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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you)

@cali-lib.bsky.social
1.3K followers 632 following 23K posts

Husband, father, natural philosopher, and now grey child of the Pacific Coast. My old man once said that civilization ends east of US-395, and I am grateful he is no longer alive to see just how true that statement was.

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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 15h
I think it is time for the US to get a new President, and I do not think I am alone in that opinion.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
I see the Gold Crested ShitGibbon's lifting sanctions on Russia is going over... well. 🥂
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Ahhhhh. ☕
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Here is the top ten from that list, for those curious about the other 9 and not wanting to pay for the article. (clipped from a free site, btw.) I went to university in #5.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Russian money supply (M2) has been consistently increasing at rates elevated from the pre-2022 invasion. Inflation happens when the money supply increases faster than the production of goods and services. Russia had inflation above 4% prior to 2022, so the change in slope = high inflation.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
It just keeps going up... Russia's money supply (M2). Note that economic production in real terms is very likely DROPPING as M2 ramps up. No wonder inflation is ~15% and rising.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Obligatory:
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
"Let's not argue about who gave plague to whom..."
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Other than printing Rubles and laundering them through the OFZ sales, they could accelerate the sale of RCB gold reserves. China has been buying gold, and their purchases appear to correlate with Russian needs: tradingeconomics.com/china/gold-r... Change in reserves (purchases):
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Russian bond yield curves for today and 1 month ago. Inflation appears to be roughly constant while default risk estimates are up. 🍿
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
You must be remembering disembodied voices, for I have never expressed such an opinion. I have refused to let you distract though. None of which changes the fact that Russia invaded a non-aligned nation, a fact which renders your posts horseshit. Are these voices in the room with you right now?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
So many people have been harmed by the regime their membership voted for, I'm afraid they will have to get in line.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I think people are remembering why they voted against the guy in 2020. That MAGA stove is hot. Here's hoping the lesson sticks this time.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
There is also the option to plot individual bond yields as a function of time. The 1-year bond is the academic favorite for measuring expected inflation over the following year (by adding ~1/2 to 1 point to the 1-year yield).
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
These guys take the RCB data, plot it, save it, and plot the figures from a month ago, etc. Same data, more user-friendly format. www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/country/russ... 1-year bond is ~constant, longer terms are going up, indicating increased default risk.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"It's always darkest before it gets totally black." -- Charles M. Schulz -23 points and dropping. 🥂
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
"Your loved one should have died earlier!" -- The Saratov Regional Governor.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Here are the Russian zero coupon bond yield curves for today (01.10.2026) and one month ago. The 1-year yield is essentially unchanged -- the Russian bond market expectation of inflation over the next year remains ~14%-ish. The increase for the longer bonds indicates increased default risk (?).
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
oops! The lack of a road coupled with snowmelt result in maybe 2-3 campsites being occupied any day in late May through June.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
There was a road and vehicles with ice chests visible inside them, yes? Wilderness: No roads, no ice chests, no problematic bears. Just views.
Emigrant wilderness, where the Range of Light meets the younger volcanic range of the northern Sierra Nevada.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The source is the RUSSIAN Ministry of Finance. It would be shocking if the information was true.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Good thing you are not a physician or nurse... 😉 Plots of a patient spiking a fatal fever and then assuming room temperature over a 12 hour shift. The first is in Celsius, which has an arbitrary zero of the melting temperature for water ice. The second is in Kelvin, which has a real zero.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
This time of year brown bears should be gorging on high calorie foods in preparation for winter. Yes, Your Majesty, this means fish. A shortage of fish will send desperately hungry bears in search of alternative protein sources.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
So, actual data is not to be trusted, but your pronouncements are golden? Where do you get your information? Disembodied voices? Are these voices in the room with you right now?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
JFC, Russia shelled Red Cross facilities and cluster bombed civilian hospitals during the first few days of their 2022 invasion, ... ... and now they whine about their refineries and military industries being hit during a mock election?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
I'm thinking gasoline prices have registered with the public...
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The 1990 agreement relating to European-(Soviet) Russia relations, including possible expansion of either NATO or the Warsaw Pact, was the Paris Charter. The Paris Charter enshrined the Helsinki Final Act as the central security agreement for Europe. Art. 1 HFA. Note the last line.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Lol, I clipped the review and posted the link. Reading comprehension is just not your thing. Do yourself a HUGE favor -- seek professional help. Once stabilized on meds: - Go back to school - Stay sober this time - Work really hard You CAN get that High School Equiv. cert.! You CAN do this!
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
BTW, TheGrayZone is a well-known conspiracy theory and propaganda sewer. mediabiasfactcheck.com/the-grayzone/ Swill much?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
"Of course, of course, Mr. Yakovlev. By the way, that new Mercedes for your #2 mistress has arrived -- candy apple red, as requested. Shall we deliver it or do you wish to present it yourself?" -- Steve
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I thought we already had a Dolly Parton Memorial:
Grand Tetons
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
hey, no one made more fun of Dolly's bust than Dolly:
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Ok, I know this is unrelated,... ... but did "When Harry met Sally" just make it to Russia this last year?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Or, less charitably, they will be releasing detailed lies about their past lies regarding events in the past.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The Kremlin appears to be content with printing Rubles and then laundering them through the REPO - OFZ two step dance. I guess they are trying to keep up the appearence of economic normalcy? Russian M2 (money supply) over 10 years. Note the change in slope at 2022. The spikes are each December.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Given the buckets of Iraqi baby blood staining her hands, memories of Gaddafi are the least of her worrying memories from her time in power. Invading and then botching the occupation because raising the army need for the occupation was politically incovenient caused slaughter, which she defended.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
"When did you say your folks are coming home?"
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
"Asleep"?
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Meaning 76 AD units have fired upon Ukrainian drones overnight. How many hit, and how many missed (sequentially) the same drone... 🤷‍♂️. It is only when video evidence is posted we find out IF Rus AD hit, and WHAT it hit.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Such as the European Court of Human Rights? www.courthousenews.com/human-rights...
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Which would require Russia being able to export oil and distillates via their shipping terminals in the Black Sea. Good luck with that.
Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian oil tanker in the Black Sea.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
energyandcleanair.org/august-2026-... We will see what September will bring, but Donnie's Iran Fiasco is over 6 months old, and that did not help August.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Are you saying V. V. Putin is a source of dogshit? Note the date on the medals he awarded, Asshat. Ukraine was non-aligned and Yanukovych was still President -- it was not until AFTER this date he was denounced as a traitor, murder, and thief BY HIS OWN PARTY in the Rada and removed from office.
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Cali-Lib (doc/hey you) @cali-lib.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Russia started this war on 20.02.2014. My source for that date: V. V. Putin. Ukraine was a lightly-armed non-aligned nation not seeking to join NATO or any other alliance at the time. Hence the rush of other non-aligned nations to join NATO. Russia is the only recruiter NATO has ever had.
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