Act 2000: Initially set maximum pre-charge detention at 7 days
• Criminal Justice Act 2003: Extended to 14 days
• Terrorism Act 2006: Extended further to 28 days
• January 25, 2011: The maximum limit reverted to 14 days when a temporary extension order lapsed (according to
House of Commons Library and UK government statistics)
How Extensions Work
According to Schedule 8 of the Terrorism Act 2000:
• Initial 48 hours: Automatic detention from time of arrest
• Beyond 48 hours: Requires judicial warrant from a magistrate or judge
• Extensions must be authorized by a court and are granted incrementally
• The investigating authority must demonstrate continued necessity
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 27/09/2026
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 26/09/2026
Addendum: from the piece cited in 2/2 above:
In fact, I believe it speaks to something that has fundamentally changed in progressive
politics. It is not a new complaint or analysis. But I do think it was an unheralded
strategic misstep of the Keir Starmer project that the new Government should now
examine carefully. It concerns the rise and rise, in the progressive political mind, of
"expressive politics"; a politics that is primarily about identity expression, about virtue-
signalling, aura-farming. A politics that is more online, more emotional and more
detached, not just from material reality, but from the very idea that the purpose of
politics is to change material reality. A politics that is about taking positions, striking
poses, sending a message; that asks not what it can do for us, but what it can say
about us. And now, as it increasingly takes hold also on the right, about what it can say
about us and them.
The mistake was to think, in defeating Corbynism and carrying that victory to the
country, that we had also struck a broader blow against this expressive politics. After
all, a Labour Party "no longer in thrall to gesture politics" but "returned to the service
of working people" had been handsomely rewarded by the British people, including by
vast swathes of progressive voters. We were high in the polls and higher still on our
own rhetorical supply.
But we were wrong. Charged up by social media, the rise of expressive politics
continues to accelerate on both the left and the right. Gone is Corbynism, constrained
by its Labourist garb and the Marxian impulses of figures like John McDonnell,
replaced instead by the hyper-online sloganeering of Zack Polanski and the Greens.
Meanwhile, on the right, from every party including the Tories, there is now an almost
monomaniac focus upon expressive identity politics, an outgrowth from more
straightforward concerns about immigration. It is not that we missed all this. But,
Created at 00:22 CET/CEST on 27 09 2026 from https://futureoftheleft.substack.com/p/what-is-politics-for
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 24/09/2026
Canada's 'Lawful Access Bill', VPNs and privacy. ~ We Signed a Letter Agreeing With Nord and ExpressVPN ~ windscribe.com/blog/we-signed-a-let…
What is Bill C-22?
Bill C-22, formally the Lawful Access Act, was introduced on March 12 2026. "Debated" is a strong
word for what happened next. The government passed a motion cutting off committee study, and
the bill cleared the House on June 18, the day Parliament left for summer break. It's now in the
Senate but it hasn't become law yet, which means there is still time to fix it.
Canada has a long-running hobby of trying this. Bill C-30 died in 2012 after a huge backlash,
helped by the government's charming suggestion that opponents sided with child predators. C-13
in 2014 and C-51 in 2015 pushed further, and the same powers appeared in last year's Strong
Borders Act before returning as C-22. The pattern never changes. Serious crimes are invoked,
powers are drafted broadly, and everyone acts shocked when broad powers get used broadly.
What it actually does
The bill covers any "electronic service provider" serving people in Canada or doing business here,
and an "electronic service" is anything involving creating, recording, storing, processing,
transmitting, receiving, or making available electronic information. Your homework assignment is to
name a single thing you can do on the internet that doesn't involve at least one of those.
From there, regulations can require "core providers" to build access capabilities, install equipment,
and retain categories of user metadata for up to six months. The Minister of Public Safety can also
issue secret orders imposing the same obligations on any provider, core or not (which is most
businesses), for up to two years. The order expires, but the secrecy doesn't. You can't disclose to
users that the order exists, what it says, or even that you pushed back on it. Ever.Why Windscribe is hit differently
Signal has already said it would leave Canada rather than comply, and most companies on this
letter could pull the same lever and simply turn off Canada from a dashboard. Awful for Canadians,
but survivable for them.
We can't.
Canada is our legal home, and escaping this framework would mean moving the entire company
to another jurisdiction. As our CEO Yegor put it, "Bill C-22 makes Canada an untenable place for
most tech companies to operate in, foreign and domestic. It is in direct conflict with attracting the
capital Canada claims to want, and literally forces existing Canadian companies to take their
taxable revenue elsewhere."
The MPs who want this bill passed should be embarrassed that a Canadian privacy company might
have to leave Canada to protect Canadians' privacy.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 22/09/2026
↑↑
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 22/09/2026
2/2 And this just proper appals me.
Instead, there wasn't a word in defence of immigration from Davey today. Earlier this
week he was repeatedly asked if asylum seekers were more of a threat to women than
average members of the public. He would not deny it. He just doesn't have the
courage - as Charlie Kennedy and Paddy Ashdown did before him - to make the case
for immigration.
Again, people will say it cannot be done while still retaining Tory seats. Again, that is
simply not true. You can make the economic case for immigrants quite easily with Tory
voters, especially once you provide reassurances on borders. He could start now by
attacking the government for doing so little to attract young high-skilled Americans
fleeing Trump's America. That's the sort of approach which makes the immigration
issue as safe as possible. But he does not have the vision, or the courage, or perhaps
simply the motivating emotional outrage at the state of the world.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 22/09/2026
Is there no one passionate and progressive to vote for, who is not populist, right-wing or frankly racist? iandunt.substack.com/p/ed-davy-spee…
Throughout this conference, Lib Dems have sat and yearned for a sense of vision, of a
leader able to say what they believe in, to speak confidently about ideals. Davey's
response is to say that racism is bad and suggest he'll solve it by cutting income tax.
He has created a situation where it is functionally impossible for someone to vote
passionately for the Liberal Democrats. It's impossible to even imagine someone who
would. Who would they be? What the fuck would be wrong with them?
This is tarnishing the name of liberalism. It is associating the name of the most
liberating idea in the history of mankind with a kind of nervous, flustered, faceless
vanilla blather. It is contributing to the sense that liberalism is complacent and
unthreatening, ineffectual and self-satisfied.
Davey evidently feels he cannot square the circle between those small-c conservative
voters and the ideals of liberalism, but he is wrong. His failure to do so is a failure of
his imagination. You simply need to link the resistance to fascism to the iconography
which is most reassuring to Middle England.
On the small boats issue, that is currently the RNLI: properly, undeniably,
quintessentially British, with a very British sense of duty and universality and
practicality. They are currently being targeted by fascists. Davey could put a defence of
the RNLI at the very core of what he is doing - proposing laws to protect them, statues
to valorise them, events to appear alongside them, measures to bolster them -
whatever it takes to highlight their plight and link the Lib Dems to them. This is the
cosy, moderate way to fight the balaclava wearing thugs.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 22/09/2026
↑↑
In rabbinic tradition, the fig tree was the ideal place to study Torah. "Sitting under the fig tree" became a
common idiom for studying under a rabbi, rooted in Proverbs 27:18, which compares tending a fig tree to
attending to one's master 16.
Key points of the tradition:
• Practical setting: Fig trees were typically planted in front of Jewish homes in Palestine, making them a
natural, shaded outdoor space for discussion and debate among rabbis and students 24.
• Symbolic link to Torah: The Talmud (Berakhot 40a) associates figs with study and learning because
they ripen slowly - symbolizing the gradual acquisition of knowledge 3. The Mishnah similarly
compares the fig to Torah: the more one studies it, the more it yields 5.
• A "secret place" for meditation: The tradition also held that sitting under a fig tree signified a private,
personal space for prayer and meditating on Scripture 47. This is the context in which Jesus
identifies Nathanael in John 1:35: "Before Philip called you, when you were under the fig tree, I saw you."
So the fig tree in rabbinic culture was simultaneously a literal study location, a metaphor for patient Torah
learning, and a shorthand for devotional prayer.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 21/09/2026
Pines, beach, and moon, Catalunya, 21 September, 08h40.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 21/09/2026
A good cull today. All blocked back.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 21/09/2026
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 21/09/2026
😀
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 20/09/2026
Think it through. The answer is in plain sight today.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 20/09/2026
I'll say it again: Raze the Home Office to the ground, and start again. And make Mahmood Minister o/s Cabinet for Out Stack www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/se…
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 20/09/2026
↑↑
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 19/09/2026
The excelllent @pecksniffsdiary.bsky.social and I had a bit of an amicable discussion about Burnham, Mahmood, xenophobia, and PM-defining policies recently It's good to see him reflecting my view (and that of others, nd) in print. eastangliabylines.co.uk/pecksniff/p…
“Talk of mass deportation is Nazi f*cking bullshit. In order even to countenance it, you must reach a point of hatred towards a minority group which is reminiscent of the very worst moments of human history.”

So writes Ian Dunt, who so often has les mots justes (even if one of the mots is a little too juste for EAB consumption). He is letting off characteristic steam over Shabana Mahmood’s immigration policy, established under Keir Starmer and inherited by Andy Burnham. And to the horror of many, apparently embraced by him too.

“But perhaps only for the time being,” Pecksniff has tried to argue… But let’s face it, embracing a policy which attracts comparisons like Dunt’s for a few months till you get the furniture straight in No 10 is not much of an excuse. Readers who are prepared to give Mr Burnham the benefit of the doubt on most issues make it clear they draw the line at the deliberate bullying and intimidatory dog whistles used by the home secretary.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 18/09/2026
~ Predicción para las semanas del 21 de septiembre al 11 de octubre de 2026 | Aemetblog [Trans: Kagi} ~ aemetblog.es/2026/09/18/prediccion-…
The weather for the week of September 21 to 27 will be fully summery across Spain: temperatures will be clearly higher than normal over most of the Peninsula. Starting on Tuesday, in fact, highs of 32-34°C will be reached in large areas, and even 35°C in southern Galicia, the Ebro depression, Extremadura and the Guadalquivir valley. Skies will remain mostly clear and precipitation will generally be scarce. This situation will probably persist unchanged at least until Friday the 25th.

For the following week, September 28 to October 4, forecast uncertainty increases, but it will generally be another period with temperatures above the usual for the season, especially in the northeastern Peninsula. There is no clear trend regarding precipitation. This forecast, however, may change in future updates.

Uncertainty rises for the week of October 5 to 11. With the information currently available, temperatures would again be high for the time of year and rainfall, overall, would be less than usual on the Atlantic side.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 18/09/2026
↑↑ "Require" is infelicitous, on the part of the FT or perhaps Cooper. But, otherwise, the right direction.
Cooper argued that Labour had failed to deliver on an ambitious “reset” of relations with the EU. “They haven’t even got as far as agreeing on a youth mobility scheme,” she said. The EU and UK have yet to set a date for a summit to try to agree a closer partnership.

It is an issue most Lib Dems feel strongly about, although privately some MPs fear it could alienate some voters who are bored by Brexit or do not want to reopen the EU debate.

The Lib Dem policy would require the EU to agree to admitting Britain into the single market and negotiating a new customs pact, something which is by no means assured. But Cooper insists it could be negotiated quickly.

She said the UK should try to negotiate having some kind of say in shaping EU single market rules but added in reality “we're already a rule-taker from Brussels”. In the past, the EU has rejected any suggestion that the UK, as a non-member, should have any role in writing single market rules.

Cooper had no qualms about having to give up the post-Brexit trade deals struck by the Labour government with the US and other countries to join a customs union with the EU. She said they generated only “a tiny fraction” of the economic benefits of deeper integration with Europe.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 16/09/2026
2/2 ↑↑ Utterly grim stuff.
It is essential to the anti-refugee right that asylum seekers are never presented as desperate people in need of help, but instead as an invasion force. That is where the language of fighting-age men and sexual violence comes from. We barely even notice it anymore, but our entire narrative around asylum has shifted into an invasion storyline, which even a few years ago was only heard in the wilder territories of the far right.

This has two effects. It creates the sense of an emergency which must be stopped for reasons of public safety. And, just as important, it removes the potential for compassion from our mind. It makes even thinking that we might help asylum seekers nearly unthinkable, as absurd and illogical as trying to help Nazis during the Second World War.

It is by controlling this narrative structure that the populist right has dictated out national debate on this issue. The statements from the good people of Piddington demonstrate how effective this has been. They have eaten it up – hook, line and sinker. And now they think in the way the populist right wants them to.

Serious-minded conservative newspapers and politicians would once have ignored this sort of attention-seeking stunt. Not anymore. Now Piddington is prime fodder for the populist right ecosystem. The Times covers them in gushing terms. The Daily Telegraph worships them.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 16/09/2026
~ Piddington, you're welcome to leave the UK. Don't let the door hit you on the way out ~ archive.is/eErD0
One 72-year-old man in the village spoke to reporters while putting up bunting. Lovely little detail. All very jolly. But the words which came out his mouth were pure GB News. “I voted for us to leave because the government aren’t listening to us,” he said. “The idea of planting all those single, fighting-age young men on the edge of a village that’s quiet and peaceful…” It’s the “fighting age” line that gives it away. This is reliably how male asylum seekers are described on far-right social media posts and by populist politicians.

ADVERTISEMENT

Piddington is presented as a picture-perfect idyllic village lost in the glories of time, like a butter advert, or a murder mystery broadcast on weekday afternoons. In fact, it is right next to HMP Bullingdon – a prison and young offenders institute – as well as multiple army bases. Presumably the villagers are well enough acquainted with “men of fighting age”. But evidently those sorts of men aren’t considered a threat, because they’re mostly white.

If that sounds crude, it’s because the politics of this are very crude and we should be clearer about what these people are really saying.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 16/09/2026
↑↑
Any deep Canadian integration into the EU market would take some very heavy work to negotiate a defined set of treaty-bound rights and obligations, and so it seems more likely that – at least in the short term – cooperation will focus on more vaguely-constructed alliances for ‘prosperity’ and ‘security’.

This offers some salutary lessons for the UK in thinking about its own future EU relationship.

First, Canada’s model of associate membership could set some important precedents for the UK. After all, CETA is the EU trade deal which most closely resembles the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement. In principle, the new models of cooperation open to Canada, with its level of economic and political integration into the EU, are also up for grabs for the UK.

Second, that model of membership is not likely to create a shortcut back into the single market. At least to begin with, the focus seems likely to be on looser cooperation and initiatives rather than a structured set of rights and obligations à la Norway or Switzerland.

Third, this may well appeal to the Burnham government. As I have argued previously, Burnham seems less interested than Starmer in greater legal alignment with the EU single market, and more interested in the kinds of softer-touch economic security cooperation which may well form the bedrock of the new EU-Canada association.

But fourth, and finally, none of this means UK associate membership is now there for the taking. While the UK might resemble Canada legally, it does not do so politically. Canada carries a lot less baggage than the UK. It did not initiate a dramatic divorce a decade ago, before starting to plead for special access to the single market while Mark Carney is the poster boy of the emerging ‘middle powers’ movement. Burnham would not have been afforded the same ovation that Carney received in Brussels this week.

And then there is the economics. It is easier to open your market up to more distant economies where trade flows are simpler to monitor and in which you do not directly compete so often. The UK exports five times more in goods to the EU than Canada and is a direct competitor for investment in advanced tech and AI. Canada also has more to offer than the UK in terms of critical minerals supplies and access to the Arctic.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 13/09/2026
How to become a (crooked) crypto-billionaire.
Ben Delo became a billion by co-founding BitMEX, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges, and riding the explosive growth of crypto futures trading in the 2010s.

The path in brief:

- Founded a high-volume exchange. Delo co-founded BitMEX, which incorporated in Seychelles (with offices in New York and Hong Kong) and grew to handle "billions in cryptocurrency futures traded each day" 1. Transaction volume on the platform generated enormous revenue for its founders.

- Ran it in a regulatory grey zone. By incorporating in a crypto-friendly jurisdiction, BitMEX operated with fewer constraints than exchanges in the US or EU, enabling rapid scaling in the mid-2010s boom.

- Timed the market. The exchange scaled throughout Bitcoin's first major bull cycle (2017), and Delo was named Britain's youngest self-made billionaire — and its first Bitcoin billionaire — on the 2018 Sunday Times Rich List, at roughly 34 years old 4.

So the essential formula is: early founding equity in a high-throughput crypto trading platform, combined with jurisdictional arbitrage, during a period of unregulated market expansion. It's not typically "buying and holding coins" — it's building or owning the infrastructure that processes other people's trades.

One caveat: the wealth came with legal consequences. Delo pleaded guilty in 2022 to a US Bank Secrecy Act violation for BitMEX's inadequate anti-money-laundering controls and received 30 months' probation 2. He was later pardoned by President Trump in 2025 2.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 11/09/2026
A 'pantà' is a reservoir in Catalan. Here is where it is. Look at how full it is, after a scorching summer. And how beautiful the area is.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 11/09/2026
~ Predicción de Aemet del 14 de septiembre al 4 de octubre de 2026 ~ aemetblog.es/2026/09/11/prediccion-…
During the week of September 14-20, anticyclonic and stable weather will dominate. Temperatures will reach higher than usual for this time of year: highs will exceed 32-35 °C across much of the Peninsula and in the southern Canary Islands. Precipitation will be scarce throughout the territory, so summer-like conditions will continue.

The following week comes with greater forecast uncertainty, as is typical for such a long range. With the information currently available, the anticyclonic situation could persist, with temperatures generally above the seasonal average and little rain in the north and west of the territory, though isolated showers may occur in parts of the Mediterranean area. However, this outlook may change significantly in future updates.

Finally, the week of September 28–October 4, still with considerable uncertainty, could again be warmer than normal across most of the country. There is no clear trend regarding precipitation.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 11/09/2026
Chilling words from Chris Grey ↑. If I were still in the UK, I would now be getting very concerned indeed. (Of course I am, anyway, but from afar.)
But something much deeper is at stake, which could properly be called a matter of national security. There is no doubt that what is happening domestically in the UK has parallels with what is happening in other countries, with the AfD's recent success in the Saxony-Anhalt election in Germany being an obvious example. And the way that this success was cheered in both the US and Russia (£) was the latest, and clearest, illustration of how the transformation of geo-politics matters not just for international relations but for domestic politics. It is now a matter of US state policy, enshrined in its 2025 National Security Strategy, to support the far right in Europe, and that includes the UK. Relatedly, Elon Musk openly supports Rupert Lowe and Tommy Robinson, calling civil war in Britain "inevitable" because of immigration, and there are multiple connections between MAGA and the British far right in both its street-level and intellectual guises.

This is the bigger context within which the increasingly ugly politics of the British far right should be understood [4]. It is, historically, a new experience for Britain to find itself no longer the great power it was until, say, 1945, and no longer shielded from its decline by being a kind of junior partner to the US during the Cold War and its immediate aftermath. Now, it is just another 'medium power' and, as a result of Brexit, one in self-chosen isolation from its regional moorings. As a result, it is ready prey. It is deeply ironic that those fulminating about the 'migrant invasion', and the need to 'secure our borders' are not just missing the real threats to national security but are aiding abetting them.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 10/09/2026
2/2 Very much ouch, in fact.
3,572 words. That’s the length of the much-trailed “Growth Speech”, delivered in the West Midlands this week by the chancellor John Healey.

For context, that’s about 300 words less than The Communist Manifesto, about 500 more than the French Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen, and almost exactly the same as the standard English translation of Franz Kafka’s The Metamorphosis.

Healey’s speech is unlikely to be studied for as long as any of those, or indeed be remembered much beyond the day on which he gave it. But what’s interesting is what wasn’t in it. Because, in a speech intended to address what the UK needs to do to inject urgently-needed growth into its economy, the chancellor did not once mention the very glaring elephant in the room.

The word “Europe” was uttered once in the speech, in the sentence: “The UK is home to nearly half of the most innovative companies in Europe”. The EU was not mentioned once, nor was the word “Brexit” uttered.what's interesting is what wasn't in it. Because, in a speech intended to address what the UK needs to do to inject urgently-needed growth into its economy, the chancellor did not once mention the very glaring elephant in the room.

The word “Europe” was uttered once in the speech, in the sentence: “The UK is home to nearly half of the most innovative companies in Europe”. The EU was not mentioned once, nor was the word “Brexit” uttered.

In that, as in so many ways, Healey’s speech could have been given by Rachel Reeves, which makes it even more curious that Andy Burnham felt it necessary to prematurely terminate her political career. Healey’s message was essentially that growth was at the heart of the government’s agenda, but not at the expense of upsetting the many people who voted to leave the EU a decade ago and who have since died.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 10/09/2026
↑↑ Continued stubborn timidity, leading to buffoonery, from Labour — no change under Burnham here.
Downing Street recently confirmed that Burnham's new government would stick to Starmer's strict manifesto red lines on a customs union, free movement, and rejoining the EU single market wholesale.

Brussels doesn’t see how a big new economic agreement aimed at boosting growth on the scale Burnham wants could work with those limitations in place.

“Those things are not compatible,” the EU official quoted above said.“ Our position has been well known for a long time. There needs to be a radical shift in U.K. thinking before something big is possible,” the official quoted above says, adding that the new British government needed time to think about what it wanted.

A previous suggestion by British negotiators that the U.K. might be allowed to participate in the EU single market for goods without signing up to free movement of people was reportedly rebuffed by Brussels earlier this year.

No cherry-picking

The EU is reticent to allow countries to pick and choose individual parts of the single market to participate in. Brussels says such an approach would weaken the union and constitute special treatment for non-members.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 10/09/2026
2/2 ↑↑ And yes, this. Learn from your enemies (word I selected with care, here).
Having said all of that, there is something the pro-EU lobby might learn from Hannan’s ability to tell stories and that is the need for an emotional connection to Europe. Mere practicality - economics and a transactional approach, as it is sometimes called - is not enough. The 2016 referendum and Brexit itself finally ended that approach, despite politicians across the entire spectrum constantly trying to revive it.

No, a story needs to be also told of why we are viscerally connected to Europe and less so to America and to any of the other predominately white, English-speaking former colonies.

Until that story is told, we shall remain relatively alone here in ‘this little world, this precious stone set in the silver sea’.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 10/09/2026
↑↑ Sigh. @steverichards.bsky.social
Some might recall his joining Reform in December 2024. And because everyone in the media knows him, he got more coverage for doing so than all the second rank Tory defections - Nadhim Zahawi, Nadine Dorries, Jake Berry. 

Speaking on Politics Live, Montgomerie said he remained a supporter of the party and made his fanboyish affections for Farage obvious, but argued the party was too unruly. Chief culprit is Yusuf's chaos agent cosplay, for whom the concept of party discipline is an alien notion. He is "supremely talented" and a "gifted communicator" - two phrases that were often uttered by prominent-but-frustrated Tory defectors throughout the conference. But Farage needs to rein him if the professionalisation of Reform is to succeed. 

Montgomerie also said he told Lee Anderson last week that we wanted to continue to be the party's critical friend and make public his views without embarrassing them, or causing issues over their suspension of him, and so was stepping away. How thoughtful.
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 08/09/2026
~ Agosto de 2026, el sexto más cálido de la serie - Agencia Estatal de Meteorología - AEMET. Gobierno de España [trans ↓: Kagi] ~ www.aemet.es/es/noticias/2026/09/re…
**August 2026, the sixth warmest in the series**

09/08/2026 Its average temperature, 24.4°C, exceeded the normal average of the 1991-2020 period by 1.4°C. It was also the sixth warmest August of the 21st century. Nine of the ten warmest Augusts in the historical series have been recorded in the 21st century. Precipitation was around the normal monthly average, although overall it was humid due to storm episodes.

The State Meteorological Agency (AEMET), dependent on the Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic Challenge (MITECO), has made public the climate outlook for August 2026, which was very warm in terms of temperature and humid in terms of precipitation.

**TEMPERATURES**

The average temperature during the past month was 24.4°C, representing an anomaly of +1.4°C compared to the reference period average 1991-2020. It was the sixth warmest August since the series began in 1961 and also of the 21st century. Nine of the ten warmest Augusts have been recorded in the current century. Five of them since 2022.

| Temperatura media      | T media (°C) | Anomalía (°C) | Carácter                      |
|-----------------------|---------------|---------------- |-------------------------------|
| España peninsular     | 24.4          | +1.4           | Muy cálido                   |
| Baleares              | 28.4          | +2.8           | Extremadamente cálido        |
| Canarias              | 24.2          | +1.1           | Muy cálido                   |

*Table of average temperatures in August 2026 across the different geographic areas of Spain, anomaly compared to normal and character.*
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LittleGravitas, →EU immigrant, UK→ emigrant, anti-Brexit @catanonim.me · 08/09/2026
↑↑ Labour continues to disappoint progressives.
Part of Andy Burnham's appeal is his affected comfort with soft left politics. The opening fortnight of his premiership, the Downing Street speech, the care speech, the first address in the Commons, this is supposed to be the difference his leadership is making. And yet there is the same attacks on trans people. The same demonisation of asylum seekers, and fruitless boasting about the fall in Channel crossings. And this weekend we saw another one: political paralysis before a right blockade/"protest" in Dover. The weakness of the government's response is so pitiful, you could be forgiven for thinking that Starmer wasn't turf out a couple of months ago. Speaking in the Commons this afternoon, policing minister Sarah Jones "condemned" - and we should use that term advisedly - "intimidating and thuggish behaviour", lines lifted from Sunday night's Downing Street statement. There's "no excuse" for racists on the streets but, ... "None of this is to minimise the valid concerns that law-abiding people have when they see criminal gangs exploiting the nation's generosity." Under questioning from Suella Braverman, she acknowledged that local people were "scared and angry" but not of far right squaddists running riot, but about small boats. This was completely different to the attitudes of fascist trouble-makers, she said, strongly implying that residents are fine to feel this way. In short, less a capitulation and more a regurgitation of Morgan McSweeney's drivel, the strategy that drove Starmer's premiership onto the rocks.
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