Past El Niño events triggered blackouts, droughts and migration. A new one will test already fragile political systems across Latin America.

In Venezuela, Mexico and beyond, the Trump administration is selecting which laws to enforce and which to ignore.

The reformist president came to power hoping to fix the economic crisis he inherited. But his reforms have triggered a new political crisis.

From Delcy to Milei.

Argentina’s economic situation is a constant litmus test for Milei’s reelection bid, making it both a self-fulfilling and self-defeating prophecy.

While Trump has been focused on the Strait of Hormuz, there are indications that he could soon turn his attention back to Panama.

Updating my framework shows more leaders aligning with Trump and no populist opponents remaining.

For most countries, it's either bad or worse.

The economic and political impact already felt from the Iran war hints at the risks the region faces in the event it lasts much longer.

A Spanish translation of the headline today: La Delcyficación de la política exterior de los EE.UU.

Military operations won’t produce real security for Latin America if there is no strategy beyond targeting cartel leaders with lethal force.

The aggressive pace of expansion has alarmed advocates who say the construction will destroy pristine country, threaten endangered species, and cut off access to sacred Indigenous and archaeological s...

By the end of the year, it's possible Cuba's government will be more "Delcy-like" than Venezuela's.

Boric accomplished a string of policy successes long after he had been declared a lame duck for having lost the constitutional reform process.

Mexico and the U.S. measure the success of any individual mission—as well as the overall campaign against cartels—differently.

Mexico and the U.S. measure the success of any individual mission—as well as the overall campaign against cartels—differently.

The current conflict between Israel and Iran should put to the test all the threat analyses about Iran’s presence in the Western Hemisphere that have been written over the past several decades.

Two different analyses today. Hope you enjoy the both.

As long as the Chavistas remain in power in Caracas, nothing Trump does will change how U.S. companies view Venezuela.

Just a month into 2026, managing the U.S.-Mexico relationship is proving to be even more challenging than in 2025.

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado says one of her closest allies has been kidnapped hours after being released from prison.

Maduro’s removal changed everything and changed nothing.

A member of Haiti’s transitional presidential council has announced that a majority of the panel has voted to fire the country’s embattled Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé as the country’s politic...

Peruvian President Jose Jeri is facing a preliminary investigation by the country's prosecutor as Congress looks to begin impeachment proceedings, after his recent meetings with a Chinese businessman ...

It depends on the US.

The U.S. operation in Venezuela to seize Nicolas Maduro confirms that Latin America must take Trump’s military threats seriously.

Does US involvement keep Venezuela out of the chaos box? Or make it more likely?

Joy, chaos, uncertainty.

Is Maduro’s consolidated dictatorship so bad that chaos is better? What if those are the two most likely options and you must choose?

An optimistic vision to balance the pessimism and reality.

If Trump wanted to demonstrate resolve against authoritarianism and Chinese influence in Latin America, Nicaragua should be the textbook case.

Chile's pendulum demands change

Honduras’ governing LIBRE party experienced a spectacular collapse in the presidential election, going from more than 50% of the vote four years ago to less than 20% this time.

The Nobel Peace Prize 2025 was awarded to Maria Corina Machado "for her tireless work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela and for her struggle to achieve a just and peaceful transi...

The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy offers no guidance for the immediate challenges it faces in Latin America.

Is Maduro’s consolidated dictatorship so bad that chaos is better? What if those are the two most likely options and you must choose?

Questions about the validity of the results are likely to sabotage the next president’s legitimacy from their first day in office.

It's never a good month for a scandal. It's a very bad month when the president has just been sanctioned, and there is an aircraft carrier nearby.

The Trump administration sidestepped skeptical lawyers across national security agencies as it pursued a military campaign against alleged narcotraffickers, officials say.

Nine points on Ecuador's referendum rejection

An emerging area of research is uncovering hidden links between nature and human health.

Scenario A: Contested election. Scenario B: Contested election.

This year’s high-level Summit of the America’s meeting has been postponed despite a pile of pressing issues facing the region.

So many Venezuela articles

Discussing potential and ongoing US military operations in the Caribbean, Eastern Pacific, Venezuela, Colombia, and Mexico.

Comments on the political implications of recent security stories around the region

As with Nicaragua a decade ago, there is a hidden explanation for El Salvador’s improved security situation under Bukele.