We set personalized benchmarks for 10 Orioles core players before the 2026 season. Now that it's over, here's how each one measured up and what it means for 2027.

With 25 games left and a 27.4% playoff shot, here's what our model says about Baltimore's path and what the Colorado and Boston series mean for the rest of September.

The Orioles went to Tampa Bay with 8.8% playoff odds and swept three of four from the hottest team in baseball. The data shows what actually changed, specifically in two-strike counts.

August 9 vs Texas showed something the Orioles haven't displayed in months: positive RE24 in eight of nine innings, combining a top-5 total value with the most balanced inning distribution of any high...

All three had hamate surgery within 24 hours of each other in February 2026. Six months later, the outcomes look nothing alike.

The 2026 Orioles are 2.5 games out of the third wild card spot with 20.4% playoff odds. The Monte Carlo model knows which four series will decide the season. Here is the map.

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Trevor Rogers has been two pitchers in 2026, one who cratered through May with a 6.84 ERA, and one who one-hit the Dodgers in Yoshinobu Yamamoto's own stadium. The calendar will hit November either way, and so does free agency. The Orioles have spent a full year not talking about it. They don't have much time left.

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The Orioles are 2 games out of a Wild Card spot with 94 left to play. The next month will determine whether the 7-year rebuild window is still open, or whether it closed when no one was looking.