Reposted by 𝘉𝘭𝘶𝘦𝘉𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘺𝘔𝘰𝘰𝘯𝘚𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘥
Many people don't understand probability very well and many of them are resistant to having it explained to them. This leads some designers to creating mechanics that work like the player's instinctive (read: fucking wrong) understanding of probability, further confusing everyone.
