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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 04/09/2026

Who will win the Holborn & St Pancras by-election? High-risk high-reward for the Greens, but reasons to be both confident, but doubtful... www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/09/2026

www.britishpollingcouncil.org/objects-and-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/05/2026

Farnworth (Halton) council election result: LAB: 36.5% (-28.4) REF: 36.4% (+36.4) GRN: 13.7% (+13.7) CON: 13.4% (-21.8) Labour HOLD by one vote. www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/05/2026

Ditton, Hale Village and Halebank (Halton) council election result: REF: 53.0% (+53.0) LAB: 29.3% (-50.9) GRN: 12.6% (+12.6) CON: 5.1% (-14.7) Reform GAIN from Labour. www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/05/2026

Chorley East (Chorley) council election result: REF: 39.7% (+39.7) LAB: 34.6% (-36.1) GRN: 15.1% (+4.4) CON: 8.7% (-9.9) TUSC: 1.9% (+1.9) Reform GAIN from Labour. www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 06/05/2026

Required reading in advance of Super Thursday... www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 28/02/2026

At day 586 in Number 10, Keir Starmer ranks rock bottom in recent history. Starmer: -45 Brown: -28 Sunak: -27 May: -17 Thatcher: -15 Cameron: -11 Johnson: -5 Major: +10 Blair: +37 Truss: N/A britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 26/02/2026

How Gorton and Denton could vote if the tactical voting option is emphatically perceived by voters to be Green or Labour www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 26/02/2026

The Britain Predicts final forecast for Gorton and Denton, complete with ranges: GRN: 31% (25-38) REF: 30% (30-33) LAB: 29% (22-34) Drilldown, including what built it: www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/02/2026

Has Labour been learning the lessons of the Reform ascendency? We have some findings from Ground Zero 👇 open.substack.com/pub/britaine...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 31/01/2026

Britain Elects poll tracker at the end of January REF: 29% LAB: 19% CON: 19% GRN: 14% LDEM: 13% > A less dramatic Reform drift than seen elsewhere > Lab and Cons neck and neck for second britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 25/01/2026

How Greater Manchester would vote in an election held today: via Britain Predicts

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 15/01/2026

Conservative MPs, former or current, who have defected to Reform since the General Election, and how their seats would vote today www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 06/01/2026

Three years of poll data. Labour down almost half on its General Election performance www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 31/10/2025

How the most and least deprived parts of England and Wales voted in 2024, and would vote in an election today Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 26/10/2025

The polls, compared to two months ago: Reform: 🔼 up 1pt Labour: 🔽 down 2pts Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change Greens: 🔼 up 3pts

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 26/10/2025

Britain Elects poll tracker: Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 26/09/2025

Britain Predicts | Gorton and Denton, how the seat would vote in an election today: REF: 34% (+20) LAB: 29% (-23) GRN: 16% (+3) LDEM: 8% (+4) WPB: 7% (-3) CON: 6% (-2) Reform gain from Labour. We have also modelled for a possibly Andy Burnham candidacy: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 20/09/2025

Lib Dem conference this weekend: www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 10/09/2025

Since last year, Nigel Farage's favourables among the under 50s has risen more than it has among the over 50s. What's going on? www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 09/09/2025

Three-way preference for Prime Minister: Starmer (Lab): 33% Farage (Ref): 30% Badenoch (Con): 16% via JL Partners Polls www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 16/08/2025

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 06/08/2025

Our latest posts, free to read, on britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/08/2025

How not to do polling britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/08/2025

New polling: Corbyn bests Starmer among certain Reform voters. But not all. Read here 👉 britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/08/2025

NEW: We have been able to map support for Palestine by constituency www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/08/2025

Corbyn vs. Starmer - who do voters prefer really? 👉 Now live on britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/08/2025

Sunday reading: Starmer now polls worse in Wales than in England britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 02/08/2025

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Our latest forecast: Reform and the Conservatives six seats short from a majority in the Senedd 👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 02/08/2025

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿📊 New post: britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 29/07/2025

How Labour's collapse in competence on the economy compares to previous administrations... www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/07/2025

On the proposed changes to welfare and PIP: Support: 26% Oppose: 40% via @YouGov Ben Walker's analysis: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/07/2025

The polls, one year since the general election: Reform: +14.1 Greens: +2.6 Lib Dems: +1.5 Conservatives: -6.7 Labour: -11.1 👉https://britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead-in-the-polls

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/07/2025

Reform has eaten the Tory recovery 👉 Available now on britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 04/07/2025

Would a Corbyn led party get 10%? There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously. But another thing: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/07/2025

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 24/06/2025

Rewind to 2003 and 1992. Public opinion to intervention in Bosnia and Iraq: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 24/06/2025

The public opinion summation: "Britain wants no part in Israel’s war" www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 15/06/2025

Now live on britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/06/2025

Scotland: Reform is pulling in almost one-in-ten 2014 Yes voters to its side. Compares to a quarter among unionists www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 27/05/2025

Poll tracker update Labour down 12pts nationally, but 14pts in Scotland Reform up 14pts nationally, 9pts in Scotland, and 7pts in Wales 👉 britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 11/05/2025

The most important chart of this year's local elections www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 10/05/2025

One week on from #LE2025 Our local election forecast was a disaster. It understated Reform in every quarter. Here's what we learned: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 10/05/2025

One week on from #LE2025 The Britain Predicts model proved better than the rest www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 08/05/2025

Conservatives now lead* Labour on the economy britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you... *ignoring the 53% for neither

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/05/2025

How Labour lost Runcorn 👉 britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 05/05/2025

All local election results (complete with maps charting party support seat-by-seat) are now available on the New Statesman website: www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 04/05/2025

LE2025: every ward, every swing, almost there... www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 03/05/2025

How Labour lost Runcorn 👉 britainelects.com

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Britain Elects @britainelects.com · 02/05/2025

Accrington North (Lancashire) council election result: REF: 52.1% (+52.1) LAB: 22.1% (-31.9) CON: 14.3% (-19.8) GRN: 11.5% (+4.8) Reform GAIN from Labour. www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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