iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 12/09/2026

Labor has overwhelmingly won the remote voting booths and has gained the seat of Mulka. Yiwarr McGrath will be the new Labor MP for the remote seat in eastern Arnhem Land. Labor now holds 6 seats in the 25-member legislative assembly, while the CLP holds 17.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 29/08/2026

One Nation has won the Secret Harbour state by-election in Perth's south. Gym owner Luke Herdegen will represent the party in Western Australia's lower house, winning the seat which was previously held by Labor on an 11.5 per cent margin.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 17/06/2026

This is an interesting alignment of votes in SA's lower house for Family First MLC Sarah Game's abortion bill There were 9 votes in favour: all 4 One Nation MPs + the Premier, Treasurer, Police Minister, Opposition Leader, and the Shadow Infrastructure Minister

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 11/06/2026

Roy Morgan have defined a set of customer personas/market segments using "deep psychographic insights" tag yourself I'm "Young and Platinum", whatever that means

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/06/2026

The AEC has published detailed preference flow data from the Farrer by-election. This table shows definitively how the first preference votes for each candidate flowed between One Nation and Michelle Milthorpe.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 26/05/2026

One Nation's David Farley will be formally declared the winner of the Farrer by-election on Thursday, and we have our first look at the full distribution of preferences in the seat. caseybriggs.com/the-count-is...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 17/05/2026

The addition of remaining postal votes in Stafford is likely to reduce the Labor margin, but there would need to be a *lot* of them to see the LNP win, and no one thinks there are enough out there. Labor has won Stafford.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 14/05/2026

Tammy Tyrrell's move to Labor doesn't make a big difference in the balance of power in the Senate, but it could set up an interesting preselection contest in Tasmania: www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 13/05/2026

A quick look at how independent Tracee Hutchison overtook One Nation to finish second in Nepean: caseybriggs.com/how-independ...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 09/05/2026

The AEC is “urgently considering” its legal options over a sign outside a Farrer polling place that uses the AEC logo and carries an incomplete authorisation statement. AEC says it “has the potential to misrepresent the source of the corflute” and that it is investigating.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 06/05/2026

The Liberal Party is at serious risk of losing a seat on Saturday. But the National Party is at risk of losing its heartland. My latest for ABC NEWS: www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 02/05/2026

The Liberals and One Nation are nearly even on the primary vote in Waterfall Gully www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 24/04/2026

Nine candidates for the Queensland state seat of Stafford. Labor draws top spot, the LNP is at the bottom. Other than Katter's Australian Party which only contests seats in North Queensland, One Nation is the only registered party in Queensland that hasn't fielded a candidate.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 22/04/2026

We've launched the guide to the Stafford by-election in Queensland. Three candidates have announced a run so far, and nominations close Friday www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 14/04/2026

The final candidates have been declared in Farrer, with 12 contesting the seat. The Liberals have drawn ballot position one More details: www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/04/2026

There are eight candidates for the Nepean by-election, and One Nation draws top spot on the ballot. More details here: www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 02/04/2026

The recount in Narungga has concluded, with One Nation winning the seat by a margin of 58 votes after a recount That means final numbers in the House of Assembly are: - Labor 34 - Liberals 5 - One Nation 4 - Independents 4

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 01/04/2026

We've built a fuel tracker to watch the impact of the excise cut on prices -- and prices have come down much faster than the industry suggested they would www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 29/03/2026

One Nation has picked up MacKillop in SA’s south-east. The reporting of the count has stalled without any postals, absents, or declarations published by the commission, but the Liberals have conceded based on the counting that scrutineers have seen

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 29/03/2026

The only doubt left in Morphett was over how many votes were remaining in the count. A small number were added today, and it seems clear Labor will win, giving it 34 seats in total, and leaving the Liberals with just one metro Adelaide seat.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 27/03/2026

The vast majority of votes left to be counted in Heysen are postals, and these are favouring Liberal Josh Teague who leads the count. He will retain his seat, giving the Liberals five seats. One Nation will win at most four, meaning the Liberals retain Opposition status in SA

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 27/03/2026

Preferences are breaking in favour of One Nation in Hammond as expected, and so Robert Roylance will maintain his lead and be elected. That's One Nation's second seat in parliament, and the party is still ahead in two others.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 26/03/2026

Independent Matt Schultz has won Kavel. The commission has now examined pref flows of lower candidates and determined another candidate will not leapfrog Schultz and push him out of the two-candidate preferred count. Schultz wins based on the election night pref count.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 24/03/2026

The electoral commission has done an indicative preference throw in the early voting centre in Finniss to identify if Lou Nicholson will be overtaken by Labor. She gains on Labor in that booth, and so will go on to make the final two and win against Liberal David Basham.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 24/03/2026

Preference flows in Light are benefiting Labor, and they are similar to the flows in nearby seats. Labor's James Agness will be elected, seeing off a scare from One Nation in the Gawler-based seat

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 22/03/2026

One Nation has won its first lower house seat in an election outside of Queensland. The Liberal Party recommended prefs to One Nation over Labor in Ngadjuri and has fallen to third place, so David Paton will maintain his lead and is set to enter South Australia’s parliament.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/03/2026

Queensland draft redistribution proposes abolishing Hill in North Queensland (held by Katter MP Shane Knuth) and Stretton in Brisbane's south (held by Labor MP James Martin), with two new seats: Springfield in the Ipswich area and Caboolture in the Moreton Bay area

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/03/2026

The draft redistribution of Queensland state electorates has been published. It proposes to return to naming electorates after geographical places, and rename ones that "lack voter recognition or are no longer suitable." 19 of the 93 seats would change their names (some reverting to former names)

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 07/03/2026

Election day votes have been counted in Nightcliff and the Greens have lifted their primary vote. But the bulk of the votes were cast before election day, and the Greens didn't perform as well on that vote type in 2024. Full figures and commentary: www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 02/03/2026

The record number of candidates and long ballots is driven by a growth in mainly right-wing minor parties. As well as One Nation, Bob Day's Australian Family Party is running in all seats, Family First has 35 candidates, Sarah Game's Fair Go party has 22. Number of candidates from each party:

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 02/03/2026

A record number of candidates in the SA election, and an average of 8.25 candidates per seat, well up from the average of 5.1 candidates in 2022. 12 candidates in Hammond and Port Adelaide, 11 in Flinders, Kavel, Mount Gambier, 10 in Narungga.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 27/02/2026

The draft redistribution would see Clark extend a long way west and take on the parts of Franklin west of the Derwent, including the Huon Valley. Glenorchy would move from Clark to Lyons, pushing that seat further into Hobart.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 25/11/2025

For the first time in decades, the Coalition has lost its perceived advantage on economic management, the Australian Election Study has found. It shows the challenge ahead for the Liberals, who now need to regain their traditional strengths My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 16/11/2025

Counting still underway but former KAP MP Nick Dametto has romped home in the election for Townsville mayor, with nearly 62% of the first preference vote on the current count. His replacement in state parliament will be chosen in a fortnight #qldpol

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 11/11/2025

Seven candidates have nominated for the Queensland state seat of Hinchinbrook, with election day set for November 29. Full guide on the ABC News website coming soon

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 04/11/2025

the government now seems to be saying that Senators wouldn't need permission to use the bathroom under its proposed new standing order, but that's not what the motion on the notice paper says, unless they plan to amend it

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 04/11/2025

I'd be surprised if Marielle Smith's motion passes, but... if such a rule were to be agreed, is it genuinely enforceable? I am not a lawyer but this feels vaguely kidnapping-adjacent? Would Black Rod have to prevent senators from walking out one of the chambers many doors?

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 03/11/2025

loving this suggestion to remove the donkey vote advantage by printing ballots on round paper with a centre hole, and installing spindles into ballot booths to "facilitate spinning if needed". i suspect it will be deemed logistically impractical, but it would certainly make voting more whimsical

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 03/11/2025

This is interesting: someone has told the parliamentary inquiry looking at the last federal election that they worked as a contractor for a party or a candidate and was paid for doorknocking, phone polling, and working outside pre-poll voting centres

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 02/11/2025

The Paris Agreement requires Australia (and all countries) to submit nationally determined contributions (NDCs) every 5 years, that each should be an improvement on the previous and reflect the “highest possible ambition” Does pegging the target to the OECD average satisfy that?

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 31/10/2025

i do want this o'bahn schematic diagram as a full sized poster though

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 31/10/2025

all the pictures on the O'Bahn wikipedia page appear to be upwards of two decades old. Adelaide deserves better than this.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 17/08/2025

Per YouGov (and @dropout.tv), Kamala Harris won the hotel toiletry thief demographic 45-43. Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 19/07/2025

Final rehearsals at the tally room in Hobart. Full #tasvotes results coverage across the ABC tonight from 6pm. See you then xx

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 30/06/2025

... but there are more independents in the 'ungrouped' column and more independents in multi-candidate groups (like the Peter George group) More than a quarter of all candidates are independents, a big jump on last year.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 30/06/2025

There are 161 candidates in Tasmania, slightly down on last year, but there's been a big drop in the number of ballot columns across the state, and a big jump in the number of independent candidates. That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters... www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 11/06/2025

#breaking A Tasmanian state election will be held on July 19. Statement from the Governor:

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/06/2025

Here's the full statement from Government House:

10 June 2025

Statement from Government House

Attributable to Official Secretary David Hughes:

This evening Her Excellency the Honourable Barbara Baker AC, Governor of Tasmania, received the Premier, the Honourable Jeremy Rockliff MP, at Government House.
Following their conversation, Her Excellency is now taking the time necessary to give due consideration to all available options.
By the end of the week the Premier will meet with Her Excellency again.
Further statements will be made in due course.

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 10/06/2025

This is the error in Tasmania's supply bill that delayed passage and means the Premier is visiting the Governor after sunset. That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas

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casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 29/05/2025

I've been playing with sankey charts to see how seats in the lower house have been changing over time. It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...

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