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Caleb Weiss

@calebweiss.bsky.social
3.2K followers 126 following 40 posts

Defections Program Lead for Uganda at Bridgeway Foundation. Kampala-based. Editor @LongWarJournal. Focused on jihadism and political violence in Africa.

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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
In a new paid post on my Substack, I take a look into al-Qaeda's recent and historical attempts to incite and foment jihad in #Sudan. Spoiler: It has largely been unsuccessful - at least publicly. calebweiss7.substack.com/p/al-qaedas-...
calebweiss7.substack.com
Al-Qaeda’s Attempts to Mobilize Jihad in Sudan
The battle for control over Sudan between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) led by Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) led by Muhammad Hamdan “Hemedti” Dagalo has now raged for ove...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Hello everyone, I've opened a Substack page! You can expect the usual news, analysis, and the occasional history dive on the jihad in Africa. calebweiss7.substack.com
calebweiss7.substack.com
Caleb Weiss | Substack
Click to read Caleb Weiss, a Substack publication. Launched a few seconds ago.
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Tom Joscelyn @tomjoscelyn.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Bari Weiss’s The Free Press is acting like ISIS and Al Qaeda-inspired radicalization of a small number of online teens in the U.S. is a new story. It’s been a story - and a subject of analysis - for two decades or more. “No one is talking about…”? Clueless. Utterly clueless.
Free Press acts like youth radicalization is new
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Any mutuals study Burundi? I have some questions I'd love to ask and learn more.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
This new report on ISCAP/ADF from @rawya.bsky.social @amnesty.org does a superb job of highlighting not only the many atrocities committed by the group in eastern #Congo on almost a daily basis, but also the lasting emotional and societal impact on survivors www.amnesty.org/en/latest/ne...
amnesty.org
DRC: Rampant ADF abuses against civilians ‘war crimes which the world must not continue to ignore’ – new report
Civilians in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are suffering a surge in human rights abuses committed by Allied Democratic Forces’ (ADF) fighters that amount to war crimes and crimes agai...
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Tom Joscelyn @tomjoscelyn.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Here’s my brief take on how and why the Trump regime is trying to manufacture an international “antifa” bogeyman - as quoted in the @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/04/09/u...
The Trump regime is trying to invent an Antifa bogeyman
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Literally exactly what Rufo wanted in publishing that dumb ass article
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Looks like ISCAP (aka ADF) attempted to conduct a suicide bombing today just south of Kampala, targeting congregants at today's #Uganda Martyrs' Day celebrations. The bomber - a woman previously known to security - and her boda driver were the only casualties.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Evergreen tweet. Macawisley have been effective when used properly, but there is a huge looming question over their long-term security implications given how often clans within this wider mobilization turn their guns on each other.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
Missed this at the time, but it is important to note that the reported incident that ISCAP beheaded 70 Christians in a church is likely fake news. ISCAP still beheads or kills dozens of Congolese Christians a month, however, which certainly gets hardly any headlines so the wider point here is valid.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
1. Some numbers on Islamic State Central Africa Province #Congo operational claims and propaganda releases in 2024: 292 total claims - the highest yearly total. For comparison, 2023 just recorded 126, while 2022 had 156. Dec. 2024 the highest, with 42 claims; May had 41.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Latest at LongWarJournal: AQAP gave significant praise to Shabaab for recent operations in Somalia and for expanding the jihad in wider East Africa. Just another data point for the mutual support and admiration between the two AQ branches. www.longwarjournal.org/archives/202...
longwarjournal.org
Analysis: AQAP praises Shabaab’s activities in East Africa
In the latest issue of its Sada al-Malahem magazine, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) heaped significant praise on recent operations conducted by Shabaab, Al Qaeda’s branch in East Africa. The...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
The Islamic State has since claimed this. Worrying that ISCAP is again returning to areas it was previously driven out of, highlighting its highly adaptable nature.
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Aaron Y. Zelin @azelin.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Ivory Coast confirms arrest of six suspected members of the Islamic State group medafricatimes.com/37582-ivory-...
medafricatimes.com
Ivory Coast confirms arrest of six suspected members of the Islamic State group – Medafrica Times
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Pieter Van Ostaeyen @p-vanostaeyen.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Might be useful ... African Jihadist Research Starter Pack (if I accidentally missed anyone for some reason, please drop me line) go.bsky.app/FD75pM7
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Also included in the new UN report on Somalia is that there is still no evidence for the rumors of infighting between Shabaab's emir, Ahmed Diriye (Abu Ubaidah), and one of its senior most officials Mahad Karate. In fact, it notes Karate is still a "close confidante" of Diriye.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
All of this very much mirrors what I wrote about IS Somalia back in September ctc.westpoint.edu/islamic-stat...
ctc.westpoint.edu
Islamic State-Somalia: A Growing Global Terror Concern - Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
According to news reports citing several unnamed senior U.S. officials, the leader of the Islamic State’s Somali branch quietly became the global head of the Islamic State last year. This is far from ...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
All of this very much mirrors what I wrote about IS Somalia back in September ctc.westpoint.edu/islamic-stat...
ctc.westpoint.edu
Islamic State-Somalia: A Growing Global Terror Concern - Combating Terrorism Center at West Point
According to news reports citing several unnamed senior U.S. officials, the leader of the Islamic State’s Somali branch quietly became the global head of the Islamic State last year. This is far from ...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Authorities in Congo want to create a "prison intelligence service." This is likely needed given the spate of prison breaks in the country. And specifically for ISCAP/ADF, would potentially help dismantle its expansive prison networks in both the east and in Kinshasa. actualite.cd/2024/11/18/r...
actualite.cd
RDC : Les États généraux de la justice recommandent un service de renseignement pénitentiaire pour lutter contre les réseaux criminels en prison
Lors des États généraux de la justice en RDC, la création d’un service de renseignement pénitentiaire a été proposée pour répondre aux défis croissants posés par les réseaux criminels opérant à partir...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
La Fondation Bridgeway apporte son assistance humanitaire aux 118 ex-otages des ADF à Bunia www.radiookapi.net/2024/11/17/a...
radiookapi.net
La Fondation Bridgeway apporte son assistance humanitaire aux 118 ex-otages des ADF à Bunia
La Fondation Bridgeway a remis samedi 16 novembre des produits vivriers et non-vivriers aux 118 ex-otages des rebelles des ADF, regroupés à Diango dans la périphérie de Bunia. Ces personnes liberées d...
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
One of my biggest pet peeves is outlets or people calling groups clearly within a wider group/hierarchical apparatus as “linked,” instead of its appropriate designation as that group’s regional wing. Also see Shabaab being called “AQ-linked.” ADF = ISCAP, as Shabaab is the rep for AQ East Africa.
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
As the Islamic State’s Central Africa Province is pushing further into newer areas of Congo’s Ituri Province, it has clashed with the FRPI militia in areas the latter effectively controls. Locals are now asking the Congolese military to also intervene www.radiookapi.net/2024/11/10/a...
radiookapi.net
Confrontés à la menace des ADF, les habitants de Walendu-Bindi (Ituri) appellent au déploiement des FARDC
L'absence des Forces armées de la République démocratique du Congo (FARDC) dans six groupements de Walendu-Bindi, au sud du territoire d’Irumu en Ituri, suscite une vive inquiétude parmi la population...
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Paweł Wójcik 🦋🇵🇱🇪🇺 @saladinaldronni.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Starter packs everywhere, we also have one. Me and Pieter @p-vanostaeyen.bsky.social have decided to create a pack with people delving into extremities. Mainly jihad, but only only. The list will be updated once more folks appear here from the Devil app. go.bsky.app/Re1A5NG
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Caleb Weiss @calebweiss.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
For the third time since August, the Islamic State has claimed another dubious attack inside #Uganda. This time stating it killed 4 and freed a prisoner in Kyankwanzi District. Local sources have again confirmed this is false - and the lack of any local reporting suggests so too.
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