Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 01/10/2026$CI had an analyst day yesterday. They reaffirmed 2026 earnings (on the last day of the quarter) and said 2027 will grow at least 10%. They are now at less than 8 times 2027 earnings 110
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 07/07/2026The SK Hynix Nasdaq listing this week, may be a liquidity suck for the US market. Similar to how market struggled around the $GOOGL secondary and $SPCX IPO 120
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 12/05/2026This article recounts how Israel trained dogs to rape Palestinian men. If you believe this I have a bridge to sell you. I would laugh but shit like this causes anti semitism. There are a lot of stupid people who believe this nonsense 530
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 08/05/2026With the caveat that software is dead, I am once again back with my old friend $CHKP. $CHKP trades at an EV of $9.5 billion and is expected to produce $1.25 billion in cash this year. At the current price they would repurchase nearly 15% of the float over the next 12 months 270
Reposted by Tsachy MishalHelene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 12/03/2026Equity put/call ratio .80 yesterday 094
Reposted by Tsachy MishalHelene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Software acts like energy used to. And energy acts like software used to 0132
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 05/02/2026Bezos is supposed to fund Washington Post losses indefinitely because he is rich? 300
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 31/12/2025BREAKING: Zohran Mamdani stuns New York, putting Ramzi Kassem — 9/11 Al Qaeda defense lawyer — in charge as Chief Counsel 020
Reposted by Tsachy MishalUpslope Capital @upslopecapital.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Going on 13...let's goooo 142
Reposted by Tsachy MishalHelene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 02/12/2025We no longer have IPOs, we have creation of ETFs which own the same 10 stocks 3337
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 30/11/2025I believe that the Bollore/Vivendi decision was a complete victory for Bollore and it being sent back to the court of appeals is a mere formailty. The high court indicated that procedurally the case was handled incorrectly but the eventual outcome is not uncertain 110
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 21/11/2025How long would Bitcoin need to be flat/down for before we stop hearing about it all the time? 060
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 12/11/2025$CI led with this in their UBS presentation. It's a significant statement from a company with a 12% FCF yield. They have the cash to back up their statement 041
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 29/10/2025In the next season of Fauda, Doron will attempt to do the impossible, rescue a value investor from himself 000
Reposted by Tsachy MishalBerkshire Haddaway @berkshire-haddaway.bsky.social · 13/10/2025Jim Cramer, 25 years ago www.thestreet.com/personal-fin... Profits are a distraction to the gamblers. 141
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 12/10/2025Russell 2000/ S&P 600 To be in the S&P 600 you have to be profitable. Recently, profitability is a liability 2142
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 12/10/2025I believe AI is a negative for tech companies that make money from ads - There will be greater competition from new players like OpenAI - AI is a massive additional cost, even in a world where they keep the same ad dollars they otherwise would have gotten 231
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 12/10/2025There are only 2 possible reasons the "ceasefire now" crowd isn't celebrating the ceasefire via Coleman Hughes - They are more bothered about Trump getting credit than they are about the suffering in Gaza - They were rooting for Hamas 020
Reposted by Tsachy MishalFive Minute Macro @fiveminutemacro.bsky.social · 10/10/2025So, with luck and determination, we could get to relive the 2007/8 credit crisis and the 2000 dotcom bust at the same time. Don't let the naysayers tell you we can no longer do stuff. 2619
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 09/10/2025What else could potato chips be made of? Mars grown potatoes? 120
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 09/10/2025Pretty amazing that there isn't a single post in my Bluesky feed about the peace deal, while my Twitter feed is 90% filled with Israel/Hamas. The tribalism is insane 200
Reposted by Tsachy MishalMichael Santoli @michaelsantoli.bsky.social · 06/10/2025Never forget... 59812
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 05/10/2025A DEI professor at a Canadian university thinks synagogues are fair game. She has since deleted her account. This is what the more educated people in the Free Palestine movement want to do to Jews. Never mind the common man 110
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 29/09/2025Bill Clinton got Israel to agree to a two state solution. It has always been the Palestinians that cannot accept the existence of Israel 030
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 18/09/2025$NVDA found some loose change between the cushions 020
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 11/09/2025Let's say OpenAI is wildly successful and this contract works out well for $ORCL. Why would OpenAI renew it, and give $ORCL great economics, once it has the financial strength to pay for it's own capex 161
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 07/09/2025The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers 030
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 07/09/2025The better SSS for some clothing retailers has been inconsistent with what we are seeing in other parts of the consumer economy. Wondering if the end of de minimus took some biz away from the likes of Temu/Shein & gave it to US retailers 000
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 05/09/2025Started a position in $CHTR as they begin winding down their multi year elevated capex plans and the stock trades down to near multi year lows. $CHTR is currently a mid double digit FCF yield and should be closer to 20% once the elevated capex is reduced in a year or two 260
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 19/08/2025Where are we in the cycle when Bitty is giving stock market advice www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU1l...youtube.comJoey Bada$$ Talks New Project, Coming For The West Coast, The 'Big 3', Fatherhood, Therapy + MoreYouTube video by Breakfast Club Power 105.1 FM 000
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 10/07/2025Headlines I love to see. If this doesn't say load up the truck, I don't know what does Health Insurers Are Becoming Chronically Uninvestible -- Heard on the Street -- WSJ 172
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 07/07/2025For anyone that that owns $CRWV (not as a trade), it is an absolute no brainer to do a stock replacement with $CORZ. The problem is that anybody who owns $CRWV, as an investment, probably can't do the math to figure this out 040
Reposted by Tsachy MishalQuantifiable Edges @quantifiableedges.bsky.social · 01/07/2025July has historically seen the best 1st day of any month. Performance from 1989 - 2024 can be seen in the attached chart. Note the last 14 years in a row have closed higher! 121
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 25/06/2025$ELV is trading at less than 10X 2026 estimates. They do have some risk from tougher Medicare rules. If the management is flexible & changes it's capital allocation priorities from acquisitions to buybacks would be a great buy. Even if you zeroed out Medicare profits the shares would still be cheap 000
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 24/06/2025Mamdani will lose, and not by a little. I refuse to believe that a majority of people will vote to destroy their city 210
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 18/06/2025I have sold some $JPM and written covered calls on the remainder. Not much juice left to squeeze out of this one. Initiated this position in fall of 2023, when people freaked out that Jamie Dimon was selling shares. The chorus of "Jamie is selling" has continued since then and the shares doubled 1100
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 17/06/2025Bought $CRWV leap puts. Plan is to basically close my eyes until after the lockup expiration 170
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 15/06/2025Amazing that Israel and Ukraine came up with similar plans happening in parallel 110
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 11/06/2025It is criminally insane to buy the $MSTR preferred 10%, $STRD. $MSTR can stop paying the dividend at any time, for no reason. Dividends are non cumulative & non payment has almost no consequences. Heard @saylor bluntly state this. I thought it was impossible so I read the prospectus. It's possible 050
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 05/06/2025Seems like we are seeing the law of diminishing returns on trade war headlines in both directions 150
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 30/05/2025The crazier Trump acts, the more likely the Supreme Court upholds the decision to take away Trump's tariff power 010
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 30/05/2025The acronym that destroyed the US economy. Trump now going to try and prove he's not TACO. It's like dealing with a 5th grader 050
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 28/05/202590 deals in 90 days. Promises made, promises kept. Trump will personally be able to pay off the deficit by the end of his presidency 071
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 23/05/2025I'm guessing there weren't enough Europeans at that crypto dinner last night 1213
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 22/05/2025It makes absolute zero sense that $CI trades down with the other insurers when there is Medicare news. $CI sold it's Medicare business. In the short run algos and correlations rule. In the longer run it's fundamentals 120
Tsachy Mishal @capitalobserver.bsky.social · 22/05/2025$TLT debuted in 2002 at roughly the current price. Never traded much lower (~81-ish) 120
