Reposted by Brad ShapiroItai Sher @itaisher.bsky.social · 31/12/2024I don’t buy this interpretation. It’s the self-congratulatory sentiment that we are good people who care about others and they are bad people who don’t. 2121
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 30/12/2024You'd much rather Tamar have a deer hunting rifle than a handgun, from a public safety standpoint. It's actually not close. 100
Reposted by Brad ShapiroBrad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Hi folks, as we approach the end of the year and you consider end-of-year giving, allow me to pitch you a non-political organization that I believe is worthy of your dollars. ASAP is an organization dedicated to improving legal processes in asylum cases. givebutter.com/asap2024?ct=...givebutter.comSupport rapid response for 1 million immigrantsWe need your help to get critical information to the people who need it most. 1146
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 26/12/2024Always think about the incentives of the ones pushing the narratives and bias adjust. 030
Reposted by Brad ShapiroTamar Haspel @tamarhaspel.bsky.social · 26/12/2024The new GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are an existential threat to diet peddlers, so it's not surprising to find them amplifying any risk from the meds. There's mostly silence from them on the ancillary benefits, notably kidney & cardiovascular disease. 093
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 24/12/2024I've been pretty consistent in my editorial view about this. I want a review process that is one round of referee input, then accepted after revision. If there remain some philosophical/conceptual differences of opinion, I'd rather the reviewers write a comment than iterate behind closed doors. 2264
Reposted by Brad ShapiroBen Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 24/12/2024One more thing: the current equilibrium favors less innovative, incremental papers getting published in the most selective outlets even more than peer review already does. Those are the ones for which the consensus process works best and tends to converge. A real loss for innovation. 6/6 61085
Reposted by Brad ShapiroBen Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 24/12/2024It also makes for a bad equilibrium where publicly disagreeing with a paper (except very mildly and boringly) is infrequent and therefore an extreme signal. So people don't do it even when they feel published papers are wrong or misleading. 3/ 41125
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 22/12/2024"R2 is marginally more negative than I am, but they raise a fundamentally valid point" 030
Reposted by Brad ShapiroCarl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 22/12/2024When news reports about scientific papers make causal claims that are not justified by the original study, the mistake often traces to a university press release. Here, observational data reveals an association. The press release asserts causality. today.ucsd.edu/story/walkab...today.ucsd.eduWalkable Neighborhoods Help Adults Socialize, Increase CommunityAdults who live in walkable neighborhoods are more likely to socialize and have a stronger sense of community, report researchers at the UC San Diego Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human... 22758138
Reposted by Brad ShapiroDerek Thompson @dkthomp.bsky.social · 21/12/2024People sometimes make fun of science that sounds stupid and random. Meanwhile, a study of lizard saliva turned into a peptide medication, which was turned into a diabetes medication, which was turned into a GLP1 weight loss drug, that just became the first therapy every approved for … sleep apnea 372171805071
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Hi folks, as we approach the end of the year and you consider end-of-year giving, allow me to pitch you a non-political organization that I believe is worthy of your dollars. ASAP is an organization dedicated to improving legal processes in asylum cases. givebutter.com/asap2024?ct=...givebutter.comSupport rapid response for 1 million immigrantsWe need your help to get critical information to the people who need it most. 1146
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Given how much interaction this got, I thought you might like to know I bought these and used them this morning in ~30 degree weather. Worked very well! t.co/ji2Zvl8tgUt.cohttps://www.gorewear.com/us/en-us/shield-windstopper-thermo-overshoes-100827?variant=2906 040
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 15/12/2024This place is exactly what I thought it was. The latest outrage is almost comical. A caricature. Some useful stuff on here, some very nice people too, but the "kind version of twitter" bsky most certainly is not. Go Bills! 260
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 14/12/2024media.tenor.coma man sitting in front of a monitor with the words is that bad it 's not good below himALT: a man sitting in front of a monitor with the words is that bad it 's not good below him 010
Reposted by Brad ShapiroHeski Bar-Isaac @profeski.bsky.social · 13/12/2024The vast majority of people I reach out to repsond quickly and helpfully; but the few that don't are frustrating and enough to make me really appreciate that large majority and that the community functions surprisingly well. 091
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 13/12/2024If you receive a ref request and can't finish in the allotted time, you have options: - Decline the review. - Ask editor for more time. Then turn in report close to your new proposed deadline. Don't do: - Ghost the request - Agree to request then go months past the due date w/no communication 15310
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 13/12/2024All sorts of face palm here. - using units to deliberately make effect size seem bigger - miscalculate the effect size by a factor of 10 - call that mistake a "typo" - say that a 10x smaller effect size doesn't change the policy recommendation(!!!!!) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/13/h...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu “How a simple math error sparked a panic about black plastic kitchen utensils”: Does it matter when an estimate is off by a factor of 10? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science... 160
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 12/12/2024Quite seriously one of the regular dishes in my rotation (a lentil dish, obviously) was a direct result of one of Tamar's advocacy posts. 132
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 12/12/2024Counterpoint: West Virginia had Joe Manchin as a Senator for how many years? Kentucky has a D governor. Kansas has a D governor. To me it seems like more an issue of finding state pols who are willing to deviate from the national party narrative in order to serve their constituents. 110
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 11/12/2024Anyone have winter overshoe recommendations for cycling? When it gets down below 30, keeping my feet warm is a challenge. 410
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 10/12/2024I'm clearly 10 years too late to the party, but I found this essay to be enlightening: slatestarcodex.com/2014/09/30/i...slatestarcodex.comI Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup[Content warning: Politics, religion, social justice, spoilers for “The Secret of Father Brown”. This isn’t especially original to me and I don’t claim anything more than to… 050
Reposted by Brad ShapiroBrad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 09/12/2024Such a pet peeve of mine. "Follow the science" is meaningless advice. The science doesn't tell you what to do. It just gives you information (of varying degrees of quality/noisiness/bias). Decisions come from combining that info with *values*. The science doesn't give you your values. 021
Reposted by Brad ShapiroSaloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 09/12/2024Americans are now one-third less likely to die from cancer at the same ages as Americans in 1990 331154255
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 09/12/2024That call goes the other way 100 times out of 100 if it's the Chiefs 110
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 07/12/2024Do op-eds in major newspapers convince people to change their minds? Is there research about this? 261
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 07/12/2024The whole post is interesting, but I'm going to cherry pick one line, as it has become my modal comment on "natural experiment" type papers. "It’s hard to talk about estimating the treatment effect until you’ve defined what the treatment is." 060
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 07/12/2024Lots of health care takes lately sound like what I call the "Free Red Ferrari" problem to my MBA students. If you ask people what they want, it's a Red Ferrari for $0. Translated to health, the request is 0 premiums, 0 co-pays, 0 denials, 0 wait time, no tax increase, no decrease in innovation. 040
Reposted by Brad ShapiroJohn Mullahy @johnmullahy.bsky.social · 07/12/2024Another day, another GLP-1s are remarkable story. 181
Reposted by Brad ShapiroWorld Bollard Association™️ @worldbollardassoc.bsky.social · 19/11/2024We might have FINALLY met our match… #WorldBollardAssociation 78101361385
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 05/12/2024I had the pleasure of interacting with Bill a few times. Such a warm, thoughtful person and a beautiful writer. May he rest in peace. 030
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 04/12/2024I am no fan of these kinds of gerrymanders, but to imply that more voters wanted a D house is more than a little misleading. GOP house candidates collectively won the popular vote by more than Trump did. 3100
Reposted by Brad ShapiroBhash Mazumder @bhashmazumder.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Chicago Fed is hiring in our micro group! The ad is not yet on JOE but see this link. 3+ years of experience. Don't need rec letters but do need to list 3 references: rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo...rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.comEconomist/Senior Economist/Economic Advisor - Microeconomics TeamCompany Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago The Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago invites applications for the Economist/Senior Economist/Economic Advisor positions on th... 22515
Reposted by Brad ShapiroMathew Kiang @mathewkiang.com · 04/12/2024Who is telling high school students to (cold) email professors for internships? This just can't be a good use of anybody's time. 5192
Reposted by Brad ShapiroItai Sher @itaisher.bsky.social · 02/12/2024I would not be opposed to impeaching and removing Biden over this. It would set a precedent. 3194
Reposted by Brad ShapiroHannes Ullrich @hannesullrich.com · 22/11/2024Now published in the December issue of Quantitative Marketing and Economics: link.springer.com/article/10.1... #QME has a very efficient, no BS editorial policy. Can highly recommend!link.springer.comComplementarities between algorithmic and human decision-making: The case of antibiotic prescribing - Quantitative Marketing and EconomicsArtificial Intelligence has the potential to improve human decisions in complex environments, but its effectiveness can remain limited if humans hold context-specific private information. Using the em... 0174
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 01/12/2024theonion.com/university-o...theonion.comUniversity Of Michigan Expands Michigan Stadium To Seat Everyone In Michigan 191
Reposted by Brad ShapiroAustan Goolsbee @goolsbee.bsky.social · 01/12/2024anybody made a starter pack for dog pic and video feeds? 2321
Brad Shapiro @btshapir.bsky.social · 01/12/2024No thank you-- I don't want to go back to the "good old days" 030
Reposted by Brad ShapiroErik Brynjolfsson @erikbryn.bsky.social · 30/11/2024Here's a great starter pack for folks interested in the economics of innovation, competition and IO go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX 28333
Reposted by Brad ShapiroIoana Marinescu @imarinescu.bsky.social · 27/11/2024Don’t despair about having an impact, #EconSky! If you want to learn more about how economics research influences policy, join us for this all-star panel at #ASSA2025. www.aeaweb.org/conference/2... 1285
